---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:50 PDT

safe3step girls Royal Oak 1
  
Royal Oak             
W-L: ( 2-16) PR = 79.1563

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 319 H Troy Athens (14- 7, 86.7) 6-11 320 A Plymouth ( 5-12, 82.3) 7-11 407 A Rochester Adams (14- 4, 88.0) 0-28 409 H Rochester HS ( 9- 8, 82.1) 4- 8 411 A Grosse Pointe South (13- 5, 89.0) 1-24 414 A Warren Regina ( 5- 7, 81.4) 4-17 416 H West Bloomfield ( 7- 8, 81.1) 8-10 417 H Birmingham Unified (11- 9, 91.8) 4-20 421 H Livonia United ( 5-11, 83.0) 8- 7 423 A Avondale ( 1-12, 72.2) 17- 1 426 A Utica Eisenhower ( 8- 5, 85.2) 6-15 428 A Clarkston ( 7- 7, 85.0) 6-17 430 H Farmington ( 5-10, 82.8) 2-12 505 A Rochester Stoney Creek ( 9- 8, 86.8) 5-13 508 A Grosse Pointe North ( 8- 7, 82.6) 3- 9 509 H Oxford (12-10, 84.4) 13-16 514 A University Liggett (10- 2, 87.0) 4-16 519 A Troy ( 6-10, 86.0) 7-18

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 H Troy Athens             6-11      -5    -7           0.00
   320 A Plymouth                7-11      -4    -4          -0.27
   407 A Rochester Adams         0-28     -28    -9           0.00
   409 H Rochester HS            4- 8      -4    -2          -1.63
   411 A Grosse Pointe South     1-24     -23   -10           0.00
   414 A Warren Regina           4-17     -13    -3    -     -2.14
   416 H West Bloomfield         8-10      -2    -1          -0.65
   417 H Birmingham Unified      4-20     -16   -12           0.00
   421 H Livonia United          8- 7       1    -3    ++     4.20
   423 A Avondale               17- 1      16     6           0.00
   426 A Utica Eisenhower        6-15      -9    -7           0.00
   428 A Clarkston               6-17     -11    -6           0.00
   430 H Farmington              2-12     -10    -3          -2.00
   505 A Rochester Stoney Creek  5-13      -8    -8           0.00
   508 A Grosse Pointe North     3- 9      -6    -4          -0.98
   509 H Oxford                 13-16      -3    -5           1.58
   514 A University Liggett      4-16     -12    -8           0.00
   519 A Troy                    7-18     -11    -7           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 A Warren Regina           4-17     -13    -3    -     -2.14

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 H Livonia United          8- 7       1    -3    ++     4.20

