St Joseph
W-L: ( 9- 9) PR = 82.3050Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 405 H Sacred Heart Academy (10-10, 80.3) 14- 7 408 H New Canaan (10- 4, 96.5) 3-16 410 A Brien McMahon ( 8- 9, 81.1) 8-12 412 H Fairfield Ludlowe (11- 8, 87.4) 4-16 417 A Norwalk ( 3-13, 77.3) 14- 6 419 A Fairfield Warde (13- 6, 85.0) 6-11 422 H Stamford ( 7- 9, 81.9) 15- 4 423 A Guilford ( 8- 9, 82.9) 9-11 429 A Staples (11- 8, 89.6) 8-16 501 H Wolcott ( 7-11, 71.3) 19- 4 503 A Weston (12- 8, 83.7) 4- 8 510 H Trumbull (10- 7, 81.1) 5- 6 515 H Westhill ( 6- 9, 78.4) 14- 8 517 A Danbury ( 4-12, 75.7) 13- 3 520 H Branford (14- 8, 85.6) 12-11 527 H Pomperaug ( 5-12, 80.5) 12- 6 603 H Tolland (14- 4, 81.2) 12-11 606 A Daniel Hand (13- 9, 86.3) 4-11
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
405 H Sacred Heart Academy 14- 7 7 3 + 2.25
408 H New Canaan 3-16 -13 -13 0.00
410 A Brien McMahon 8-12 -4 0 -- -4.49
412 H Fairfield Ludlowe 4-16 -12 -4 -0.60
417 A Norwalk 14- 6 8 4 0.70
419 A Fairfield Warde 6-11 -5 -3 -1.54
422 H Stamford 15- 4 11 1 + 3.86
423 A Guilford 9-11 -2 -1 -0.68
429 A Staples 8-16 -8 -8 0.00
501 H Wolcott 19- 4 15 12 0.00
503 A Weston 4- 8 -4 -2 -1.92
510 H Trumbull 5- 6 -1 2 - -2.88
515 H Westhill 14- 8 6 5 0.34
517 A Danbury 13- 3 10 6 0.00
520 H Branford 12-11 1 -3 + 3.61
527 H Pomperaug 12- 6 6 3 + 2.49
603 H Tolland 12-11 1 2 -0.84
606 A Daniel Hand 4-11 -7 -5 -0.27
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 410 A Brien McMahon 8-12 -4 0 -- -4.49 510 H Trumbull 5- 6 -1 2 - -2.88 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 405 H Sacred Heart Academy 14- 7 7 3 + 2.25 422 H Stamford 15- 4 11 1 + 3.86 520 H Branford 12-11 1 -3 + 3.61 527 H Pomperaug 12- 6 6 3 + 2.49 |
St Joseph Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amity Regional | Amity Regional | Amity Regional 5- 1 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Avon HS | St Joseph | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | St Joseph | |
| Bacon/East Hampton | St Joseph | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | St Joseph | |
| Berlin | St Joseph | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | St Joseph | |
| Bethel | St Joseph | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | St Joseph | |
| Branford | St Joseph | St Joseph | ||
| Brien McMahon | Brien McMahon | Brien McMahon | ||
| Bristol Central | St Joseph | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | St Joseph | |
| Bristol Eastern | St Joseph | St Joseph | ||
| Brookfield | Brookfield | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Brookfield | |
| Canton | St Joseph | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | St Joseph | |
| Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS 6- 0 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Conard | Conard | Conard 4- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Cromwell | St Joseph | St Joseph | ||
| Danbury | St Joseph | St Joseph | ||
| Daniel Hand | Daniel Hand | Daniel Hand | ||
| Darien | Darien | Darien 6- 0 vs 1- 5 | ||
| East Catholic | St Joseph | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | St Joseph | |
| East Lyme | East Lyme | East Lyme 4- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Ellington | St Joseph | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | St Joseph | |
| Enfield | St Joseph | St Joseph | ||
| EO Smith | St Joseph | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | St Joseph | |
| Fairfield Ludlowe | Fairfield Ludlowe | Fairfield Ludlowe | ||
| Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | ||
| Farmington | Farmington | Farmington | ||
| Fitch | St Joseph | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | St Joseph | |
| Foran | St Joseph | St Joseph 3- 3 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Glastonbury | St Joseph | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | St Joseph | |
| Granby Memorial | St Joseph | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | St Joseph | |
| Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS 5- 2 vs 2- 5 | ||
| Griswold-Norwich Tech | St Joseph | St Joseph | ||
| Guilford | Guilford | Guilford | ||
| Haddam-Killingworth | St Joseph | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | St Joseph | |
| Hall | Hall | Hall | ||
| Hamden | St Joseph | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) | St Joseph | |
| Housatonic Regional | St Joseph | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | St Joseph | |
| Immaculate Heart | St Joseph | St Joseph 4- 1 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Joel Barlow | Joel Barlow | insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 3) | Joel Barlow | |
| Jonathan Law | St Joseph | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | St Joseph | |
| Killingly | St Joseph | St Joseph | ||
| Lakeview United | St Joseph | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | St Joseph | |
| Lauralton Hall | Lauralton Hall | tied - ( 4- 3) ( 4- 3) | Lauralton Hall | |
| Ledyard | St Joseph | St Joseph | ||
| Lewis Mills | St Joseph | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | St Joseph | |
