---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:50 PDT

safe3step girls Salem 1
  
Salem                 
W-L: ( 5-15) PR = 81.4892

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 320 A Divine Child ( 6- 7, 84.3) 5- 7 401 H Dexter (10- 6, 84.6) 8- 7 403 A Tecumseh ( 5-11, 79.6) 5- 4 404 A Saline (16- 3, 92.7) 3-12 407 A Brighton B ( 4- 1, 83.6) 5- 8 411 A Novi ( 9-10, 87.3) 4-12 414 H Northville (10-10, 86.9) 5-14 415 H Grosse Pointe North ( 8- 7, 82.6) 9-12 421 H Hartland (20- 6, 93.8) 5-15 425 A Plymouth ( 5-12, 82.3) 7- 6 428 A West Bloomfield ( 7- 8, 81.1) 13- 6 501 H Livonia United ( 5-11, 83.0) 4- 7 503 A White Lake Lakeland (11- 7, 92.0) 2-11 503 N Mona Shores (15- 7, 90.6) 3- 9 503 A DeWitt ( 7-15, 84.8) 8-11 507 H Canton ( 3-13, 81.6) 7- 8 509 A Howell ( 9-11, 84.2) 3-16 512 A Novi ( 9-10, 87.3) 5-15 514 A Cass Tech ( 2- 8, 75.0) 16- 6 519 H Plymouth ( 5-12, 82.3) 7-15

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 A Divine Child            5- 7      -2    -3           1.41
   401 H Dexter                  8- 7       1    -2    +      3.46
   403 A Tecumseh                5- 4       1     1          -0.25
   404 A Saline                  3-12      -9   -12           0.00
   407 A Brighton B              5- 8      -3    -3          -0.22
   411 A Novi                    4-12      -8    -6           0.00
   414 H Northville              5-14      -9    -5          -0.23
   415 H Grosse Pointe North     9-12      -3     0    -     -2.56
   421 H Hartland                5-15     -10   -12           0.00
   425 A Plymouth                7- 6       1    -1    +      2.39
   428 A West Bloomfield        13- 6       7     0    ++     5.26
   501 H Livonia United          4- 7      -3    -1    -     -2.13
   503 A White Lake Lakeland     2-11      -9   -11           0.00
   503 N Mona Shores             3- 9      -6    -9           0.00
   503 A DeWitt                  8-11      -3    -4           0.91
   507 H Canton                  7- 8      -1     1          -1.55
   509 A Howell                  3-16     -13    -3          -1.65
   512 A Novi                    5-15     -10    -6           0.00
   514 A Cass Tech              16- 6      10     6           0.00
   519 H Plymouth                7-15      -8     0    --    -4.85

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   519 H Plymouth                7-15      -8     0    --    -4.85
   415 H Grosse Pointe North     9-12      -3     0    -     -2.56
   501 H Livonia United          4- 7      -3    -1    -     -2.13

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 A West Bloomfield        13- 6       7     0    ++     5.26
   401 H Dexter                  8- 7       1    -2    +      3.46
   425 A Plymouth                7- 6       1    -1    +      2.39

