Quince Orchard
W-L: (14- 3) PR = 86.4227Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 322 H Sherwood (16- 1, 89.3) 11-17 324 A Whitman (10- 5, 84.7) 9- 8 326 H Bethesda-Chevy Chase ( 9- 5, 83.5) 13- 7 402 H Winston Churchill ( 7- 6, 81.2) 12-11 404 A Walter Johnson ( 9- 4, 84.4) 16- 6 409 H Clarksburg ( 4-10, 71.4) 20- 4 411 A Magruder (10- 4, 77.0) 16- 6 422 A Wootton ( 9- 6, 80.4) 15-10 424 H Damascus (12- 3, 85.1) 15- 9 426 A Blake ( 3-10, 72.6) 12- 0 428 A Poolesville ( 8- 6, 76.2) 17- 3 501 H Gaithersburg ( 0-13, 65.2) 23- 0 505 A Sherwood (16- 1, 89.3) 13-15 509 H Bethesda-Chevy Chase ( 9- 5, 83.5) 10- 9 512 H Whitman (10- 5, 84.7) 10- 9 514 H North County ( 4- 9, 82.0) 12- 7 517 H Broadneck (14- 2, 93.8) 14-19
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
322 H Sherwood 11-17 -6 -2 - -2.57
324 A Whitman 9- 8 1 1 -0.27
326 H Bethesda-Chevy Chase 13- 7 6 3 1.59
402 H Winston Churchill 12-11 1 6 -- -4.00
404 A Walter Johnson 16- 6 10 2 + 3.40
409 H Clarksburg 20- 4 16 15 0.00
411 A Magruder 16- 6 10 9 0.00
422 A Wootton 15-10 5 6 0.00
424 H Damascus 15- 9 6 2 + 3.22
426 A Blake 12- 0 12 13 0.00
428 A Poolesville 17- 3 14 10 0.00
501 H Gaithersburg 23- 0 23 22 0.00
505 A Sherwood 13-15 -2 -3 1.32
509 H Bethesda-Chevy Chase 10- 9 1 3 - -2.41
512 H Whitman 10- 9 1 2 -1.17
514 H North County 12- 7 5 5 0.15
517 H Broadneck 14-19 -5 -7 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 402 H Winston Churchill 12-11 1 6 -- -4.00 322 H Sherwood 11-17 -6 -2 - -2.57 509 H Bethesda-Chevy Chase 10- 9 1 3 - -2.41 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 404 A Walter Johnson 16- 6 10 2 + 3.40 424 H Damascus 15- 9 6 2 + 3.22 |
Quince Orchard Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annapolis Area Christian | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Anne Arundel County | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | ||
| Beth TFiloh | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Bishop McNamara | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Brookewood SG | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Bryn Mawr SG | Bryn Mawr SG | Bryn Mawr SG | ||
| Bullis School | Bullis School | Bullis School | ||
| Calverton School | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Catholic High Baltimore | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Chapelgate Christian | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Concordia Prep | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Cristo Rey Jesuit | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| DC International | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| EL Haynes Charter | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Elizabeth Seton | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| FCA | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Field School | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Friends School | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Garrison Forest | Garrison Forest | Garrison Forest | ||
| Georgetown Day School | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Georgetown Visitation | Georgetown Visitation | Georgetown Visitation | ||
| Gerstell Academy | Gerstell Academy | Gerstell Academy | ||
| Glenelg Country School | Glenelg Country School | Glenelg Country School | ||
| Good Counsel | Good Counsel | Good Counsel | ||
| Gunston Day School | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Holton-Arms School | Holton-Arms School | Holton-Arms School | ||
| Holy Child | Holy Child | Holy Child | ||
| Holy Cross | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Indian Creek | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Jackson-Reed | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Jemicy | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| John Carroll | John Carroll | John Carroll | ||
| Key School | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| KIPP College Prep | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Maret School | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Maryvale Prep | Maryvale Prep | Maryvale Prep | ||
| McDonogh School | McDonogh School | McDonogh School | ||
| Mercy | Mercy | Mercy | ||
| Mount de Sales | Mount de Sales | Mount de Sales | ||
| National Cathedral | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Notre Dame Prep | Notre Dame Prep | Notre Dame Prep | ||
| Oldfields School | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Park School | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Rockbridge Academy | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Roland Park Country | Roland Park Country | Roland Park Country | ||
| Salisbury School | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Sandy Spring Friends | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| School Without Walls | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Severn School | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Sidwell Friends | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| St Andrews Episcopal | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| St James School | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| St Johns Catholic Prep | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| St Johns College | St Johns College | St Johns College | ||
| St Marys | St Marys | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | St Marys | |
| St Marys Ryken | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| St Pauls SG | St Pauls SG | St Pauls SG | ||
| St Timothys | St Timothys | St Timothys | ||
| St Vincent Pallotti | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Stone Ridge School | Stone Ridge School | Stone Ridge School | ||
