---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:46 PDT

safe3step girls Scott County 1
  
Scott County          
W-L: ( 1-10) PR = 75.9725

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 310 H Henry Clay (14- 6, 86.8) 3-20 313 A Sayre School (17- 5, 89.7) 2-18 321 A Bryan Station ( 7-10, 79.6) 3-18 328 H Paul Laurence Dunbar (14- 5, 84.7) 6-19 410 H Great Crossing ( 3-11, 76.3) 13- 6 417 H Bryan Station ( 7-10, 79.6) 3-15 421 A Lafayette ( 6- 9, 80.5) 9-14 428 H Frederick Douglass ( 8- 9, 80.4) 5-20 430 H Lexington Christian (12- 3, 81.4) 8-12 507 A Collins (12- 7, 82.9) 4-15 508 N Bryan Station ( 7-10, 79.6) 5-15

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   310 H Henry Clay              3-20     -17   -10           0.00
   313 A Sayre School            2-18     -16   -15           0.00
   321 A Bryan Station           3-18     -15    -4          -0.54
   328 H Paul Laurence Dunbar    6-19     -13    -8           0.00
   410 H Great Crossing         13- 6       7     0    ++     4.55
   417 H Bryan Station           3-15     -12    -3    -     -2.19
   421 A Lafayette               9-14      -5    -5           0.00
   428 H Frederick Douglass      5-20     -15    -4          -1.40
   430 H Lexington Christian     8-12      -4    -5           0.58
   507 A Collins                 4-15     -11    -8           0.00
   508 N Bryan Station           5-15     -10    -4          -1.36

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 H Bryan Station           3-15     -12    -3    -     -2.19

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 H Great Crossing         13- 6       7     0    ++     4.55

Scott County Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Anderson County Anderson County   Anderson County
Assumption Assumption   Assumption
Atherton Atherton insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Atherton
Ballard Ballard insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Ballard
Bowling Green Bowling Green   Bowling Green
Bryan Station Bryan Station Bryan Station  
Central Hardin Central Hardin tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Central Hardin
Christian Academy Christian Academy insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Christian Academy
Collins Collins Collins  
Cooper Cooper tied - ( 0- 4) ( 0- 4) Cooper
Dixie Heights Scott County tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Scott County
DuPont Manual DuPont Manual tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) DuPont Manual
Eastern Eastern Eastern   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Fern Creek Fern Creek   Fern Creek
Frederick Douglass Frederick Douglass Frederick Douglass  
Great Crossing Scott County Scott County  
Greenwood Scott County   Scott County
Henry Clay Henry Clay Henry Clay  
Kentucky Country Day Kentucky Country Day insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Kentucky Country Day
Lafayette Lafayette Lafayette  
Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic   4- 4 vs 1- 7
Lexington Christian Lexington Christian Lexington Christian  
Louisville Collegiate Louisville Collegiate Louisville Collegiate   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Male Male   Male
Mercy Academy Mercy Academy insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Mercy Academy
North Oldham North Oldham tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) North Oldham
Notre Dame Academy Notre Dame Academy Notre Dame Academy   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Oldham County Oldham County insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Oldham County
Owensboro Scott County   Scott County
Paul Laurence Dunbar Paul Laurence Dunbar Paul Laurence Dunbar  
Presentation Academy Presentation Academy   Presentation Academy
Ryle Ryle tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) Ryle
Sacred Heart Academy Sacred Heart Academy insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Sacred Heart Academy
Sayre School Sayre School Sayre School  
Shelby County Shelby County tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Shelby County
South Oldham South Oldham insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) South Oldham
South Warren South Warren insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) South Warren
St Henry St Henry   St Henry
Tates Creek Scott County tied - ( 1- 7) ( 1- 7) Scott County
Woodford County Woodford County Woodford County   3- 5 vs 1- 7

PowerWise = 5


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 13.61

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Henry Clay      (14- 6, 86.8)     3-20      -13.07      15.23      -0.82         1.24           -17.19
   0 A Sayre School    (17- 5, 89.7)     2-18      -10.19      18.11       0.82         1.24           -11.59
   0 A Bryan Station   ( 7-10, 79.6)     3-18      -20.29       8.01       0.82         1.24           -24.09
   0 H Paul Laurence   (14- 5, 84.7)     6-19      -15.19      13.10      -0.82         1.24           -19.81
   0 H Great Crossing  ( 3-11, 76.3)    13- 6      -23.56       4.74      -0.82         1.24             4.84
   0 H Bryan Station   ( 7-10, 79.6)     3-15      -20.29       8.01      -0.82         1.24           -26.12
   0 A Lafayette       ( 6- 9, 80.5)     9-14      -19.42       8.87       0.82         1.24           -23.01
   0 H Frederick Doug  ( 8- 9, 80.4)     5-20      -19.50       8.79      -0.82         1.24           -25.15
   0 H Lexington Chri  (12- 3, 81.4)     8-12      -18.52       9.77      -0.82         1.24           -23.93
   0 A Collins         (12- 7, 82.9)     4-15      -17.04      11.26       0.82         1.24           -20.06
   0 N Bryan Station   ( 7-10, 79.6)     5-15      -20.29       8.01      -0.00         1.24           -25.10
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -211.21

winning pts = 4.8450 losing points = -216.0517

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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