Patuxent
W-L: ( 5- 9) PR = 73.8438Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 321 A North Point ( 5- 7, 76.5) 4-15 324 H Lackey ( 2-11, 70.4) 15- 7 328 H Westlake ( 0-11, 66.2) 17- 3 331 A La Plata ( 9- 3, 84.0) 5-17 402 H Great Mills ( 4-10, 73.2) 7- 6 404 H St Charles ( 4- 9, 69.7) 10- 8 407 A Calvert ( 8- 5, 80.7) 3-12 409 A Severn Run ( 7- 6, 75.1) 8- 9 423 A Leonardtown (12- 3, 89.4) 4-18 428 A Chopticon ( 8- 5, 79.0) 7- 9 430 H Huntingtown (12- 3, 88.3) 0-20 502 A MJ McDonough ( 4- 9, 73.3) 8- 9 509 A MJ McDonough ( 4- 9, 73.3) 1- 0 512 A Calvert ( 8- 5, 80.7) 2-16
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
321 A North Point 4-15 -11 -3 -1.85
324 H Lackey 15- 7 8 4 1.08
328 H Westlake 17- 3 14 8 0.00
331 A La Plata 5-17 -12 -11 0.00
402 H Great Mills 7- 6 1 1 -0.05
404 H St Charles 10- 8 2 5 - -2.55
407 A Calvert 3-12 -9 -7 0.00
409 A Severn Run 8- 9 -1 -2 0.70
423 A Leonardtown 4-18 -14 -16 0.00
428 A Chopticon 7- 9 -2 -6 + 3.00
430 H Huntingtown 0-20 -20 -14 0.00
502 A MJ McDonough 8- 9 -1 0 -1.11
512 A Calvert 2-16 -14 -7 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 404 H St Charles 10- 8 2 5 - -2.55 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 428 A Chopticon 7- 9 -2 -6 + 3.00 |
Patuxent Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Anne Arundel County | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | ||
| Beth TFiloh | Beth TFiloh | Beth TFiloh | ||
| Bishop McNamara | Bishop McNamara | Bishop McNamara | ||
| Brookewood SG | Brookewood SG | Brookewood SG | ||
| Bryn Mawr SG | Bryn Mawr SG | Bryn Mawr SG | ||
| Bullis School | Bullis School | Bullis School | ||
| Calverton School | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| Catholic High Baltimore | Catholic High Baltimore | Catholic High Baltimore | ||
| Chapelgate Christian | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Cristo Rey Jesuit | Cristo Rey Jesuit | Cristo Rey Jesuit | ||
| DC International | DC International | DC International | ||
| EL Haynes Charter | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| Elizabeth Seton | Elizabeth Seton | Elizabeth Seton | ||
| FCA | FCA | FCA | ||
| Field School | Field School | Field School | ||
| Friends School | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| Garrison Forest | Garrison Forest | Garrison Forest | ||
| Georgetown Day School | Georgetown Day School | Georgetown Day School | ||
| Georgetown Visitation | Georgetown Visitation | Georgetown Visitation | ||
| Gerstell Academy | Gerstell Academy | Gerstell Academy | ||
| Glenelg Country School | Glenelg Country School | Glenelg Country School | ||
| Good Counsel | Good Counsel | Good Counsel | ||
| Gunston Day School | Gunston Day School | Gunston Day School | ||
| Holton-Arms School | Holton-Arms School | Holton-Arms School | ||
| Holy Child | Holy Child | Holy Child | ||
| Holy Cross | Holy Cross | Holy Cross | ||
| Indian Creek | Indian Creek | Indian Creek | ||
| Jackson-Reed | Jackson-Reed | Jackson-Reed | ||
| Jemicy | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| John Carroll | John Carroll | John Carroll | ||
| Key School | Key School | Key School | ||
| KIPP College Prep | KIPP College Prep | KIPP College Prep | ||
| Maret School | Maret School | Maret School | ||
| Maryvale Prep | Maryvale Prep | Maryvale Prep | ||
| McDonogh School | McDonogh School | McDonogh School | ||
| Mercy | Mercy | Mercy | ||
| Mount de Sales | Mount de Sales | Mount de Sales | ||
| National Cathedral | National Cathedral | National Cathedral | ||
| Notre Dame Prep | Notre Dame Prep | Notre Dame Prep | ||
| Oldfields School | Oldfields School | Oldfields School | ||
| Park School | Park School | Park School | ||
| Rockbridge Academy | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| Roland Park Country | Roland Park Country | Roland Park Country | ||
| Salisbury School | Salisbury School | Salisbury School | ||
| Sandy Spring Friends | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| School Without Walls | School Without Walls | School Without Walls | ||
| Severn School | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Sidwell Friends | Sidwell Friends | Sidwell Friends | ||
| St Andrews Episcopal | St Andrews Episcopal | St Andrews Episcopal | ||
| St James School | St James School | St James School | ||
| St Johns Catholic Prep | St Johns Catholic Prep | St Johns Catholic Prep | ||
| St Johns College | St Johns College | St Johns College | ||
| St Marys | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| St Marys Ryken | St Marys Ryken | St Marys Ryken | ||
| St Pauls SG | St Pauls SG | St Pauls SG | ||
| St Timothys | St Timothys | St Timothys | ||
| St Vincent Pallotti | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| Stone Ridge School | Stone Ridge School | Stone Ridge School | ||
| Sts Peter & Paul | Sts Peter & Paul | Sts Peter & Paul | ||
| Tome School | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| Washington Latin | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| Worcester Prep | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| Aberdeen | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| Academy for College & Ca | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| Annapolis | Annapolis | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Annapolis | |
