Rochester HS
W-L: ( 9- 8) PR = 82.1499Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 404 A Rochester Stoney Creek ( 9- 8, 86.8) 6-16 407 H Avondale ( 1-12, 72.2) 17- 0 409 A Royal Oak ( 2-16, 79.2) 8- 4 414 H Farmington ( 5-10, 82.8) 9- 6 416 H Chippewa Valley ( 4-11, 79.2) 11-10 417 H Henry Ford II ( 0- 7, 71.0) 13- 3 421 H Oxford (12-10, 84.4) 11-12 423 A Holly-Brandon Co-Op ( 3-12, 75.8) 11- 5 425 A Flushing ( 5-11, 77.4) 18-11 428 A Rochester Adams (14- 4, 88.0) 6-18 430 H Clarkston ( 7- 7, 85.0) 12-11 502 H Utica Eisenhower ( 8- 5, 85.2) 10-10 507 A West Bloomfield ( 7- 8, 81.1) 7-12 508 A Waterford United ( 2- 8, 77.1) 11- 3 512 H Notre Dame Prep ( 4-10, 84.3) 4-12 514 A Troy Athens (14- 7, 86.7) 4-13 516 A Sacred Heart Academy ( 8- 7, 85.6) 9-14 519 H Cranbrook Kingswood (10- 6, 92.5) 4-16
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
404 A Rochester Stoney Creek 6-16 -10 -5 0.00
407 H Avondale 17- 0 17 11 0.00
409 A Royal Oak 8- 4 4 2 1.63
414 H Farmington 9- 6 3 0 + 3.01
416 H Chippewa Valley 11-10 1 4 - -2.54
417 H Henry Ford II 13- 3 10 12 0.00
421 H Oxford 11-12 -1 -2 0.58
423 A Holly-Brandon Co-Op 11- 5 6 6 0.00
425 A Flushing 18-11 7 4 0.91
428 A Rochester Adams 6-18 -12 -6 0.00
430 H Clarkston 12-11 1 -2 + 3.22
502 H Utica Eisenhower 10-10 0 -2 + 2.40
507 A West Bloomfield 7-12 -5 0 -- -5.40
508 A Waterford United 11- 3 8 4 0.57
512 H Notre Dame Prep 4-12 -8 -2 - -3.48
514 A Troy Athens 4-13 -9 -5 0.00
516 A Sacred Heart Academy 9-14 -5 -4 -0.92
519 H Cranbrook Kingswood 4-16 -12 -10 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 507 A West Bloomfield 7-12 -5 0 -- -5.40 416 H Chippewa Valley 11-10 1 4 - -2.54 512 H Notre Dame Prep 4-12 -8 -2 - -3.48 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 414 H Farmington 9- 6 3 0 + 3.01 430 H Clarkston 12-11 1 -2 + 3.22 502 H Utica Eisenhower 10-10 0 -2 + 2.40 |
Rochester HS Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ann Arbor Father Gabriel | Ann Arbor Father Gabriel | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ann Arbor Father Gabriel | |
| Ann Arbor Huron | Rochester HS | Rochester HS | ||
| Ann Arbor Pioneer | Ann Arbor Pioneer | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Ann Arbor Pioneer | |
| Ann Arbor Skyline | Ann Arbor Skyline | Ann Arbor Skyline | ||
| Avondale | Rochester HS | Rochester HS | ||
| Battle Creek Harper Cree | Battle Creek Harper Cree | Battle Creek Harper Cree | ||
| Bedford | Rochester HS | Rochester HS | ||
| Birmingham Unified | Birmingham Unified | Birmingham Unified 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Bloomfield Hills | Bloomfield Hills | Bloomfield Hills 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Brighton | Brighton | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Brighton | |
| Brighton B | Brighton B | Brighton B | ||
| Byron Center | Byron Center | Byron Center | ||
| Caledonia | Caledonia | Caledonia | ||
| Canton | Rochester HS | Rochester HS | ||
| Cass Tech | Rochester HS | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Rochester HS | |
| Catholic Central | Catholic Central | Catholic Central | ||
| Chippewa Valley | Rochester HS | Rochester HS | ||
| Clarkston | Rochester HS | Rochester HS | ||
| Comstock Park | Comstock Park | Comstock Park | ||
| Cranbrook Kingswood | Cranbrook Kingswood | Cranbrook Kingswood | ||
| Davison | Rochester HS | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Rochester HS | |
