---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:47 PDT

safe3step girls Southern 1
  
Southern              
W-L: ( 7- 9) PR = 85.9156

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 321 A Chesapeake AA ( 9- 4, 87.1) 9-14 328 A Crofton ( 7- 8, 87.2) 7- 8 401 H River Hill ( 8- 6, 87.4) 15-10 404 H Arundel ( 6- 7, 87.5) 6-10 407 A Old Mill ( 3-10, 76.2) 13- 5 409 H Annapolis ( 8- 7, 83.6) 9- 7 411 A North County ( 4- 9, 82.0) 14- 7 414 A Leonardtown (12- 3, 89.4) 6-12 416 A Dulaney (11- 5, 90.9) 5-18 423 A Broadneck (14- 2, 93.8) 5-14 425 H South River (10- 4, 92.1) 4-14 429 H Severna Park (18- 2, 95.0) 1-13 502 H Severn Run ( 7- 6, 75.1) 18- 4 509 H Cambridge SD ( 2- 9, 72.1) 15- 2 512 A Kent County ( 7- 7, 77.4) 18- 4 514 A South Carroll (16- 3, 92.1) 1-14

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 A Chesapeake AA           9-14      -5    -2    -     -3.36
   328 A Crofton                 7- 8      -1    -2           0.73
   401 H River Hill             15-10       5    -1    +++    6.05
   404 H Arundel                 6-10      -4    -1    -     -2.87
   407 A Old Mill               13- 5       8     9           0.00
   409 H Annapolis               9- 7       2     3          -0.73
   411 A North County           14- 7       7     3           1.56
   414 A Leonardtown             6-12      -6    -4          -1.09
   416 A Dulaney                 5-18     -13    -5           0.00
   423 A Broadneck               5-14      -9    -8           0.00
   425 H South River             4-14     -10    -6           0.00
   429 H Severna Park            1-13     -12    -9           0.00
   502 H Severn Run             18- 4      14    11           0.00
   509 H Cambridge SD           15- 2      13    14           0.00
   512 A Kent County            18- 4      14     8           0.00
   514 A South Carroll           1-14     -13    -7           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 A Chesapeake AA           9-14      -5    -2    -     -3.36
   404 H Arundel                 6-10      -4    -1    -     -2.87

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H River Hill             15-10       5    -1    +++    6.05

