---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:01 PDT

safe3step girls Reagan 1
  
Reagan                
W-L: ( 4- 3) PR = 83.3656

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 304 A St Marys Hall ( 3-10, 78.1) 14- 4 307 H Alamo Heights (11- 0, 88.7) 10-14 319 A TMI Episcopal ( 3- 9, 80.9) 11- 8 325 A Antonian College Prep ( 3- 6, 80.3) 17- 5 329 A Canyon ( 7- 2, 83.8) 5- 8 405 A Boerne ( 1- 7, 76.4) 15- 0 411 H Smithson Valley ( 6- 1, 85.5) 7-14

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   304 A St Marys Hall          14- 4      10     4           0.69
   307 H Alamo Heights          10-14      -4    -4           0.39
   319 A TMI Episcopal          11- 8       3     2           1.49
   325 A Antonian College Prep  17- 5      12     2    +      2.81
   329 A Canyon                  5- 8      -3    -1          -1.66
   405 A Boerne                 15- 0      15     6           0.00
   411 H Smithson Valley         7-14      -7    -1    -     -3.75

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 H Smithson Valley         7-14      -7    -1    -     -3.75

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A Antonian College Prep  17- 5      12     2    +      2.81

Reagan Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Alamo Heights Alamo Heights Alamo Heights  
Allen Allen   Allen
Anderson Anderson   Anderson
Antonian College Prep Reagan Reagan  
Atascocita Reagan   Reagan
Austin Austin   Austin
Awty International Reagan   Reagan
Bellaire Bellaire   Bellaire
Bishop Lynch Reagan   Reagan
Boerne Reagan Reagan  
Bowie Reagan insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 4- 1) Reagan
Bridge LC Bridge LC   Bridge LC
Canyon Canyon Canyon  
Cedar Park Cedar Park tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Cedar Park
Clear Springs Reagan   Reagan
Coppell Reagan   Reagan
Cy-Fair Cy-Fair   Cy-Fair
Dripping Springs Dripping Springs tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Dripping Springs
Duchesne Academy Reagan   Reagan
Emery-Weiner School Reagan   Reagan
Episcopal Dallas Episcopal Dallas   Episcopal Dallas
Episcopal Houston Episcopal Houston   Episcopal Houston
Flower Mound Flower Mound   Flower Mound
Friendswood Friendswood   Friendswood
Frisco Frisco   Frisco
Grapevine Grapevine   Grapevine
Greenhill School Reagan   Reagan
Highland Park Highland Park   Highland Park
Hockaday Hockaday   Hockaday
Houston Christian Houston Christian   Houston Christian
John Paul II Reagan   Reagan
Katy Katy   Katy
Keller Keller   Keller
Kingwood Kingwood   Kingwood
Kinkaid School Kinkaid School   Kinkaid School
Klein Reagan   Reagan
Lake Travis Lake Travis   Lake Travis
Lamar Lamar   Lamar
LASA Reagan insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) Reagan
Lovejoy Lovejoy   Lovejoy
McKinney McKinney   McKinney
Memorial Houston Memorial Houston   Memorial Houston
Parish Episcopal Reagan   Reagan
Plano Reagan   Reagan
Prosper Prosper   Prosper
Regents School Austin Reagan tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Reagan
Rockwall Rockwall   Rockwall
Smithson Valley Smithson Valley Smithson Valley  
Southlake Carroll Southlake Carroll   Southlake Carroll
St Agnes Academy St Agnes Academy   St Agnes Academy
St Andrews ES St Andrews ES   St Andrews ES
St Francis St Francis tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) St Francis
St Johns St Johns   St Johns
St Marys Hall Reagan Reagan  
St Michaels Academy St Michaels Academy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) St Michaels Academy
St Pius X Reagan tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Reagan
St Stephens ES St Stephens ES   St Stephens ES
Stratford Stratford   Stratford
TMI Episcopal Reagan Reagan  
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy   Ursuline Academy
Vandegrift Vandegrift   Vandegrift
Village School Reagan   Reagan
Westlake Westlake   Westlake
Westwood Westwood   Westwood
Woodlands Woodlands   Woodlands

PowerWise = 21


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.27

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A St Marys Hall   ( 3-10, 78.1)    14- 4      -21.76       2.47       0.91         1.61             5.45
   0 H Alamo Heights   (11- 0, 88.7)    10-14      -11.23      12.99      -0.91         1.61           -19.55
   0 A TMI Episcopal   ( 3- 9, 80.9)    11- 8      -18.96       5.27       0.91         1.61             9.95
   0 A Antonian Colle  ( 3- 6, 80.3)    17- 5      -19.64       4.58       0.91         1.61             8.85
   0 A Canyon          ( 7- 2, 83.8)     5- 8      -16.11       8.12       0.91         1.61           -24.47
   0 A Boerne          ( 1- 7, 76.4)    15- 0      -23.48       1.00       0.91         1.61             3.08
   0 H Smithson Valle  ( 6- 1, 85.5)     7-14      -14.37       9.85      -0.91         1.61           -24.61
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -41.30

winning pts = 27.3319 losing points = -68.6344

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------