---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:58 PDT

safe3step girls RJ Reynolds 1
  
RJ Reynolds           
W-L: (13-10) PR = 81.3106

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 225 H Northern Guilford ( 1-11, 75.4) 14- 2 227 A East Chapel Hill (22- 4, 94.1) 2-18 304 H Lake Norman HS (13- 7, 89.0) 3-17 306 A Northwest Guilford (16- 5, 88.2) 3-10 318 A Davie (10-10, 75.8) 13- 1 320 A Page ( 5- 9, 80.4) 8- 5 321 H Mount Tabor ( 3-13, 70.5) 18- 4 325 H Bishop McGuinness (20- 4, 86.2) 3-16 326 H Glenn ( 0-19, 60.1) 20- 2 401 H East Forsyth ( 4-14, 74.8) 17- 2 402 H Grimsley (11- 7, 80.7) 6- 7 404 A West Forsyth (21- 6, 84.7) 13-14 408 H Ronald Reagan (17- 7, 81.5) 7-14 415 A Mount Tabor ( 3-13, 70.5) 18- 6 417 H Davie (10-10, 75.8) 18- 4 423 A Glenn ( 0-19, 60.1) 25- 1 425 A East Forsyth ( 4-14, 74.8) 13- 2 429 H West Forsyth (21- 6, 84.7) 8-20 502 A Ronald Reagan (17- 7, 81.5) 20-17 505 H Mount Tabor ( 3-13, 70.5) 19- 2 507 H Ronald Reagan (17- 7, 81.5) 11-12 513 H Page ( 5- 9, 80.4) 11- 8 516 A Marvin Ridge (19- 4, 94.0) 0-13

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   225 H Northern Guilford      14- 2      12     6           0.00
   227 A East Chapel Hill        2-18     -16   -13           0.00
   304 H Lake Norman HS          3-17     -14    -7           0.00
   306 A Northwest Guilford      3-10      -7    -7           0.00
   318 A Davie                  13- 1      12     5           0.00
   320 A Page                    8- 5       3     1    +      2.41
   321 H Mount Tabor            18- 4      14    11           0.00
   325 H Bishop McGuinness       3-16     -13    -5          -0.43
   326 H Glenn                  20- 2      18    22           0.00
   401 H East Forsyth           17- 2      15     7           0.00
   402 H Grimsley                6- 7      -1     1          -1.94
   404 A West Forsyth           13-14      -1    -4    +      2.73
   408 H Ronald Reagan           7-14      -7     0    --    -5.11
   415 A Mount Tabor            18- 6      12    10           0.00
   417 H Davie                  18- 4      14     6           0.00
   423 A Glenn                  25- 1      24    21           0.00
   425 A East Forsyth           13- 2      11     6           0.00
   429 H West Forsyth            8-20     -12    -3          -1.88
   502 A Ronald Reagan          20-17       3     0    +      3.50
   505 H Mount Tabor            19- 2      17    11           0.00
   507 H Ronald Reagan          11-12      -1     0          -1.11
   513 H Page                   11- 8       3     1           1.80
   516 A Marvin Ridge            0-13     -13   -13           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 H Ronald Reagan           7-14      -7     0    --    -5.11

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 A Page                    8- 5       3     1    +      2.41
   404 A West Forsyth           13-14      -1    -4    +      2.73
   502 A Ronald Reagan          20-17       3     0    +      3.50

