Rock Canyon
W-L: ( 4-10) PR = 85.3408
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
306 H Chatfield ( 6-10, 89.1) 7-15
308 A Horizon ( 7-10, 81.9) 16- 4
312 H Cherry Creek ( 6- 8, 89.1) 11-15
328 A Cherokee Trail ( 4-11, 83.9) 15-14
329 A Grandview ( 4-11, 79.2) 20- 1
331 H Golden (11- 6, 89.7) 7-13
408 H Liberty ( 2-14, 73.6) 20- 0
410 A Palmer Ridge ( 9- 7, 88.2) 11-13
415 A Castle View ( 7- 8, 87.8) 12-13
417 A Heritage (14- 3, 93.1) 4-16
419 H Northfield ( 9- 7, 88.5) 10-12
422 H Regis Jesuit (14- 3, 97.1) 3-18
424 H ThunderRidge (14- 3, 96.8) 0-14
430 A Pine Creek ( 9- 7, 87.5) 8-13
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
306 H Chatfield 7-15 -8 -3 -1.73
308 A Horizon 16- 4 12 3 + 2.04
312 H Cherry Creek 11-15 -4 -3 -0.72
328 A Cherokee Trail 15-14 1 1 -0.02
329 A Grandview 20- 1 19 6 0.00
331 H Golden 7-13 -6 -4 -1.09
408 H Liberty 20- 0 20 12 0.00
410 A Palmer Ridge 11-13 -2 -3 1.28
415 A Castle View 12-13 -1 -3 1.86
417 A Heritage 4-16 -12 -8 0.00
419 H Northfield 10-12 -2 -3 0.76
422 H Regis Jesuit 3-18 -15 -11 0.00
424 H ThunderRidge 0-14 -14 -11 0.00
430 A Pine Creek 8-13 -5 -3 - -2.35
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
430 A Pine Creek 8-13 -5 -3 - -2.35
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
308 A Horizon 16- 4 12 3 + 2.04
|
Rock Canyon Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
Air Academy |
Rock Canyon |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 1- 5) |
Rock Canyon |
Arapahoe |
Arapahoe |
|
tied - ( 2- 5) ( 2- 5) |
Arapahoe |
Aspen |
Aspen |
|
 
| Aspen |
Battle Mountain |
Battle Mountain |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Battle Mountain |
Castle View |
Castle View |
Castle View |
 
| |
Chatfield |
Chatfield |
Chatfield |
 
| |
Cherokee Trail |
Rock Canyon |
Rock Canyon |
 
| |
Cherry Creek |
Cherry Creek |
Cherry Creek |
 
| |
Cheyenne Mountain |
Rock Canyon |
|
tied - ( 1- 4) ( 1- 4) |
Rock Canyon |
Colorado Academy |
Colorado Academy |
|
Colorado Academy   3- 2 vs 0- 5 |
|
Columbine |
Rock Canyon |
|
tied - ( 1- 4) ( 1- 4) |
Rock Canyon |
Conifer |
Rock Canyon |
|
tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) |
Rock Canyon |
Dakota Ridge |
Rock Canyon |
|
insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 3) |
Rock Canyon |
Denver East |
Denver East |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 3- 3) |
Denver East |
Denver North |
Rock Canyon |
|
Rock Canyon   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
Denver South |
Denver South |
|
tied - ( 3- 3) ( 3- 3) |
Denver South |
Durango |
Rock Canyon |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Rock Canyon |
Eagle Valley |
Rock Canyon |
|
 
| Rock Canyon |
Eaglecrest |
Rock Canyon |
|
Rock Canyon   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
Evergreen |
Evergreen |
|
Evergreen   4- 0 vs 1- 3 |
|
Fairview |
Fairview |
|
Fairview   4- 2 vs 0- 6 |
|
Fruita Monument |
Rock Canyon |
|
 
| Rock Canyon |
Golden |
Golden |
Golden |
 
| |
Grand Junction |
Rock Canyon |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Rock Canyon |
Grandview |
Rock Canyon |
Rock Canyon |
 
