---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:47 PDT

safe3step girls Smithsburg 1
  
Smithsburg            
W-L: ( 1-11) PR = 69.3895

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 325 H Tuscarora ( 6- 5, 82.7) 1-16 327 H Gov Thomas Johnson ( 6- 7, 79.1) 4-15 401 A Frederick ( 3-10, 77.6) 5-15 403 A Boonsboro (10- 4, 80.7) 2-17 408 H Walkersville ( 2-10, 75.6) 7-11 410 A Catoctin ( 7- 5, 80.7) 5-16 415 A North Hagerstown ( 0-10, 64.0) 18- 3 417 H Middletown (12- 5, 85.1) 1-18 422 A Brunswick ( 3-11, 73.1) 7-15 501 A Francis Scott Key ( 3-11, 78.1) 3-17 502 H Winters Mill ( 8- 9, 86.6) 2-22 507 A Brunswick ( 3-11, 73.1) 7-12

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 H Tuscarora               1-16     -15   -13           0.00
   327 H Gov Thomas Johnson      4-15     -11    -9           0.00
   401 A Frederick               5-15     -10    -9           0.00
   403 A Boonsboro               2-17     -15   -12           0.00
   408 H Walkersville            7-11      -4    -6           1.00
   410 A Catoctin                5-16     -11   -12           0.00
   415 A North Hagerstown       18- 3      15     5           0.02
   417 H Middletown              1-18     -17   -15           0.00
   422 A Brunswick               7-15      -8    -4          -0.83
   501 A Francis Scott Key       3-17     -14    -9           0.00
   502 H Winters Mill            2-22     -20   -17           0.00
   507 A Brunswick               7-12      -5    -4          -0.83