RJ Reynolds Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Apex Apex   Apex
Apex Friendship Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Ardrey Kell Ardrey Kell tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ardrey Kell
Arendell Parrott Academy Arendell Parrott Academy   Arendell Parrott Academy
Asheville HS Asheville HS tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Asheville HS
Asheville School Asheville School   Asheville School
Ashley Ashley tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ashley
Athens Drive Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Atkins RJ Reynolds tied - ( 3- 4) ( 3- 3) RJ Reynolds
Ballantyne Ridge RJ Reynolds tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) RJ Reynolds
Bishop McGuinness Bishop McGuinness Bishop McGuinness  
Broughton Broughton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Broughton
Butler RJ Reynolds tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) RJ Reynolds
Cannon School Cannon School insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cannon School
Cape Fear Academy RJ Reynolds   RJ Reynolds
Cape Fear HS RJ Reynolds   RJ Reynolds
Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cardinal Gibbons
Carrboro RJ Reynolds tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) RJ Reynolds
Cary Academy RJ Reynolds   RJ Reynolds
Cary HS RJ Reynolds   RJ Reynolds
Chapel Hill Chapel Hill Chapel Hill   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Charlotte Catholic Charlotte Catholic insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Charlotte Catholic
Charlotte CDS Charlotte CDS insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Charlotte CDS
Charlotte Christian Charlotte Christian tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Charlotte Christian
Charlotte Latin School Charlotte Latin School Charlotte Latin School   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Christ the King Christ the King   Christ the King
Clayton RJ Reynolds   RJ Reynolds
Cleveland RJ Reynolds   RJ Reynolds
Community School Davidso RJ Reynolds tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) RJ Reynolds
Corinth Holders RJ Reynolds   RJ Reynolds
Croatan Croatan   Croatan
Cuthbertson Cuthbertson Cuthbertson   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Davidson Day School Davidson Day School tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Davidson Day School
Davie RJ Reynolds RJ Reynolds  
DH Conley RJ Reynolds   RJ Reynolds
Durham Academy Durham Academy   Durham Academy
East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill  
East Forsyth RJ Reynolds RJ Reynolds  
Enloe RJ Reynolds   RJ Reynolds
Fayetteville Academy Fayetteville Academy   Fayetteville Academy
Fike RJ Reynolds   RJ Reynolds
First Flight RJ Reynolds   RJ Reynolds
Forsyth CDS Forsyth CDS insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 4- 0) Forsyth CDS
Fuquay-Varina Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
Garner RJ Reynolds   RJ Reynolds
Glenn RJ Reynolds RJ Reynolds  
Green Hope Green Hope tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Green Hope
Green Level RJ Reynolds   RJ Reynolds
Greensboro Day School RJ Reynolds insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) RJ Reynolds
Grimsley Grimsley Grimsley  
Havelock RJ Reynolds   RJ Reynolds
Heritage RJ Reynolds   RJ Reynolds
Hickory RJ Reynolds tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) RJ Reynolds
High Point Central RJ Reynolds tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) RJ Reynolds
Hoggard Hoggard   Hoggard
Holly Springs Holly Springs insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 0) Holly Springs
Hopewell RJ Reynolds   RJ Reynolds
Hough Hough tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Hough
Hunt RJ Reynolds   RJ Reynolds
Independence RJ Reynolds   RJ Reynolds
Jack Britt RJ Reynolds   RJ Reynolds
Jacksonville RJ Reynolds   RJ Reynolds
JH Rose JH Rose   JH Rose
Jordan RJ Reynolds tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) RJ Reynolds
Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3) Lake Norman Charter
Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS  
Laney Laney   Laney
Leesville Road Leesville Road   Leesville Road
Lincoln Charter RJ Reynolds   RJ Reynolds
Marvin Ridge Marvin Ridge Marvin Ridge  
Middle Creek Middle Creek   Middle Creek
Millbrook Millbrook   Millbrook
Mooresville RJ Reynolds insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) RJ Reynolds
Mount Tabor RJ Reynolds RJ Reynolds  
Myers Park Myers Park insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 3) Myers Park
New Bern New Bern tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) New Bern
New Hanover New Hanover   New Hanover
North Brunswick RJ Reynolds   RJ Reynolds
North Davidson RJ Reynolds insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) RJ Reynolds
North Lincoln RJ Reynolds   RJ Reynolds
Northern Guilford RJ Reynolds RJ Reynolds  
Northside RJ Reynolds   RJ Reynolds
Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford  
Northwood RJ Reynolds tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) RJ Reynolds
Page RJ Reynolds RJ Reynolds  
Panther Creek RJ Reynolds   RJ Reynolds
Parkwood RJ Reynolds tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) RJ Reynolds
Patton RJ Reynolds   RJ Reynolds
Pine Forest RJ Reynolds   RJ Reynolds
Pine Lake Prep RJ Reynolds tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) RJ Reynolds
Pinecrest Pinecrest tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Pinecrest
Porter Ridge RJ Reynolds tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) RJ Reynolds
Providence RJ Reynolds   RJ Reynolds
Providence Day Providence Day Providence Day   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee RJ Reynolds   RJ Reynolds
Ragsdale RJ Reynolds RJ Reynolds   3- 2 vs 1- 4
Ravenscroft School Ravenscroft School   Ravenscroft School
Riverside Durham RJ Reynolds tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) RJ Reynolds
Rolesville RJ Reynolds   RJ Reynolds
Ronald Reagan Ronald Reagan Ronald Reagan  
Sanderson RJ Reynolds   RJ Reynolds
Seaforth Seaforth tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Seaforth
South Brunswick South Brunswick   South Brunswick
South Iredell RJ Reynolds tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) RJ Reynolds
South Mecklenburg South Mecklenburg tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) South Mecklenburg
Southeast Guilford RJ Reynolds insuffient: ( 3- 4)( 4- 3) RJ Reynolds
Southlake Christian RJ Reynolds   RJ Reynolds
Southwest Guilford RJ Reynolds RJ Reynolds   5- 3 vs 2- 5
St Davids School RJ Reynolds   RJ Reynolds
St Marys St Marys tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) St Marys
St Stephens RJ Reynolds tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) RJ Reynolds
Sun Valley RJ Reynolds tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) RJ Reynolds
Swansboro Swansboro   Swansboro
TC Roberson RJ Reynolds insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) RJ Reynolds
Terry Sanford RJ Reynolds   RJ Reynolds
Topsail Topsail tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Topsail
Union Pines Union Pines tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 1) Union Pines
Wake Forest Wake Forest   Wake Forest
Wakefield Wakefield   Wakefield
Watauga RJ Reynolds insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) RJ Reynolds
Weddington Weddington tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 1) Weddington
West Brunswick RJ Reynolds   RJ Reynolds
West Forsyth West Forsyth West Forsyth  
West Stokes RJ Reynolds insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) RJ Reynolds
White Oak RJ Reynolds   RJ Reynolds
Willow Spring Willow Spring   Willow Spring

