Pigeon Forge
W-L: ( 8- 5) PR = 83.8442Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 304 A Science Hill ( 5- 9, 82.1) 6- 5 313 H West ( 9- 7, 86.0) 11-14 317 H Heritage ( 3-13, 80.7) 8- 2 318 A Seymour ( 9- 3, 92.0) 1-14 321 A Heritage ( 3-13, 80.7) 8- 4 325 H Maryville ( 6- 8, 82.0) 10- 4 327 H Sevier County ( 0-15, 75.7) 11- 4 407 A William Blount ( 9- 7, 85.0) 11-12 415 A Maryville ( 6- 8, 82.0) 11- 9 417 A Gatlinburg Pittman (12- 5, 87.7) 5- 9 421 H Dobyns Bennett ( 0- 8, 80.3) 6- 5 425 A West ( 9- 7, 86.0) 2- 9 428 A Sevier County ( 0-15, 75.7) 17- 8
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
304 A Science Hill 6- 5 1 1 -0.18
313 H West 11-14 -3 -2 -1.40
317 H Heritage 8- 2 6 4 1.27
318 A Seymour 1-14 -13 -9 0.00
321 A Heritage 8- 4 4 3 1.40
325 H Maryville 10- 4 6 2 + 2.58
327 H Sevier County 11- 4 7 9 0.00
407 A William Blount 11-12 -1 -2 0.67
415 A Maryville 11- 9 2 1 0.70
417 A Gatlinburg Pittman 5- 9 -4 -4 0.40
421 H Dobyns Bennett 6- 5 1 4 - -3.15
425 A West 2- 9 -7 -3 - -2.28
428 A Sevier County 17- 8 9 8 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 421 H Dobyns Bennett 6- 5 1 4 - -3.15 425 A West 2- 9 -7 -3 - -2.28 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 325 H Maryville 10- 4 6 2 + 2.58 |
Pigeon Forge Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arlington | Pigeon Forge | Pigeon Forge | ||
| Bartlett | Pigeon Forge | Pigeon Forge | ||
| Baylor School | Baylor School | Baylor School | ||
| Bearden | Bearden | Bearden 7- 0 vs 5- 2 | ||
| Bradley Central | Pigeon Forge | Pigeon Forge 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Brentwood | Brentwood | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Brentwood | |
| Briarcrest Christian | Briarcrest Christian | Briarcrest Christian | ||
| Centennial | Centennial | Centennial | ||
| Christ Presbyterian Acad | Christ Presbyterian Acad | Christ Presbyterian Acad | ||
| Christian Academy Knoxvi | Christian Academy Knoxvi | Christian Academy Knoxvi 4- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Collierville | Collierville | Collierville | ||
| Cookeville | Cookeville | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Cookeville | |
| Dobyns Bennett | Pigeon Forge | Pigeon Forge | ||
| Ensworth | Ensworth | Ensworth | ||
| Evangelical Christian | Evangelical Christian | Evangelical Christian | ||
| Farragut | Farragut | Farragut 5- 2 vs 3- 4 | ||
| Father Ryan | Father Ryan | Father Ryan | ||
| Franklin | Franklin | Franklin | ||
| Franklin Road Academy | Franklin Road Academy | Franklin Road Academy | ||
| Gatlinburg Pittman | Gatlinburg Pittman | Gatlinburg Pittman | ||
| Girls Preparatory School | Girls Preparatory School | Girls Preparatory School | ||
| Green Hill | Pigeon Forge | Pigeon Forge | ||
| Harpeth Hall | Harpeth Hall | Harpeth Hall | ||
| Heritage | Pigeon Forge | Pigeon Forge | ||
| Hillsboro | Pigeon Forge | Pigeon Forge | ||
| Houston | Houston | Houston | ||
| Hunters Lane | Pigeon Forge | Pigeon Forge | ||
| Hutchison School | Hutchison School | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Hutchison School | |
| Independence | Independence | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Independence | |
| Knoxville Catholic | Knoxville Catholic | Knoxville Catholic 4- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Lausanne Collegiate | Lausanne Collegiate | Lausanne Collegiate | ||
| Maryville | Pigeon Forge | Pigeon Forge | ||
| Ooltewah | Pigeon Forge | tied - ( 0- 4) ( 0- 4) | Pigeon Forge | |
| Page | Page | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Page | |
| Pope John Paul II | Pope John Paul II | Pope John Paul II | ||
| Ravenwood | Ravenwood | Ravenwood | ||
| Science Hill | Pigeon Forge | Pigeon Forge | ||
| Sevier County | Pigeon Forge | Pigeon Forge | ||
| Seymour | Seymour | Seymour | ||
| Signal Mountain | Pigeon Forge | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Pigeon Forge | |
| Soddy Daisy | Soddy Daisy | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) | Soddy Daisy | |
| St Agnes Academy | Pigeon Forge | Pigeon Forge | ||
| St Benedict | Pigeon Forge | Pigeon Forge | ||
| St Cecilia Academy | Pigeon Forge | Pigeon Forge | ||
| St Georges | St Georges | St Georges | ||
| St Marys Episcopal | St Marys Episcopal | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | St Marys Episcopal | |
| Summit | Pigeon Forge | Pigeon Forge | ||
| University School Nashvi | University School Nashvi | University School Nashvi | ||
| Upperman | Pigeon Forge | Pigeon Forge | ||
| Walker Valley | Pigeon Forge | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Pigeon Forge | |
| Webb School Bell Buckle | Webb School Bell Buckle | Webb School Bell Buckle | ||
| Webb School Knoxville | Pigeon Forge | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Pigeon Forge | |
| West | West | West | ||
| White Station | Pigeon Forge | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Pigeon Forge | |
| William Blount | William Blount | William Blount | ||
| Wilson Central | Wilson Central | Wilson Central |
PowerWise = 21
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.88
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Science Hill ( 5- 9, 82.1) 6- 5 -17.80 9.02 0.56 0.99 9.49
0 H West ( 9- 7, 86.0) 11-14 -13.90 12.93 -0.56 0.99 -14.32
0 H Heritage ( 3-13, 80.7) 8- 2 -19.22 7.60 -0.56 0.99 6.97
0 A Seymour ( 9- 3, 92.0) 1-14 -7.86 18.96 0.56 0.99 -7.23
0 A Heritage ( 3-13, 80.7) 8- 4 -19.22 7.60 0.56 0.99 8.09
0 H Maryville ( 6- 8, 82.0) 10- 4 -17.92 8.91 -0.56 0.99 8.26
0 H Sevier County ( 0-15, 75.7) 11- 4 -24.22 2.60 -0.56 0.99 2.02
0 A William Blount ( 9- 7, 85.0) 11-12 -14.95 11.87 0.56 0.99 -14.25
0 A Maryville ( 6- 8, 82.0) 11- 9 -17.92 8.91 0.56 0.99 9.38
0 A Gatlinburg Pit (12- 5, 87.7) 5- 9 -12.22 14.60 0.56 0.99 -11.55
0 H Dobyns Bennett ( 0- 8, 80.3) 6- 5 -19.64 7.18 -0.56 0.99 6.55
0 A West ( 9- 7, 86.0) 2- 9 -13.90 12.93 0.56 0.99 -13.21
0 A Sevier County ( 0-15, 75.7) 17- 8 -24.22 2.60 0.56 0.99 3.13
------
-6.66
|
winning pts = 53.8966 losing points = -60.5582
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------