Rocky Hill
W-L: ( 5-11) PR = 76.5167Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 408 A Hall (11- 5, 82.9) 5-17 411 A East Catholic (11- 8, 79.0) 7-12 417 H Middletown-Coginchaug ( 6-11, 72.9) 18- 3 421 H Hall (11- 5, 82.9) 10-11 425 H Southington ( 9- 9, 81.7) 10-11 426 H Griswold-Norwich Tech ( 2-14, 69.7) 12- 4 429 A Newington ( 7-11, 77.8) 9-11 503 A St Paul Catholic ( 0-16, 65.1) 19- 5 505 A Bristol Central ( 4-12, 69.1) 17- 4 509 H East Catholic (11- 8, 79.0) 8-19 510 H Granby Memorial (14- 6, 81.7) 6-17 512 H Morgan School ( 8- 9, 74.8) 7- 8 514 A Middletown-Coginchaug ( 6-11, 72.9) 15- 9 519 A Farmington (13- 6, 83.3) 3-17 522 H Ellington (10- 9, 81.7) 1-13 523 H Berlin ( 9-10, 77.0) 7- 8
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
408 A Hall 5-17 -12 -7 0.00
411 A East Catholic 7-12 -5 -3 -1.82
417 H Middletown-Coginchaug 18- 3 15 4 0.61
421 H Hall 10-11 -1 -6 ++ 4.00
425 H Southington 10-11 -1 -4 + 3.49
426 H Griswold-Norwich Tech 12- 4 8 7 0.00
429 A Newington 9-11 -2 -2 -0.02
503 A St Paul Catholic 19- 5 14 11 0.00
505 A Bristol Central 17- 4 13 7 0.00
509 H East Catholic 8-19 -11 -2 - -3.27
510 H Granby Memorial 6-17 -11 -4 -0.54
512 H Morgan School 7- 8 -1 2 - -3.45
514 A Middletown-Coginchaug 15- 9 6 3 + 2.07
519 A Farmington 3-17 -14 -8 0.00
522 H Ellington 1-13 -12 -5 -0.50
523 H Berlin 7- 8 -1 0 -1.25
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 509 H East Catholic 8-19 -11 -2 - -3.27 512 H Morgan School 7- 8 -1 2 - -3.45 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 421 H Hall 10-11 -1 -6 ++ 4.00 425 H Southington 10-11 -1 -4 + 3.49 514 A Middletown-Coginchaug 15- 9 6 3 + 2.07 |
Rocky Hill Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amity Regional | Amity Regional | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Amity Regional | |
| Avon HS | Avon HS | tied - ( 0- 5) ( 0- 5) | Avon HS | |
| Bacon/East Hampton | Rocky Hill | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Rocky Hill | |
| Berlin | Berlin | Berlin | ||
| Bethel | Bethel | Bethel | ||
| Branford | Branford | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Branford | |
| Brien McMahon | Brien McMahon | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Brien McMahon | |
| Bristol Central | Rocky Hill | Rocky Hill | ||
| Bristol Eastern | Bristol Eastern | tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) | Bristol Eastern | |
| Brookfield | Brookfield | Brookfield | ||
| Canton | Canton | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Canton | |
| Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Cheshire HS | |
| Conard | Conard | Conard 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Cromwell | Rocky Hill | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Rocky Hill | |
| Danbury | Rocky Hill | Rocky Hill | ||
| Daniel Hand | Daniel Hand | Daniel Hand | ||
| Darien | Darien | Darien | ||
| East Catholic | East Catholic | East Catholic | ||
| East Lyme | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| Ellington | Ellington | Ellington | ||
| Enfield | Rocky Hill | Rocky Hill 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| EO Smith | EO Smith | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | EO Smith | |
| Fairfield Ludlowe | Fairfield Ludlowe | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Fairfield Ludlowe | |
| Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | ||
| Farmington | Farmington | Farmington | ||
| Fitch | Rocky Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Rocky Hill | |
| Foran | Foran | Foran | ||
| Glastonbury | Glastonbury | Glastonbury 3- 2 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Granby Memorial | Granby Memorial | Granby Memorial | ||
| Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Greenwich HS | |
| Griswold-Norwich Tech | Rocky Hill | Rocky Hill | ||
| Guilford | Guilford | Guilford | ||
| Haddam-Killingworth | Haddam-Killingworth | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Haddam-Killingworth | |
| Hall | Hall | Hall | ||
| Hamden | Hamden | Hamden | ||
| Housatonic Regional | Rocky Hill | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Rocky Hill | |
| Immaculate Heart | Rocky Hill | Rocky Hill | ||
| Joel Barlow | Joel Barlow | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Joel Barlow | |
| Jonathan Law | Rocky Hill | Rocky Hill | ||
| Killingly | Rocky Hill | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Rocky Hill | |
| Lakeview United | Rocky Hill | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Rocky Hill | |
| Lauralton Hall | Lauralton Hall | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Lauralton Hall | |
| Ledyard | Ledyard | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Ledyard | |
| Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 2) | Lewis Mills | |
| Lyman Hall | Lyman Hall | Lyman Hall | ||
| Masuk | Masuk | Masuk | ||
