Paint Branch
W-L: ( 3-10) PR = 68.8606Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 321 H Watkins Mill ( 1-12, 65.2) 10- 5 324 A Wheaton ( 6- 7, 71.5) 6- 8 327 H Einstein ( 8- 5, 71.7) 7- 6 402 A Northwood ( 4- 9, 70.2) 7- 8 405 A Springbrook ( 7- 8, 72.1) 10-12 407 A Bethesda-Chevy Chase ( 9- 5, 83.5) 2-11 410 H Walter Johnson ( 9- 4, 84.4) 0-14 422 A Clarksburg ( 4-10, 71.4) 0-11 424 A Gaithersburg ( 0-13, 65.2) 9- 3 426 H Seneca Valley ( 4- 9, 68.4) 4-11 428 H Richard Montgomery ( 9- 6, 75.7) 4-13 430 H Blake ( 3-10, 72.6) 9-13 507 A Springbrook ( 7- 8, 72.1) 4- 9
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
321 H Watkins Mill 10- 5 5 4 0.93
324 A Wheaton 6- 8 -2 -3 1.04
327 H Einstein 7- 6 1 -2 + 3.42
402 A Northwood 7- 8 -1 -2 0.78
405 A Springbrook 10-12 -2 -4 1.64
407 A Bethesda-Chevy Chase 2-11 -9 -15 0.00
410 H Walter Johnson 0-14 -14 -15 0.00
422 A Clarksburg 0-11 -11 -3 - -2.02
424 A Gaithersburg 9- 3 6 3 1.77
426 H Seneca Valley 4-11 -7 1 -- -5.90
428 H Richard Montgomery 4-13 -9 -6 0.00
430 H Blake 9-13 -4 -3 -0.68
507 A Springbrook 4- 9 -5 -4 -1.36
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 426 H Seneca Valley 4-11 -7 1 -- -5.90 422 A Clarksburg 0-11 -11 -3 - -2.02 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 327 H Einstein 7- 6 1 -2 + 3.42 |
Paint Branch Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Anne Arundel County | Anne Arundel County | Anne Arundel County | ||
| Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | ||
| Beth TFiloh | Beth TFiloh | Beth TFiloh | ||
| Bishop McNamara | Bishop McNamara | Bishop McNamara | ||
| Brookewood SG | Brookewood SG | Brookewood SG | ||
| Bryn Mawr SG | Bryn Mawr SG | Bryn Mawr SG | ||
| Bullis School | Bullis School | Bullis School | ||
| Calverton School | Calverton School | Calverton School | ||
| Catholic High Baltimore | Catholic High Baltimore | Catholic High Baltimore | ||
| Chapelgate Christian | Chapelgate Christian | Chapelgate Christian | ||
| Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Cristo Rey Jesuit | Cristo Rey Jesuit | Cristo Rey Jesuit | ||
| DC International | DC International | DC International | ||
| EL Haynes Charter | EL Haynes Charter | EL Haynes Charter | ||
| Elizabeth Seton | Elizabeth Seton | Elizabeth Seton | ||
| FCA | FCA | FCA | ||
| Field School | Field School | Field School | ||
| Friends School | Friends School | Friends School | ||
| Garrison Forest | Garrison Forest | Garrison Forest | ||
| Georgetown Day School | Georgetown Day School | Georgetown Day School | ||
| Georgetown Visitation | Georgetown Visitation | Georgetown Visitation | ||
| Gerstell Academy | Gerstell Academy | Gerstell Academy | ||
| Glenelg Country School | Glenelg Country School | Glenelg Country School | ||
| Good Counsel | Good Counsel | Good Counsel | ||
| Gunston Day School | Gunston Day School | Gunston Day School | ||
| Holton-Arms School | Holton-Arms School | Holton-Arms School | ||
| Holy Child | Holy Child | Holy Child | ||
| Holy Cross | Holy Cross | Holy Cross | ||
| Indian Creek | Indian Creek | Indian Creek | ||
| Jackson-Reed | Jackson-Reed | Jackson-Reed | ||
| Jemicy | Paint Branch | Paint Branch | ||
| John Carroll | John Carroll | John Carroll | ||
| Key School | Key School | Key School | ||
| KIPP College Prep | KIPP College Prep | KIPP College Prep | ||
| Maret School | Maret School | Maret School | ||
| Maryvale Prep | Maryvale Prep | Maryvale Prep | ||
| McDonogh School | McDonogh School | McDonogh School | ||
