Ann Arbor Skyline
W-L: ( 5- 6) PR = 82.6015Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 407 A Holt (15- 6, 89.5) 7-16 409 H Ann Arbor Huron ( 4-10, 80.0) 13- 3 415 A Ann Arbor Pioneer ( 6- 9, 82.3) 10- 9 416 H Plymouth ( 5-12, 82.3) 9-10 421 H Saline (16- 3, 92.7) 5-15 423 A Bedford ( 0- 9, 76.8) 7- 3 428 A Dexter (10- 6, 84.6) 2- 9 430 H Ann Arbor Pioneer ( 6- 9, 82.3) 7- 8 505 H Tecumseh ( 5-11, 79.6) 7- 6 507 H Ann Arbor Huron ( 4-10, 80.0) 16- 3 521 A Mercy (13- 3, 92.3) 7-12
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
407 A Holt 7-16 -9 -7 0.00
409 H Ann Arbor Huron 13- 3 10 3 1.75
415 A Ann Arbor Pioneer 10- 9 1 0 1.27
416 H Plymouth 9-10 -1 1 -1.96
421 H Saline 5-15 -10 -9 0.00
423 A Bedford 7- 3 4 5 -1.00
428 A Dexter 2- 9 -7 -3 - -2.41
430 H Ann Arbor Pioneer 7- 8 -1 1 -1.97
505 H Tecumseh 7- 6 1 4 - -2.61
507 H Ann Arbor Huron 16- 3 13 3 1.75
521 A Mercy 7-12 -5 -10 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 428 A Dexter 2- 9 -7 -3 - -2.41 505 H Tecumseh 7- 6 1 4 - -2.61 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
Ann Arbor Skyline Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ann Arbor Father Gabriel | Ann Arbor Father Gabriel | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | Ann Arbor Father Gabriel | |
| Ann Arbor Huron | Ann Arbor Skyline | Ann Arbor Skyline | ||
| Ann Arbor Pioneer | Ann Arbor Skyline | tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 2) | Ann Arbor Skyline | |
| Avondale | Ann Arbor Skyline | Ann Arbor Skyline | ||
| Battle Creek Harper Cree | Battle Creek Harper Cree | Battle Creek Harper Cree | ||
| Bedford | Ann Arbor Skyline | Ann Arbor Skyline | ||
| Birmingham Unified | Birmingham Unified | Birmingham Unified | ||
| Bloomfield Hills | Bloomfield Hills | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bloomfield Hills | |
| Brighton | Brighton | Brighton | ||
| Brighton B | Brighton B | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Brighton B | |
| Byron Center | Byron Center | Byron Center | ||
| Caledonia | Caledonia | Caledonia | ||
| Canton | Ann Arbor Skyline | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Ann Arbor Skyline | |
| Cass Tech | Ann Arbor Skyline | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Ann Arbor Skyline | |
| Catholic Central | Catholic Central | Catholic Central | ||
| Chippewa Valley | Ann Arbor Skyline | Ann Arbor Skyline | ||
| Clarkston | Clarkston | Clarkston | ||
| Comstock Park | Comstock Park | Comstock Park | ||
| Cranbrook Kingswood | Cranbrook Kingswood | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Cranbrook Kingswood | |
| Davison | Ann Arbor Skyline | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ann Arbor Skyline | |
| Detroit Country Day | Detroit Country Day | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Detroit Country Day | |
| DeWitt | DeWitt | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | DeWitt | |
| Dexter | Dexter | Dexter | ||
| Divine Child | Divine Child | insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 2) | Divine Child | |
| East Grand Rapids | East Grand Rapids | East Grand Rapids | ||
| East Lansing | East Lansing | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | East Lansing | |
| Farmington | Farmington | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Farmington | |
| Fenton-Linden Co-Op | Ann Arbor Skyline | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Ann Arbor Skyline | |
| Flint Powers Catholic | Ann Arbor Skyline | Ann Arbor Skyline | ||
| Flushing | Ann Arbor Skyline | Ann Arbor Skyline | ||
| Forest Hills Central | Forest Hills Central | Forest Hills Central | ||
| Forest Hills Northern/Ea | Forest Hills Northern/Ea | Forest Hills Northern/Ea | ||
| Grand Blanc | Grand Blanc | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Grand Blanc | |
| Grand Haven | Grand Haven | Grand Haven | ||
| Grand Ledge | Grand Ledge | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Grand Ledge | |
| Grand Rapids Christian | Grand Rapids Christian | Grand Rapids Christian | ||
| Grandville | Grandville | Grandville | ||
| Grosse Pointe North | Ann Arbor Skyline | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Ann Arbor Skyline | |
| Grosse Pointe South | Grosse Pointe South | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Grosse Pointe South | |
| Hartland | Hartland | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 1) | Hartland | |
| Haslett | Haslett | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Haslett | |
| Henry Ford II | Ann Arbor Skyline | Ann Arbor Skyline | ||
| Holland West Ottawa | Ann Arbor Skyline | Ann Arbor Skyline | ||
| Holly-Brandon Co-Op | Ann Arbor Skyline | Ann Arbor Skyline | ||
| Holt | Holt | Holt | ||
