---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:49 PDT

safe3step girls Saugus 1
  
Saugus                
W-L: ( 4-15) PR = 76.5846

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 328 A Winthrop ( 8-12, 77.7) 7- 8 401 H Northeast RVT ( 7-12, 74.6) 18- 6 403 A Boston Latin Academy ( 3-11, 78.9) 2- 9 404 H Swampscott (14- 5, 89.6) 4-17 408 H Gloucester ( 1-15, 75.1) 11-10 410 H Winthrop ( 8-12, 77.7) 9-10 411 H Masconomet ( 9-13, 87.1) 1- 7 414 A Salem ( 6-12, 79.0) 6- 7 429 H Beverly (13- 7, 90.0) 2-20 501 A Gloucester ( 1-15, 75.1) 5- 8 506 H Salem ( 6-12, 79.0) 7- 8 508 A Danvers ( 4-14, 80.7) 6-12 509 H Malden ( 5-12, 73.5) 16- 6 512 H Medford (19- 3, 80.6) 3-20 514 A Swampscott (14- 5, 89.6) 1-18 516 A Malden ( 5-12, 73.5) 16- 6 520 H Peabody Veterans Memor (13- 6, 91.6) 1-14 523 A Medford (19- 3, 80.6) 8-20 526 H Marblehead (12- 7, 88.3) 1-15

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 A Winthrop                7- 8      -1    -2           0.69
   401 H Northeast RVT          18- 6      12     3    +      2.43
   403 A Boston Latin Academy    2- 9      -7    -3    -     -2.13
   404 H Swampscott              4-17     -13   -12           0.00
   408 H Gloucester             11-10       1     2          -1.06
   410 H Winthrop                9-10      -1    -1          -0.47
   411 H Masconomet              1- 7      -6   -10           0.00
   414 A Salem                   6- 7      -1    -3    +      2.01
   429 H Beverly                 2-20     -18   -13           0.00
   501 A Gloucester              5- 8      -3     1    -     -3.91
   506 H Salem                   7- 8      -1    -2           0.85
   508 A Danvers                 6-12      -6    -5          -0.27
   509 H Malden                 16- 6      10     4           1.37
   512 H Medford                 3-20     -17    -3          -1.60
   514 A Swampscott              1-18     -17   -14           0.00
   516 A Malden                 16- 6      10     2    +      2.52
   520 H Peabody Veterans Memor  1-14     -13   -14           0.00
   523 A Medford                 8-20     -12    -5          -0.44
   526 H Marblehead              1-15     -14   -11           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A Boston Latin Academy    2- 9      -7    -3    -     -2.13
   501 A Gloucester              5- 8      -3     1    -     -3.91

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Northeast RVT          18- 6      12     3    +      2.43
   414 A Salem                   6- 7      -1    -3    +      2.01
   516 A Malden                 16- 6      10     2    +      2.52

