---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:45 PDT

safe3step girls Rocky Mountain 1
  
Rocky Mountain        
W-L: ( 7- 5) PR = 94.5275

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 306 A Eagle ( 9- 3, 97.1) 3-16 308 H Idaho Falls ( 6- 5, 94.3) 13- 6 311 A Centennial ( 1- 7, 89.3) 14- 2 325 A Capital ( 1- 9, 89.1) 23- 0 401 H Middleton ( 2- 9, 91.7) 9- 7 408 H Sun Valley ( 3- 9, 93.3) 11- 8 419 A Teton Valley ( 6- 5, 93.7) 0- 1 422 H Owyhee ( 6- 7, 92.7) 8- 9 429 A Bishop Kelly ( 6- 7, 94.2) 5-14 507 H Boise (11- 0, 99.9) 5- 7 515 H Owyhee ( 6- 7, 92.7) 6- 0 517 N Timberline ( 7- 5, 94.2) 1- 0

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   306 A Eagle                   3-16     -13    -3          -1.78
   308 H Idaho Falls            13- 6       7     1    ++     4.12
   311 A Centennial             14- 2      12     5           0.41
   325 A Capital                23- 0      23     5           0.19
   401 H Middleton               9- 7       2     3          -1.39
   408 H Sun Valley             11- 8       3     2           1.20
   422 H Owyhee                  8- 9      -1     2    -     -3.40
   429 A Bishop Kelly            5-14      -9     0    --    -4.73
   507 H Boise                   5- 7      -2    -5    +      2.76
   515 H Owyhee                  6- 0       6     2    +      2.60

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 A Bishop Kelly            5-14      -9     0    --    -4.73
   422 H Owyhee                  8- 9      -1     2    -     -3.40

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   308 H Idaho Falls            13- 6       7     1    ++     4.12
   507 H Boise                   5- 7      -2    -5    +      2.76
   515 H Owyhee                  6- 0       6     2    +      2.60

Rocky Mountain Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Bishop Kelly Bishop Kelly Bishop Kelly  
Boise Boise Boise  
Capital Rocky Mountain Rocky Mountain  
Centennial Rocky Mountain Rocky Mountain  
Eagle Eagle Eagle  
Idaho Falls Rocky Mountain Rocky Mountain  
Middleton Rocky Mountain Rocky Mountain  
Mountain View Mountain View Mountain View   7- 2 vs 5- 5
Owyhee Rocky Mountain Rocky Mountain   6- 2 vs 3- 5
Sun Valley Rocky Mountain Rocky Mountain  
Teton Valley Teton Valley Teton Valley  
Timberline Rocky Mountain Rocky Mountain  
Vallivue Rocky Mountain insuffient: ( 6- 4)( 5- 4) Rocky Mountain

PowerWise = 8


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.43

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Eagle           ( 9- 3, 97.1)     3-16       -2.76       8.51       0.61         0.95            -2.05
   0 H Idaho Falls     ( 6- 5, 94.3)    13- 6       -5.64       5.63      -0.61         0.95             4.78
   0 A Centennial      ( 1- 7, 89.3)    14- 2      -10.57       1.00       0.61         0.95             1.53
   0 A Capital         ( 1- 9, 89.1)    23- 0      -10.79       1.00       0.61         0.95             1.53
   0 H Middleton       ( 2- 9, 91.7)     9- 7       -8.16       3.11      -0.61         0.95             2.38
   0 H Sun Valley      ( 3- 9, 93.3)    11- 8       -6.56       4.71      -0.61         0.95             3.90
   0 A Teton Valley    ( 6- 5, 93.7)     0- 1       -6.19       5.08       0.61         0.95            -5.31
   0 H Owyhee          ( 6- 7, 92.7)     8- 9       -7.16       4.11      -0.61         0.95            -7.40
   0 A Bishop Kelly    ( 6- 7, 94.2)     5-14       -5.71       5.56       0.61         0.95            -4.86
   0 H Boise           (11- 0, 99.9)     5- 7       -0.00      11.27      -0.61         0.95            -0.58
   0 H Owyhee          ( 6- 7, 92.7)     6- 0       -7.16       4.11      -0.61         0.95             3.33
   0 N Timberline      ( 7- 5, 94.2)     1- 0       -5.66       5.61      -0.00         0.95             5.34
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                         2.61

winning pts = 22.8077 losing points = -20.1973

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------