---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:47 PDT

safe3step girls Patterson Mill 1
  
Patterson Mill        
W-L: ( 4- 9) PR = 79.4475

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 324 H Bel Air (11- 5, 87.6) 15-22 326 H Fallston (11- 6, 88.0) 9-18 401 A Havre De Grace (10- 4, 83.1) 9-18 404 A Fallston (11- 6, 88.0) 0- 1 408 H Harford Tech ( 8- 4, 83.8) 10-14 410 A Aberdeen ( 4- 9, 73.5) 18- 7 422 H CM Wright (11- 5, 88.2) 11-26 424 H Bohemia Manor ( 2- 8, 71.3) 20- 6 425 H Perryville ( 5- 6, 75.4) 16-11 428 A North Harford ( 9- 5, 84.3) 10-18 501 H Rising Sun ( 8- 8, 77.9) 11- 7 502 H North Harford ( 9- 5, 84.3) 6-13 509 A Havre De Grace (10- 4, 83.1) 12-21

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 H Bel Air                15-22      -7    -8           0.00
   326 H Fallston                9-18      -9    -8           0.00
   401 A Havre De Grace          9-18      -9    -4          -0.92
   408 H Harford Tech           10-14      -4    -4          -0.11
   410 A Aberdeen               18- 7      11     5           0.00
   422 H CM Wright              11-26     -15    -8           0.00
   424 H Bohemia Manor          20- 6      14     9           0.00
   425 H Perryville             16-11       5     4           0.52
   428 A North Harford          10-18      -8    -5           0.00
   501 H Rising Sun             11- 7       4     2    +      2.03
   502 H North Harford           6-13      -7    -4          -0.56
   509 A Havre De Grace         12-21      -9    -4          -0.92

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   501 H Rising Sun             11- 7       4     2    +      2.03

