List of girl Div 17 Simsbury List of Team Values for Connecticut


      All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.



PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 H Ellington              12- 5       7     5           1.32
   404 A Newington              17- 3      14    15           0.00
   410 A Stonington             14- 3      11    11           0.00
   412 A Daniel Hand            12- 8       4     2           1.83
   416 H Farmington              9-10      -1     4    --    -5.74
   418 H Fairfield Ludlowe       9- 5       4     2           1.71
   422 H Northwest Catholic     16- 6      10    19           0.00
   424 H Southington             9- 7       2     2          -0.91
   426 A Hall                   11- 6       5     7    -     -2.00
   430 A Berlin                 18- 6      12    17           0.00
   504 H Guilford               11- 5       6     6          -0.81
   507 A Conard                  6-16     -10    -1    --    -5.83
   511 H Tolland                16- 5      11    11           0.00
   513 A South Windsor          17- 4      13     7           0.00
   514 H Avon HS                15- 7       8     9           0.00
   518 A Glastonbury            15- 4      11     4    +      2.30
   520 H Hall                   12- 3       9     8           0.00
   522 A Conard                  7- 9      -2    -1          -0.83
   528 H Lyman Hall             19- 9      10    13           0.00
   530 H Pomperaug              16- 7       9     5           1.60
   604 N Amity Regional         16-13       3     0    +      3.92
   608 N Masuk                   7-10      -3    -2          -0.71

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 H Farmington              9-10      -1     4    --    -5.74
   507 A Conard                  6-16     -10    -1    --    -5.83
   426 A Hall                   11- 6       5     7    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   518 A Glastonbury            15- 4      11     4    +      2.30
   604 N Amity Regional         16-13       3     0    +      3.92



 RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Power Rating............. 83.07 Power Rank.................    11
 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 51.36 SOS (PR) Rank..............    18
 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6938 SOS (RPI) Rank.............     7
 RPI Rating............... .6598 RPI Rank...................     4
 Champ. Probability ......   0.0 Championship Rank .........    74
 Selection sum ...........    19 Selection Rank ............     4
 Qual Win (PR) Rating.....   70. Qual Win (PR) Rank.........    10
 Qual Win (RPI) Rating....   90. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........     8
    
 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals .....  12.9 Ave Defensive Goals .......    6.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 18- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.0