| Arundel | Arundel | Arundel | ||
| Atholton | Atholton | Atholton | ||
| Baltimore Polytechnic | Baltimore Polytechnic | Baltimore Polytechnic | ||
| Bel Air | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Bethesda-Chevy Chase | ||
| Bladensburg | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| Blair | Blair | Blair | ||
| Blake | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| Bohemia Manor | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| Boonsboro | Boonsboro | Boonsboro | ||
| Bowie | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| Broadneck | Broadneck | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Broadneck | |
| Brunswick | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| Calvert | Calvert | Calvert | ||
| Cambridge SD | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| Carver A&T | Carver A&T | Carver A&T | ||
| Catoctin | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Catonsville | Catonsville | Catonsville | ||
| Centennial | Centennial | Centennial | ||
| Central PG | Central PG | Central PG | ||
| Century | Century | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Century | |
| CH Flowers | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Chesapeake BC | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| Chopticon | Chopticon | Chopticon | ||
| City College | City College | City College | ||
| Clarksburg | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| CM Wright | CM Wright | CM Wright | ||
| CMIT North | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| Crofton | Crofton | Crofton | ||
| Damascus | Damascus | Damascus | ||
| Dr Henry Wise | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| Dulaney | Dulaney | Dulaney | ||
| Dundalk | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| DuVal | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| Eastern Technical | Eastern Technical | Eastern Technical | ||
| Easton | Easton | Easton | ||
| Edgewood | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| Einstein | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| Eleanor Roosevelt | Eleanor Roosevelt | Eleanor Roosevelt | ||
| Elkton | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| Fairmont Heights | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| Fallston | Fallston | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Fallston | |
| Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Franklin | Franklin | Franklin | ||
| Frederick | Frederick | Frederick | ||
| Frederick Douglass PG | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| Gaithersburg | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| Glen Burnie | Glen Burnie | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Glen Burnie | |
| Glenelg HS | Glenelg HS | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Glenelg HS | |
| Gov Thomas Johnson | Gov Thomas Johnson | Gov Thomas Johnson | ||
| Great Mills | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| Guilford Park | Patuxent | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Patuxent | |
| Gwynn Park | Patuxent | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Patuxent | |
| Hammond | Patuxent | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Patuxent | |
| Harford Tech | Harford Tech | Harford Tech | ||
| Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Hereford | Hereford | Hereford | ||
| Howard | Howard | Howard | ||
| Huntingtown | Huntingtown | Huntingtown | ||
| JM Bennett | JM Bennett | JM Bennett | ||
| Kennedy | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| Kent County | Kent County | Kent County | ||
| Kent Island | Kent Island | Kent Island | ||
| Kenwood | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| La Plata | La Plata | La Plata | ||
| Lackey | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| Lansdowne | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| Laurel | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| Leonardtown | Leonardtown | Leonardtown | ||
| Liberty | Liberty | Liberty | ||
| Linganore | Linganore | Linganore | ||
| Loch Raven | Loch Raven | Loch Raven | ||
| Long Reach | Long Reach | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Long Reach | |
| Magruder | Magruder | Magruder | ||
| Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Manchester Valley | |
| Marriotts Ridge | Marriotts Ridge | Marriotts Ridge | ||
| Meade | Patuxent | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Patuxent | |
| Middletown | Middletown | Middletown | ||
| Milford Mill | Milford Mill | Milford Mill | ||
| MJ McDonough | Patuxent | insuffient: ( 4- 6)( 3- 7) | Patuxent | |
| Mount Hebron | Mount Hebron | Mount Hebron | ||
| New Town | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| North Caroline | North Caroline | North Caroline | ||
| North County | North County | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | North County | |