| |
Green Mountain |
Green Mountain |
|
Green Mountain   4- 1 vs 0- 5 |
|
Heritage |
Heritage |
Heritage |
 
| |
Holy Family |
Rock Canyon |
|
insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) |
Rock Canyon |
Horizon |
Rock Canyon |
Rock Canyon |
 
| |
Kent Denver |
Kent Denver |
|
Kent Denver   3- 2 vs 0- 5 |
|
Legend |
Rock Canyon |
|
 
| Rock Canyon |
Liberty |
Rock Canyon |
Rock Canyon |
 
| |
Mead |
Mead |
|
Mead   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
Montrose |
Rock Canyon |
|
 
| Rock Canyon |
Mullen |
Rock Canyon |
|
tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) |
Rock Canyon |
Northfield |
Northfield |
Northfield |
 
| |
Palmer |
Rock Canyon |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Rock Canyon |
Palmer Ridge |
Palmer Ridge |
Palmer Ridge |
 
| |
Pine Creek |
Pine Creek |
Pine Creek |
 
| |
Poudre District |
Poudre District |
|
Poudre District   3- 2 vs 1- 4 |
|
Pueblo West |
Rock Canyon |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) |
Rock Canyon |
Ralston Valley |
Ralston Valley |
|
Ralston Valley   6- 0 vs 2- 4 |
|
Rampart |
Rock Canyon |
|
tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) |
Rock Canyon |
Regis Jesuit |
Regis Jesuit |
Regis Jesuit |
 
| |
Roaring Fork |
Roaring Fork |
|
 
| Roaring Fork |
St Marys Academy |
Rock Canyon |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Rock Canyon |
Steamboat Springs |
Steamboat Springs |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Steamboat Springs |
Summit |
Rock Canyon |
|
 
| Rock Canyon |
Telluride |
Rock Canyon |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Rock Canyon |
ThunderRidge |
ThunderRidge |
ThunderRidge |
 
| |
Valor Christian |
Valor Christian |
|
Valor Christian   5- 0 vs 0- 5 |
|
PowerWise = 25

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 15.38
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Chatfield ( 6-10, 89.1) 7-15 -10.84 19.88 -0.45 1.10 -12.41
0 A Horizon ( 7-10, 81.9) 16- 4 -17.97 12.76 0.45 1.10 14.51
0 H Cherry Creek ( 6- 8, 89.1) 11-15 -10.83 19.89 -0.45 1.10 -12.40
0 A Cherokee Trail ( 4-11, 83.9) 15-14 -16.03 14.70 0.45 1.10 16.64
0 A Grandview ( 4-11, 79.2) 20- 1 -20.68 10.04 0.45 1.10 11.52
0 H Golden (11- 6, 89.7) 7-13 -10.20 20.52 -0.45 1.10 -11.70
0 H Liberty ( 2-14, 73.6) 20- 0 -26.30 4.42 -0.45 1.10 4.37
0 A Palmer Ridge ( 9- 7, 88.2) 11-13 -11.72 19.00 0.45 1.10 -12.39
0 A Castle View ( 7- 8, 87.8) 12-13 -12.15 18.58 0.45 1.10 -12.85
0 A Heritage (14- 3, 93.1) 4-16 -6.78 23.95 0.45 1.10 -6.95
0 H Northfield ( 9- 7, 88.5) 10-12 -11.35 19.37 -0.45 1.10 -12.97
0 H Regis Jesuit (14- 3, 97.1) 3-18 -2.83 27.90 -0.45 1.10 -3.60
0 H ThunderRidge (14- 3, 96.8) 0-14 -3.07 27.66 -0.45 1.10 -3.86
0 A Pine Creek ( 9- 7, 87.5) 8-13 -12.35 18.37 0.45 1.10 -13.08
------
-55.18
|
winning pts = 47.0423 losing points = -102.2196
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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