Rising Sun
W-L: ( 8- 8) PR = 77.9276Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 321 A North Harford ( 9- 5, 84.3) 4-21 324 A Perryville ( 5- 6, 75.4) 9- 7 327 H CM Wright (11- 5, 88.2) 2-20 403 A Harford Tech ( 8- 4, 83.8) 5-12 410 H North East Cecil ( 2- 9, 72.3) 16- 3 411 A Elkton ( 3- 8, 72.1) 14- 1 414 H Bel Air (11- 5, 87.6) 5-16 416 H Aberdeen ( 4- 9, 73.5) 15- 2 425 H Bohemia Manor ( 2- 8, 71.3) 17- 3 428 H Havre De Grace (10- 4, 83.1) 7-15 501 A Patterson Mill ( 4- 9, 79.4) 7-11 502 A Fallston (11- 6, 88.0) 3-15 509 H North East Cecil ( 2- 9, 72.3) 13- 4 512 H Perryville ( 5- 6, 75.4) 11- 7 514 A CMIT North (10- 3, 73.6) 11- 1 517 A Middletown (12- 5, 85.1) 3-15
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
321 A North Harford 4-21 -17 -7 0.00
324 A Perryville 9- 7 2 2 -0.06
327 H CM Wright 2-20 -18 -10 0.00
403 A Harford Tech 5-12 -7 -6 0.00
410 H North East Cecil 16- 3 13 6 0.00
411 A Elkton 14- 1 13 5 0.00
414 H Bel Air 5-16 -11 -9 0.00
416 H Aberdeen 15- 2 13 5 0.13
425 H Bohemia Manor 17- 3 14 7 0.00
428 H Havre De Grace 7-15 -8 -5 -0.30
501 A Patterson Mill 7-11 -4 -2 - -2.03
502 A Fallston 3-15 -12 -11 0.00
509 H North East Cecil 13- 4 9 6 0.00
512 H Perryville 11- 7 4 3 1.04
514 A CMIT North 11- 1 10 4 1.09
517 A Middletown 3-15 -12 -8 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 501 A Patterson Mill 7-11 -4 -2 - -2.03 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
Rising Sun Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Anne Arundel County | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | ||
| Beth TFiloh | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Bishop McNamara | Rising Sun | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Rising Sun | |
| Brookewood SG | Brookewood SG | Brookewood SG | ||
| Bryn Mawr SG | Bryn Mawr SG | Bryn Mawr SG | ||
| Bullis School | Bullis School | Bullis School | ||
| Calverton School | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Catholic High Baltimore | Catholic High Baltimore | Catholic High Baltimore | ||
| Chapelgate Christian | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Cristo Rey Jesuit | Cristo Rey Jesuit | Cristo Rey Jesuit | ||
| DC International | DC International | DC International | ||
| EL Haynes Charter | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Elizabeth Seton | Elizabeth Seton | Elizabeth Seton | ||
| FCA | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Field School | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Friends School | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Garrison Forest | Garrison Forest | Garrison Forest | ||
| Georgetown Day School | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Georgetown Visitation | Georgetown Visitation | Georgetown Visitation | ||
| Gerstell Academy | Gerstell Academy | Gerstell Academy | ||
| Glenelg Country School | Glenelg Country School | Glenelg Country School | ||
| Good Counsel | Good Counsel | Good Counsel | ||
| Gunston Day School | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Holton-Arms School | Holton-Arms School | Holton-Arms School | ||
| Holy Child | Holy Child | Holy Child | ||
| Holy Cross | Holy Cross | Holy Cross | ||
| Indian Creek | Indian Creek | Indian Creek | ||
| Jackson-Reed | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Jemicy | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| John Carroll | John Carroll | John Carroll | ||
| Key School | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| KIPP College Prep | KIPP College Prep | KIPP College Prep | ||
| Maret School | Maret School | Maret School | ||
| Maryvale Prep | Maryvale Prep | Maryvale Prep | ||
| McDonogh School | McDonogh School | McDonogh School | ||
| Mercy | Mercy | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Mercy | |
| Mount de Sales | Mount de Sales | Mount de Sales | ||
| National Cathedral | National Cathedral | National Cathedral | ||
| Notre Dame Prep | Notre Dame Prep | Notre Dame Prep | ||
| Oldfields School | Oldfields School | Oldfields School | ||
| Park School | Park School | Park School | ||
| Rockbridge Academy | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Roland Park Country | Roland Park Country | Roland Park Country | ||
| Salisbury School | Salisbury School | Salisbury School | ||
| Sandy Spring Friends | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| School Without Walls | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Severn School | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Sidwell Friends | Sidwell Friends | Sidwell Friends | ||
| St Andrews Episcopal | St Andrews Episcopal | St Andrews Episcopal | ||
| St James School | St James School | St James School | ||
| St Johns Catholic Prep | St Johns Catholic Prep | St Johns Catholic Prep | ||
| St Johns College | St Johns College | St Johns College | ||
| St Marys | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| St Marys Ryken | St Marys Ryken | St Marys Ryken | ||
| St Pauls SG | St Pauls SG | St Pauls SG | ||
| St Timothys | St Timothys | St Timothys | ||
| St Vincent Pallotti | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Stone Ridge School | Stone Ridge School | Stone Ridge School | ||
| Sts Peter & Paul | Sts Peter & Paul | Sts Peter & Paul | ||
| Tome School | Rising Sun | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Rising Sun | |
| Washington Latin | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Worcester Prep | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Aberdeen | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Academy for College & Ca | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Annapolis | Annapolis | Annapolis | ||