| Detroit Country Day | Detroit Country Day | Detroit Country Day 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| DeWitt | DeWitt | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | DeWitt | |
| Dexter | Dexter | Dexter | ||
| Divine Child | Divine Child | insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 3) | Divine Child | |
| East Grand Rapids | East Grand Rapids | East Grand Rapids | ||
| East Lansing | East Lansing | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | East Lansing | |
| Farmington | Rochester HS | Rochester HS | ||
| Fenton-Linden Co-Op | Fenton-Linden Co-Op | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Fenton-Linden Co-Op | |
| Flint Powers Catholic | Flint Powers Catholic | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Flint Powers Catholic | |
| Flushing | Rochester HS | Rochester HS | ||
| Forest Hills Central | Forest Hills Central | Forest Hills Central | ||
| Forest Hills Northern/Ea | Forest Hills Northern/Ea | Forest Hills Northern/Ea | ||
| Grand Blanc | Grand Blanc | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) | Grand Blanc | |
| Grand Haven | Grand Haven | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Grand Haven | |
| Grand Ledge | Grand Ledge | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Grand Ledge | |
| Grand Rapids Christian | Grand Rapids Christian | Grand Rapids Christian | ||
| Grandville | Grandville | Grandville | ||
| Grosse Pointe North | Grosse Pointe North | tied - ( 4- 3) ( 4- 4) | Grosse Pointe North | |
| Grosse Pointe South | Grosse Pointe South | Grosse Pointe South 5- 0 vs 3- 1 | ||
| Hartland | Hartland | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Hartland | |
| Haslett | Haslett | Haslett | ||
| Henry Ford II | Rochester HS | Rochester HS | ||
| Holland West Ottawa | Rochester HS | Rochester HS | ||
| Holly-Brandon Co-Op | Rochester HS | Rochester HS | ||
| Holt | Holt | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Holt | |
| Howell | Howell | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Howell | |
| Hudsonville | Hudsonville | Hudsonville | ||
| Jenison | Rochester HS | Rochester HS | ||
| Kalamazoo Central | Rochester HS | Rochester HS | ||
| Lake Fenton | Rochester HS | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Rochester HS | |
| Lake Orion | Lake Orion | Lake Orion 6- 0 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Lakeview | Rochester HS | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) | Rochester HS | |
| Lansing Catholic-Waverly | Lansing Catholic-Waverly | Lansing Catholic-Waverly | ||
| Lapeer | Rochester HS | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Rochester HS | |
| Livonia United | Livonia United | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Livonia United | |
| Lowell | Lowell | Lowell | ||
| Marian | Marian | Marian 4- 1 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Mattawan | Mattawan | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Mattawan | |
| Mercy | Mercy | Mercy 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Midland | Rochester HS | Rochester HS | ||
| Mona Shores | Mona Shores | Mona Shores | ||
| Northview | Northview | Northview | ||
| Northville | Northville | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Northville | |
| Notre Dame Prep | Notre Dame Prep | Notre Dame Prep | ||
| Novi | Novi | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Novi | |
| Okemos | Okemos | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Okemos | |
