---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:46 PDT

safe3step girls Atherton 1
  
Atherton              
W-L: ( 5-14) PR = 80.8540

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 303 A Christian Academy ( 6- 8, 84.8) 1-15 304 A Shelby County ( 5- 9, 79.8) 10- 5 306 A Ballard ( 4- 9, 84.2) 7-10 311 A Assumption ( 7- 7, 86.8) 2-13 314 A Owensboro ( 2- 7, 72.9) 18- 1 315 A DuPont Manual ( 9- 7, 84.1) 2-17 318 H Louisville Collegiate ( 7- 8, 91.2) 3-16 321 A Oldham County (14- 5, 85.5) 3-15 322 A DuPont Manual ( 9- 7, 84.1) 3-14 322 A Collins (12- 7, 82.9) 6- 3 325 H Male ( 0- 5, 76.7) 15- 1 410 H North Oldham ( 7-10, 81.6) 3- 6 412 H Mercy Academy (10- 8, 84.4) 4- 7 414 A Collins (12- 7, 82.9) 8-12 418 H North Oldham ( 7-10, 81.6) 8- 9 426 H Cooper ( 6- 8, 82.7) 7-18 430 A Sacred Heart Academy (15- 5, 95.6) 0-11 509 H Male ( 0- 5, 76.7) 15- 1 510 N Sacred Heart Academy (15- 5, 95.6) 1-19

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   303 A Christian Academy       1-15     -14    -5          -0.23
   304 A Shelby County          10- 5       5     0    ++     4.76
   306 A Ballard                 7-10      -3    -4           1.14
   311 A Assumption              2-13     -11    -7           0.00
   314 A Owensboro              18- 1      17     7           0.00
   315 A DuPont Manual           2-17     -15    -4          -0.94
   318 H Louisville Collegiate   3-16     -13   -10           0.00
   321 A Oldham County           3-15     -12    -5           0.00
   322 A DuPont Manual           3-14     -11    -4          -0.94
   322 A Collins                 6- 3       3    -3    ++     5.83
   325 H Male                   15- 1      14     5           0.01
   410 H North Oldham            3- 6      -3     0    -     -3.11
   412 H Mercy Academy           4- 7      -3    -3          -0.26
   414 A Collins                 8-12      -4    -3          -1.17
   418 H North Oldham            8- 9      -1     0          -1.11
   426 H Cooper                  7-18     -11    -1    --    -4.02
   430 A Sacred Heart Academy    0-11     -11   -16           0.00
   509 H Male                   15- 1      14     5           0.01
   510 N Sacred Heart Academy    1-19     -18   -15           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 H Cooper                  7-18     -11    -1    --    -4.02
   410 H North Oldham            3- 6      -3     0    -     -3.11

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   304 A Shelby County          10- 5       5     0    ++     4.76
   322 A Collins                 6- 3       3    -3    ++     5.83

Atherton Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Anderson County Anderson County   Anderson County
Assumption Assumption Assumption  
Ballard Ballard Ballard  
Bowling Green Bowling Green tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Bowling Green
Bryan Station Atherton insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Atherton
Central Hardin Atherton insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 3) Atherton
Christian Academy Christian Academy Christian Academy  
Collins Collins Collins   3- 3 vs 1- 5
Cooper Cooper Cooper  
Dixie Heights Atherton insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Atherton
DuPont Manual DuPont Manual DuPont Manual  
Eastern Eastern Eastern   5- 0 vs 0- 5
Fern Creek Fern Creek   Fern Creek
Frederick Douglass Atherton insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) Atherton
Great Crossing Atherton   Atherton
Greenwood Atherton tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Atherton
Henry Clay Henry Clay Henry Clay   3- 2 vs 0- 5
Kentucky Country Day Kentucky Country Day Kentucky Country Day   6- 0 vs 0- 6
Lafayette Atherton insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Atherton
Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Lexington Catholic
Lexington Christian Lexington Christian tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) Lexington Christian
Louisville Collegiate Louisville Collegiate Louisville Collegiate  
Male Atherton Atherton  
Mercy Academy Mercy Academy Mercy Academy  
North Oldham North Oldham North Oldham  
Notre Dame Academy Notre Dame Academy Notre Dame Academy   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Oldham County Oldham County Oldham County  
Owensboro Atherton Atherton  
Paul Laurence Dunbar Paul Laurence Dunbar Paul Laurence Dunbar   3- 1 vs 1- 4
Presentation Academy Presentation Academy   Presentation Academy
Ryle Atherton insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) Atherton
Sacred Heart Academy Sacred Heart Academy Sacred Heart Academy  
Sayre School Sayre School Sayre School   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Scott County Atherton insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Atherton
Shelby County Atherton Atherton  
South Oldham South Oldham South Oldham   5- 5 vs 2- 9
South Warren Atherton tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Atherton
St Henry St Henry   St Henry
Tates Creek Atherton Atherton   2- 2 vs 0- 3
Woodford County Atherton insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 2) Atherton

PowerWise = 15


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 13.61

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Christian Acad  ( 6- 8, 84.8)     1-15      -15.10      13.20       0.82         0.72           -10.22
   0 A Shelby County   ( 5- 9, 79.8)    10- 5      -20.10       8.19       0.82         0.72             6.46
   0 A Ballard         ( 4- 9, 84.2)     7-10      -15.73      12.57       0.82         0.72           -10.68
   0 A Assumption      ( 7- 7, 86.8)     2-13      -13.06      15.23       0.82         0.72            -8.77
   0 A Owensboro       ( 2- 7, 72.9)    18- 1      -26.96       1.34       0.82         0.72             1.55
   0 A DuPont Manual   ( 9- 7, 84.1)     2-17      -15.81      12.48       0.82         0.72           -10.74
   0 H Louisville Col  ( 7- 8, 91.2)     3-16       -8.72      19.58      -0.82         0.72            -6.83
   0 A Oldham County   (14- 5, 85.5)     3-15      -14.42      13.88       0.82         0.72            -9.74
   0 A DuPont Manual   ( 9- 7, 84.1)     3-14      -15.81      12.48       0.82         0.72           -10.74
   0 A Collins         (12- 7, 82.9)     6- 3      -17.04      11.26       0.82         0.72             8.66
   0 H Male            ( 0- 5, 76.7)    15- 1      -23.21       5.08      -0.82         0.72             3.05
   0 H North Oldham    ( 7-10, 81.6)     3- 6      -18.33       9.96      -0.82         0.72           -13.72
   0 H Mercy Academy   (10- 8, 84.4)     4- 7      -15.48      12.82      -0.82         0.72           -11.68
   0 A Collins         (12- 7, 82.9)     8-12      -17.04      11.26       0.82         0.72           -11.61
   0 H North Oldham    ( 7-10, 81.6)     8- 9      -18.33       9.96      -0.82         0.72           -13.72
   0 H Cooper          ( 6- 8, 82.7)     7-18      -17.24      11.05      -0.82         0.72           -12.94
   0 A Sacred Heart A  (15- 5, 95.6)     0-11       -4.33      23.96       0.82         0.72            -2.51
   0 H Male            ( 0- 5, 76.7)    15- 1      -23.21       5.08      -0.82         0.72             3.05
   0 N Sacred Heart A  (15- 5, 95.6)     1-19       -4.33      23.96      -0.00         0.72            -3.10
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -114.24

winning pts = 22.7580 losing points = -137.0010

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------