Pine Creek
W-L: ( 9- 7) PR = 87.5474Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 307 H Grand Junction ( 5-10, 81.8) 7- 8 311 A Conifer ( 3-10, 78.4) 21- 1 314 A Northfield ( 9- 7, 88.5) 9-12 315 A Cheyenne Mountain ( 9- 7, 85.3) 7- 6 318 H Pueblo West ( 1-13, 71.9) 14- 0 320 H Liberty ( 2-14, 73.6) 21- 0 401 A Air Academy ( 6-11, 84.3) 11-10 407 A ThunderRidge (14- 3, 96.8) 5-16 410 H Regis Jesuit (14- 3, 97.1) 5-18 411 H Rampart ( 7- 9, 78.6) 15- 2 421 A Arapahoe ( 8- 7, 87.4) 14- 4 422 H Castle View ( 7- 8, 87.8) 11- 5 424 A Heritage (14- 3, 93.1) 2-16 425 A Palmer Ridge ( 9- 7, 88.2) 9-11 430 H Rock Canyon ( 4-10, 85.3) 13- 8 507 A Fairview (13- 4, 95.8) 8-15
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
307 H Grand Junction 7- 8 -1 6 --- -6.00
311 A Conifer 21- 1 20 9 0.00
314 A Northfield 9-12 -3 -1 -1.55
315 A Cheyenne Mountain 7- 6 1 2 -0.81
318 H Pueblo West 14- 0 14 16 0.00
320 H Liberty 21- 0 21 14 0.00
401 A Air Academy 11-10 1 3 -1.83
407 A ThunderRidge 5-16 -11 -10 0.00
410 H Regis Jesuit 5-18 -13 -9 0.00
411 H Rampart 15- 2 13 9 0.00
421 A Arapahoe 14- 4 10 0 ++ 5.28
422 H Castle View 11- 5 6 0 ++ 4.76
424 A Heritage 2-16 -14 -6 0.00
425 A Palmer Ridge 9-11 -2 -1 -0.92
430 H Rock Canyon 13- 8 5 3 + 2.35
507 A Fairview 8-15 -7 -9 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 307 H Grand Junction 7- 8 -1 6 --- -6.00 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 421 A Arapahoe 14- 4 10 0 ++ 5.28 422 H Castle View 11- 5 6 0 ++ 4.76 430 H Rock Canyon 13- 8 5 3 + 2.35 |
Pine Creek Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Academy | Pine Creek | Pine Creek | ||
| Arapahoe | Pine Creek | Pine Creek | ||
| Aspen | Pine Creek | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Pine Creek | |
| Battle Mountain | Battle Mountain | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Battle Mountain | |
| Castle View | Pine Creek | Pine Creek | ||
| Chatfield | Chatfield | tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) | Chatfield | |
| Cherokee Trail | Pine Creek | Pine Creek 3- 3 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Cherry Creek | Cherry Creek | insuffient: ( 2- 5)( 3- 4) | Cherry Creek | |
| Cheyenne Mountain | Pine Creek | Pine Creek | ||
| Colorado Academy | Colorado Academy | insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3) | Colorado Academy | |
| Columbine | Pine Creek | tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) | Pine Creek | |
| Conifer | Pine Creek | Pine Creek | ||
| Dakota Ridge | Pine Creek | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Pine Creek | |
| Denver East | Denver East | tied - ( 1- 4) ( 1- 4) | Denver East | |
| Denver North | Pine Creek | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Pine Creek | |
| Denver South | Pine Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Pine Creek | |
| Durango | Pine Creek | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Pine Creek | |
| Eagle Valley | Pine Creek | Pine Creek | ||
| Eaglecrest | Pine Creek | Pine Creek 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Evergreen | Evergreen | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Evergreen | |
| Fairview | Fairview | Fairview | ||
| Fruita Monument | Pine Creek | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Pine Creek | |
| Golden | Golden | tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) | Golden | |
