South Burlington
W-L: (12- 6) PR = 96.9038Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 410 A Rice Memorial (14- 5, 96.1) 7- 6 412 H Champlain Valley Union (15- 2, 98.9) 5- 4 415 H Mt Mansfield Union ( 4-12, 93.5) 8- 9 417 H Burlington ( 9- 7, 94.2) 12- 9 428 H Essex (12- 6, 97.3) 8- 5 430 H Middlebury Union (11- 4, 96.5) 8- 7 506 H Rutland ( 3-13, 91.2) 12- 6 510 A Bellows Free Academy - ( 2-11, 91.8) 16- 4 513 A Champlain Valley Union (15- 2, 98.9) 6-12 515 A Essex (12- 6, 97.3) 6-14 516 A Mt Mansfield Union ( 4-12, 93.5) 14- 9 520 H Woodstock Union (10- 8, 95.2) 18-11 523 A Middlebury Union (11- 4, 96.5) 10-11 527 H Bellows Free Academy - ( 2-11, 91.8) 14- 5 530 A Burr & Burton Academy (12- 5, 98.5) 7-12 603 H Mt Mansfield Union ( 4-12, 93.5) 12- 7 605 A Mt Anthony Union (10- 2, 99.9) 11-10 611 N Burr & Burton Academy (12- 5, 98.5) 9-12
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
410 A Rice Memorial 7- 6 1 0 0.67
412 H Champlain Valley Union 5- 4 1 -1 + 2.48
415 H Mt Mansfield Union 8- 9 -1 4 -- -4.92
417 H Burlington 12- 9 3 3 -0.16
428 H Essex 8- 5 3 0 + 2.91
430 H Middlebury Union 8- 7 1 1 0.15
506 H Rutland 12- 6 6 6 0.00
510 A Bellows Free Academy - 16- 4 12 5 0.38
513 A Champlain Valley Union 6-12 -6 -2 - -2.57
515 A Essex 6-14 -8 -1 -- -4.13
516 A Mt Mansfield Union 14- 9 5 3 + 2.03
520 H Woodstock Union 18-11 7 2 + 2.81
523 A Middlebury Union 10-11 -1 0 -0.89
527 H Bellows Free Academy - 14- 5 9 6 0.00
530 A Burr & Burton Academy 7-12 -5 -2 - -2.91
603 H Mt Mansfield Union 12- 7 5 4 1.08
605 A Mt Anthony Union 11-10 1 -3 ++ 4.47
611 N Burr & Burton Academy 9-12 -3 -2 -1.39
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 415 H Mt Mansfield Union 8- 9 -1 4 -- -4.92 515 A Essex 6-14 -8 -1 -- -4.13 513 A Champlain Valley Union 6-12 -6 -2 - -2.57 530 A Burr & Burton Academy 7-12 -5 -2 - -2.91 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 605 A Mt Anthony Union 11-10 1 -3 ++ 4.47 412 H Champlain Valley Union 5- 4 1 -1 + 2.48 428 H Essex 8- 5 3 0 + 2.91 516 A Mt Mansfield Union 14- 9 5 3 + 2.03 520 H Woodstock Union 18-11 7 2 + 2.81 |
South Burlington Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bellows Free Academy - S | South Burlington | South Burlington | ||
| Brattleboro Union | South Burlington | South Burlington 4- 1 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Burlington | South Burlington | South Burlington | ||
| Burr & Burton Academy | Burr & Burton Academy | Burr & Burton Academy | ||
| Champlain Valley Union | Champlain Valley Union | tied - ( 8- 4) ( 8- 1) | Champlain Valley Union | |
| Colchester | South Burlington | South Burlington 4- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Essex | Essex | insuffient: ( 6- 4)( 5- 2) | Essex | |
| Green Mountain Valley | Green Mountain Valley | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Green Mountain Valley | |
| Hartford | Hartford | tied - ( 4- 1) ( 4- 0) | Hartford | |
| Harwood Union | South Burlington | South Burlington 4- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Lamoille Union | South Burlington | South Burlington 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Lyndon Institute | South Burlington | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | South Burlington | |
| Middlebury Union | South Burlington | insuffient: ( 6- 3)( 4- 2) | South Burlington | |
| Milton | South Burlington | South Burlington 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Mt Anthony Union | South Burlington | South Burlington | ||
| Mt Mansfield Union | South Burlington | South Burlington | ||
| Rice Memorial | South Burlington | South Burlington | ||
| Rutland | South Burlington | South Burlington | ||
| Spaulding | South Burlington | South Burlington 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| St Johnsbury Academy | South Burlington | South Burlington 5- 2 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Stowe | South Burlington | South Burlington 3- 1 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Stratton Mountain School | South Burlington | South Burlington 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| U-32 | South Burlington | South Burlington 4- 1 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Vergennes/Mt Abraham | South Burlington | South Burlington 5- 2 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Woodstock Union | South Burlington | South Burlington |
PowerWise = 20
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 15.54
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Rice Memorial (14- 5, 96.1) 7- 6 -3.80 13.60 0.48 0.86 12.15
0 H Champlain Vall (15- 2, 98.9) 5- 4 -1.04 16.36 -0.48 0.86 13.71
0 H Mt Mansfield U ( 4-12, 93.5) 8- 9 -6.44 10.96 -0.48 0.86 -5.97
0 H Burlington ( 9- 7, 94.2) 12- 9 -5.68 11.72 -0.48 0.86 9.71
0 H Essex (12- 6, 97.3) 8- 5 -2.60 14.80 -0.48 0.86 12.36
0 H Middlebury Uni (11- 4, 96.5) 8- 7 -3.36 14.04 -0.48 0.86 11.71
0 H Rutland ( 3-13, 91.2) 12- 6 -8.71 8.69 -0.48 0.86 7.09
0 A Bellows Free A ( 2-11, 91.8) 16- 4 -8.10 9.30 0.48 0.86 8.44
0 A Champlain Vall (15- 2, 98.9) 6-12 -1.04 16.36 0.48 0.86 -0.49
0 A Essex (12- 6, 97.3) 6-14 -2.60 14.80 0.48 0.86 -1.84
0 A Mt Mansfield U ( 4-12, 93.5) 14- 9 -6.44 10.96 0.48 0.86 9.87
0 H Woodstock Unio (10- 8, 95.2) 18-11 -4.71 12.69 -0.48 0.86 10.54
0 A Middlebury Uni (11- 4, 96.5) 10-11 -3.36 14.04 0.48 0.86 -2.49
0 H Bellows Free A ( 2-11, 91.8) 14- 5 -8.10 9.30 -0.48 0.86 7.62
0 A Burr & Burton (12- 5, 98.5) 7-12 -1.38 16.02 0.48 0.86 -0.78
0 H Mt Mansfield U ( 4-12, 93.5) 12- 7 -6.44 10.96 -0.48 0.86 9.05
0 A Mt Anthony Uni (10- 2, 99.9) 11-10 -0.00 17.40 0.48 0.86 15.43
0 N Burr & Burton (12- 5, 98.5) 9-12 -1.38 16.02 -0.00 0.86 -1.20
------
114.92
|
winning pts = 127.6906 losing points = -12.7668
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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