Salem Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Ann Arbor Father Gabriel Ann Arbor Father Gabriel insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Ann Arbor Father Gabriel
Ann Arbor Huron Salem Salem   4- 2 vs 2- 3
Ann Arbor Pioneer Ann Arbor Pioneer insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 1- 5) Ann Arbor Pioneer
Ann Arbor Skyline Salem Salem   3- 2 vs 1- 3
Avondale Salem insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Salem
Battle Creek Harper Cree Battle Creek Harper Cree   Battle Creek Harper Cree
Bedford Salem Salem   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Birmingham Unified Birmingham Unified Birmingham Unified   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Bloomfield Hills Bloomfield Hills Bloomfield Hills   4- 1 vs 0- 6
Brighton Brighton Brighton   5- 0 vs 0- 5
Brighton B Brighton B Brighton B  
Byron Center Byron Center tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Byron Center
Caledonia Caledonia tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Caledonia
Canton Canton Canton  
Cass Tech Salem Salem  
Catholic Central Catholic Central   Catholic Central
Chippewa Valley Salem Salem   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Clarkston Clarkston tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Clarkston
Comstock Park Comstock Park   Comstock Park
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Davison Salem tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Salem
Detroit Country Day Detroit Country Day Detroit Country Day   2- 0 vs 0- 2
DeWitt DeWitt DeWitt  
Dexter Salem Salem  
Divine Child Divine Child Divine Child  
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) East Grand Rapids
East Lansing East Lansing tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) East Lansing
Farmington Farmington tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Farmington
Fenton-Linden Co-Op Fenton-Linden Co-Op Fenton-Linden Co-Op   3- 3 vs 1- 5
Flint Powers Catholic Flint Powers Catholic tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Flint Powers Catholic
Flushing Salem tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Salem
Forest Hills Central Forest Hills Central insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Forest Hills Central
Forest Hills Northern/Ea Forest Hills Northern/Ea tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Forest Hills Northern/Ea
Grand Blanc Grand Blanc tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Grand Blanc
Grand Haven Grand Haven tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Grand Haven
Grand Ledge Grand Ledge insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Grand Ledge
Grand Rapids Christian Grand Rapids Christian Grand Rapids Christian   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Grandville Grandville tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Grandville
Grosse Pointe North Grosse Pointe North Grosse Pointe North  
Grosse Pointe South Grosse Pointe South Grosse Pointe South   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Hartland Hartland Hartland  
Haslett Haslett insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Haslett
Henry Ford II Salem tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Salem
Holland West Ottawa Salem tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Salem
Holly-Brandon Co-Op Salem   Salem
Holt Holt Holt   2- 1 vs 0- 5
Howell Howell Howell  
Hudsonville Hudsonville insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Hudsonville
Jenison Salem tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Salem
Kalamazoo Central Salem tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Salem
Lake Fenton Salem insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Salem
Lake Orion Lake Orion insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Lake Orion
Lakeview Salem insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Salem
Lansing Catholic-Waverly Lansing Catholic-Waverly Lansing Catholic-Waverly   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Lapeer Salem   Salem
Livonia United Livonia United Livonia United  
Lowell Lowell tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lowell
Marian Marian insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Marian
Mattawan Mattawan insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Mattawan
Mercy Mercy Mercy   4- 1 vs 0- 5
Midland Salem tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Salem
Mona Shores Mona Shores Mona Shores  
Northview Northview Northview   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Northville Northville Northville  
Notre Dame Prep Notre Dame Prep insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Notre Dame Prep
Novi Novi Novi  
Okemos Okemos Okemos   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Oxford Oxford Oxford   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Plymouth Plymouth insuffient: ( 1- 8)( 0- 9) Plymouth
Portage Northern Portage Northern insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Portage Northern
Reeths-Puffer Reeths-Puffer   Reeths-Puffer
Rochester Adams Rochester Adams tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Rochester Adams
Rochester HS Rochester HS insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Rochester HS
Rochester Stoney Creek Rochester Stoney Creek Rochester Stoney Creek   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Rockford Rockford insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Rockford
Royal Oak Salem insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 3) Salem
Sacred Heart Academy Sacred Heart Academy   Sacred Heart Academy
Saginaw Heritage Saginaw Heritage insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Saginaw Heritage
Saline Saline Saline  
South Lyon United South Lyon United South Lyon United   5- 0 vs 1- 6
Spring Lake Spring Lake insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Spring Lake
St Catherine of Siena Salem tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Salem
St Johns/Ovid-Elsie Salem tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Salem
Swartz Creek Swartz Creek insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Swartz Creek
Tecumseh Salem Salem  
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Traverse City Central
Troy Troy insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Troy
Troy Athens Troy Athens Troy Athens   4- 0 vs 1- 3
University Liggett University Liggett insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) University Liggett
Utica Eisenhower Utica Eisenhower insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Utica Eisenhower
Walled Lake Northern Salem Salem   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Warren Regina Salem insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Salem
Waterford United Salem   Salem
West Bloomfield Salem Salem  
White Lake Lakeland White Lake Lakeland White Lake Lakeland  
Zeeland East Zeeland East tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Zeeland East

PowerWise = 26


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.08

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Divine Child    ( 6- 7, 84.3)     5- 7      -15.62      13.57       0.62         0.80           -12.06
   0 H Dexter          (10- 6, 84.6)     8- 7      -15.33      13.86      -0.62         0.80            10.64
   0 A Tecumseh        ( 5-11, 79.6)     5- 4      -20.28       8.91       0.62         0.80             7.66
   0 A Saline          (16- 3, 92.7)     3-12       -7.25      21.94       0.62         0.80            -5.33
   0 A Brighton B      ( 4- 1, 83.6)     5- 8      -16.25      12.94       0.62         0.80           -12.57
   0 A Novi            ( 9-10, 87.3)     4-12      -12.64      16.55       0.62         0.80            -9.66
   0 H Northville      (10-10, 86.9)     5-14      -13.02      16.17      -0.62         0.80           -10.97
   0 H Grosse Pointe   ( 8- 7, 82.6)     9-12      -17.35      11.85      -0.62         0.80           -14.45
   0 H Hartland        (20- 6, 93.8)     5-15       -6.14      23.06      -0.62         0.80            -5.43
   0 A Plymouth        ( 5-12, 82.3)     7- 6      -17.64      11.55       0.62         0.80             9.79
   0 A West Bloomfiel  ( 7- 8, 81.1)    13- 6      -18.77      10.42       0.62         0.80             8.88
   0 H Livonia United  ( 5-11, 83.0)     4- 7      -16.92      12.27      -0.62         0.80           -14.11
   0 A White Lake Lak  (11- 7, 92.0)     2-11       -7.89      21.30       0.62         0.80            -5.85
   0 N Mona Shores     (15- 7, 90.6)     3- 9       -9.28      19.91      -0.00         0.80            -7.46
   0 A DeWitt          ( 7-15, 84.8)     8-11      -15.12      14.07       0.62         0.80           -11.66
   0 H Canton          ( 3-13, 81.6)     7- 8      -18.34      10.86      -0.62         0.80           -15.24
   0 A Howell          ( 9-11, 84.2)     3-16      -15.68      13.51       0.62         0.80           -12.11
   0 A Novi            ( 9-10, 87.3)     5-15      -12.64      16.55       0.62         0.80            -9.66
   0 A Cass Tech       ( 2- 8, 75.0)    16- 6      -24.91       4.28       0.62         0.80             3.94
   0 H Plymouth        ( 5-12, 82.3)     7-15      -17.64      11.55      -0.62         0.80           -14.68
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -120.33

winning pts = 40.9194 losing points = -161.2486

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------