| Oxford | Oxford | Oxford | ||
| Plymouth | Plymouth | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Plymouth | |
| Portage Northern | Portage Northern | Portage Northern | ||
| Reeths-Puffer | Reeths-Puffer | Reeths-Puffer | ||
| Rochester Adams | Rochester Adams | Rochester Adams | ||
| Rochester Stoney Creek | Rochester Stoney Creek | Rochester Stoney Creek | ||
| Rockford | Rockford | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) | Rockford | |
| Royal Oak | Rochester HS | Rochester HS | ||
| Sacred Heart Academy | Sacred Heart Academy | Sacred Heart Academy | ||
| Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Salem | Rochester HS | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Rochester HS | |
| Saline | Saline | Saline | ||
| South Lyon United | South Lyon United | South Lyon United 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Spring Lake | Spring Lake | Spring Lake | ||
| St Catherine of Siena | Rochester HS | Rochester HS 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| St Johns/Ovid-Elsie | Rochester HS | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Rochester HS | |
| Swartz Creek | Swartz Creek | insuffient: ( 4- 0)( 3- 1) | Swartz Creek | |
| Tecumseh | Rochester HS | Rochester HS | ||
| Traverse City Central | Traverse City Central | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Traverse City Central | |
| Troy | Troy | Troy 4- 4 vs 2- 6 | ||
| Troy Athens | Troy Athens | Troy Athens | ||
| University Liggett | University Liggett | University Liggett 5- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Utica Eisenhower | Utica Eisenhower | insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 4- 1) | Utica Eisenhower | |
| Walled Lake Northern | Rochester HS | Rochester HS | ||
| Warren Regina | Rochester HS | tied - ( 3- 3) ( 3- 4) | Rochester HS | |
| Waterford United | Rochester HS | Rochester HS | ||
| West Bloomfield | West Bloomfield | West Bloomfield | ||
| White Lake Lakeland | White Lake Lakeland | White Lake Lakeland | ||
| Zeeland East | Zeeland East | Zeeland East |
PowerWise = 27
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 16.08
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Rochester Ston ( 9- 8, 86.8) 6-16 -13.13 16.06 0.62 0.89 -11.18
0 H Avondale ( 1-12, 72.2) 17- 0 -27.68 1.51 -0.62 0.89 0.80
0 A Royal Oak ( 2-16, 79.2) 8- 4 -20.74 8.45 0.62 0.89 8.10
0 H Farmington ( 5-10, 82.8) 9- 6 -17.12 12.07 -0.62 0.89 10.23
0 H Chippewa Valle ( 4-11, 79.2) 11-10 -20.67 8.52 -0.62 0.89 7.06
0 H Henry Ford II ( 0- 7, 71.0) 13- 3 -28.91 1.00 -0.62 0.89 0.34
0 H Oxford (12-10, 84.4) 11-12 -15.55 13.65 -0.62 0.89 -14.44
0 A Holly-Brandon ( 3-12, 75.8) 11- 5 -24.06 5.13 0.62 0.89 5.14
0 A Flushing ( 5-11, 77.4) 18-11 -22.46 6.73 0.62 0.89 6.57
0 A Rochester Adam (14- 4, 88.0) 6-18 -11.89 17.31 0.62 0.89 -10.06
0 H Clarkston ( 7- 7, 85.0) 12-11 -14.91 14.28 -0.62 0.89 12.21
0 A West Bloomfiel ( 7- 8, 81.1) 7-12 -18.77 10.42 0.62 0.89 -16.22
0 A Waterford Unit ( 2- 8, 77.1) 11- 3 -22.80 6.39 0.62 0.89 6.27
0 H Notre Dame Pre ( 4-10, 84.3) 4-12 -15.61 13.59 -0.62 0.89 -14.50
0 A Troy Athens (14- 7, 86.7) 4-13 -13.24 15.95 0.62 0.89 -11.28
0 A Sacred Heart A ( 8- 7, 85.6) 9-14 -14.29 14.90 0.62 0.89 -12.21
0 H Cranbrook King (10- 6, 92.5) 4-16 -7.42 21.77 -0.62 0.89 -7.18
------
-40.35
|
winning pts = 56.7155 losing points = -97.0688
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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