| Lyman Hall | St Joseph | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | St Joseph | |
| Masuk | Masuk | Masuk 4- 1 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Mercy | St Joseph | St Joseph 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Middletown-Coginchaug | St Joseph | St Joseph | ||
| Montville | St Joseph | St Joseph | ||
| Morgan School | St Joseph | St Joseph | ||
| New Canaan | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| New Fairfield | New Fairfield | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 0) | New Fairfield | |
| New London/St Bernards | St Joseph | St Joseph | ||
| New Milford | St Joseph | St Joseph 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Newington | St Joseph | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | St Joseph | |
| Newtown | Newtown | Newtown 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| North Branford | St Joseph | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | St Joseph | |
| North Haven | St Joseph | St Joseph 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Northwest Catholic | St Joseph | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) | St Joseph | |
| Norwalk | St Joseph | St Joseph | ||
| Norwich Free Academy | St Joseph | St Joseph | ||
| Notre Dame Fairfield | St Joseph | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | St Joseph | |
| Old Lyme | St Joseph | St Joseph | ||
| Old Saybrook | St Joseph | St Joseph | ||
| Pomperaug | St Joseph | St Joseph | ||
| RHAM | St Joseph | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | St Joseph | |
| Ridgefield | Ridgefield | Ridgefield 5- 1 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Rockville | St Joseph | St Joseph | ||
| Rocky Hill | St Joseph | St Joseph | ||
| Sacred Heart Academy | St Joseph | St Joseph | ||
| Sheehan | St Joseph | St Joseph 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Shelton | St Joseph | St Joseph 2- 3 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Simsbury | Simsbury | Simsbury 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Somers | St Joseph | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | St Joseph | |
| South Windsor | St Joseph | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | St Joseph | |
| Southington | St Joseph | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | St Joseph | |
| St Paul Catholic | St Joseph | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | St Joseph | |
| Stamford | St Joseph | St Joseph | ||
| Staples | Staples | Staples | ||
| Stonington | St Joseph | St Joseph | ||
| Stratford-Bunnell | St Joseph | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | St Joseph | |
| Suffield HS | Suffield HS | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Suffield HS | |
| Tolland | St Joseph | St Joseph | ||
| Trumbull | Trumbull | Trumbull | ||
| Valley Regional | St Joseph | St Joseph | ||
| Waterford | St Joseph | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | St Joseph | |
| Watertown | St Joseph | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | St Joseph | |
| West Haven | St Joseph | St Joseph 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Westhill | St Joseph | St Joseph | ||
| Weston | Weston | Weston | ||
| Wethersfield | St Joseph | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | St Joseph | |
| Wheeler | St Joseph | St Joseph | ||
| Wilton | Wilton | Wilton 5- 0 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Windsor | St Joseph | St Joseph 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Wolcott | St Joseph | St Joseph | ||
| Woodstock Academy | St Joseph | St Joseph |
PowerWise = 69
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.51
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Sacred Heart A (10-10, 80.3) 14- 7 -19.62 15.19 -0.73 0.97 14.07
0 H New Canaan (10- 4, 96.5) 3-16 -3.42 31.39 -0.73 0.97 -4.03
0 A Brien McMahon ( 8- 9, 81.1) 8-12 -18.81 16.00 0.73 0.97 -17.59
0 H Fairfield Ludl (11- 8, 87.4) 4-16 -12.47 22.34 -0.73 0.97 -12.84
0 A Norwalk ( 3-13, 77.3) 14- 6 -22.63 12.18 0.73 0.97 12.55
0 A Fairfield Ward (13- 6, 85.0) 6-11 -14.87 19.94 0.73 0.97 -13.75
0 H Stamford ( 7- 9, 81.9) 15- 4 -18.01 16.80 -0.73 0.97 15.63
0 A Guilford ( 8- 9, 82.9) 9-11 -17.00 17.81 0.73 0.97 -15.82
0 A Staples (11- 8, 89.6) 8-16 -10.33 24.48 0.73 0.97 -9.34
0 H Wolcott ( 7-11, 71.3) 19- 4 -28.64 6.17 -0.73 0.97 5.29
0 A Weston (12- 8, 83.7) 4- 8 -16.24 18.57 0.73 0.97 -15.09
0 H Trumbull (10- 7, 81.1) 5- 6 -18.75 16.06 -0.73 0.97 -18.94
0 H Westhill ( 6- 9, 78.4) 14- 8 -21.53 13.28 -0.73 0.97 12.20
0 A Danbury ( 4-12, 75.7) 13- 3 -24.25 10.56 0.73 0.97 10.98
0 H Branford (14- 8, 85.6) 12-11 -14.26 20.55 -0.73 0.97 19.28
0 H Pomperaug ( 5-12, 80.5) 12- 6 -19.38 15.43 -0.73 0.97 14.30
0 H Tolland (14- 4, 81.2) 12-11 -18.71 16.10 -0.73 0.97 14.96
0 A Daniel Hand (13- 9, 86.3) 4-11 -13.60 21.21 0.73 0.97 -12.52
------
-0.67
|
winning pts = 119.2544 losing points = -119.9198
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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