---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:42 PDT

safe3step girls Shelton 1
  
Shelton               
W-L: ( 6-10) PR = 76.3482

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 405 A Norwalk ( 3-13, 77.3) 9-10 407 H Amity Regional (15- 6, 89.2) 1-19 409 A Jonathan Law ( 2-14, 72.7) 15- 4 412 H Stratford-Bunnell ( 3-13, 70.9) 16- 2 414 H Hamden ( 6-10, 77.9) 9-12 416 H Lyman Hall (10- 7, 79.3) 11-12 417 A Watertown ( 9- 8, 74.0) 10- 7 421 A West Haven ( 2-14, 72.9) 15- 5 424 H Brien McMahon ( 8- 9, 81.1) 7-14 426 A Westhill ( 6- 9, 78.4) 6-15 428 H Mercy (10- 7, 78.2) 8-11 430 H Watertown ( 9- 8, 74.0) 12- 8 505 A Sheehan ( 8-10, 78.3) 5-13 508 H Trumbull (10- 7, 81.1) 5-14 514 H North Haven ( 6-10, 76.2) 11- 8 519 A Guilford ( 8- 9, 82.9) 1-13

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Norwalk                 9-10      -1    -2           0.65
   407 H Amity Regional          1-19     -18   -12           0.00
   409 A Jonathan Law           15- 4      11     3    +      2.06
   412 H Stratford-Bunnell      16- 2      14     6           0.00
   414 H Hamden                  9-12      -3    -1    -     -2.20
   416 H Lyman Hall             11-12      -1    -2           1.19
   417 A Watertown              10- 7       3     2           1.37
   421 A West Haven             15- 5      10     3    +      2.26
   424 H Brien McMahon           7-14      -7    -4          -0.99
   426 A Westhill                6-15      -9    -3    -     -2.26
   428 H Mercy                   8-11      -3    -1          -1.91
   430 H Watertown              12- 8       4     3           0.92
   505 A Sheehan                 5-13      -8    -3    -     -2.32
   508 H Trumbull                5-14      -9    -4          -0.93
   514 H North Haven            11- 8       3     1    +      2.13
   519 A Guilford                1-13     -12    -7           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 H Hamden                  9-12      -3    -1    -     -2.20
   426 A Westhill                6-15      -9    -3    -     -2.26
   505 A Sheehan                 5-13      -8    -3    -     -2.32

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 A Jonathan Law           15- 4      11     3    +      2.06
   421 A West Haven             15- 5      10     3    +      2.26
   514 H North Haven            11- 8       3     1    +      2.13

