Saginaw Heritage
W-L: (14- 2) PR = 87.7420Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 403 A East Lansing ( 4-12, 83.8) 7- 6 408 A Grand Ledge (14- 4, 89.8) 9-16 412 H Lansing Catholic-Waver (10- 8, 85.6) 9- 8 415 A Lapeer ( 1- 8, 75.7) 21- 2 417 H Midland ( 4-13, 79.8) 20- 6 422 A Davison ( 2-15, 78.2) 21- 4 423 H Lapeer ( 1- 8, 75.7) 25- 0 429 A Grand Blanc ( 9-11, 84.4) 9- 7 430 H Flint Powers Catholic ( 5- 6, 82.2) 15- 7 503 A Sacred Heart Academy ( 8- 7, 85.6) 10- 6 503 H Troy Athens (14- 7, 86.7) 10- 5 503 H Howell ( 9-11, 84.2) 7- 3 508 H Grand Blanc ( 9-11, 84.4) 14- 4 514 A Midland ( 4-13, 79.8) 16- 2 515 H Lake Fenton ( 4- 8, 78.4) 17- 1 521 A Haslett (12- 7, 90.6) 10-13
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
403 A East Lansing 7- 6 1 3 - -2.34
408 A Grand Ledge 9-16 -7 -3 - -2.35
412 H Lansing Catholic-Waver 9- 8 1 3 -1.80
415 A Lapeer 21- 2 19 11 0.00
417 H Midland 20- 6 14 9 0.00
422 A Davison 21- 4 17 9 0.00
423 H Lapeer 25- 0 25 13 0.00
429 A Grand Blanc 9- 7 2 3 -0.68
430 H Flint Powers Catholic 15- 7 8 6 0.00
503 A Sacred Heart Academy 10- 6 4 2 + 2.49
503 H Troy Athens 10- 5 5 2 + 3.30
503 H Howell 7- 3 4 4 -0.14
508 H Grand Blanc 14- 4 10 4 1.08
514 A Midland 16- 2 14 7 0.00
515 H Lake Fenton 17- 1 16 10 0.00
521 A Haslett 10-13 -3 -3 0.45
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 403 A East Lansing 7- 6 1 3 - -2.34 408 A Grand Ledge 9-16 -7 -3 - -2.35 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 503 A Sacred Heart Academy 10- 6 4 2 + 2.49 503 H Troy Athens 10- 5 5 2 + 3.30 |
Saginaw Heritage Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ann Arbor Father Gabriel | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Ann Arbor Huron | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | ||
| Ann Arbor Pioneer | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | ||
| Ann Arbor Skyline | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | ||
| Avondale | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | ||
| Battle Creek Harper Cree | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | ||
| Bedford | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | ||
| Birmingham Unified | Birmingham Unified | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Birmingham Unified | |
| Bloomfield Hills | Bloomfield Hills | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Bloomfield Hills | |
| Brighton | Brighton | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Brighton | |
| Brighton B | Saginaw Heritage | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Saginaw Heritage | |
| Byron Center | Byron Center | Byron Center | ||
| Caledonia | Caledonia | Caledonia | ||
| Canton | Saginaw Heritage | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Saginaw Heritage | |
| Cass Tech | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | ||
| Catholic Central | Catholic Central | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Catholic Central | |
| Chippewa Valley | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | ||
| Clarkston | Saginaw Heritage | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Saginaw Heritage | |
| Comstock Park | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | ||
| Cranbrook Kingswood | Cranbrook Kingswood | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Cranbrook Kingswood | |
| Davison | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | ||
| Detroit Country Day | Detroit Country Day | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Detroit Country Day | |
| DeWitt | Saginaw Heritage | insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 3) | Saginaw Heritage | |
| Dexter | Saginaw Heritage | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Saginaw Heritage | |
| Divine Child | Saginaw Heritage | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 0) | Saginaw Heritage | |
| East Grand Rapids | East Grand Rapids | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | East Grand Rapids | |
| East Lansing | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | ||
| Farmington | Saginaw Heritage | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Saginaw Heritage | |
| Fenton-Linden Co-Op | Saginaw Heritage | tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) | Saginaw Heritage | |
| Flint Powers Catholic | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | ||
| Flushing | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage 5- 1 vs 3- 3 | ||
| Forest Hills Central | Forest Hills Central | Forest Hills Central | ||
| Forest Hills Northern/Ea | Forest Hills Northern/Ea | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Forest Hills Northern/Ea | |
| Grand Blanc | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | ||
| Grand Haven | Saginaw Heritage | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Saginaw Heritage | |
| Grand Ledge | Grand Ledge | Grand Ledge | ||
| Grand Rapids Christian | Saginaw Heritage | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Saginaw Heritage | |
| Grandville | Saginaw Heritage | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Saginaw Heritage | |
| Grosse Pointe North | Saginaw Heritage | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Saginaw Heritage | |
| Grosse Pointe South | Grosse Pointe South | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Grosse Pointe South | |
| Hartland | Hartland | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 0) | Hartland | |
| Haslett | Haslett | Haslett | ||
| Henry Ford II | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | ||
| Holland West Ottawa | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | ||
| Holly-Brandon Co-Op | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Holt | Holt | insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 4- 1) | Holt | |