Southern Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Annapolis Area Christian Southern   Southern
Anne Arundel County Southern   Southern
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Archbishop Spalding
Beth TFiloh Southern   Southern
Bishop McNamara Southern   Southern
Brookewood SG Southern   Southern
Bryn Mawr SG Bryn Mawr SG   Bryn Mawr SG
Bullis School Bullis School   Bullis School
Calverton School Southern   Southern
Catholic High Baltimore Southern   Southern
Chapelgate Christian Southern   Southern
Concordia Prep Southern   Southern
Cristo Rey Jesuit Southern   Southern
DC International Southern   Southern
EL Haynes Charter Southern   Southern
Elizabeth Seton Southern   Southern
FCA Southern   Southern
Field School Southern   Southern
Friends School Southern   Southern
Garrison Forest Garrison Forest   Garrison Forest
Georgetown Day School Southern   Southern
Georgetown Visitation Georgetown Visitation   Georgetown Visitation
Gerstell Academy Gerstell Academy   Gerstell Academy
Glenelg Country School Glenelg Country School   Glenelg Country School
Good Counsel Good Counsel   Good Counsel
Gunston Day School Southern   Southern
Holton-Arms School Holton-Arms School   Holton-Arms School
Holy Child Holy Child   Holy Child
Holy Cross Holy Cross   Holy Cross
Indian Creek Southern   Southern
Jackson-Reed Southern   Southern
Jemicy Southern   Southern
John Carroll John Carroll tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) John Carroll
Key School Southern   Southern
KIPP College Prep Southern   Southern
Maret School Southern   Southern
Maryvale Prep Maryvale Prep   Maryvale Prep
McDonogh School McDonogh School   McDonogh School
Mercy Mercy insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Mercy
Mount de Sales Mount de Sales tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Mount de Sales
National Cathedral Southern   Southern
Notre Dame Prep Notre Dame Prep   Notre Dame Prep
Oldfields School Southern   Southern
Park School Southern   Southern
Rockbridge Academy Southern   Southern
Roland Park Country Roland Park Country insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Roland Park Country
Salisbury School Southern   Southern
Sandy Spring Friends Southern   Southern
School Without Walls Southern   Southern
Severn School Severn School   Severn School
Sidwell Friends Southern   Southern
St Andrews Episcopal Southern   Southern
St James School Southern   Southern
St Johns Catholic Prep Southern   Southern
St Johns College St Johns College   St Johns College
St Marys St Marys St Marys   2- 1 vs 0- 3
St Marys Ryken Southern   Southern
St Pauls SG St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
St Timothys St Timothys   St Timothys
St Vincent Pallotti Southern   Southern
Stone Ridge School Stone Ridge School   Stone Ridge School
Sts Peter & Paul Southern   Southern
Tome School Southern   Southern
Washington Latin Southern   Southern
Worcester Prep Southern   Southern
Aberdeen Southern   Southern
Academy for College & Ca Southern   Southern
Annapolis Southern Southern  
Arundel Arundel Arundel  
Atholton Southern insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Southern
Baltimore Polytechnic Southern   Southern
Bel Air Bel Air   Bel Air
Bethesda-Chevy Chase Southern   Southern
Bladensburg Southern   Southern
Blair Southern   Southern
Blake Southern   Southern
Bohemia Manor Southern insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Southern
Boonsboro Southern   Southern
Bowie Southern tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Southern
Broadneck Broadneck Broadneck  
Brunswick Southern   Southern
Calvert Southern tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Southern
Cambridge SD Southern Southern  
Carver A&T Southern   Southern
Catoctin Southern tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Southern
Catonsville Catonsville tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Catonsville
Centennial Centennial Centennial   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Central PG Southern   Southern
Century Century insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Century
CH Flowers Southern insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Southern
Chesapeake AA Chesapeake AA Chesapeake AA  
Chesapeake BC Southern   Southern
Chopticon Southern tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Southern
City College Southern   Southern
Clarksburg Southern   Southern
CM Wright CM Wright insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) CM Wright
CMIT North Southern   Southern
Crofton Crofton Crofton  
Damascus Southern   Southern
Dr Henry Wise Southern   Southern
Dulaney Dulaney Dulaney  
Dundalk Southern   Southern
DuVal Southern   Southern
Eastern Technical Southern   Southern
Easton Easton tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Easton
Edgewood Southern   Southern
Einstein Southern   Southern
Eleanor Roosevelt Southern   Southern
Elkton Southern   Southern
Fairmont Heights Southern   Southern
Fallston Fallston tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Fallston
Francis Scott Key Southern tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Southern
Franklin Southern tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Southern
Frederick Southern tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Southern
Frederick Douglass PG Southern   Southern
Gaithersburg Southern   Southern
Glen Burnie Southern Southern   4- 2 vs 1- 5
Glenelg HS Glenelg HS Glenelg HS   3- 2 vs 1- 4
Gov Thomas Johnson Southern   Southern
Great Mills Southern tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Southern
Guilford Park Southern Southern   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Gwynn Park Southern   Southern
Hammond Southern Southern   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Harford Tech Southern   Southern
Havre De Grace Southern   Southern
Hereford Hereford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hereford
Howard Howard Howard   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Huntingtown Huntingtown tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Huntingtown
JM Bennett Southern tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Southern
Kennedy Southern   Southern
Kent County Southern Southern  
Kent Island Kent Island tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Kent Island
Kenwood Southern   Southern
La Plata Southern   Southern
Lackey Southern   Southern
Lansdowne Southern   Southern
Laurel Southern   Southern
Leonardtown Leonardtown Leonardtown  
Liberty Liberty insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Liberty
Linganore Linganore tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Linganore
Loch Raven Southern   Southern
Long Reach Southern tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Southern
Magruder Southern   Southern
Manchester Valley Manchester Valley Manchester Valley   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Marriotts Ridge Marriotts Ridge tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Marriotts Ridge
Meade Southern Southern   4- 2 vs 0- 6
Middletown Southern tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Southern
Milford Mill Southern   Southern
MJ McDonough Southern tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Southern
Mount Hebron Mount Hebron insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) Mount Hebron
New Town Southern   Southern
North Caroline Southern tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Southern
North County Southern Southern  
North Dorchester Southern Southern   2- 0 vs 0- 2
North East Cecil Southern insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Southern
North Hagerstown Southern   Southern
North Harford Southern   Southern
North Point Southern tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Southern
Northeast Southern Southern   3- 2 vs 0- 5
Northern Calvert Northern Calvert insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Northern Calvert
Northwest Southern   Southern
Northwestern PG Southern   Southern
Northwood Southern   Southern
Oakdale Oakdale   Oakdale
Oakland Mills Southern insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Southern
Old Mill Southern Southern  
Overlea Southern   Southern
Owings Mills Southern   Southern
Oxon Hill Southern tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Southern
Paint Branch Southern   Southern
Parkdale Southern   Southern
Parkside Southern insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Southern
Parkville Southern   Southern
Patapsco Southern   Southern
Patterson Mill Southern   Southern
Patuxent Southern insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Southern
Perry Hall Southern tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Southern
Perryville Southern   Southern
Pikesville Southern   Southern
Poolesville Southern   Southern
Queen Annes County Queen Annes County tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 0) Queen Annes County
Quince Orchard Quince Orchard tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Quince Orchard
Randallstown Southern   Southern
Randallstown Southern   Southern
Reservoir Southern Southern   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Richard Montgomery Southern tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Southern
Rising Sun Southern   Southern
River Hill Southern Southern  
Rockville Southern   Southern
Seneca Valley Southern   Southern
Severn Run Southern Southern  
Severna Park Severna Park Severna Park  
Sherwood Sherwood   Sherwood
Smithsburg Southern   Southern
South Carroll South Carroll South Carroll  
South Hagerstown Southern   Southern
South River South River South River  
Sparrows Point Southern   Southern
Springbrook Southern   Southern
St Charles Southern   Southern
Stephen Decatur Southern tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Southern
Suitland Southern   Southern
Thomas Stone Southern   Southern
Towson Towson tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Towson
Tuscarora Southern   Southern
Urbana Urbana tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Urbana
Walkersville Southern   Southern
Walter Johnson Southern   Southern
Watkins Mill Southern   Southern
Western Baltimore Southern   Southern
Western STES Southern tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Southern
Westlake Southern tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Southern
Westminster Westminster insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) Westminster
Wheaton Southern   Southern
Whitman Southern   Southern
Wicomico Southern Southern   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Wilde Lake Southern insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Southern
Winston Churchill Southern   Southern
Winters Mill Winters Mill tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Winters Mill
Woodlawn Southern   Southern
Wootton Southern   Southern