Saugus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Abington Saugus   Saugus
Acton-Boxborough Acton-Boxborough   Acton-Boxborough
Agawam Agawam   Agawam
Algonquin Algonquin tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Algonquin
Amherst-Pelham Amherst-Pelham   Amherst-Pelham
AMSA Charter AMSA Charter   AMSA Charter
Andover HS Andover HS   Andover HS
Apponequet Apponequet   Apponequet
Archbishop Williams Archbishop Williams insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Archbishop Williams
Arlington Catholic Arlington Catholic tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Arlington Catholic
Arlington HS Arlington HS insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 0) Arlington HS
Ashland Ashland   Ashland
Assabet Valley RVT Saugus   Saugus
Attleboro Attleboro   Attleboro
Auburn Auburn   Auburn
Barnstable Barnstable   Barnstable
Bay Path RVT Bay Path RVT   Bay Path RVT
Bedford HS Bedford HS   Bedford HS
Belchertown Belchertown   Belchertown
Bellingham Bellingham   Bellingham
Belmont Belmont   Belmont
Beverly Beverly Beverly  
Billerica Memorial Billerica Memorial insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Billerica Memorial
Bishop Feehan Bishop Feehan insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Bishop Feehan
Bishop Fenwick Bishop Fenwick Bishop Fenwick   4- 1 vs 2- 4
Bishop Stang Bishop Stang   Bishop Stang
Blackstone Valley Tech Saugus   Saugus
Boston Latin Academy Boston Latin Academy Boston Latin Academy  
Boston Latin School Boston Latin School Boston Latin School   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Bourne Bourne   Bourne
Braintree Braintree   Braintree
Bridgewater-Raynham Bridgewater-Raynham   Bridgewater-Raynham
Bristol County Agricultu Saugus   Saugus
Bristol-Plymouth RVT Bristol-Plymouth RVT   Bristol-Plymouth RVT
Bromfield Bromfield   Bromfield
Brookline Brookline   Brookline
Burlington Burlington   Burlington
Cambridge Rindge/Latin Cambridge Rindge/Latin insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) Cambridge Rindge/Latin
Canton Canton   Canton
Cape Cod Academy Cape Cod Academy   Cape Cod Academy
Cape Cod Tech Saugus   Saugus
Cardinal Spellman Saugus   Saugus
Central Catholic Central Catholic insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Central Catholic
Chelmsford Chelmsford insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Chelmsford
Chicopee Comp Chicopee Comp   Chicopee Comp
Chicopee HS Chicopee HS   Chicopee HS
Cohasset Cohasset   Cohasset
Concord-Carlisle Concord-Carlisle   Concord-Carlisle
Danvers Danvers Danvers  
Dartmouth Dartmouth   Dartmouth
Dedham Dedham   Dedham
Dennis-Yarmouth Dennis-Yarmouth   Dennis-Yarmouth
Dighton-Rehoboth Dighton-Rehoboth   Dighton-Rehoboth
Doherty Memorial Doherty Memorial   Doherty Memorial
Dover-Sherborn Dover-Sherborn   Dover-Sherborn
Dracut Dracut   Dracut
Duxbury Duxbury   Duxbury
East Bridgewater Saugus   Saugus
East Longmeadow East Longmeadow   East Longmeadow
Essex North Shore Tech Essex North Shore Tech Essex North Shore Tech   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Everett Saugus tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Saugus
Fairhaven Fairhaven   Fairhaven
Falmouth Academy Falmouth Academy   Falmouth Academy
Falmouth HS Falmouth HS   Falmouth HS
Fontbonne Academy Saugus   Saugus
Foxborough Foxborough   Foxborough
Framingham Framingham insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Framingham
Franklin Franklin   Franklin
Georgetown Georgetown   Georgetown
Gloucester Saugus tied - ( 0- 8) ( 0- 8) Saugus
Grafton Grafton insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Grafton
Granby Granby   Granby
Greater Lowell Tech Greater Lowell Tech tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Greater Lowell Tech
Greater New Bedford RVT Saugus   Saugus
Groton-Dunstable Groton-Dunstable   Groton-Dunstable
Hamilton-Wenham Hamilton-Wenham Hamilton-Wenham   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Hampshire Regional Hampshire Regional   Hampshire Regional
Hanover Hanover   Hanover
Haverhill Haverhill   Haverhill
Hingham Hingham   Hingham
Holliston Holliston   Holliston
Hoosac Valley Hoosac Valley   Hoosac Valley
Hopedale Hopedale   Hopedale
Hopkinton Hopkinton   Hopkinton
Hudson/Clinton Hudson/Clinton   Hudson/Clinton
Hull Hull tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hull
Ipswich Ipswich insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Ipswich
King Philip Regional King Philip Regional   King Philip Regional
Lee/Lenox/Monument Mtn Saugus   Saugus
Leominster Leominster   Leominster
Lexington HS Lexington HS insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Lexington HS
Lincoln-Sudbury Lincoln-Sudbury   Lincoln-Sudbury
Littleton Littleton   Littleton
Longmeadow Longmeadow   Longmeadow
Lowell Lowell tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Lowell
Lowell Catholic Saugus tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Saugus
Lunenburg Lunenburg   Lunenburg
Lynnfield Lynnfield Lynnfield   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Malden Saugus Saugus  
Malden Catholic Malden Catholic insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Malden Catholic
Manchester-Essex Manchester-Essex Manchester-Essex   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Mansfield Mansfield   Mansfield
Marblehead Marblehead Marblehead  
Marlborough Saugus   Saugus