Patterson Mill Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Annapolis Area Christian Annapolis Area Christian   Annapolis Area Christian
Anne Arundel County Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding   Archbishop Spalding
Beth TFiloh Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Bishop McNamara Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Brookewood SG Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Bryn Mawr SG Bryn Mawr SG   Bryn Mawr SG
Bullis School Bullis School   Bullis School
Calverton School Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Catholic High Baltimore Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Chapelgate Christian Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Concordia Prep Concordia Prep   Concordia Prep
Cristo Rey Jesuit Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
DC International Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
EL Haynes Charter Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Elizabeth Seton Elizabeth Seton   Elizabeth Seton
FCA Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Field School Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Friends School Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Garrison Forest Garrison Forest   Garrison Forest
Georgetown Day School Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Georgetown Visitation Georgetown Visitation   Georgetown Visitation
Gerstell Academy Gerstell Academy   Gerstell Academy
Glenelg Country School Glenelg Country School   Glenelg Country School
Good Counsel Good Counsel   Good Counsel
Gunston Day School Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Holton-Arms School Holton-Arms School   Holton-Arms School
Holy Child Holy Child   Holy Child
Holy Cross Holy Cross   Holy Cross
Indian Creek Indian Creek   Indian Creek
Jackson-Reed Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Jemicy Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
John Carroll John Carroll   John Carroll
Key School Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
KIPP College Prep Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Maret School Maret School   Maret School
Maryvale Prep Maryvale Prep   Maryvale Prep
McDonogh School McDonogh School   McDonogh School
Mercy Mercy insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Mercy
Mount de Sales Mount de Sales   Mount de Sales
National Cathedral National Cathedral   National Cathedral
Notre Dame Prep Notre Dame Prep   Notre Dame Prep
Oldfields School Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Park School Park School   Park School
Rockbridge Academy Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Roland Park Country Roland Park Country   Roland Park Country
Salisbury School Salisbury School   Salisbury School
Sandy Spring Friends Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
School Without Walls Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Severn School Severn School   Severn School
Sidwell Friends Sidwell Friends   Sidwell Friends
St Andrews Episcopal St Andrews Episcopal   St Andrews Episcopal
St James School St James School   St James School
St Johns Catholic Prep Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
St Johns College St Johns College   St Johns College
St Marys St Marys   St Marys
St Marys Ryken St Marys Ryken   St Marys Ryken
St Pauls SG St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
St Timothys St Timothys   St Timothys
St Vincent Pallotti Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Stone Ridge School Stone Ridge School   Stone Ridge School
Sts Peter & Paul Sts Peter & Paul   Sts Peter & Paul
Tome School Patterson Mill tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Patterson Mill
Washington Latin Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Worcester Prep Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Aberdeen Patterson Mill Patterson Mill  
Academy for College & Ca Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Annapolis Annapolis   Annapolis
Arundel Arundel   Arundel
Atholton Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Baltimore Polytechnic Baltimore Polytechnic tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Baltimore Polytechnic
Bel Air Bel Air Bel Air  
Bethesda-Chevy Chase Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Bladensburg Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Blair Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Blake Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Bohemia Manor Patterson Mill Patterson Mill  
Boonsboro Boonsboro   Boonsboro
Bowie Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Broadneck Broadneck   Broadneck
Brunswick Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Calvert Calvert tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Calvert
Cambridge SD Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Carver A&T Patterson Mill tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Patterson Mill
Catoctin Catoctin   Catoctin
Catonsville Catonsville tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Catonsville
Centennial Centennial   Centennial
Central PG Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Century Century insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Century
CH Flowers Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Chesapeake AA Chesapeake AA tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Chesapeake AA
Chesapeake BC Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Chopticon Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
City College Patterson Mill tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Patterson Mill
Clarksburg Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
CM Wright CM Wright CM Wright  
CMIT North Patterson Mill insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Patterson Mill
Crofton Crofton   Crofton
Damascus Damascus   Damascus
Dr Henry Wise Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Dulaney Dulaney insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Dulaney
Dundalk Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
DuVal Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Eastern Technical Eastern Technical   Eastern Technical
Easton Easton   Easton
Edgewood Patterson Mill Patterson Mill   2- 4 vs 0- 6
Einstein Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Eleanor Roosevelt Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Elkton Patterson Mill Patterson Mill   4- 2 vs 2- 4
Fairmont Heights Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Fallston Fallston Fallston  
Francis Scott Key Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Franklin Franklin   Franklin
Frederick Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Frederick Douglass PG Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Gaithersburg Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Glen Burnie Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Glenelg HS Glenelg HS   Glenelg HS
Gov Thomas Johnson Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Great Mills Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Guilford Park Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Gwynn Park Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Hammond Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Harford Tech Harford Tech Harford Tech  
Havre De Grace Havre De Grace Havre De Grace  
Hereford Hereford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hereford
Howard Howard   Howard
Huntingtown Huntingtown   Huntingtown
JM Bennett JM Bennett   JM Bennett
Kennedy Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Kent County Patterson Mill tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Patterson Mill
Kent Island Kent Island   Kent Island
Kenwood Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
La Plata La Plata   La Plata
Lackey Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Lansdowne Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Laurel Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Leonardtown Leonardtown   Leonardtown
Liberty Liberty   Liberty
Linganore Linganore   Linganore
Loch Raven Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Long Reach Long Reach   Long Reach
Magruder Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Manchester Valley Manchester Valley insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Manchester Valley
Marriotts Ridge Marriotts Ridge   Marriotts Ridge
Meade Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Middletown Middletown tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Middletown
Milford Mill Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
MJ McDonough Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Mount Hebron Mount Hebron   Mount Hebron
New Town Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
North Caroline North Caroline   North Caroline
North County North County   North County
North Dorchester Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
North East Cecil Patterson Mill Patterson Mill   4- 3 vs 0- 7
North Hagerstown Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
North Harford North Harford North Harford  
North Point Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Northeast Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Northern Calvert Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Northwest Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Northwestern PG Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Northwood Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Oakdale Oakdale   Oakdale
Oakland Mills Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Old Mill Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Overlea Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Owings Mills Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Oxon Hill Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Paint Branch Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Parkdale Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Parkside Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Parkville Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Patapsco Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Patuxent Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Perry Hall Perry Hall tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Perry Hall
Perryville Patterson Mill Patterson Mill  
Pikesville Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Poolesville Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Queen Annes County Queen Annes County   Queen Annes County
Quince Orchard Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Randallstown Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Randallstown Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Reservoir Reservoir   Reservoir
Richard Montgomery Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Rising Sun Patterson Mill Patterson Mill  
River Hill River Hill   River Hill
Rockville Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Seneca Valley Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Severn Run Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Severna Park Severna Park   Severna Park
Sherwood Sherwood   Sherwood
Smithsburg Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
South Carroll South Carroll South Carroll   2- 0 vs 0- 2
South Hagerstown Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
South River South River insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) South River
Southern Southern   Southern
Sparrows Point Sparrows Point tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Sparrows Point
Springbrook Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
St Charles Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Stephen Decatur Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Suitland Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Thomas Stone Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Towson Towson Towson   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Tuscarora Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Urbana Urbana insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Urbana
Walkersville Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Walter Johnson Walter Johnson   Walter Johnson
Watkins Mill Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Western Baltimore Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Western STES Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Westlake Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Westminster Westminster   Westminster
Wheaton Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Whitman Whitman   Whitman
Wicomico Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Wilde Lake Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Winston Churchill Winston Churchill   Winston Churchill
Winters Mill Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Woodlawn Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Wootton Wootton   Wootton

PowerWise = 120


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.96

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Bel Air         (11- 5, 87.6)    15-22      -12.32      25.60      -0.45         0.92           -11.75
   0 H Fallston        (11- 6, 88.0)     9-18      -11.85      26.07      -0.45         0.92           -11.32
   0 A Havre De Grace  (10- 4, 83.1)     9-18      -16.82      21.10       0.45         0.92           -15.07
   0 A Fallston        (11- 6, 88.0)     0- 1      -11.85      26.07       0.45         0.92           -10.49
   0 H Harford Tech    ( 8- 4, 83.8)    10-14      -16.11      21.81      -0.45         0.92           -15.24
   0 A Aberdeen        ( 4- 9, 73.5)    18- 7      -26.39      11.53       0.45         0.92            11.03
   0 H CM Wright       (11- 5, 88.2)    11-26      -11.71      26.21      -0.45         0.92           -11.19
   0 H Bohemia Manor   ( 2- 8, 71.3)    20- 6      -28.61       9.31      -0.45         0.92             8.15
   0 H Perryville      ( 5- 6, 75.4)    16-11      -24.49      13.43      -0.45         0.92            11.95
   0 A North Harford   ( 9- 5, 84.3)    10-18      -15.57      22.35       0.45         0.92           -13.91
   0 H Rising Sun      ( 8- 8, 77.9)    11- 7      -21.97      15.95      -0.45         0.92            14.26
   0 H North Harford   ( 9- 5, 84.3)     6-13      -15.57      22.35      -0.45         0.92           -14.74
   0 A Havre De Grace  (10- 4, 83.1)    12-21      -16.82      21.10       0.45         0.92           -15.07
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -73.39

winning pts = 45.3893 losing points = -118.7820

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------