---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:01 PDT

safe3step girls Rice Memorial 1
  
Rice Memorial         
W-L: (14- 5) PR = 96.0952

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 408 H Burlington ( 9- 7, 94.2) 11-12 410 H South Burlington (12- 6, 96.9) 6- 7 415 A Spaulding ( 5-13, 88.9) 14- 4 417 H U-32 (12- 6, 95.7) 11- 9 428 H Middlebury Union (11- 4, 96.5) 12- 8 430 A Hartford (15- 1, 98.2) 4-13 503 H Stowe ( 4-10, 89.9) 11-12 505 A Burlington ( 9- 7, 94.2) 13- 5 507 A St Johnsbury Academy (10- 6, 95.4) 9- 8 514 H Lamoille Union ( 2-12, 82.5) 19- 1 516 A Harwood Union ( 6-12, 91.7) 9- 8 519 A Stowe ( 4-10, 89.9) 14- 4 522 H U-32 (12- 6, 95.7) 10- 6 524 A Vergennes/Mt Abraham ( 8- 9, 93.2) 16- 6 528 H Milton ( 3-12, 84.0) 19- 0 530 H Colchester ( 6- 9, 89.4) 14- 4 603 H Bellows Free Academy - ( 2-11, 91.8) 9- 6 605 A Middlebury Union (11- 4, 96.5) 14-10 611 N Champlain Valley Union (15- 2, 98.9) 4- 8

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 H Burlington             11-12      -1     2    -     -3.35
   410 H South Burlington        6- 7      -1     0          -0.67
   415 A Spaulding              14- 4      10     7           0.00
   417 H U-32                   11- 9       2     1           1.08
   428 H Middlebury Union       12- 8       4     0    +      3.96
   430 A Hartford                4-13      -9    -3    -     -2.45
   503 H Stowe                  11-12      -1     7    ---   -6.00
   505 A Burlington             13- 5       8     1    +      3.60
   507 A St Johnsbury Academy    9- 8       1     0           0.81
   514 H Lamoille Union         19- 1      18    14           0.00
   516 A Harwood Union           9- 8       1     4    -     -2.92
   519 A Stowe                  14- 4      10     6           0.00
   522 H U-32                   10- 6       4     1    +      3.08
   524 A Vergennes/Mt Abraham   16- 6      10     2    +      2.56
   528 H Milton                 19- 0      19    13           0.00
   530 H Colchester             14- 4      10     7           0.00
   603 H Bellows Free Academy -  9- 6       3     5          -1.77
   605 A Middlebury Union       14-10       4    -1    ++     4.92
   611 N Champlain Valley Union  4- 8      -4    -3          -1.24

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   503 H Stowe                  11-12      -1     7    ---   -6.00
   408 H Burlington             11-12      -1     2    -     -3.35
   430 A Hartford                4-13      -9    -3    -     -2.45
   516 A Harwood Union           9- 8       1     4    -     -2.92

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   605 A Middlebury Union       14-10       4    -1    ++     4.92
   428 H Middlebury Union       12- 8       4     0    +      3.96
   505 A Burlington             13- 5       8     1    +      3.60
   522 H U-32                   10- 6       4     1    +      3.08
   524 A Vergennes/Mt Abraham   16- 6      10     2    +      2.56

Rice Memorial Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Bellows Free Academy - S Rice Memorial Rice Memorial  
Brattleboro Union Rice Memorial insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 2) Rice Memorial
Burlington Rice Memorial Rice Memorial   9- 4 vs 7- 5
Burr & Burton Academy Burr & Burton Academy insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Burr & Burton Academy
Champlain Valley Union Champlain Valley Union Champlain Valley Union  
Colchester Rice Memorial Rice Memorial  
Essex Essex insuffient: ( 6- 3)( 5- 3) Essex
Green Mountain Valley Green Mountain Valley insuffient: ( 6- 1)( 7- 0) Green Mountain Valley
Hartford Hartford Hartford  
Harwood Union Rice Memorial Rice Memorial  
Lamoille Union Rice Memorial Rice Memorial  
Lyndon Institute Rice Memorial Rice Memorial   9- 2 vs 1- 9
Middlebury Union Rice Memorial Rice Memorial  
Milton Rice Memorial Rice Memorial  
Mt Anthony Union Mt Anthony Union insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Mt Anthony Union
Mt Mansfield Union Rice Memorial Rice Memorial   4- 3 vs 2- 5
Rutland Rice Memorial insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 3) Rice Memorial
South Burlington South Burlington South Burlington  
Spaulding Rice Memorial Rice Memorial  
St Johnsbury Academy Rice Memorial Rice Memorial  
Stowe Rice Memorial Rice Memorial   8- 2 vs 2- 7
Stratton Mountain School Rice Memorial   Rice Memorial
U-32 Rice Memorial Rice Memorial  
Vergennes/Mt Abraham Rice Memorial Rice Memorial  
Woodstock Union Rice Memorial tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 2) Rice Memorial

PowerWise = 18


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 15.54

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Burlington      ( 9- 7, 94.2)    11-12       -5.68      11.72      -0.48         0.82            -5.04
   0 H South Burlingt  (12- 6, 96.9)     6- 7       -3.00      14.41      -0.48         0.82            -2.84
   0 A Spaulding       ( 5-13, 88.9)    14- 4      -10.95       6.45       0.48         0.82             5.67
   0 H U-32            (12- 6, 95.7)    11- 9       -4.24      13.16      -0.48         0.82            10.37
   0 H Middlebury Uni  (11- 4, 96.5)    12- 8       -3.36      14.04      -0.48         0.82            11.09
   0 A Hartford        (15- 1, 98.2)     4-13       -1.73      15.67       0.48         0.82            -1.03
   0 H Stowe           ( 4-10, 89.9)    11-12       -9.96       7.44      -0.48         0.82            -8.53
   0 A Burlington      ( 9- 7, 94.2)    13- 5       -5.68      11.72       0.48         0.82             9.98
   0 A St Johnsbury A  (10- 6, 95.4)     9- 8       -4.47      12.93       0.48         0.82            10.97
   0 H Lamoille Union  ( 2-12, 82.5)    19- 1      -17.40       1.00      -0.48         0.82             0.43
   0 A Harwood Union   ( 6-12, 91.7)     9- 8       -8.20       9.21       0.48         0.82             7.92
   0 A Stowe           ( 4-10, 89.9)    14- 4       -9.96       7.44       0.48         0.82             6.48
   0 H U-32            (12- 6, 95.7)    10- 6       -4.24      13.16      -0.48         0.82            10.37
   0 A Vergennes/Mt A  ( 8- 9, 93.2)    16- 6       -6.72      10.68       0.48         0.82             9.13
   0 H Milton          ( 3-12, 84.0)    19- 0      -15.91       1.49      -0.48         0.82             0.83
   0 H Colchester      ( 6- 9, 89.4)    14- 4      -10.48       6.92      -0.48         0.82             5.27
   0 H Bellows Free A  ( 2-11, 91.8)     9- 6       -8.10       9.30      -0.48         0.82             7.22
   0 A Middlebury Uni  (11- 4, 96.5)    14-10       -3.36      14.04       0.48         0.82            11.87
   0 N Champlain Vall  (15- 2, 98.9)     4- 8       -1.04      16.36      -0.00         0.82            -0.85
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        89.29

winning pts = 107.5802 losing points = -18.2870

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------