Providence Day
W-L: (18- 1) PR = 97.1042Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 227 H Cuthbertson (10- 9, 90.6) 17- 4 304 A Marvin Ridge (19- 4, 94.0) 10- 7 311 H Weddington (17- 6, 95.6) 11- 8 314 H Charlotte Catholic (14- 5, 94.1) 13- 8 315 A Christ the King ( 4- 2, 87.0) 15- 3 328 H Ravenscroft School ( 8- 8, 83.3) 17- 1 329 H Durham Academy ( 6- 9, 81.6) 19- 3 403 A Charlotte CDS (15- 5, 94.3) 16-10 408 A Cannon School (11- 8, 90.0) 13-10 410 H Charlotte Christian ( 4-11, 84.0) 12- 1 415 A Charlotte Latin School (11- 5, 93.4) 11- 6 422 H Charlotte CDS (15- 5, 94.3) 18-10 425 H Cannon School (11- 8, 90.0) 18- 2 428 H Lake Norman HS (13- 7, 89.0) 17- 3 429 H Charlotte Christian ( 4-11, 84.0) 19- 5 502 H Charlotte Latin School (11- 5, 93.4) 9-12 507 H Durham Academy ( 6- 9, 81.6) 17- 2 513 H Cannon School (11- 8, 90.0) 15- 4 517 H Charlotte CDS (15- 5, 94.3) 14- 8
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
227 H Cuthbertson 17- 4 13 7 0.00
304 A Marvin Ridge 10- 7 3 3 0.15
311 H Weddington 11- 8 3 2 1.18
314 H Charlotte Catholic 13- 8 5 3 1.66
315 A Christ the King 15- 3 12 10 0.00
328 H Ravenscroft School 17- 1 16 14 0.00
329 H Durham Academy 19- 3 16 16 0.00
403 A Charlotte CDS 16-10 6 3 + 2.48
408 A Cannon School 13-10 3 7 - -2.00
410 H Charlotte Christian 12- 1 11 13 0.00
415 A Charlotte Latin School 11- 6 5 3 1.64
422 H Charlotte CDS 18-10 8 3 1.87
425 H Cannon School 18- 2 16 7 0.00
428 H Lake Norman HS 17- 3 14 8 0.00
429 H Charlotte Christian 19- 5 14 13 0.00
502 H Charlotte Latin School 9-12 -3 4 --- -6.97
507 H Durham Academy 17- 2 15 16 0.00
513 H Cannon School 15- 4 11 7 0.00
517 H Charlotte CDS 14- 8 6 3 1.87
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 502 H Charlotte Latin School 9-12 -3 4 --- -6.97 408 A Cannon School 13-10 3 7 - -2.00 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 403 A Charlotte CDS 16-10 6 3 + 2.48 |
Providence Day Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apex | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Apex Friendship | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Ardrey Kell | Providence Day | Providence Day 6- 0 vs 0- 6 | ||
| Arendell Parrott Academy | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Asheville HS | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Asheville School | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Ashley | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Athens Drive | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Atkins | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Ballantyne Ridge | Providence Day | Providence Day 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Bishop McGuinness | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Broughton | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Butler | Providence Day | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Providence Day | |
| Cannon School | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Cape Fear Academy | Providence Day | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Providence Day | |
| Cape Fear HS | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Cardinal Gibbons | Cardinal Gibbons | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Cardinal Gibbons | |
| Carrboro | Providence Day | Providence Day 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Cary Academy | Providence Day | Providence Day 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Cary HS | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Chapel Hill | |
| Charlotte Catholic | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Charlotte CDS | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Charlotte Christian | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Charlotte Latin School | Providence Day | Providence Day 7- 0 vs 5- 2 | ||
| Christ the King | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Clayton | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Cleveland | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Community School Davidso | Providence Day | Providence Day 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Corinth Holders | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Croatan | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Cuthbertson | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Davidson Day School | Providence Day | Providence Day 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Davie | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| DH Conley | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Durham Academy | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| East Chapel Hill | Providence Day | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Providence Day | |
| East Forsyth | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Enloe | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Fayetteville Academy | Providence Day | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Providence Day | |
| Fike | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| First Flight | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Forsyth CDS | Providence Day | Providence Day 4- 1 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Fuquay-Varina | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Garner | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Glenn | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Green Hope | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Green Level | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Greensboro Day School | Providence Day | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Providence Day | |
| Grimsley | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Havelock | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Heritage | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Hickory | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| High Point Central | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Hoggard | Providence Day | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Providence Day | |
| Holly Springs | Providence Day | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Providence Day | |
| Hopewell | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Hough | Providence Day | Providence Day 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Hunt | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Independence | Providence Day | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Providence Day | |