| North Dorchester | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| North East Cecil | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| North Hagerstown | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| North Harford | North Harford | North Harford | ||
| North Point | North Point | North Point | ||
| Northeast | Northeast | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Northeast | |
| Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert 10- 1 vs 5- 7 | ||
| Northwest | Northwest | Northwest | ||
| Northwestern PG | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| Northwood | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| Oakdale | Oakdale | Oakdale | ||
| Oakland Mills | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| Old Mill | Old Mill | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Old Mill | |
| Overlea | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| Owings Mills | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| Oxon Hill | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| Paint Branch | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| Parkdale | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| Parkside | Parkside | Parkside | ||
| Parkville | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| Patapsco | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Perry Hall | Perry Hall | Perry Hall | ||
| Perryville | Perryville | Perryville | ||
| Pikesville | Pikesville | Pikesville | ||
| Poolesville | Poolesville | Poolesville | ||
| Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | ||
| Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Randallstown | Randallstown | Randallstown | ||
| Randallstown | Randallstown | Randallstown | ||
| Reservoir | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Richard Montgomery | Richard Montgomery | Richard Montgomery | ||
| Rising Sun | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| River Hill | River Hill | River Hill | ||
| Rockville | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| Seneca Valley | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| Severn Run | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Severna Park | Severna Park | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Severna Park | |
| Sherwood | Sherwood | Sherwood | ||
| Smithsburg | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| South Carroll | South Carroll | South Carroll | ||
| South Hagerstown | South Hagerstown | South Hagerstown | ||
| South River | South River | South River | ||
| Southern | Southern | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Southern | |
| Sparrows Point | Sparrows Point | Sparrows Point | ||
| Springbrook | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| St Charles | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| Stephen Decatur | Stephen Decatur | Stephen Decatur | ||
| Suitland | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| Thomas Stone | Thomas Stone | Thomas Stone | ||
| Towson | Towson | Towson | ||
| Tuscarora | Tuscarora | Tuscarora | ||
| Urbana | Urbana | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Urbana | |
| Walkersville | Walkersville | Walkersville | ||
| Walter Johnson | Walter Johnson | Walter Johnson | ||
| Watkins Mill | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| Western Baltimore | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| Western STES | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| Westlake | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| Westminster | Westminster | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Westminster | |
| Wheaton | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| Whitman | Whitman | Whitman | ||
| Wicomico | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| Wilde Lake | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Winters Mill | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Woodlawn | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| Wootton | Wootton | Wootton |
PowerWise = 72
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 11.96
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A North Point ( 5- 7, 76.5) 4-15 -23.36 14.56 0.45 0.85 -19.58
0 H Lackey ( 2-11, 70.4) 15- 7 -29.53 8.39 -0.45 0.85 6.79
0 H Westlake ( 0-11, 66.2) 17- 3 -33.70 4.22 -0.45 0.85 3.22
0 A La Plata ( 9- 3, 84.0) 5-17 -15.87 22.05 0.45 0.85 -13.18
0 H Great Mills ( 4-10, 73.2) 7- 6 -26.66 11.26 -0.45 0.85 9.24
0 H St Charles ( 4- 9, 69.7) 10- 8 -30.16 7.76 -0.45 0.85 6.25
0 A Calvert ( 8- 5, 80.7) 3-12 -19.19 18.73 0.45 0.85 -16.02
0 A Severn Run ( 7- 6, 75.1) 8- 9 -24.80 13.12 0.45 0.85 -20.81
0 A Leonardtown (12- 3, 89.4) 4-18 -10.52 27.40 0.45 0.85 -8.61
0 A Chopticon ( 8- 5, 79.0) 7- 9 -20.85 17.07 0.45 0.85 -17.44
0 H Huntingtown (12- 3, 88.3) 0-20 -11.59 26.33 -0.45 0.85 -10.29
0 A MJ McDonough ( 4- 9, 73.3) 8- 9 -26.61 11.31 0.45 0.85 -22.36
0 A MJ McDonough ( 4- 9, 73.3) 1- 0 -26.61 11.31 0.45 0.85 10.05
0 A Calvert ( 8- 5, 80.7) 2-16 -19.19 18.73 0.45 0.85 -16.02
------
-108.74
|
winning pts = 35.5407 losing points = -144.2824
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------