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Smithsburg Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Annapolis Area Christian Annapolis Area Christian   Annapolis Area Christian
Anne Arundel County Anne Arundel County   Anne Arundel County
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding   Archbishop Spalding
Beth TFiloh Beth TFiloh   Beth TFiloh
Bishop McNamara Bishop McNamara   Bishop McNamara
Brookewood SG Brookewood SG   Brookewood SG
Bryn Mawr SG Bryn Mawr SG   Bryn Mawr SG
Bullis School Bullis School   Bullis School
Calverton School Calverton School   Calverton School
Catholic High Baltimore Catholic High Baltimore   Catholic High Baltimore
Chapelgate Christian Chapelgate Christian   Chapelgate Christian
Concordia Prep Concordia Prep   Concordia Prep
Cristo Rey Jesuit Cristo Rey Jesuit   Cristo Rey Jesuit
DC International DC International   DC International
EL Haynes Charter EL Haynes Charter   EL Haynes Charter
Elizabeth Seton Elizabeth Seton   Elizabeth Seton
FCA FCA   FCA
Field School Field School   Field School
Friends School Friends School   Friends School
Garrison Forest Garrison Forest   Garrison Forest
Georgetown Day School Georgetown Day School   Georgetown Day School
Georgetown Visitation Georgetown Visitation   Georgetown Visitation
Gerstell Academy Gerstell Academy insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Gerstell Academy
Glenelg Country School Glenelg Country School   Glenelg Country School
Good Counsel Good Counsel   Good Counsel
Gunston Day School Gunston Day School   Gunston Day School
Holton-Arms School Holton-Arms School   Holton-Arms School
Holy Child Holy Child   Holy Child
Holy Cross Holy Cross   Holy Cross
Indian Creek Indian Creek   Indian Creek
Jackson-Reed Jackson-Reed   Jackson-Reed
Jemicy Smithsburg   Smithsburg
John Carroll John Carroll   John Carroll
Key School Key School   Key School
KIPP College Prep KIPP College Prep   KIPP College Prep
Maret School Maret School   Maret School
Maryvale Prep Maryvale Prep   Maryvale Prep
McDonogh School McDonogh School   McDonogh School
Mercy Mercy   Mercy
Mount de Sales Mount de Sales   Mount de Sales
National Cathedral National Cathedral   National Cathedral
Notre Dame Prep Notre Dame Prep   Notre Dame Prep
Oldfields School Oldfields School   Oldfields School
Park School Park School   Park School
Rockbridge Academy Rockbridge Academy   Rockbridge Academy
Roland Park Country Roland Park Country   Roland Park Country
Salisbury School Salisbury School   Salisbury School
Sandy Spring Friends Smithsburg   Smithsburg
School Without Walls School Without Walls   School Without Walls
Severn School Severn School   Severn School
Sidwell Friends Sidwell Friends   Sidwell Friends
St Andrews Episcopal St Andrews Episcopal   St Andrews Episcopal
St James School St James School St James School   3- 1 vs 0- 4
St Johns Catholic Prep St Johns Catholic Prep   St Johns Catholic Prep
St Johns College St Johns College   St Johns College
St Marys St Marys   St Marys
St Marys Ryken St Marys Ryken   St Marys Ryken
St Pauls SG St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
St Timothys St Timothys   St Timothys
St Vincent Pallotti Smithsburg   Smithsburg
Stone Ridge School Stone Ridge School   Stone Ridge School
Sts Peter & Paul Sts Peter & Paul   Sts Peter & Paul
Tome School Tome School   Tome School
Washington Latin Washington Latin   Washington Latin
Worcester Prep Worcester Prep   Worcester Prep
Aberdeen Aberdeen   Aberdeen
Academy for College & Ca Academy for College & Ca   Academy for College & Ca
Annapolis Annapolis tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Annapolis
Arundel Arundel   Arundel
Atholton Atholton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Atholton
Baltimore Polytechnic Baltimore Polytechnic   Baltimore Polytechnic
Bel Air Bel Air   Bel Air
Bethesda-Chevy Chase Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Bladensburg Smithsburg   Smithsburg
Blair Blair   Blair
Blake Blake   Blake
Bohemia Manor Bohemia Manor   Bohemia Manor
Boonsboro Boonsboro Boonsboro  
Bowie Bowie   Bowie
Broadneck Broadneck   Broadneck
Brunswick Brunswick Brunswick  
Calvert Calvert   Calvert
Cambridge SD Cambridge SD   Cambridge SD
Carver A&T Carver A&T   Carver A&T
Catoctin Catoctin Catoctin  
Catonsville Catonsville insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Catonsville
Centennial Centennial insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Centennial
Central PG Central PG   Central PG
Century Century Century   2- 0 vs 0- 2
CH Flowers CH Flowers   CH Flowers
Chesapeake AA Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Chesapeake BC Smithsburg   Smithsburg
Chopticon Chopticon   Chopticon
City College City College insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) City College
Clarksburg Clarksburg   Clarksburg
CM Wright CM Wright   CM Wright
CMIT North CMIT North   CMIT North
Crofton Crofton   Crofton
Damascus Damascus   Damascus
Dr Henry Wise Smithsburg   Smithsburg
Dulaney Dulaney   Dulaney
Dundalk Smithsburg   Smithsburg
DuVal DuVal   DuVal
Eastern Technical Eastern Technical   Eastern Technical
Easton Easton   Easton
Edgewood Edgewood   Edgewood
Einstein Einstein   Einstein
Eleanor Roosevelt Eleanor Roosevelt   Eleanor Roosevelt
Elkton Elkton   Elkton
Fairmont Heights Smithsburg   Smithsburg
Fallston Fallston   Fallston
Francis Scott Key Francis Scott Key Francis Scott Key  
Franklin Franklin   Franklin
Frederick Frederick Frederick  
Frederick Douglass PG Smithsburg   Smithsburg
Gaithersburg Smithsburg   Smithsburg
Glen Burnie Glen Burnie   Glen Burnie
Glenelg HS Glenelg HS   Glenelg HS
Gov Thomas Johnson Gov Thomas Johnson Gov Thomas Johnson  
Great Mills Great Mills   Great Mills
Guilford Park Guilford Park   Guilford Park
Gwynn Park Gwynn Park   Gwynn Park
Hammond Hammond   Hammond
Harford Tech Harford Tech   Harford Tech
Havre De Grace Havre De Grace   Havre De Grace
Hereford Hereford   Hereford
Howard Howard   Howard
Huntingtown Huntingtown   Huntingtown
JM Bennett JM Bennett   JM Bennett
Kennedy Smithsburg   Smithsburg
Kent County Kent County   Kent County
Kent Island Kent Island   Kent Island
Kenwood Smithsburg   Smithsburg
La Plata La Plata   La Plata
Lackey Lackey   Lackey
Lansdowne Smithsburg   Smithsburg
Laurel Laurel   Laurel
Leonardtown Leonardtown   Leonardtown
Liberty Liberty Liberty   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Linganore Linganore Linganore   6- 0 vs 0- 6
Loch Raven Loch Raven   Loch Raven
Long Reach Long Reach tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Long Reach
Magruder Magruder   Magruder
Manchester Valley Manchester Valley Manchester Valley   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Marriotts Ridge Marriotts Ridge   Marriotts Ridge
Meade Smithsburg   Smithsburg
Middletown Middletown Middletown  
Milford Mill Milford Mill   Milford Mill
MJ McDonough MJ McDonough   MJ McDonough
Mount Hebron Mount Hebron   Mount Hebron
New Town Smithsburg   Smithsburg
North Caroline North Caroline   North Caroline
North County North County   North County
North Dorchester Smithsburg   Smithsburg
North East Cecil North East Cecil   North East Cecil
North Hagerstown Smithsburg Smithsburg  
North Harford North Harford   North Harford
North Point North Point   North Point
Northeast Northeast   Northeast
Northern Calvert Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Northwest Northwest tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northwest
Northwestern PG Smithsburg   Smithsburg
Northwood Northwood   Northwood
Oakdale Oakdale Oakdale   6- 1 vs 0- 7
Oakland Mills Smithsburg   Smithsburg
Old Mill Old Mill   Old Mill
Overlea Smithsburg   Smithsburg
Owings Mills Smithsburg   Smithsburg
Oxon Hill Oxon Hill   Oxon Hill
Paint Branch Smithsburg   Smithsburg
Parkdale Parkdale   Parkdale
Parkside Parkside   Parkside
Parkville Parkville   Parkville
Patapsco Patapsco   Patapsco
Patterson Mill Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Patuxent Patuxent   Patuxent
Perry Hall Perry Hall   Perry Hall
Perryville Perryville   Perryville
Pikesville Pikesville tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Pikesville
Poolesville Poolesville   Poolesville
Queen Annes County Queen Annes County   Queen Annes County
Quince Orchard Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Randallstown Randallstown   Randallstown
Randallstown Randallstown   Randallstown
Reservoir Reservoir tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Reservoir
Richard Montgomery Richard Montgomery   Richard Montgomery
Rising Sun Rising Sun tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Rising Sun
River Hill River Hill   River Hill
Rockville Rockville   Rockville
Seneca Valley Smithsburg   Smithsburg
Severn Run Severn Run   Severn Run
Severna Park Severna Park   Severna Park
Sherwood Sherwood   Sherwood
South Carroll South Carroll South Carroll   5- 0 vs 0- 5
South Hagerstown South Hagerstown   South Hagerstown
South River South River   South River
Southern Southern   Southern
Sparrows Point Sparrows Point   Sparrows Point
Springbrook Springbrook   Springbrook
St Charles St Charles   St Charles
Stephen Decatur Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Suitland Smithsburg   Smithsburg
Thomas Stone Thomas Stone   Thomas Stone
Towson Towson   Towson
Tuscarora Tuscarora Tuscarora  
Urbana Urbana Urbana   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Walkersville Walkersville Walkersville  
Walter Johnson Walter Johnson   Walter Johnson
Watkins Mill Smithsburg   Smithsburg
Western Baltimore Smithsburg   Smithsburg
Western STES Western STES   Western STES
Westlake Smithsburg   Smithsburg
Westminster Westminster insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Westminster
Wheaton Wheaton   Wheaton
Whitman Whitman   Whitman
Wicomico Smithsburg   Smithsburg
Wilde Lake Wilde Lake   Wilde Lake
Winston Churchill Winston Churchill   Winston Churchill
Winters Mill Winters Mill Winters Mill  
Woodlawn Smithsburg   Smithsburg
Wootton Wootton   Wootton

