Poudre District
W-L: ( 7- 9) PR = 89.4903Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 308 H Golden (11- 6, 89.7) 5-12 311 H Dakota Ridge ( 9- 7, 83.3) 13- 3 325 H Horizon ( 7-10, 81.9) 15- 8 327 A Mead (13- 3, 91.3) 8-11 329 H Chatfield ( 6-10, 89.1) 10- 9 407 A Denver South ( 4-11, 85.9) 6- 5 409 A Valor Christian (17- 0, 99.9) 1-16 412 H Columbine ( 3-12, 85.1) 15- 7 414 H Evergreen (16- 2, 95.3) 8-16 417 H Fairview (13- 4, 95.8) 3-14 422 H Colorado Academy ( 7- 5, 95.2) 5-19 425 H Heritage (14- 3, 93.1) 5- 7 429 A Kent Denver ( 9- 8, 92.3) 3-13 501 A Ralston Valley ( 8- 8, 89.9) 15- 9 503 A Northfield ( 9- 7, 88.5) 10- 9 507 A Heritage (14- 3, 93.1) 9-11
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
308 H Golden 5-12 -7 0 -- -5.24
311 H Dakota Ridge 13- 3 10 7 0.00
325 H Horizon 15- 8 7 8 0.00
327 A Mead 8-11 -3 -2 -0.78
329 H Chatfield 10- 9 1 1 0.12
407 A Denver South 6- 5 1 3 - -2.11
409 A Valor Christian 1-16 -15 -11 0.00
412 H Columbine 15- 7 8 5 0.19
414 H Evergreen 8-16 -8 -5 0.00
417 H Fairview 3-14 -11 -6 0.00
422 H Colorado Academy 5-19 -14 -5 0.00
425 H Heritage 5- 7 -2 -3 1.19
429 A Kent Denver 3-13 -10 -3 -1.75
501 A Ralston Valley 15- 9 6 -1 ++ 5.83
503 A Northfield 10- 9 1 0 0.51
507 A Heritage 9-11 -2 -4 + 2.08
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 308 H Golden 5-12 -7 0 -- -5.24 407 A Denver South 6- 5 1 3 - -2.11 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 501 A Ralston Valley 15- 9 6 -1 ++ 5.83 507 A Heritage 9-11 -2 -4 + 2.08 |
Poudre District Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Academy | Poudre District | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Poudre District | |
| Arapahoe | Poudre District | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) | Poudre District | |
| Aspen | Poudre District | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Poudre District | |
| Battle Mountain | Battle Mountain | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Battle Mountain | |
| Castle View | Poudre District | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 4) | Poudre District | |
| Chatfield | Poudre District | Poudre District | ||
| Cherokee Trail | Poudre District | Poudre District 6- 2 vs 2- 6 | ||
| Cherry Creek | Poudre District | tied - ( 2- 4) ( 2- 4) | Poudre District | |
| Cheyenne Mountain | Poudre District | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Poudre District | |
| Colorado Academy | Colorado Academy | Colorado Academy | ||
| Columbine | Poudre District | Poudre District | ||
| Conifer | Poudre District | Poudre District 2- 3 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Dakota Ridge | Poudre District | Poudre District | ||
| Denver East | Denver East | tied - ( 4- 4) ( 4- 4) | Denver East | |
| Denver North | Poudre District | Poudre District 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Denver South | Poudre District | Poudre District | ||
| Durango | Poudre District | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Poudre District | |
| Eagle Valley | Poudre District | Poudre District | ||
| Eaglecrest | Poudre District | Poudre District 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Evergreen | Evergreen | Evergreen | ||
| Fairview | Fairview | Fairview | ||
| Fruita Monument | Poudre District | Poudre District | ||
| Golden | Golden | Golden | ||
| Grand Junction | Poudre District | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Poudre District | |
| Grandview | Poudre District | Poudre District 5- 0 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Green Mountain | Green Mountain | insuffient: ( 5- 4)( 6- 3) | Green Mountain | |
| Heritage | Heritage | Heritage | ||
| Holy Family | Poudre District | Poudre District 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Horizon | Poudre District | Poudre District | ||
| Kent Denver | Kent Denver | Kent Denver | ||
| Legend | Poudre District | Poudre District | ||
| Liberty | Poudre District | Poudre District | ||
| Mead | Mead | Mead | ||
| Montrose | Poudre District | Poudre District | ||
| Mullen | Poudre District | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Poudre District | |
| Northfield | Poudre District | Poudre District | ||
| Palmer | Poudre District | Poudre District | ||
| Palmer Ridge | Poudre District | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 4) | Poudre District | |
| Pine Creek | Poudre District | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Poudre District | |
| Pueblo West | Poudre District | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Poudre District | |
| Ralston Valley | Poudre District | Poudre District | ||
| Rampart | Poudre District | Poudre District | ||
| Regis Jesuit | Regis Jesuit | Regis Jesuit 5- 1 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Roaring Fork | Poudre District | Poudre District | ||
| Rock Canyon | Poudre District | Poudre District 3- 2 vs 1- 4 | ||
| St Marys Academy | Poudre District | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Poudre District | |
| Steamboat Springs | Poudre District | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Poudre District | |
| Summit | Poudre District | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Poudre District | |
| Telluride | Poudre District | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Poudre District | |
| ThunderRidge | ThunderRidge | ThunderRidge 5- 2 vs 1- 6 | ||
| Valor Christian | Valor Christian | Valor Christian |
PowerWise = 38
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 15.38
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Golden (11- 6, 89.7) 5-12 -10.20 20.52 -0.45 0.96 -10.24
0 H Dakota Ridge ( 9- 7, 83.3) 13- 3 -16.59 14.13 -0.45 0.96 13.16
0 H Horizon ( 7-10, 81.9) 15- 8 -17.97 12.76 -0.45 0.96 11.83
0 A Mead (13- 3, 91.3) 8-11 -8.63 22.09 0.45 0.96 -7.87
0 H Chatfield ( 6-10, 89.1) 10- 9 -10.84 19.88 -0.45 0.96 18.69
0 A Denver South ( 4-11, 85.9) 6- 5 -13.97 16.76 0.45 0.96 16.54
0 A Valor Christia (17- 0, 99.9) 1-16 -0.00 30.72 0.45 0.96 -0.43
0 H Columbine ( 3-12, 85.1) 15- 7 -14.77 15.95 -0.45 0.96 14.91
0 H Evergreen (16- 2, 95.3) 8-16 -4.59 26.13 -0.45 0.96 -4.84
0 H Fairview (13- 4, 95.8) 3-14 -4.05 26.67 -0.45 0.96 -4.33
0 H Colorado Acade ( 7- 5, 95.2) 5-19 -4.74 25.98 -0.45 0.96 -4.99
0 H Heritage (14- 3, 93.1) 5- 7 -6.78 23.95 -0.45 0.96 -6.95
0 A Kent Denver ( 9- 8, 92.3) 3-13 -7.61 23.11 0.45 0.96 -6.89
0 A Ralston Valley ( 8- 8, 89.9) 15- 9 -10.03 20.70 0.45 0.96 20.33
0 A Northfield ( 9- 7, 88.5) 10- 9 -11.35 19.37 0.45 0.96 19.06
0 A Heritage (14- 3, 93.1) 9-11 -6.78 23.95 0.45 0.96 -6.08
------
61.90
|
winning pts = 114.5173 losing points = -52.6157
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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