Marshfield Marshfield   Marshfield
Marthas Vineyard Marthas Vineyard insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Marthas Vineyard
Masconomet Masconomet Masconomet  
Mashpee Mashpee   Mashpee
McCann Tech Saugus   Saugus
Medfield Medfield   Medfield
Medford Medford Medford  
Medway Medway   Medway
Melrose Melrose Melrose   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Methuen Methuen Methuen   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Middleboro Middleboro   Middleboro
Milford Milford   Milford
Milton HS Milton HS   Milton HS
Minnechaug Regional Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Monomoy Monomoy   Monomoy
Monson Saugus   Saugus
Montachusett RVT Saugus   Saugus
Mount Greylock Regional Mount Greylock Regional   Mount Greylock Regional
Mystic Valley Charter Saugus insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Saugus
Nantucket Nantucket   Nantucket
Nashoba Regional Nashoba Regional   Nashoba Regional
Nashoba Valley Tech Saugus tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Saugus
Natick Natick   Natick
Nauset Regional Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Needham Needham   Needham
New Bedford New Bedford   New Bedford
Newburyport Newburyport   Newburyport
Newton North Newton North   Newton North
Newton South Newton South   Newton South
Nipmuc Regional Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
North Andover North Andover North Andover   3- 0 vs 0- 3
North Attleborough North Attleborough   North Attleborough
North Middlesex North Middlesex   North Middlesex
North Quincy North Quincy insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) North Quincy
North Reading North Reading insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) North Reading
Northampton Northampton   Northampton
Northbridge Northbridge   Northbridge
Northeast RVT Saugus Saugus  
Norton Norton   Norton
Norwell Norwell   Norwell
Norwood Norwood   Norwood
Notre Dame Hingham Notre Dame Hingham   Notre Dame Hingham
Notre Dame Worcester Notre Dame Worcester   Notre Dame Worcester
Oakmont Regional Oakmont Regional   Oakmont Regional
Old Colony RVT Old Colony RVT   Old Colony RVT
Old Rochester Regional Old Rochester Regional   Old Rochester Regional
Oliver Ames Oliver Ames   Oliver Ames
Peabody Veterans Memoria Peabody Veterans Memoria Peabody Veterans Memoria  
Pembroke Pembroke   Pembroke
Pentucket Regional Pentucket Regional tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Pentucket Regional
Pittsfield/Taconic Saugus   Saugus
Plymouth North Plymouth North   Plymouth North
Plymouth South Plymouth South   Plymouth South
Pope Francis Pope Francis   Pope Francis
Quincy Quincy insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Quincy
Reading Memorial Reading Memorial insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Reading Memorial
Revere Saugus Saugus   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Rockland Rockland   Rockland
Salem Salem Salem  
Sandwich Sandwich   Sandwich
Scituate Scituate   Scituate
Seekonk Seekonk   Seekonk
Sharon Sharon   Sharon
Shawsheen Valley Tech Shawsheen Valley Tech tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Shawsheen Valley Tech
Shepherd Hill Shepherd Hill   Shepherd Hill
Shrewsbury Shrewsbury insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Shrewsbury
Silver Lake Silver Lake   Silver Lake
Smith VoTech Saugus   Saugus
Somerset Berkley Saugus   Saugus
Somerville Somerville insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 3) Somerville
South Hadley South Hadley   South Hadley
South Shore RVT Saugus   Saugus
Southeastern RVT Saugus   Saugus
Springfield Central Saugus   Saugus
St Bernards St Bernards   St Bernards
St John Paul II St John Paul II   St John Paul II
St Marys Lynn St Marys Lynn   St Marys Lynn
Stoneham Stoneham insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Stoneham
Stoughton Saugus   Saugus
Sturgis Charter East Saugus   Saugus
Sturgis Charter West Saugus   Saugus
Swampscott Swampscott Swampscott  
Tahanto Regional Tahanto Regional   Tahanto Regional
Tantasqua Tantasqua   Tantasqua
Taunton Taunton   Taunton
Tewksbury Memorial Tewksbury Memorial insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Tewksbury Memorial
Tri-County RVT Saugus   Saugus
Triton Regional Triton Regional   Triton Regional
Tyngsborough Tyngsborough   Tyngsborough
Upper Cape Cod RVT Saugus   Saugus
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy   Ursuline Academy
Wachusett Wachusett   Wachusett
Wahconah Regional Wahconah Regional   Wahconah Regional
Wakefield Memorial Wakefield Memorial tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Wakefield Memorial
Walpole Walpole   Walpole
Waltham Waltham   Waltham
Watertown Watertown   Watertown
Wayland Wayland   Wayland
Wellesley Wellesley   Wellesley
West Springfield West Springfield   West Springfield
Westborough Westborough   Westborough
Westfield Westfield   Westfield
Westford Academy Westford Academy   Westford Academy
Weston Weston   Weston
Westwood Westwood   Westwood
Weymouth Weymouth   Weymouth
Whitman-Hanson Regional Whitman-Hanson Regional   Whitman-Hanson Regional
Whittier RVT Saugus insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Saugus
Wilmington Wilmington   Wilmington
Winchester Winchester   Winchester
Winthrop Winthrop Winthrop  
Woburn Memorial Woburn Memorial insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Woburn Memorial