Shelton Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Amity Regional Amity Regional Amity Regional  
Avon HS Avon HS tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Avon HS
Bacon/East Hampton Shelton   Shelton
Berlin Berlin tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Berlin
Bethel Bethel tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Bethel
Branford Branford Branford   5- 1 vs 2- 4
Brien McMahon Brien McMahon Brien McMahon  
Bristol Central Shelton   Shelton
Bristol Eastern Bristol Eastern tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Bristol Eastern
Brookfield Brookfield tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Brookfield
Canton Canton tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Canton
Cheshire HS Cheshire HS Cheshire HS   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Conard Conard insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Conard
Cromwell Shelton   Shelton
Danbury Shelton insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3) Shelton
Daniel Hand Daniel Hand Daniel Hand   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Darien Darien Darien   2- 0 vs 0- 2
East Catholic East Catholic tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) East Catholic
East Lyme East Lyme insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 0) East Lyme
Ellington Ellington   Ellington
Enfield Shelton   Shelton
EO Smith EO Smith tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) EO Smith
Fairfield Ludlowe Fairfield Ludlowe Fairfield Ludlowe   5- 0 vs 0- 5
Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde   6- 0 vs 0- 6
Farmington Farmington   Farmington
Fitch Shelton   Shelton
Foran Foran Foran   6- 2 vs 4- 4
Glastonbury Glastonbury   Glastonbury
Granby Memorial Granby Memorial   Granby Memorial
Greenwich HS Greenwich HS Greenwich HS   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Griswold-Norwich Tech Shelton   Shelton
Guilford Guilford Guilford  
Haddam-Killingworth Haddam-Killingworth   Haddam-Killingworth
Hall Hall   Hall
Hamden Hamden Hamden  
Housatonic Regional Shelton insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Shelton
Immaculate Heart Shelton insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Shelton
Joel Barlow Joel Barlow insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Joel Barlow
Jonathan Law Shelton Shelton  
Killingly Shelton   Shelton
Lakeview United Shelton insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Shelton
Lauralton Hall Lauralton Hall Lauralton Hall   4- 2 vs 1- 5
Ledyard Ledyard   Ledyard
Lewis Mills Lewis Mills insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Lewis Mills
Lyman Hall Lyman Hall Lyman Hall  
Masuk Masuk insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Masuk
Mercy Mercy Mercy  
Middletown-Coginchaug Shelton   Shelton
Montville Montville   Montville
Morgan School Shelton   Shelton
New Canaan New Canaan insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) New Canaan
New Fairfield New Fairfield New Fairfield   3- 0 vs 1- 2
New London/St Bernards Shelton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Shelton
New Milford Shelton tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Shelton
Newington Newington tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Newington
Newtown Newtown insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Newtown
North Branford North Branford tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) North Branford
North Haven Shelton Shelton  
Northwest Catholic Northwest Catholic insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Northwest Catholic
Norwalk Norwalk Norwalk  
Norwich Free Academy Norwich Free Academy   Norwich Free Academy
Notre Dame Fairfield Shelton Shelton   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Old Lyme Old Lyme   Old Lyme
Old Saybrook Shelton   Shelton
Pomperaug Pomperaug insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Pomperaug
RHAM RHAM tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) RHAM
Ridgefield Ridgefield Ridgefield   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Rockville Rockville   Rockville
Rocky Hill Rocky Hill   Rocky Hill
Sacred Heart Academy Sacred Heart Academy Sacred Heart Academy   5- 2 vs 2- 5
Sheehan Sheehan Sheehan  
Simsbury Simsbury insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Simsbury
Somers Somers   Somers
South Windsor South Windsor   South Windsor
Southington Southington insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Southington
St Joseph St Joseph St Joseph   2- 3 vs 0- 5
St Paul Catholic Shelton insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Shelton
Stamford Stamford Stamford   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Staples Staples Staples   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Stonington Stonington   Stonington
Stratford-Bunnell Shelton Shelton  
Suffield HS Suffield HS   Suffield HS
Tolland Tolland   Tolland
Trumbull Trumbull Trumbull  
Valley Regional Shelton   Shelton
Waterford Waterford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Waterford
Watertown Shelton Shelton  
West Haven Shelton Shelton  
Westhill Westhill Westhill  
Weston Weston tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Weston
Wethersfield Shelton   Shelton
Wheeler Wheeler   Wheeler
Wilton Wilton Wilton   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Windsor Shelton   Shelton
Wolcott Shelton insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Shelton
Woodstock Academy Shelton   Shelton

PowerWise = 28


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.51

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Norwalk         ( 3-13, 77.3)     9-10      -22.63      12.18       0.73         1.09           -23.96
   0 H Amity Regional  (15- 6, 89.2)     1-19      -10.74      24.07      -0.73         1.09           -12.55
   0 A Jonathan Law    ( 2-14, 72.7)    15- 4      -27.22       7.59       0.73         1.09             9.09
   0 H Stratford-Bunn  ( 3-13, 70.9)    16- 2      -29.05       5.76      -0.73         1.09             5.51
   0 H Hamden          ( 6-10, 77.9)     9-12      -22.02      12.79      -0.73         1.09           -24.89
   0 H Lyman Hall      (10- 7, 79.3)    11-12      -20.64      14.17      -0.73         1.09           -23.37
   0 A Watertown       ( 9- 8, 74.0)    10- 7      -25.90       8.90       0.73         1.09            10.54
   0 A West Haven      ( 2-14, 72.9)    15- 5      -27.02       7.79       0.73         1.09             9.32
   0 H Brien McMahon   ( 8- 9, 81.1)     7-14      -18.81      16.00      -0.73         1.09           -21.38
   0 A Westhill        ( 6- 9, 78.4)     6-15      -21.53      13.28       0.73         1.09           -22.76
   0 H Mercy           (10- 7, 78.2)     8-11      -21.74      13.07      -0.73         1.09           -24.58
   0 H Watertown       ( 9- 8, 74.0)    12- 8      -25.90       8.90      -0.73         1.09             8.95
   0 A Sheehan         ( 8-10, 78.3)     5-13      -21.60      13.21       0.73         1.09           -22.83
   0 H Trumbull        (10- 7, 81.1)     5-14      -18.75      16.06      -0.73         1.09           -21.31
   0 H North Haven     ( 6-10, 76.2)    11- 8      -23.69      11.12      -0.73         1.09            11.37
   0 A Guilford        ( 8- 9, 82.9)     1-13      -17.00      17.81       0.73         1.09           -17.80
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -160.65

winning pts = 54.7784 losing points = -215.4307

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------