| Mercy | Mercy | Mercy | ||
| Mount de Sales | Mount de Sales | Mount de Sales | ||
| National Cathedral | National Cathedral | National Cathedral | ||
| Notre Dame Prep | Notre Dame Prep | Notre Dame Prep | ||
| Oldfields School | Oldfields School | Oldfields School | ||
| Park School | Park School | Park School | ||
| Rockbridge Academy | Rockbridge Academy | Rockbridge Academy | ||
| Roland Park Country | Roland Park Country | Roland Park Country | ||
| Salisbury School | Salisbury School | Salisbury School | ||
| Sandy Spring Friends | Paint Branch | Paint Branch | ||
| School Without Walls | School Without Walls | School Without Walls | ||
| Severn School | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Sidwell Friends | Sidwell Friends | Sidwell Friends | ||
| St Andrews Episcopal | St Andrews Episcopal | St Andrews Episcopal | ||
| St James School | St James School | St James School | ||
| St Johns Catholic Prep | St Johns Catholic Prep | St Johns Catholic Prep | ||
| St Johns College | St Johns College | St Johns College | ||
| St Marys | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| St Marys Ryken | St Marys Ryken | St Marys Ryken | ||
| St Pauls SG | St Pauls SG | St Pauls SG | ||
| St Timothys | St Timothys | St Timothys | ||
| St Vincent Pallotti | Paint Branch | Paint Branch | ||
| Stone Ridge School | Stone Ridge School | Stone Ridge School | ||
| Sts Peter & Paul | Sts Peter & Paul | Sts Peter & Paul | ||
| Tome School | Tome School | Tome School | ||
| Washington Latin | Washington Latin | Washington Latin | ||
| Worcester Prep | Worcester Prep | Worcester Prep | ||
| Aberdeen | Aberdeen | Aberdeen | ||
| Academy for College & Ca | Academy for College & Ca | Academy for College & Ca | ||
| Annapolis | Annapolis | Annapolis | ||
| Arundel | Arundel | Arundel | ||
| Atholton | Atholton | Atholton | ||
| Baltimore Polytechnic | Baltimore Polytechnic | Baltimore Polytechnic | ||
| Bel Air | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Bethesda-Chevy Chase | ||
| Bladensburg | Paint Branch | Paint Branch | ||
| Blair | Blair | Blair 5- 1 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Blake | Blake | Blake | ||
| Bohemia Manor | Bohemia Manor | Bohemia Manor | ||
| Boonsboro | Boonsboro | Boonsboro | ||
| Bowie | Bowie | Bowie | ||
| Broadneck | Broadneck | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Broadneck | |
| Brunswick | Brunswick | Brunswick | ||
| Calvert | Calvert | Calvert | ||
| Cambridge SD | Cambridge SD | Cambridge SD | ||
| Carver A&T | Carver A&T | Carver A&T | ||
| Catoctin | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Catonsville | Catonsville | Catonsville | ||
| Centennial | Centennial | Centennial | ||
| Central PG | Central PG | Central PG | ||
| Century | Century | Century | ||
| CH Flowers | CH Flowers | CH Flowers | ||
| Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Chesapeake BC | Paint Branch | Paint Branch | ||
| Chopticon | Chopticon | Chopticon | ||
| City College | City College | City College | ||
| Clarksburg | Clarksburg | Clarksburg | ||
| CM Wright | CM Wright | CM Wright | ||
| CMIT North | CMIT North | CMIT North | ||
| Crofton | Crofton | Crofton | ||
| Damascus | Damascus | Damascus 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Dr Henry Wise | Paint Branch | Paint Branch | ||
| Dulaney | Dulaney | Dulaney | ||
| Dundalk | Paint Branch | Paint Branch | ||
| DuVal | DuVal | DuVal | ||
| Eastern Technical | Eastern Technical | Eastern Technical | ||
| Easton | Easton | Easton | ||