PowerWise = 34


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 18.83

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Winthrop        ( 8-12, 77.7)     7- 8      -22.21      11.09       0.58         0.99           -21.43
   0 H Northeast RVT   ( 7-12, 74.6)    18- 6      -25.31       7.99      -0.58         0.99             7.35
   0 A Boston Latin A  ( 3-11, 78.9)     2- 9      -21.02      12.28       0.58         0.99           -20.26
   0 H Swampscott      (14- 5, 89.6)     4-17      -10.29      23.01      -0.58         0.99           -10.76
   0 H Gloucester      ( 1-15, 75.1)    11-10      -24.80       8.50      -0.58         0.99             7.85
   0 H Winthrop        ( 8-12, 77.7)     9-10      -22.21      11.09      -0.58         0.99           -22.58
   0 H Masconomet      ( 9-13, 87.1)     1- 7      -12.81      20.49      -0.58         0.99           -13.26
   0 A Salem           ( 6-12, 79.0)     6- 7      -20.89      12.41       0.58         0.99           -20.13
   0 H Beverly         (13- 7, 90.0)     2-20       -9.90      23.40      -0.58         0.99           -10.38
   0 A Gloucester      ( 1-15, 75.1)     5- 8      -24.80       8.50       0.58         0.99           -24.01
   0 H Salem           ( 6-12, 79.0)     7- 8      -20.89      12.41      -0.58         0.99           -21.27
   0 A Danvers         ( 4-14, 80.7)     6-12      -19.17      14.13       0.58         0.99           -18.42
   0 H Malden          ( 5-12, 73.5)    16- 6      -26.37       6.93      -0.58         0.99             6.30
   0 H Medford         (19- 3, 80.6)     3-20      -19.33      13.96      -0.58         0.99           -19.73
   0 A Swampscott      (14- 5, 89.6)     1-18      -10.29      23.01       0.58         0.99            -9.62
   0 A Malden          ( 5-12, 73.5)    16- 6      -26.37       6.93       0.58         0.99             7.44
   0 H Peabody Vetera  (13- 6, 91.6)     1-14       -8.28      25.02      -0.58         0.99            -8.78
   0 A Medford         (19- 3, 80.6)     8-20      -19.33      13.96       0.58         0.99           -18.59
   0 H Marblehead      (12- 7, 88.3)     1-15      -11.61      21.69      -0.58         0.99           -12.08
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -222.37

winning pts = 28.9377 losing points = -251.3121

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------