PowerWise = 67


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.87

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Northern Guilf  ( 1-11, 75.4)    14- 2      -24.50      15.31      -0.31         0.73            11.00
   0 A East Chapel Hi  (22- 4, 94.1)     2-18       -5.77      34.03       0.31         0.73            -4.01
   0 H Lake Norman HS  (13- 7, 89.0)     3-17      -10.86      28.94      -0.31         0.73            -8.19
   0 A Northwest Guil  (16- 5, 88.2)     3-10      -11.67      28.14       0.31         0.73            -8.33
   0 A Davie           (10-10, 75.8)    13- 1      -24.14      15.66       0.31         0.73            11.71
   0 A Page            ( 5- 9, 80.4)     8- 5      -19.48      20.32       0.31         0.73            15.13
   0 H Mount Tabor     ( 3-13, 70.5)    18- 4      -29.36      10.45      -0.31         0.73             7.44
   0 H Bishop McGuinn  (20- 4, 86.2)     3-16      -13.71      26.09      -0.31         0.73           -10.28
   0 H Glenn           ( 0-19, 60.1)    20- 2      -39.80       1.00      -0.31         0.73             0.51
   0 H East Forsyth    ( 4-14, 74.8)    17- 2      -25.07      14.74      -0.31         0.73            10.58
   0 H Grimsley        (11- 7, 80.7)     6- 7      -19.22      20.58      -0.31         0.73           -14.32
   0 A West Forsyth    (21- 6, 84.7)    13-14      -15.17      24.64       0.31         0.73           -10.90
   0 H Ronald Reagan   (17- 7, 81.5)     7-14      -18.40      21.41      -0.31         0.73           -13.71
   0 A Mount Tabor     ( 3-13, 70.5)    18- 6      -29.36      10.45       0.31         0.73             7.88
   0 H Davie           (10-10, 75.8)    18- 4      -24.14      15.66      -0.31         0.73            11.26
   0 A Glenn           ( 0-19, 60.1)    25- 1      -39.80       1.00       0.31         0.73             0.96
   0 A East Forsyth    ( 4-14, 74.8)    13- 2      -25.07      14.74       0.31         0.73            11.03
   0 H West Forsyth    (21- 6, 84.7)     8-20      -15.17      24.64      -0.31         0.73           -11.35
   0 A Ronald Reagan   (17- 7, 81.5)    20-17      -18.40      21.41       0.31         0.73            15.92
   0 H Mount Tabor     ( 3-13, 70.5)    19- 2      -29.36      10.45      -0.31         0.73             7.44
   0 H Ronald Reagan   (17- 7, 81.5)    11-12      -18.40      21.41      -0.31         0.73           -13.71
   0 H Page            ( 5- 9, 80.4)    11- 8      -19.48      20.32      -0.31         0.73            14.68
   0 A Marvin Ridge    (19- 4, 94.0)     0-13       -5.95      33.86       0.31         0.73            -4.14
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        26.60

winning pts = 125.5390 losing points = -98.9388

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------