---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:50 PDT

safe3step girls Portage Northern 1
  
Portage Northern      
W-L: (12-10) PR = 87.9427

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 320 H DeWitt ( 7-15, 84.8) 9- 6 322 H Mona Shores (15- 7, 90.6) 1- 8 322 H Lowell ( 7-11, 87.4) 4- 7 322 H Ann Arbor Father Gabri ( 3-15, 83.2) 10- 4 411 A Mattawan (19- 4, 92.1) 2-16 412 A Grand Blanc ( 9-11, 84.4) 13-10 414 H Grand Rapids Christian ( 7-10, 86.6) 6- 5 416 H Hudsonville (16- 6, 89.6) 9-11 417 H Traverse City Central (13- 3, 89.6) 13-14 421 A Lowell ( 7-11, 87.4) 14-15 423 A Grand Haven ( 5-11, 83.4) 10- 7 426 H East Lansing ( 4-12, 83.8) 14- 3 501 A Grandville ( 8-12, 86.6) 14-13 503 H Mattawan (19- 4, 92.1) 8-17 506 H Okemos ( 5- 9, 85.3) 13- 9 508 H Haslett (12- 7, 90.6) 9-13 509 A Holt (15- 6, 89.5) 9-16 513 A Lansing Catholic-Waver (10- 8, 85.6) 16- 9 517 A Traverse City Central (13- 3, 89.6) 14- 6 523 A Mona Shores (15- 7, 90.6) 9- 8 528 H Hudsonville (16- 6, 89.6) 9- 8 531 A Rockford (14- 5, 95.5) 6-15

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 H DeWitt                  9- 6       3     4          -0.78
   322 H Mona Shores             1- 8      -7    -2    -     -2.95
   322 H Lowell                  4- 7      -3     1    --    -4.13
   322 H Ann Arbor Father Gabri 10- 4       6     5           0.00
   411 A Mattawan                2-16     -14    -5          -0.26
   412 A Grand Blanc            13-10       3     3           0.12
   414 H Grand Rapids Christian  6- 5       1     2          -1.00
   416 H Hudsonville             9-11      -2    -1          -0.92
   417 H Traverse City Central  13-14      -1    -1          -0.01
   421 A Lowell                 14-15      -1     0          -0.89
   423 A Grand Haven            10- 7       3     4          -0.92
   426 H East Lansing           14- 3      11     5           0.22
   501 A Grandville             14-13       1     1           0.33
   503 H Mattawan                8-17      -9    -3          -1.50
   506 H Okemos                 13- 9       4     3           0.69
   508 H Haslett                 9-13      -4    -2          -1.99
   509 A Holt                    9-16      -7    -2    -     -2.85
   513 A Lansing Catholic-Waver 16- 9       7     2    +      3.24
   517 A Traverse City Central  14- 6       8    -2    +++    7.23
   523 A Mona Shores             9- 8       1    -3    ++     4.30
   528 H Hudsonville             9- 8       1    -1    +      2.08
   531 A Rockford                6-15      -9    -8           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 H Lowell                  4- 7      -3     1    --    -4.13
   322 H Mona Shores             1- 8      -7    -2    -     -2.95
   509 A Holt                    9-16      -7    -2    -     -2.85

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   517 A Traverse City Central  14- 6       8    -2    +++    7.23
   523 A Mona Shores             9- 8       1    -3    ++     4.30
   513 A Lansing Catholic-Waver 16- 9       7     2    +      3.24
   528 H Hudsonville             9- 8       1    -1    +      2.08