PowerWise = 162


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.96

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Chesapeake AA   ( 9- 4, 87.1)     9-14      -12.79      25.13       0.45         0.75            -9.23
   0 A Crofton         ( 7- 8, 87.2)     7- 8      -12.70      25.22       0.45         0.75            -9.16
   0 H River Hill      ( 8- 6, 87.4)    15-10      -12.48      25.44      -0.45         0.75            18.69
   0 H Arundel         ( 6- 7, 87.5)     6-10      -12.41      25.51      -0.45         0.75            -9.61
   0 A Old Mill        ( 3-10, 76.2)    13- 5      -23.70      14.22       0.45         0.75            10.97
   0 H Annapolis       ( 8- 7, 83.6)     9- 7      -16.27      21.65      -0.45         0.75            15.85
   0 A North County    ( 4- 9, 82.0)    14- 7      -17.88      20.04       0.45         0.75            15.32
   0 A Leonardtown     (12- 3, 89.4)     6-12      -10.52      27.40       0.45         0.75            -7.53
   0 A Dulaney         (11- 5, 90.9)     5-18       -8.96      28.96       0.45         0.75            -6.36
   0 A Broadneck       (14- 2, 93.8)     5-14       -6.12      31.80       0.45         0.75            -4.24
   0 H South River     (10- 4, 92.1)     4-14       -7.83      30.09      -0.45         0.75            -6.19
   0 H Severna Park    (18- 2, 95.0)     1-13       -4.93      32.99      -0.45         0.75            -4.02
   0 H Severn Run      ( 7- 6, 75.1)    18- 4      -24.80      13.12      -0.45         0.75             9.47
   0 H Cambridge SD    ( 2- 9, 72.1)    15- 2      -27.80      10.12      -0.45         0.75             7.23
   0 A Kent County     ( 7- 7, 77.4)    18- 4      -22.53      15.39       0.45         0.75            11.84
   0 A South Carroll   (16- 3, 92.1)     1-14       -7.79      30.13       0.45         0.75            -5.49
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        27.55

winning pts = 89.3794 losing points = -61.8337

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------