PowerWise = 29


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.96

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Tuscarora       ( 6- 5, 82.7)     1-16      -17.19      20.73      -0.45         1.00           -17.59
   0 H Gov Thomas Joh  ( 6- 7, 79.1)     4-15      -20.79      17.13      -0.45         1.00           -21.17
   0 A Frederick       ( 3-10, 77.6)     5-15      -22.27      15.65       0.45         1.00           -21.76
   0 A Boonsboro       (10- 4, 80.7)     2-17      -19.17      18.75       0.45         1.00           -18.67
   0 H Walkersville    ( 2-10, 75.6)     7-11      -24.35      13.57      -0.45         1.00           -24.72
   0 A Catoctin        ( 7- 5, 80.7)     5-16      -19.16      18.76       0.45         1.00           -18.65
   0 A North Hagersto  ( 0-10, 64.0)    18- 3      -35.94       1.98       0.45         1.00             2.42
   0 H Middletown      (12- 5, 85.1)     1-18      -14.78      23.14      -0.45         1.00           -15.18
   0 A Brunswick       ( 3-11, 73.1)     7-15      -26.79      11.13       0.45         1.00           -26.26
   0 A Francis Scott   ( 3-11, 78.1)     3-17      -21.76      16.16       0.45         1.00           -21.25
   0 H Winters Mill    ( 8- 9, 86.6)     2-22      -13.25      24.67      -0.45         1.00           -13.66
   0 A Brunswick       ( 3-11, 73.1)     7-12      -26.79      11.13       0.45         1.00           -26.26
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -222.76

winning pts = 2.4177 losing points = -225.1790

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------