| Arundel | Arundel | Arundel | ||
| Atholton | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Baltimore Polytechnic | Baltimore Polytechnic | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Baltimore Polytechnic | |
| Bel Air | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Bethesda-Chevy Chase | ||
| Bladensburg | Rising Sun | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Rising Sun | |
| Blair | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Blake | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Bohemia Manor | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Boonsboro | Boonsboro | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Boonsboro | |
| Bowie | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Broadneck | Broadneck | Broadneck | ||
| Brunswick | Rising Sun | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Rising Sun | |
| Calvert | Calvert | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Calvert | |
| Cambridge SD | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Carver A&T | Rising Sun | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Rising Sun | |
| Catoctin | Catoctin | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Catoctin | |
| Catonsville | Catonsville | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Catonsville | |
| Centennial | Centennial | Centennial | ||
| Central PG | Central PG | Central PG | ||
| Century | Century | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Century | |
| CH Flowers | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Chesapeake AA | |
| Chesapeake BC | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Chopticon | Chopticon | Chopticon | ||
| City College | City College | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | City College | |
| Clarksburg | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| CM Wright | CM Wright | CM Wright | ||
| CMIT North | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Crofton | Crofton | Crofton | ||
| Damascus | Damascus | Damascus | ||
| Dr Henry Wise | Rising Sun | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Rising Sun | |
| Dulaney | Dulaney | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Dulaney | |
| Dundalk | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| DuVal | Rising Sun | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Rising Sun | |
| Eastern Technical | Eastern Technical | Eastern Technical | ||
| Easton | Easton | Easton | ||
| Edgewood | Rising Sun | Rising Sun 4- 4 vs 0- 8 | ||
| Einstein | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Eleanor Roosevelt | Rising Sun | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Rising Sun | |
| Elkton | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Fairmont Heights | Rising Sun | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Rising Sun | |
| Fallston | Fallston | Fallston | ||
| Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Franklin | Franklin | Franklin | ||
| Frederick | Rising Sun | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Rising Sun | |
| Frederick Douglass PG | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Gaithersburg | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Glen Burnie | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Glenelg HS | Glenelg HS | Glenelg HS | ||
| Gov Thomas Johnson | Gov Thomas Johnson | Gov Thomas Johnson | ||
| Great Mills | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Guilford Park | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Gwynn Park | Rising Sun | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Rising Sun | |
| Hammond | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Harford Tech | Harford Tech | Harford Tech | ||
| Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Hereford | Hereford | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Hereford | |
| Howard | Howard | Howard | ||
| Huntingtown | Huntingtown | Huntingtown | ||
| JM Bennett | JM Bennett | JM Bennett | ||
| Kennedy | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Kent County | Rising Sun | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Rising Sun | |
| Kent Island | Kent Island | Kent Island | ||
| Kenwood | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| La Plata | La Plata | La Plata | ||
| Lackey | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Lansdowne | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Laurel | Rising Sun | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Rising Sun | |
| Leonardtown | Leonardtown | Leonardtown | ||
| Liberty | Liberty | Liberty | ||
| Linganore | Linganore | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Linganore | |
| Loch Raven | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Long Reach | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Magruder | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Marriotts Ridge | Marriotts Ridge | Marriotts Ridge | ||
| Meade | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Middletown | Middletown | Middletown | ||
| Milford Mill | Milford Mill | Milford Mill | ||
| MJ McDonough | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Mount Hebron | Mount Hebron | Mount Hebron | ||
| New Town | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| North Caroline | North Caroline | North Caroline | ||
| North County | North County | North County | ||
