---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:41 PDT

safe3step girls Rock Canyon 1
  
Rock Canyon           
W-L: ( 4-10) PR = 85.3408

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 306 H Chatfield ( 6-10, 89.1) 7-15 308 A Horizon ( 7-10, 81.9) 16- 4 312 H Cherry Creek ( 6- 8, 89.1) 11-15 328 A Cherokee Trail ( 4-11, 83.9) 15-14 329 A Grandview ( 4-11, 79.2) 20- 1 331 H Golden (11- 6, 89.7) 7-13 408 H Liberty ( 2-14, 73.6) 20- 0 410 A Palmer Ridge ( 9- 7, 88.2) 11-13 415 A Castle View ( 7- 8, 87.8) 12-13 417 A Heritage (14- 3, 93.1) 4-16 419 H Northfield ( 9- 7, 88.5) 10-12 422 H Regis Jesuit (14- 3, 97.1) 3-18 424 H ThunderRidge (14- 3, 96.8) 0-14 430 A Pine Creek ( 9- 7, 87.5) 8-13

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   306 H Chatfield               7-15      -8    -3          -1.73
   308 A Horizon                16- 4      12     3    +      2.04
   312 H Cherry Creek           11-15      -4    -3          -0.72
   328 A Cherokee Trail         15-14       1     1          -0.02
   329 A Grandview              20- 1      19     6           0.00
   331 H Golden                  7-13      -6    -4          -1.09
   408 H Liberty                20- 0      20    12           0.00
   410 A Palmer Ridge           11-13      -2    -3           1.28
   415 A Castle View            12-13      -1    -3           1.86
   417 A Heritage                4-16     -12    -8           0.00
   419 H Northfield             10-12      -2    -3           0.76
   422 H Regis Jesuit            3-18     -15   -11           0.00
   424 H ThunderRidge            0-14     -14   -11           0.00
   430 A Pine Creek              8-13      -5    -3    -     -2.35

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   430 A Pine Creek              8-13      -5    -3    -     -2.35

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   308 A Horizon                16- 4      12     3    +      2.04

Rock Canyon Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Air Academy Rock Canyon insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 1- 5) Rock Canyon
Arapahoe Arapahoe tied - ( 2- 5) ( 2- 5) Arapahoe
Aspen Aspen   Aspen
Battle Mountain Battle Mountain tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Battle Mountain
Castle View Castle View Castle View  
Chatfield Chatfield Chatfield  
Cherokee Trail Rock Canyon Rock Canyon  
Cherry Creek Cherry Creek Cherry Creek  
Cheyenne Mountain Rock Canyon tied - ( 1- 4) ( 1- 4) Rock Canyon
Colorado Academy Colorado Academy Colorado Academy   3- 2 vs 0- 5
Columbine Rock Canyon tied - ( 1- 4) ( 1- 4) Rock Canyon
Conifer Rock Canyon tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Rock Canyon
Dakota Ridge Rock Canyon insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 3) Rock Canyon
Denver East Denver East insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 3- 3) Denver East
Denver North Rock Canyon Rock Canyon   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Denver South Denver South tied - ( 3- 3) ( 3- 3) Denver South
Durango Rock Canyon tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Rock Canyon
Eagle Valley Rock Canyon   Rock Canyon
Eaglecrest Rock Canyon Rock Canyon   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Evergreen Evergreen Evergreen   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Fairview Fairview Fairview   4- 2 vs 0- 6
Fruita Monument Rock Canyon   Rock Canyon
Golden Golden Golden  
Grand Junction Rock Canyon tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Rock Canyon
Grandview Rock Canyon Rock Canyon  
Green Mountain Green Mountain Green Mountain   4- 1 vs 0- 5
Heritage Heritage Heritage  
Holy Family Rock Canyon insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) Rock Canyon
Horizon Rock Canyon Rock Canyon  
Kent Denver Kent Denver Kent Denver   3- 2 vs 0- 5
Legend Rock Canyon   Rock Canyon
Liberty Rock Canyon Rock Canyon  
Mead Mead Mead   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Montrose Rock Canyon   Rock Canyon
Mullen Rock Canyon tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) Rock Canyon
Northfield Northfield Northfield  
Palmer Rock Canyon insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Rock Canyon
Palmer Ridge Palmer Ridge Palmer Ridge  
Pine Creek Pine Creek Pine Creek  
Poudre District Poudre District Poudre District   3- 2 vs 1- 4
Pueblo West Rock Canyon insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Rock Canyon
Ralston Valley Ralston Valley Ralston Valley   6- 0 vs 2- 4
Rampart Rock Canyon tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Rock Canyon
Regis Jesuit Regis Jesuit Regis Jesuit  
Roaring Fork Roaring Fork   Roaring Fork
St Marys Academy Rock Canyon insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Rock Canyon
Steamboat Springs Steamboat Springs tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Steamboat Springs
Summit Rock Canyon   Rock Canyon
Telluride Rock Canyon tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Rock Canyon
ThunderRidge ThunderRidge ThunderRidge  
Valor Christian Valor Christian Valor Christian   5- 0 vs 0- 5

PowerWise = 25


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 15.38

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Chatfield       ( 6-10, 89.1)     7-15      -10.84      19.88      -0.45         1.10           -12.41
   0 A Horizon         ( 7-10, 81.9)    16- 4      -17.97      12.76       0.45         1.10            14.51
   0 H Cherry Creek    ( 6- 8, 89.1)    11-15      -10.83      19.89      -0.45         1.10           -12.40
   0 A Cherokee Trail  ( 4-11, 83.9)    15-14      -16.03      14.70       0.45         1.10            16.64
   0 A Grandview       ( 4-11, 79.2)    20- 1      -20.68      10.04       0.45         1.10            11.52
   0 H Golden          (11- 6, 89.7)     7-13      -10.20      20.52      -0.45         1.10           -11.70
   0 H Liberty         ( 2-14, 73.6)    20- 0      -26.30       4.42      -0.45         1.10             4.37
   0 A Palmer Ridge    ( 9- 7, 88.2)    11-13      -11.72      19.00       0.45         1.10           -12.39
   0 A Castle View     ( 7- 8, 87.8)    12-13      -12.15      18.58       0.45         1.10           -12.85
   0 A Heritage        (14- 3, 93.1)     4-16       -6.78      23.95       0.45         1.10            -6.95
   0 H Northfield      ( 9- 7, 88.5)    10-12      -11.35      19.37      -0.45         1.10           -12.97
   0 H Regis Jesuit    (14- 3, 97.1)     3-18       -2.83      27.90      -0.45         1.10            -3.60
   0 H ThunderRidge    (14- 3, 96.8)     0-14       -3.07      27.66      -0.45         1.10            -3.86
   0 A Pine Creek      ( 9- 7, 87.5)     8-13      -12.35      18.37       0.45         1.10           -13.08
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -55.18

winning pts = 47.0423 losing points = -102.2196

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------