Royal Oak Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Ann Arbor Father Gabriel Ann Arbor Father Gabriel insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Ann Arbor Father Gabriel
Ann Arbor Huron Ann Arbor Huron tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ann Arbor Huron
Ann Arbor Pioneer Ann Arbor Pioneer insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Ann Arbor Pioneer
Ann Arbor Skyline Ann Arbor Skyline tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ann Arbor Skyline
Avondale Royal Oak Royal Oak  
Battle Creek Harper Cree Battle Creek Harper Cree   Battle Creek Harper Cree
Bedford Royal Oak tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Royal Oak
Birmingham Unified Birmingham Unified Birmingham Unified  
Bloomfield Hills Bloomfield Hills Bloomfield Hills   6- 1 vs 1- 8
Brighton Brighton insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Brighton
Brighton B Brighton B insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Brighton B
Byron Center Byron Center   Byron Center
Caledonia Caledonia   Caledonia
Canton Canton tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Canton
Cass Tech Royal Oak tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Royal Oak
Catholic Central Catholic Central insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Catholic Central
Chippewa Valley Chippewa Valley tied - ( 0- 8) ( 0- 8) Chippewa Valley
Clarkston Clarkston Clarkston  
Comstock Park Comstock Park   Comstock Park
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Davison Royal Oak tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Royal Oak
Detroit Country Day Detroit Country Day Detroit Country Day   3- 0 vs 0- 3
DeWitt DeWitt tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) DeWitt
Dexter Dexter insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Dexter
Divine Child Divine Child Divine Child   3- 1 vs 1- 3
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids   East Grand Rapids
East Lansing East Lansing   East Lansing
Farmington Farmington Farmington  
Fenton-Linden Co-Op Fenton-Linden Co-Op insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Fenton-Linden Co-Op
Flint Powers Catholic Flint Powers Catholic   Flint Powers Catholic
Flushing Royal Oak tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Royal Oak
Forest Hills Central Forest Hills Central   Forest Hills Central
Forest Hills Northern/Ea Forest Hills Northern/Ea   Forest Hills Northern/Ea
Grand Blanc Grand Blanc insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Grand Blanc
Grand Haven Grand Haven   Grand Haven
Grand Ledge Grand Ledge   Grand Ledge
Grand Rapids Christian Grand Rapids Christian   Grand Rapids Christian
Grandville Grandville   Grandville
Grosse Pointe North Grosse Pointe North Grosse Pointe North  
Grosse Pointe South Grosse Pointe South Grosse Pointe South  
Hartland Hartland Hartland   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Haslett Haslett   Haslett
Henry Ford II Royal Oak insuffient: ( 1- 5)( 0- 6) Royal Oak
Holland West Ottawa Holland West Ottawa   Holland West Ottawa
Holly-Brandon Co-Op Royal Oak tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Royal Oak
Holt Holt insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Holt
Howell Howell tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Howell
Hudsonville Hudsonville   Hudsonville
Jenison Royal Oak   Royal Oak
Kalamazoo Central Royal Oak   Royal Oak
Lake Fenton Royal Oak   Royal Oak
Lake Orion Lake Orion Lake Orion   7- 1 vs 0- 8
Lakeview Royal Oak tied - ( 0- 4) ( 0- 4) Royal Oak
Lansing Catholic-Waverly Lansing Catholic-Waverly   Lansing Catholic-Waverly
Lapeer Royal Oak tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Royal Oak
Livonia United Royal Oak Royal Oak  
Lowell Lowell   Lowell
Marian Marian Marian   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Mattawan Mattawan insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Mattawan
Mercy Mercy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Mercy
Midland Midland   Midland
Mona Shores Mona Shores   Mona Shores
Northview Northview   Northview
Northville Northville Northville   3- 3 vs 1- 5
Notre Dame Prep Notre Dame Prep Notre Dame Prep   2- 5 vs 0- 7
Novi Novi insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 3) Novi
Okemos Okemos   Okemos
Oxford Oxford Oxford  
Plymouth Plymouth Plymouth  
Portage Northern Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Reeths-Puffer Reeths-Puffer   Reeths-Puffer
Rochester Adams Rochester Adams Rochester Adams  
Rochester HS Rochester HS Rochester HS  
Rochester Stoney Creek Rochester Stoney Creek Rochester Stoney Creek  
Rockford Rockford insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Rockford
Sacred Heart Academy Sacred Heart Academy Sacred Heart Academy   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Saginaw Heritage Saginaw Heritage insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Saginaw Heritage
Salem Salem insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) Salem
Saline Saline   Saline
South Lyon United South Lyon United South Lyon United   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Spring Lake Spring Lake   Spring Lake
St Catherine of Siena Royal Oak tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) Royal Oak
St Johns/Ovid-Elsie St Johns/Ovid-Elsie tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) St Johns/Ovid-Elsie
Swartz Creek Swartz Creek tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Swartz Creek
Tecumseh Tecumseh   Tecumseh
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central   Traverse City Central
Troy Troy Troy  
Troy Athens Troy Athens Troy Athens  
University Liggett University Liggett University Liggett  
Utica Eisenhower Utica Eisenhower Utica Eisenhower  
Walled Lake Northern Royal Oak   Royal Oak
Warren Regina Warren Regina Warren Regina  
Waterford United Royal Oak tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Royal Oak
West Bloomfield West Bloomfield West Bloomfield  
White Lake Lakeland White Lake Lakeland insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) White Lake Lakeland
Zeeland East Zeeland East   Zeeland East

PowerWise = 16


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.08

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Troy Athens     (14- 7, 86.7)     6-11      -13.24      15.95      -0.62         0.89           -12.39
   0 A Plymouth        ( 5-12, 82.3)     7-11      -17.64      11.55       0.62         0.89           -15.20
   0 A Rochester Adam  (14- 4, 88.0)     0-28      -11.89      17.31       0.62         0.89           -10.06
   0 H Rochester HS    ( 9- 8, 82.1)     4- 8      -17.75      11.44      -0.62         0.89           -16.41
   0 A Grosse Pointe   (13- 5, 89.0)     1-24      -10.88      18.31       0.62         0.89            -9.17
   0 A Warren Regina   ( 5- 7, 81.4)     4-17      -18.50      10.69       0.62         0.89           -15.97
   0 H West Bloomfiel  ( 7- 8, 81.1)     8-10      -18.77      10.42      -0.62         0.89           -17.33
   0 H Birmingham Uni  (11- 9, 91.8)     4-20       -8.05      21.14      -0.62         0.89            -7.75
   0 H Livonia United  ( 5-11, 83.0)     8- 7      -16.92      12.27      -0.62         0.89            10.41
   0 A Avondale        ( 1-12, 72.2)    17- 1      -27.68       1.51       0.62         0.89             1.91
   0 A Utica Eisenhow  ( 8- 5, 85.2)     6-15      -14.73      14.47       0.62         0.89           -12.60
   0 A Clarkston       ( 7- 7, 85.0)     6-17      -14.91      14.28       0.62         0.89           -12.77
   0 H Farmington      ( 5-10, 82.8)     2-12      -17.12      12.07      -0.62         0.89           -15.85
   0 A Rochester Ston  ( 9- 8, 86.8)     5-13      -13.13      16.06       0.62         0.89           -11.18
   0 A Grosse Pointe   ( 8- 7, 82.6)     3- 9      -17.35      11.85       0.62         0.89           -14.94
   0 H Oxford          (12-10, 84.4)    13-16      -15.55      13.65      -0.62         0.89           -14.44
   0 A University Lig  (10- 2, 87.0)     4-16      -12.92      16.27       0.62         0.89           -10.99
   0 A Troy            ( 6-10, 86.0)     7-18      -13.89      15.30       0.62         0.89           -11.85
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -196.60

winning pts = 12.3139 losing points = -208.9130

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------