| Edgewood | Edgewood | Edgewood | ||
| Einstein | Paint Branch | Paint Branch | ||
| Eleanor Roosevelt | Eleanor Roosevelt | Eleanor Roosevelt | ||
| Elkton | Elkton | Elkton | ||
| Fairmont Heights | Fairmont Heights | Fairmont Heights | ||
| Fallston | Fallston | Fallston | ||
| Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Franklin | Franklin | Franklin | ||
| Frederick | Frederick | Frederick | ||
| Frederick Douglass PG | Frederick Douglass PG | Frederick Douglass PG | ||
| Gaithersburg | Paint Branch | Paint Branch | ||
| Glen Burnie | Glen Burnie | Glen Burnie | ||
| Glenelg HS | Glenelg HS | Glenelg HS | ||
| Gov Thomas Johnson | Gov Thomas Johnson | Gov Thomas Johnson | ||
| Great Mills | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Guilford Park | Guilford Park | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Guilford Park | |
| Gwynn Park | Gwynn Park | Gwynn Park | ||
| Hammond | Hammond | Hammond | ||
| Harford Tech | Harford Tech | Harford Tech | ||
| Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Hereford | Hereford | Hereford | ||
| Howard | Howard | Howard | ||
| Huntingtown | Huntingtown | Huntingtown | ||
| JM Bennett | JM Bennett | JM Bennett | ||
| Kennedy | Paint Branch | Paint Branch 3- 4 vs 1- 6 | ||
| Kent County | Kent County | Kent County | ||
| Kent Island | Kent Island | Kent Island | ||
| Kenwood | Paint Branch | Paint Branch | ||
| La Plata | La Plata | La Plata | ||
| Lackey | Lackey | Lackey | ||
| Lansdowne | Paint Branch | Paint Branch | ||
| Laurel | Laurel | Laurel | ||
| Leonardtown | Leonardtown | Leonardtown | ||
| Liberty | Liberty | Liberty | ||
| Linganore | Linganore | Linganore | ||
| Loch Raven | Loch Raven | Loch Raven | ||
| Long Reach | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Magruder | Magruder | Magruder 5- 0 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Marriotts Ridge | Marriotts Ridge | Marriotts Ridge | ||
| Meade | Paint Branch | Paint Branch | ||
| Middletown | Middletown | Middletown | ||
| Milford Mill | Milford Mill | Milford Mill | ||
| MJ McDonough | MJ McDonough | MJ McDonough | ||
| Mount Hebron | Mount Hebron | Mount Hebron | ||
| New Town | Paint Branch | Paint Branch | ||
| North Caroline | North Caroline | North Caroline | ||
| North County | North County | North County | ||
| North Dorchester | North Dorchester | North Dorchester | ||
| North East Cecil | North East Cecil | North East Cecil | ||
| North Hagerstown | Paint Branch | Paint Branch | ||
| North Harford | North Harford | North Harford | ||
| North Point | North Point | North Point | ||
| Northeast | Northeast | Northeast | ||
| Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Northwest | Northwest | Northwest 7- 1 vs 3- 5 | ||
| Northwestern PG | Paint Branch | Paint Branch | ||
| Northwood | Northwood | Northwood | ||
| Oakdale | Oakdale | Oakdale | ||
| Oakland Mills | Paint Branch | Paint Branch | ||
| Old Mill | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Overlea | Paint Branch | Paint Branch | ||
| Owings Mills | Paint Branch | Paint Branch | ||
| Oxon Hill | Oxon Hill | Oxon Hill | ||
| Parkdale | Parkdale | Parkdale | ||
| Parkside | Parkside | Parkside | ||
| Parkville | Parkville | Parkville | ||
| Patapsco | Patapsco | Patapsco | ||
| Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Patuxent | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| Perry Hall | Perry Hall | Perry Hall | ||
| Perryville | Perryville | Perryville | ||
| Pikesville | Pikesville | Pikesville | ||