| Jack Britt | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Jacksonville | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| JH Rose | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Jordan | Providence Day | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Providence Day | |
| Lake Norman Charter | Providence Day | Providence Day 6- 0 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Lake Norman HS | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Laney | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Leesville Road | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Lincoln Charter | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Marvin Ridge | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Middle Creek | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Millbrook | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Mooresville | Providence Day | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Providence Day | |
| Mount Tabor | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Myers Park | Providence Day | Providence Day 6- 0 vs 2- 4 | ||
| New Bern | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| New Hanover | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| North Brunswick | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| North Davidson | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| North Lincoln | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Northern Guilford | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Northside | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Northwest Guilford | Providence Day | Providence Day 3- 0 vs 1- 1 | ||
| Northwood | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Page | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Panther Creek | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Parkwood | Providence Day | Providence Day 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Patton | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Pine Forest | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Pine Lake Prep | Providence Day | Providence Day 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Pinecrest | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Porter Ridge | Providence Day | Providence Day 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Providence | Providence Day | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Providence Day | |
| Rabun Gap-Nocoochee | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Ragsdale | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Ravenscroft School | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Riverside Durham | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| RJ Reynolds | Providence Day | Providence Day 2- 0 vs 0- 1 | ||
| Rolesville | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Ronald Reagan | Providence Day | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 0) | Providence Day | |
| Sanderson | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Seaforth | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| South Brunswick | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| South Iredell | Providence Day | Providence Day 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| South Mecklenburg | Providence Day | Providence Day 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Southeast Guilford | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Southlake Christian | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Southwest Guilford | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| St Davids School | Providence Day | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Providence Day | |
| St Marys | Providence Day | Providence Day 4- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| St Stephens | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Sun Valley | Providence Day | Providence Day 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Swansboro | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| TC Roberson | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Terry Sanford | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Topsail | Providence Day | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Providence Day | |
| Union Pines | Providence Day | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Providence Day | |
| Wake Forest | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Wakefield | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Watauga | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Weddington | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| West Brunswick | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| West Forsyth | Providence Day | Providence Day 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| West Stokes | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| White Oak | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Willow Spring | Providence Day | Providence Day |
PowerWise = 124
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 16.87
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Cuthbertson (10- 9, 90.6) 17- 4 -9.32 30.49 -0.31 0.89 26.79
0 A Marvin Ridge (19- 4, 94.0) 10- 7 -5.95 33.86 0.31 0.89 30.32
0 H Weddington (17- 6, 95.6) 11- 8 -4.31 35.50 -0.31 0.89 31.24
0 H Charlotte Cath (14- 5, 94.1) 13- 8 -5.83 33.98 -0.31 0.89 29.89
0 A Christ the Kin ( 4- 2, 87.0) 15- 3 -12.89 26.91 0.31 0.89 24.16
0 H Ravenscroft Sc ( 8- 8, 83.3) 17- 1 -16.60 23.21 -0.31 0.89 20.33
0 H Durham Academy ( 6- 9, 81.6) 19- 3 -18.34 21.46 -0.31 0.89 18.78
0 A Charlotte CDS (15- 5, 94.3) 16-10 -5.62 34.18 0.31 0.89 30.62
0 A Cannon School (11- 8, 90.0) 13-10 -9.88 29.93 0.31 0.89 26.84
0 H Charlotte Chri ( 4-11, 84.0) 12- 1 -15.90 23.91 -0.31 0.89 20.95
0 A Charlotte Lati (11- 5, 93.4) 11- 6 -6.46 33.35 0.31 0.89 29.87
0 H Charlotte CDS (15- 5, 94.3) 18-10 -5.62 34.18 -0.31 0.89 30.07
0 H Cannon School (11- 8, 90.0) 18- 2 -9.88 29.93 -0.31 0.89 26.29
0 H Lake Norman HS (13- 7, 89.0) 17- 3 -10.86 28.94 -0.31 0.89 25.42
0 H Charlotte Chri ( 4-11, 84.0) 19- 5 -15.90 23.91 -0.31 0.89 20.95
0 H Charlotte Lati (11- 5, 93.4) 9-12 -6.46 33.35 -0.31 0.89 -6.00
0 H Durham Academy ( 6- 9, 81.6) 17- 2 -18.34 21.46 -0.31 0.89 18.78
0 H Cannon School (11- 8, 90.0) 15- 4 -9.88 29.93 -0.31 0.89 26.29
0 H Charlotte CDS (15- 5, 94.3) 14- 8 -5.62 34.18 -0.31 0.89 30.07
------
461.68
|
winning pts = 467.6823 losing points = -6.0027
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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