Portage Northern Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Ann Arbor Father Gabriel Portage Northern Portage Northern  
Ann Arbor Huron Portage Northern tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Portage Northern
Ann Arbor Pioneer Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Ann Arbor Skyline Portage Northern tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Portage Northern
Avondale Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Battle Creek Harper Cree Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Bedford Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Birmingham Unified Birmingham Unified tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Birmingham Unified
Bloomfield Hills Bloomfield Hills tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Bloomfield Hills
Brighton Brighton insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 1) Brighton
Brighton B Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Byron Center Byron Center tied - ( 4- 3) ( 4- 2) Byron Center
Caledonia Caledonia insuffient: ( 4- 4)( 5- 2) Caledonia
Canton Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Cass Tech Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Catholic Central Catholic Central Catholic Central   2- 0 vs 0- 1
Chippewa Valley Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Clarkston Portage Northern tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Portage Northern
Comstock Park Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood   Cranbrook Kingswood
Davison Portage Northern insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Portage Northern
Detroit Country Day Detroit Country Day insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Detroit Country Day
DeWitt Portage Northern Portage Northern  
Dexter Portage Northern tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Portage Northern
Divine Child Portage Northern   Portage Northern
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids   3- 0 vs 0- 2
East Lansing Portage Northern Portage Northern  
Farmington Portage Northern tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Portage Northern
Fenton-Linden Co-Op Portage Northern tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Portage Northern
Flint Powers Catholic Portage Northern Portage Northern   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Flushing Portage Northern insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Portage Northern
Forest Hills Central Forest Hills Central insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Forest Hills Central
Forest Hills Northern/Ea Portage Northern Portage Northern   4- 2 vs 2- 3
Grand Blanc Portage Northern Portage Northern  
Grand Haven Portage Northern Portage Northern  
Grand Ledge Grand Ledge tied - ( 6- 3) ( 6- 2) Grand Ledge
Grand Rapids Christian Portage Northern Portage Northern  
Grandville Portage Northern Portage Northern  
Grosse Pointe North Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Grosse Pointe South Grosse Pointe South tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Grosse Pointe South
Hartland Hartland tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 0) Hartland
Haslett Haslett Haslett  
Henry Ford II Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Holland West Ottawa Portage Northern Portage Northern   4- 4 vs 0- 7
Holly-Brandon Co-Op Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Holt Holt Holt  
Howell Portage Northern Portage Northern   4- 0 vs 1- 2
Hudsonville Hudsonville tied - ( 7- 4) ( 7- 2) Hudsonville
Jenison Portage Northern Portage Northern   4- 3 vs 0- 6
Kalamazoo Central Portage Northern insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Portage Northern
Lake Fenton Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Lake Orion Lake Orion Lake Orion   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Lakeview Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Lansing Catholic-Waverly Portage Northern Portage Northern  
Lapeer Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Livonia United Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Lowell Lowell Lowell  
Marian Marian   Marian
Mattawan Mattawan Mattawan  
Mercy Mercy insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Mercy
Midland Portage Northern Portage Northern   4- 1 vs 0- 4
Mona Shores Mona Shores Mona Shores   7- 0 vs 4- 3
Northview Northview Northview   7- 1 vs 5- 3
Northville Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Notre Dame Prep Portage Northern insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Portage Northern
Novi Portage Northern tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Portage Northern
Okemos Portage Northern Portage Northern  
Oxford Portage Northern tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Portage Northern
Plymouth Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Reeths-Puffer Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Rochester Adams Rochester Adams   Rochester Adams
Rochester HS Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Rochester Stoney Creek Portage Northern insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Portage Northern
Rockford Rockford Rockford  
Royal Oak Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Sacred Heart Academy Portage Northern insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) Portage Northern
Saginaw Heritage Portage Northern tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) Portage Northern
Salem Portage Northern Portage Northern   2- 1 vs 0- 2
Saline Saline insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 1) Saline
South Lyon United South Lyon United insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) South Lyon United
Spring Lake Spring Lake tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Spring Lake
St Catherine of Siena Portage Northern insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Portage Northern
St Johns/Ovid-Elsie Portage Northern Portage Northern   4- 2 vs 0- 6
Swartz Creek Portage Northern Portage Northern   3- 0 vs 1- 1
Tecumseh Portage Northern insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Portage Northern
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central insuffient: ( 6- 3)( 7- 2) Traverse City Central
Troy Portage Northern tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Portage Northern
Troy Athens Portage Northern tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Portage Northern
University Liggett Portage Northern tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Portage Northern
Utica Eisenhower Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Walled Lake Northern Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Warren Regina Portage Northern insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Portage Northern
Waterford United Portage Northern Portage Northern   3- 1 vs 0- 3
West Bloomfield Portage Northern   Portage Northern
White Lake Lakeland White Lake Lakeland insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) White Lake Lakeland
Zeeland East Portage Northern Portage Northern   4- 3 vs 0- 7

PowerWise = 66


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.08

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H DeWitt          ( 7-15, 84.8)     9- 6      -15.12      14.07      -0.62         0.73             9.84
   0 H Mona Shores     (15- 7, 90.6)     1- 8       -9.28      19.91      -0.62         0.73            -7.24
   0 H Lowell          ( 7-11, 87.4)     4- 7      -12.47      16.72      -0.62         0.73            -9.57
   0 H Ann Arbor Fath  ( 3-15, 83.2)    10- 4      -16.70      12.50      -0.62         0.73             8.68
   0 A Mattawan        (19- 4, 92.1)     2-16       -7.84      21.35       0.62         0.73            -5.28
   0 A Grand Blanc     ( 9-11, 84.4)    13-10      -15.46      13.73       0.62         0.73            10.49
   0 H Grand Rapids C  ( 7-10, 86.6)     6- 5      -13.34      15.85      -0.62         0.73            11.14
   0 H Hudsonville     (16- 6, 89.6)     9-11      -10.25      18.94      -0.62         0.73            -7.95
   0 H Traverse City   (13- 3, 89.6)    13-14      -10.34      18.85      -0.62         0.73            -8.01
   0 A Lowell          ( 7-11, 87.4)    14-15      -12.47      16.72       0.62         0.73            -8.66
   0 A Grand Haven     ( 5-11, 83.4)    10- 7      -16.50      12.69       0.62         0.73             9.73
   0 H East Lansing    ( 4-12, 83.8)    14- 3      -16.12      13.08      -0.62         0.73             9.11
   0 A Grandville      ( 8-12, 86.6)    14-13      -13.25      15.94       0.62         0.73            12.11
   0 H Mattawan        (19- 4, 92.1)     8-17       -7.84      21.35      -0.62         0.73            -6.19
   0 H Okemos          ( 5- 9, 85.3)    13- 9      -14.64      14.55      -0.62         0.73            10.18
   0 H Haslett         (12- 7, 90.6)     9-13       -9.33      19.87      -0.62         0.73            -7.27
   0 A Holt            (15- 6, 89.5)     9-16      -10.43      18.76       0.62         0.73            -7.17
   0 A Lansing Cathol  (10- 8, 85.6)    16- 9      -14.33      14.86       0.62         0.73            11.32
   0 A Traverse City   (13- 3, 89.6)    14- 6      -10.34      18.85       0.62         0.73            14.23
   0 A Mona Shores     (15- 7, 90.6)     9- 8       -9.28      19.91       0.62         0.73            15.01
   0 H Hudsonville     (16- 6, 89.6)     9- 8      -10.25      18.94      -0.62         0.73            13.39
   0 A Rockford        (14- 5, 95.5)     6-15       -4.44      24.76       0.62         0.73            -2.79
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        65.09

winning pts = 135.2166 losing points = -70.1280

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------