| North Dorchester | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| North East Cecil | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| North Hagerstown | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| North Harford | North Harford | North Harford | ||
| North Point | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Northeast | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Northwest | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Northwestern PG | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Northwood | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Oakdale | Oakdale | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Oakdale | |
| Oakland Mills | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Old Mill | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Overlea | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Owings Mills | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Oxon Hill | Rising Sun | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Rising Sun | |
| Paint Branch | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Parkdale | Rising Sun | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Rising Sun | |
| Parkside | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Parkville | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Patapsco | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Patuxent | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Perry Hall | Perry Hall | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Perry Hall | |
| Perryville | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Pikesville | Rising Sun | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Rising Sun | |
| Poolesville | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | ||
| Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Randallstown | Randallstown | Randallstown | ||
| Randallstown | Randallstown | Randallstown | ||
| Reservoir | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Richard Montgomery | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| River Hill | River Hill | River Hill | ||
| Rockville | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Seneca Valley | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Severn Run | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Severna Park | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Sherwood | Sherwood | Sherwood | ||
| Smithsburg | Rising Sun | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Rising Sun | |
| South Carroll | South Carroll | South Carroll 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| South Hagerstown | South Hagerstown | South Hagerstown | ||
| South River | South River | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | South River | |
| Southern | Southern | Southern | ||
| Sparrows Point | Sparrows Point | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Sparrows Point | |
| Springbrook | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| St Charles | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Stephen Decatur | Stephen Decatur | Stephen Decatur | ||
| Suitland | Rising Sun | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Rising Sun | |
| Thomas Stone | Thomas Stone | Thomas Stone | ||
| Towson | Towson | Towson 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Tuscarora | Tuscarora | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Tuscarora | |
| Urbana | Urbana | Urbana 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Walkersville | Rising Sun | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Rising Sun | |
| Walter Johnson | Walter Johnson | Walter Johnson | ||
| Watkins Mill | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Western Baltimore | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Western STES | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Westlake | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Westminster | Westminster | Westminster | ||
| Wheaton | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Whitman | Whitman | Whitman | ||
| Wicomico | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Wilde Lake | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Winters Mill | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Woodlawn | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| Wootton | Wootton | Wootton |
PowerWise = 102
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 11.96
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A North Harford ( 9- 5, 84.3) 4-21 -15.57 22.35 0.45 0.75 -11.30
0 A Perryville ( 5- 6, 75.4) 9- 7 -24.49 13.43 0.45 0.75 10.38
0 H CM Wright (11- 5, 88.2) 2-20 -11.71 26.21 -0.45 0.75 -9.09
0 A Harford Tech ( 8- 4, 83.8) 5-12 -16.11 21.81 0.45 0.75 -11.71
0 H North East Cec ( 2- 9, 72.3) 16- 3 -27.60 10.32 -0.45 0.75 7.38
0 A Elkton ( 3- 8, 72.1) 14- 1 -27.81 10.11 0.45 0.75 7.90
0 H Bel Air (11- 5, 87.6) 5-16 -12.32 25.60 -0.45 0.75 -9.55
0 H Aberdeen ( 4- 9, 73.5) 15- 2 -26.39 11.53 -0.45 0.75 8.29
0 H Bohemia Manor ( 2- 8, 71.3) 17- 3 -28.61 9.31 -0.45 0.75 6.62
0 H Havre De Grace (10- 4, 83.1) 7-15 -16.82 21.10 -0.45 0.75 -12.91
0 A Patterson Mill ( 4- 9, 79.4) 7-11 -20.45 17.47 0.45 0.75 -14.96
0 A Fallston (11- 6, 88.0) 3-15 -11.85 26.07 0.45 0.75 -8.53
0 H North East Cec ( 2- 9, 72.3) 13- 4 -27.60 10.32 -0.45 0.75 7.38
0 H Perryville ( 5- 6, 75.4) 11- 7 -24.49 13.43 -0.45 0.75 9.71
0 A CMIT North (10- 3, 73.6) 11- 1 -26.33 11.59 0.45 0.75 9.00
0 A Middletown (12- 5, 85.1) 3-15 -14.78 23.14 0.45 0.75 -10.72
------
-22.11
|
winning pts = 66.6628 losing points = -88.7695
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------