| Sts Peter & Paul | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Tome School | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Washington Latin | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Worcester Prep | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Aberdeen | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Academy for College & Ca | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Annapolis | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Arundel | Arundel | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Arundel | |
| Atholton | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Baltimore Polytechnic | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Bel Air | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Bladensburg | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Blair | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard 7- 1 vs 2- 6 | ||
| Blake | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Bohemia Manor | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Boonsboro | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Bowie | Quince Orchard | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Quince Orchard | |
| Broadneck | Broadneck | Broadneck | ||
| Brunswick | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Calvert | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Cambridge SD | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Carver A&T | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Catoctin | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Catonsville | Catonsville | Catonsville | ||
| Centennial | Centennial | Centennial | ||
| Central PG | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Century | Century | Century | ||
| CH Flowers | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Chesapeake AA | |
| Chesapeake BC | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Chopticon | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| City College | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Clarksburg | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| CM Wright | CM Wright | CM Wright | ||
| CMIT North | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Crofton | Crofton | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Crofton | |
| Damascus | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Dr Henry Wise | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Dulaney | Dulaney | Dulaney | ||
| Dundalk | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| DuVal | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Eastern Technical | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Easton | Easton | Easton | ||
| Edgewood | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Einstein | Quince Orchard | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | Quince Orchard | |
| Eleanor Roosevelt | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Elkton | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Fairmont Heights | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Fallston | Fallston | Fallston | ||
| Francis Scott Key | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Franklin | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Frederick | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Frederick Douglass PG | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Gaithersburg | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Glen Burnie | Quince Orchard | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Quince Orchard | |
| Glenelg HS | Glenelg HS | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Glenelg HS | |
| Gov Thomas Johnson | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Great Mills | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Guilford Park | Quince Orchard | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Quince Orchard | |
| Gwynn Park | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Hammond | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Harford Tech | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Havre De Grace | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Hereford | Hereford | Hereford | ||
| Howard | Howard | Howard | ||
| Huntingtown | Huntingtown | Huntingtown | ||
| JM Bennett | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Kennedy | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard 4- 1 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Kent County | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Kent Island | Kent Island | Kent Island | ||
| Kenwood | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| La Plata | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Lackey | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Lansdowne | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Laurel | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Leonardtown | Leonardtown | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Leonardtown | |
| Liberty | Liberty | Liberty | ||
| Linganore | Linganore | Linganore | ||
| Loch Raven | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Long Reach | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Magruder | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Marriotts Ridge | Marriotts Ridge | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Marriotts Ridge | |
| Meade | Quince Orchard | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Quince Orchard | |
| Middletown | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Milford Mill | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| MJ McDonough | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Mount Hebron | Mount Hebron | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Mount Hebron | |
| New Town | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| North Caroline | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| North County | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| North Dorchester | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| North East Cecil | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| North Hagerstown | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| North Harford | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| North Point | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Northeast | Quince Orchard | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Quince Orchard | |
| Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Northwest | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard 6- 0 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Northwestern PG | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Northwood | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Oakdale | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Oakland Mills | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Old Mill | Quince Orchard | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Quince Orchard | |
| Overlea | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Owings Mills | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Oxon Hill | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Paint Branch | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard 5- 0 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Parkdale | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Parkside | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Parkville | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Patapsco | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Patterson Mill | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Patuxent | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Perry Hall | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Perryville | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Pikesville | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Poolesville | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | ||
| Randallstown | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Randallstown | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Reservoir | Quince Orchard | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Quince Orchard | |
| Richard Montgomery | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard 5- 2 vs 2- 5 | ||
| Rising Sun | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| River Hill | River Hill | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | River Hill | |
| Rockville | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard 7- 1 vs 1- 7 | ||
| Seneca Valley | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Severn Run | Quince Orchard | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Quince Orchard | |
| Severna Park | Severna Park | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Severna Park | |
| Sherwood | Sherwood | Sherwood | ||
| Smithsburg | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| South Carroll | South Carroll | South Carroll | ||
| South Hagerstown | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| South River | South River | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | South River | |
| Southern | Quince Orchard | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Quince Orchard | |
| Sparrows Point | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Springbrook | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard 5- 0 vs 1- 4 | ||
| St Charles | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Stephen Decatur | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Suitland | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Thomas Stone | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Towson | Towson | Towson | ||
| Tuscarora | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Urbana | Urbana | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Urbana | |
| Walkersville | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Walter Johnson | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Watkins Mill | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Western Baltimore | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Western STES | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Westlake | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Westminster | Westminster | Westminster | ||
| Wheaton | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Whitman | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Wicomico | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Wilde Lake | Quince Orchard | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Quince Orchard | |
| Winston Churchill | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Winters Mill | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Woodlawn | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Wootton | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard |
PowerWise = 164
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 11.96
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Sherwood (16- 1, 89.3) 11-17 -10.60 27.32 -0.45 0.70 -7.78
0 A Whitman (10- 5, 84.7) 9- 8 -15.20 22.72 0.45 0.70 16.31
0 H Bethesda-Chevy ( 9- 5, 83.5) 13- 7 -16.44 21.48 -0.45 0.70 14.80
0 H Winston Church ( 7- 6, 81.2) 12-11 -18.67 19.25 -0.45 0.70 13.23
0 A Walter Johnson ( 9- 4, 84.4) 16- 6 -15.52 22.40 0.45 0.70 16.08
0 H Clarksburg ( 4-10, 71.4) 20- 4 -28.51 9.41 -0.45 0.70 6.31
0 A Magruder (10- 4, 77.0) 16- 6 -22.88 15.04 0.45 0.70 10.90
0 A Wootton ( 9- 6, 80.4) 15-10 -19.48 18.44 0.45 0.70 13.29
0 H Damascus (12- 3, 85.1) 15- 9 -14.81 23.11 -0.45 0.70 15.95
0 A Blake ( 3-10, 72.6) 12- 0 -27.27 10.65 0.45 0.70 7.81
0 A Poolesville ( 8- 6, 76.2) 17- 3 -23.73 14.19 0.45 0.70 10.30
0 H Gaithersburg ( 0-13, 65.2) 23- 0 -34.72 3.20 -0.45 0.70 1.94
0 A Sherwood (16- 1, 89.3) 13-15 -10.60 27.32 0.45 0.70 -7.15
0 H Bethesda-Chevy ( 9- 5, 83.5) 10- 9 -16.44 21.48 -0.45 0.70 14.80
0 H Whitman (10- 5, 84.7) 10- 9 -15.20 22.72 -0.45 0.70 15.68
0 H North County ( 4- 9, 82.0) 12- 7 -17.88 20.04 -0.45 0.70 13.79
0 H Broadneck (14- 2, 93.8) 14-19 -6.12 31.80 -0.45 0.70 -4.62
------
151.64
|
winning pts = 171.1807 losing points = -19.5454
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------