| Mercy | Mercy | Mercy | ||
| Middletown-Coginchaug | Rocky Hill | Rocky Hill | ||
| Montville | Montville | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Montville | |
| Morgan School | Morgan School | Morgan School | ||
| New Canaan | New Canaan | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | New Canaan | |
| New Fairfield | New Fairfield | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | New Fairfield | |
| New London/St Bernards | Rocky Hill | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Rocky Hill | |
| New Milford | Rocky Hill | Rocky Hill | ||
| Newington | Newington | Newington | ||
| Newtown | Newtown | Newtown | ||
| North Branford | North Branford | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | North Branford | |
| North Haven | Rocky Hill | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Rocky Hill | |
| Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 3) | Northwest Catholic | |
| Norwalk | Norwalk | Norwalk | ||
| Norwich Free Academy | Norwich Free Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Norwich Free Academy | |
| Notre Dame Fairfield | Rocky Hill | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Rocky Hill | |
| Old Lyme | Old Lyme | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Old Lyme | |
| Old Saybrook | Rocky Hill | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Rocky Hill | |
| Pomperaug | Pomperaug | Pomperaug | ||
| RHAM | RHAM | RHAM 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Ridgefield | Ridgefield | Ridgefield | ||
| Rockville | Rockville | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | Rockville | |
| Sacred Heart Academy | Sacred Heart Academy | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Sacred Heart Academy | |
| Sheehan | Sheehan | Sheehan | ||
| Shelton | Rocky Hill | Rocky Hill | ||
| Simsbury | Simsbury | Simsbury 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Somers | Somers | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Somers | |
| South Windsor | South Windsor | insuffient: ( 0- 6)( 1- 5) | South Windsor | |
| Southington | Southington | Southington | ||
| St Joseph | St Joseph | St Joseph | ||
| St Paul Catholic | Rocky Hill | Rocky Hill | ||
| Stamford | Stamford | Stamford | ||
| Staples | Staples | Staples | ||
| Stonington | Stonington | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Stonington | |
| Stratford-Bunnell | Rocky Hill | Rocky Hill | ||
| Suffield HS | Suffield HS | Suffield HS 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Tolland | Tolland | Tolland 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Trumbull | Trumbull | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Trumbull | |
| Valley Regional | Rocky Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Rocky Hill | |
| Waterford | Waterford | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Waterford | |
| Watertown | Rocky Hill | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Rocky Hill | |
| West Haven | Rocky Hill | Rocky Hill | ||
| Westhill | Westhill | Westhill | ||
| Weston | Weston | Weston | ||
| Wethersfield | Rocky Hill | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | Rocky Hill | |
| Wheeler | Wheeler | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Wheeler | |
| Wilton | Wilton | Wilton | ||
| Windsor | Rocky Hill | Rocky Hill 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Wolcott | Rocky Hill | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | Rocky Hill | |
| Woodstock Academy | Rocky Hill | Rocky Hill |
PowerWise = 28
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.51
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Hall (11- 5, 82.9) 5-17 -16.99 17.82 0.73 1.09 -17.80
0 A East Catholic (11- 8, 79.0) 7-12 -20.93 13.88 0.73 1.09 -22.10
0 H Middletown-Cog ( 6-11, 72.9) 18- 3 -27.04 7.77 -0.73 1.09 7.70
0 H Hall (11- 5, 82.9) 10-11 -16.99 17.82 -0.73 1.09 -19.38
0 H Southington ( 9- 9, 81.7) 10-11 -18.17 16.64 -0.73 1.09 -20.67
0 H Griswold-Norwi ( 2-14, 69.7) 12- 4 -30.16 4.65 -0.73 1.09 4.30
0 A Newington ( 7-11, 77.8) 9-11 -22.13 12.68 0.73 1.09 -23.42
0 A St Paul Cathol ( 0-16, 65.1) 19- 5 -34.81 1.00 0.73 1.09 1.89
0 A Bristol Centra ( 4-12, 69.1) 17- 4 -30.77 4.04 0.73 1.09 5.21
0 H East Catholic (11- 8, 79.0) 8-19 -20.93 13.88 -0.73 1.09 -23.69
0 H Granby Memoria (14- 6, 81.7) 6-17 -18.20 16.61 -0.73 1.09 -20.71
0 H Morgan School ( 8- 9, 74.8) 7- 8 -25.11 9.70 -0.73 1.09 -28.26
0 A Middletown-Cog ( 6-11, 72.9) 15- 9 -27.04 7.77 0.73 1.09 9.29
0 A Farmington (13- 6, 83.3) 3-17 -16.60 18.20 0.73 1.09 -17.37
0 H Ellington (10- 9, 81.7) 1-13 -18.15 16.66 -0.73 1.09 -20.66
0 H Berlin ( 9-10, 77.0) 7- 8 -22.91 11.90 -0.73 1.09 -25.86
------
-211.53
|
winning pts = 28.3883 losing points = -239.9209
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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