All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
Nickname = Coach =GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 81.6399994 home-field advantage = -1.34 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 319 H Heritage ( 0-10, 59.7) 21- 2 323 H West Potomac ( 4-10, 75.7) 13- 1 324 A Broad Run ( 3-11, 63.8) 18- 0 408 A Langley ( 6- 9, 83.2) 15- 3 409 H Woodgrove (11- 6, 67.6) 18- 5 414 H Dominion (17- 3, 77.6) 15-11 420 A Urbana ( 0- 0, 82.5) 6-14 421 A Loudoun County ( 4-10, 68.6) 21- 5 423 H Briar Woods ( 2-14, 64.1) 25- 1 428 A Stone Bridge (13- 9, 75.0) 18-10 430 H John Champe ( 2-11, 72.3) 19- 6 505 A Freedom South Riding (13- 4, 73.0) 10-11 506 A Oakton ( 9- 7, 83.7) 16-12 507 H Potomac Falls ( 7- 7, 69.2) 16- 3 512 H Lightridge (11- 7, 81.2) 7- 4 518 H Briar Woods ( 2-14, 64.1) 20- 5 522 H Lightridge (11- 7, 81.2) 11- 5 527 H Stone Bridge (13- 9, 75.0) 13- 5 529 H Freedom South Riding (13- 4, 73.0) 18- 4 601 H Stone Bridge (13- 9, 75.0) 16- 7 609 H Mills Godwin (15- 4, 83.9) 11- 8 613 N Douglas Freeman (18- 2, 82.1) 10- 7
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 319 H Heritage 21- 2 19 23 n/a 323 H West Potomac 13- 1 12 7 n/a 324 A Broad Run 18- 0 18 16 n/a 408 A Langley 15- 3 12 -2 n/a 409 H Woodgrove 18- 5 13 15 n/a 414 H Dominion 15-11 4 5 n/a 420 A Urbana 6-14 -8 -1 n/a 421 A Loudoun County 21- 5 16 11 n/a 423 H Briar Woods 25- 1 24 18 0.00 428 A Stone Bridge 18-10 8 5 1.74 430 H John Champe 19- 6 13 10 n/a 505 A Freedom South Riding 10-11 -1 7 n/a 506 A Oakton 16-12 4 -3 n/a 507 H Potomac Falls 16- 3 13 13 0.00 512 H Lightridge 7- 4 3 1 1.24 518 H Briar Woods 20- 5 15 18 0.00 522 H Lightridge 11- 5 6 1 ++ 4.24 527 H Stone Bridge 13- 5 8 7 0.00 529 H Freedom South Riding 18- 4 14 9 n/a 601 H Stone Bridge 16- 7 9 7 0.00 609 H Mills Godwin 11- 8 3 0 + 3.91 613 N Douglas Freeman 10- 7 3 0 + 3.50UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 505 A Freedom South Riding 10-11 -1 7 --- 420 A Urbana 6-14 -8 -1 --OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 408 A Langley 15- 3 12 -2 +++ 506 A Oakton 16-12 4 -3 +++ 522 H Lightridge 11- 5 6 1 ++ 4.24 609 H Mills Godwin 11- 8 3 0 + 3.91 613 N Douglas Freeman 10- 7 3 0 + 3.50
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 81.64 Power Rank................. 3 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 48.20 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 2 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .4653 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 10 RPI Rating............... .7110 RPI Rank................... 1 Champ. Probability ...... 24.4 Championship Rank ......... 2 Selection sum ........... 12 Selection Rank ............ 1 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 205. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 1 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 205. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 1 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 15.3 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 5.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 20- 2 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 9.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 4- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 3.8 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 8- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 6.6 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 10- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 9.2 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 5.0