| Grand Junction | Grand Junction | Grand Junction | ||
| Grandview | Pine Creek | Pine Creek 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Green Mountain | Green Mountain | insuffient: ( 4- 3)( 5- 2) | Green Mountain | |
| Heritage | Heritage | Heritage | ||
| Holy Family | Pine Creek | insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 3- 2) | Pine Creek | |
| Horizon | Pine Creek | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Pine Creek | |
| Kent Denver | Kent Denver | tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) | Kent Denver | |
| Legend | Pine Creek | Pine Creek | ||
| Liberty | Pine Creek | Pine Creek | ||
| Mead | Mead | insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 5- 1) | Mead | |
| Montrose | Pine Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Pine Creek | |
| Mullen | Pine Creek | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Pine Creek | |
| Northfield | Northfield | Northfield | ||
| Palmer | Pine Creek | Pine Creek 6- 0 vs 0- 6 | ||
| Palmer Ridge | Palmer Ridge | Palmer Ridge | ||
| Poudre District | Poudre District | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Poudre District | |
| Pueblo West | Pine Creek | Pine Creek | ||
| Ralston Valley | Ralston Valley | Ralston Valley 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Rampart | Pine Creek | Pine Creek | ||
| Regis Jesuit | Regis Jesuit | Regis Jesuit | ||
| Roaring Fork | Pine Creek | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Pine Creek | |
| Rock Canyon | Pine Creek | Pine Creek | ||
| St Marys Academy | Pine Creek | Pine Creek 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Steamboat Springs | Steamboat Springs | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Steamboat Springs | |
| Summit | Pine Creek | Pine Creek 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Telluride | Pine Creek | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Pine Creek | |
| ThunderRidge | ThunderRidge | ThunderRidge | ||
| Valor Christian | Valor Christian | Valor Christian 4- 0 vs 1- 3 |
PowerWise = 30
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 15.38
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Grand Junction ( 5-10, 81.8) 7- 8 -18.14 12.58 -0.45 0.96 -17.87
0 A Conifer ( 3-10, 78.4) 21- 1 -21.49 9.24 0.45 0.96 9.31
0 A Northfield ( 9- 7, 88.5) 9-12 -11.35 19.37 0.45 0.96 -10.48
0 A Cheyenne Mount ( 9- 7, 85.3) 7- 6 -14.61 16.11 0.45 0.96 15.92
0 H Pueblo West ( 1-13, 71.9) 14- 0 -28.00 2.72 -0.45 0.96 2.19
0 H Liberty ( 2-14, 73.6) 21- 0 -26.30 4.42 -0.45 0.96 3.82
0 A Air Academy ( 6-11, 84.3) 11-10 -15.63 15.10 0.45 0.96 14.95
0 A ThunderRidge (14- 3, 96.8) 5-16 -3.07 27.66 0.45 0.96 -2.52
0 H Regis Jesuit (14- 3, 97.1) 5-18 -2.83 27.90 -0.45 0.96 -3.15
0 H Rampart ( 7- 9, 78.6) 15- 2 -21.32 9.41 -0.45 0.96 8.62
0 A Arapahoe ( 8- 7, 87.4) 14- 4 -12.52 18.20 0.45 0.96 17.93
0 H Castle View ( 7- 8, 87.8) 11- 5 -12.15 18.58 -0.45 0.96 17.43
0 A Heritage (14- 3, 93.1) 2-16 -6.78 23.95 0.45 0.96 -6.08
0 A Palmer Ridge ( 9- 7, 88.2) 9-11 -11.72 19.00 0.45 0.96 -10.84
0 H Rock Canyon ( 4-10, 85.3) 13- 8 -14.56 16.16 -0.45 0.96 15.11
0 A Fairview (13- 4, 95.8) 8-15 -4.05 26.67 0.45 0.96 -3.47
------
50.86
|
winning pts = 105.2795 losing points = -54.4198
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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