| Howell | Howell | Howell 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Hudsonville | Hudsonville | Hudsonville | ||
| Jenison | Ann Arbor Skyline | Ann Arbor Skyline | ||
| Kalamazoo Central | Ann Arbor Skyline | Ann Arbor Skyline | ||
| Lake Fenton | Ann Arbor Skyline | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Ann Arbor Skyline | |
| Lake Orion | Lake Orion | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Lake Orion | |
| Lakeview | Ann Arbor Skyline | Ann Arbor Skyline | ||
| Lansing Catholic-Waverly | Lansing Catholic-Waverly | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Lansing Catholic-Waverly | |
| Lapeer | Ann Arbor Skyline | Ann Arbor Skyline | ||
| Livonia United | Livonia United | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Livonia United | |
| Lowell | Lowell | Lowell | ||
| Marian | Marian | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Marian | |
| Mattawan | Mattawan | Mattawan 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Mercy | Mercy | Mercy | ||
| Midland | Ann Arbor Skyline | Ann Arbor Skyline | ||
| Mona Shores | Mona Shores | Mona Shores | ||
| Northview | Northview | Northview | ||
| Northville | Northville | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 1) | Northville | |
| Notre Dame Prep | Notre Dame Prep | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Notre Dame Prep | |
| Novi | Novi | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 1) | Novi | |
| Okemos | Okemos | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Okemos | |
| Oxford | Oxford | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Oxford | |
| Plymouth | Plymouth | Plymouth | ||
| Portage Northern | Portage Northern | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Portage Northern | |
| Reeths-Puffer | Reeths-Puffer | Reeths-Puffer | ||
| Rochester Adams | Rochester Adams | Rochester Adams | ||
| Rochester HS | Ann Arbor Skyline | Ann Arbor Skyline | ||
| Rochester Stoney Creek | Rochester Stoney Creek | Rochester Stoney Creek | ||
| Rockford | Rockford | Rockford | ||
| Royal Oak | Ann Arbor Skyline | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ann Arbor Skyline | |
| Sacred Heart Academy | Sacred Heart Academy | Sacred Heart Academy | ||
| Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | ||
| Salem | Salem | Salem 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Saline | Saline | Saline | ||
| South Lyon United | South Lyon United | South Lyon United 5- 0 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Spring Lake | Spring Lake | Spring Lake | ||
| St Catherine of Siena | Ann Arbor Skyline | Ann Arbor Skyline | ||
| St Johns/Ovid-Elsie | Ann Arbor Skyline | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Ann Arbor Skyline | |
| Swartz Creek | Swartz Creek | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Swartz Creek | |
| Tecumseh | Ann Arbor Skyline | Ann Arbor Skyline | ||
| Traverse City Central | Traverse City Central | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Traverse City Central | |
| Troy | Troy | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Troy | |
| Troy Athens | Troy Athens | Troy Athens | ||
| University Liggett | University Liggett | University Liggett | ||
| Utica Eisenhower | Utica Eisenhower | Utica Eisenhower | ||
| Walled Lake Northern | Ann Arbor Skyline | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Ann Arbor Skyline | |
| Warren Regina | Ann Arbor Skyline | Ann Arbor Skyline | ||
| Waterford United | Ann Arbor Skyline | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Ann Arbor Skyline | |
| West Bloomfield | Ann Arbor Skyline | Ann Arbor Skyline | ||
| White Lake Lakeland | White Lake Lakeland | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | White Lake Lakeland | |
| Zeeland East | Ann Arbor Skyline | Ann Arbor Skyline |
PowerWise = 31
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 16.08
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Holt (15- 6, 89.5) 7-16 -10.43 18.76 0.62 1.46 -14.34
0 H Ann Arbor Huro ( 4-10, 80.0) 13- 3 -19.93 9.26 -0.62 1.46 12.63
0 A Ann Arbor Pion ( 6- 9, 82.3) 10- 9 -17.65 11.54 0.62 1.46 17.78
0 H Plymouth ( 5-12, 82.3) 9-10 -17.64 11.55 -0.62 1.46 -26.69
0 H Saline (16- 3, 92.7) 5-15 -7.25 21.94 -0.62 1.46 -11.50
0 A Bedford ( 0- 9, 76.8) 7- 3 -23.08 6.11 0.62 1.46 9.84
0 A Dexter (10- 6, 84.6) 2- 9 -15.33 13.86 0.62 1.46 -21.51
0 H Ann Arbor Pion ( 6- 9, 82.3) 7- 8 -17.65 11.54 -0.62 1.46 -26.71
0 H Tecumseh ( 5-11, 79.6) 7- 6 -20.28 8.91 -0.62 1.46 12.12
0 H Ann Arbor Huro ( 4-10, 80.0) 16- 3 -19.93 9.26 -0.62 1.46 12.63
0 A Mercy (13- 3, 92.3) 7-12 -7.57 21.62 0.62 1.46 -10.16
------
-45.92
|
winning pts = 65.0057 losing points = -110.9265
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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