| Poolesville | Poolesville | Poolesville 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | ||
| Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard 5- 0 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Randallstown | Randallstown | Randallstown | ||
| Randallstown | Randallstown | Randallstown | ||
| Reservoir | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Richard Montgomery | Richard Montgomery | Richard Montgomery | ||
| Rising Sun | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| River Hill | River Hill | River Hill | ||
| Rockville | Rockville | insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 3) | Rockville | |
| Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Severn Run | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Severna Park | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Sherwood | Sherwood | Sherwood 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Smithsburg | Smithsburg | Smithsburg | ||
| South Carroll | South Carroll | South Carroll | ||
| South Hagerstown | South Hagerstown | South Hagerstown | ||
| South River | South River | South River | ||
| Southern | Southern | Southern | ||
| Sparrows Point | Sparrows Point | Sparrows Point | ||
| Springbrook | Springbrook | Springbrook | ||
| St Charles | St Charles | St Charles | ||
| Stephen Decatur | Stephen Decatur | Stephen Decatur | ||
| Suitland | Paint Branch | Paint Branch | ||
| Thomas Stone | Thomas Stone | Thomas Stone | ||
| Towson | Towson | Towson | ||
| Tuscarora | Tuscarora | Tuscarora | ||
| Urbana | Urbana | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Urbana | |
| Walkersville | Walkersville | Walkersville | ||
| Walter Johnson | Walter Johnson | Walter Johnson | ||
| Watkins Mill | Paint Branch | Paint Branch | ||
| Western Baltimore | Paint Branch | Paint Branch | ||
| Western STES | Western STES | Western STES | ||
| Westlake | Paint Branch | Paint Branch | ||
| Westminster | Westminster | Westminster | ||
| Wheaton | Wheaton | Wheaton | ||
| Whitman | Whitman | Whitman 6- 1 vs 2- 5 | ||
| Wicomico | Paint Branch | Paint Branch | ||
| Wilde Lake | Wilde Lake | Wilde Lake | ||
| Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill 4- 2 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Winters Mill | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Woodlawn | Paint Branch | Paint Branch | ||
| Wootton | Wootton | Wootton 3- 1 vs 1- 3 |
PowerWise = 25
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 11.96
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Watkins Mill ( 1-12, 65.2) 10- 5 -34.66 3.26 -0.45 0.92 2.59
0 A Wheaton ( 6- 7, 71.5) 6- 8 -28.44 9.47 0.45 0.92 -25.76
0 H Einstein ( 8- 5, 71.7) 7- 6 -28.17 9.75 -0.45 0.92 8.56
0 A Northwood ( 4- 9, 70.2) 7- 8 -29.71 8.21 0.45 0.92 -26.93
0 A Springbrook ( 7- 8, 72.1) 10-12 -27.84 10.08 0.45 0.92 -25.21
0 A Bethesda-Chevy ( 9- 5, 83.5) 2-11 -16.44 21.48 0.45 0.92 -14.72
0 H Walter Johnson ( 9- 4, 84.4) 0-14 -15.52 22.40 -0.45 0.92 -14.70
0 A Clarksburg ( 4-10, 71.4) 0-11 -28.51 9.41 0.45 0.92 -25.82
0 A Gaithersburg ( 0-13, 65.2) 9- 3 -34.72 3.20 0.45 0.92 3.36
0 H Seneca Valley ( 4- 9, 68.4) 4-11 -31.49 6.43 -0.45 0.92 -29.39
0 H Richard Montgo ( 9- 6, 75.7) 4-13 -24.21 13.71 -0.45 0.92 -22.70
0 H Blake ( 3-10, 72.6) 9-13 -27.27 10.65 -0.45 0.92 -25.51
0 A Springbrook ( 7- 8, 72.1) 4- 9 -27.84 10.08 0.45 0.92 -25.21
------
-221.45
|
winning pts = 14.5095 losing points = -235.9617
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------