| Howell | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | ||
| Hudsonville | Hudsonville | Hudsonville | ||
| Jenison | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | ||
| Kalamazoo Central | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Lake Fenton | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | ||
| Lake Orion | Lake Orion | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 4- 0) | Lake Orion | |
| Lakeview | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | ||
| Lansing Catholic-Waverly | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | ||
| Lapeer | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | ||
| Livonia United | Saginaw Heritage | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Saginaw Heritage | |
| Lowell | Saginaw Heritage | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Saginaw Heritage | |
| Marian | Marian | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Marian | |
| Mattawan | Mattawan | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Mattawan | |
| Mercy | Mercy | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Mercy | |
| Midland | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | ||
| Mona Shores | Mona Shores | Mona Shores | ||
| Northview | Northview | Northview | ||
| Northville | Saginaw Heritage | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Saginaw Heritage | |
| Notre Dame Prep | Saginaw Heritage | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Saginaw Heritage | |
| Novi | Saginaw Heritage | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Saginaw Heritage | |
| Okemos | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage 4- 2 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Oxford | Saginaw Heritage | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Saginaw Heritage | |
| Plymouth | Saginaw Heritage | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Saginaw Heritage | |
| Portage Northern | Portage Northern | tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) | Portage Northern | |
| Reeths-Puffer | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | ||
| Rochester Adams | Rochester Adams | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Rochester Adams | |
| Rochester HS | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Rochester Stoney Creek | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Rockford | Rockford | Rockford | ||
| Royal Oak | Saginaw Heritage | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Saginaw Heritage | |
| Sacred Heart Academy | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | ||
| Salem | Saginaw Heritage | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Saginaw Heritage | |
| Saline | Saline | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Saline | |
| South Lyon United | South Lyon United | South Lyon United | ||
| Spring Lake | Spring Lake | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Spring Lake | |
| St Catherine of Siena | Saginaw Heritage | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Saginaw Heritage | |
| St Johns/Ovid-Elsie | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Swartz Creek | Saginaw Heritage | insuffient: ( 7- 1)( 6- 1) | Saginaw Heritage | |
| Tecumseh | Saginaw Heritage | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Saginaw Heritage | |
| Traverse City Central | Traverse City Central | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Traverse City Central | |
| Troy | Saginaw Heritage | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Saginaw Heritage | |
| Troy Athens | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | ||
| University Liggett | Saginaw Heritage | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Saginaw Heritage | |
| Utica Eisenhower | Saginaw Heritage | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Saginaw Heritage | |
| Walled Lake Northern | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | ||
| Warren Regina | Saginaw Heritage | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Saginaw Heritage | |
| Waterford United | Saginaw Heritage | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Saginaw Heritage | |
| West Bloomfield | Saginaw Heritage | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Saginaw Heritage | |
| White Lake Lakeland | White Lake Lakeland | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | White Lake Lakeland | |
| Zeeland East | Saginaw Heritage | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Saginaw Heritage |
PowerWise = 65
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 16.08
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A East Lansing ( 4-12, 83.8) 7- 6 -16.12 13.08 0.62 1.01 13.77
0 A Grand Ledge (14- 4, 89.8) 9-16 -10.13 19.06 0.62 1.01 -9.56
0 H Lansing Cathol (10- 8, 85.6) 9- 8 -14.33 14.86 -0.62 1.01 14.31
0 A Lapeer ( 1- 8, 75.7) 21- 2 -24.24 4.95 0.62 1.01 5.60
0 H Midland ( 4-13, 79.8) 20- 6 -20.11 9.08 -0.62 1.01 8.51
0 A Davison ( 2-15, 78.2) 21- 4 -21.68 7.51 0.62 1.01 8.17
0 H Lapeer ( 1- 8, 75.7) 25- 0 -24.24 4.95 -0.62 1.01 4.35
0 A Grand Blanc ( 9-11, 84.4) 9- 7 -15.46 13.73 0.62 1.01 14.42
0 H Flint Powers C ( 5- 6, 82.2) 15- 7 -17.66 11.53 -0.62 1.01 10.96
0 A Sacred Heart A ( 8- 7, 85.6) 10- 6 -14.29 14.90 0.62 1.01 15.61
0 H Troy Athens (14- 7, 86.7) 10- 5 -13.24 15.95 -0.62 1.01 15.41
0 H Howell ( 9-11, 84.2) 7- 3 -15.68 13.51 -0.62 1.01 12.96
0 H Grand Blanc ( 9-11, 84.4) 14- 4 -15.46 13.73 -0.62 1.01 13.18
0 A Midland ( 4-13, 79.8) 16- 2 -20.11 9.08 0.62 1.01 9.75
0 H Lake Fenton ( 4- 8, 78.4) 17- 1 -21.47 7.73 -0.62 1.01 7.14
0 A Haslett (12- 7, 90.6) 10-13 -9.33 19.87 0.62 1.01 -8.75
------
135.83
|
winning pts = 154.1371 losing points = -18.3081
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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