---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:47 PDT

safe3step girls Perryville 1
  
Perryville            
W-L: ( 5- 6) PR = 75.4146

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 324 H Rising Sun ( 8- 8, 77.9) 7- 9 327 H Bohemia Manor ( 2- 8, 71.3) 16- 8 407 A North East Cecil ( 2- 9, 72.3) 13-10 410 A Elkton ( 3- 8, 72.1) 15- 5 414 H Havre De Grace (10- 4, 83.1) 7-17 423 H North Harford ( 9- 5, 84.3) 5-17 425 A Patterson Mill ( 4- 9, 79.4) 11-16 501 H Elkton ( 3- 8, 72.1) 13-12 502 A Havre De Grace (10- 4, 83.1) 4-17 509 H Elkton ( 3- 8, 72.1) 12- 3 512 A Rising Sun ( 8- 8, 77.9) 7-11

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 H Rising Sun              7- 9      -2    -2           0.06
   327 H Bohemia Manor          16- 8       8     5           0.42
   407 A North East Cecil       13-10       3     3           0.33
   410 A Elkton                 15- 5      10     3    +      2.13
   414 H Havre De Grace          7-17     -10    -7           0.00
   423 H North Harford           5-17     -12    -8           0.00
   425 A Patterson Mill         11-16      -5    -4          -0.52
   501 H Elkton                 13-12       1     4    -     -2.77
   502 A Havre De Grace          4-17     -13    -8           0.00
   509 H Elkton                 12- 3       9     4           1.23
   512 A Rising Sun              7-11      -4    -3          -1.04

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   501 H Elkton                 13-12       1     4    -     -2.77

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 A Elkton                 15- 5      10     3    +      2.13

Perryville Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Annapolis Area Christian Annapolis Area Christian   Annapolis Area Christian
Anne Arundel County Perryville   Perryville
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding   Archbishop Spalding
Beth TFiloh Beth TFiloh   Beth TFiloh
Bishop McNamara Perryville   Perryville
Brookewood SG Brookewood SG   Brookewood SG
Bryn Mawr SG Bryn Mawr SG   Bryn Mawr SG
Bullis School Bullis School   Bullis School
Calverton School Perryville   Perryville
Catholic High Baltimore Catholic High Baltimore   Catholic High Baltimore
Chapelgate Christian Perryville   Perryville
Concordia Prep Concordia Prep   Concordia Prep
Cristo Rey Jesuit Cristo Rey Jesuit   Cristo Rey Jesuit
DC International DC International   DC International
EL Haynes Charter Perryville   Perryville
Elizabeth Seton Elizabeth Seton   Elizabeth Seton
FCA FCA   FCA
Field School Perryville   Perryville
Friends School Perryville   Perryville
Garrison Forest Garrison Forest   Garrison Forest
Georgetown Day School Georgetown Day School   Georgetown Day School
Georgetown Visitation Georgetown Visitation   Georgetown Visitation
Gerstell Academy Gerstell Academy   Gerstell Academy
Glenelg Country School Glenelg Country School   Glenelg Country School
Good Counsel Good Counsel   Good Counsel
Gunston Day School Gunston Day School   Gunston Day School
Holton-Arms School Holton-Arms School   Holton-Arms School
Holy Child Holy Child   Holy Child
Holy Cross Holy Cross   Holy Cross
Indian Creek Indian Creek   Indian Creek
Jackson-Reed Jackson-Reed   Jackson-Reed
Jemicy Perryville   Perryville
John Carroll John Carroll   John Carroll
Key School Perryville   Perryville
KIPP College Prep KIPP College Prep   KIPP College Prep
Maret School Maret School   Maret School
Maryvale Prep Maryvale Prep   Maryvale Prep
McDonogh School McDonogh School   McDonogh School
Mercy Mercy   Mercy
Mount de Sales Mount de Sales   Mount de Sales
National Cathedral National Cathedral   National Cathedral
Notre Dame Prep Notre Dame Prep   Notre Dame Prep
Oldfields School Oldfields School   Oldfields School
Park School Park School   Park School
Rockbridge Academy Perryville   Perryville
Roland Park Country Roland Park Country   Roland Park Country
Salisbury School Salisbury School   Salisbury School
Sandy Spring Friends Perryville   Perryville
School Without Walls Perryville   Perryville
Severn School Severn School   Severn School
Sidwell Friends Sidwell Friends   Sidwell Friends
St Andrews Episcopal St Andrews Episcopal   St Andrews Episcopal
St James School St James School   St James School
St Johns Catholic Prep St Johns Catholic Prep   St Johns Catholic Prep
St Johns College St Johns College   St Johns College
St Marys St Marys   St Marys
St Marys Ryken St Marys Ryken   St Marys Ryken
St Pauls SG St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
St Timothys St Timothys   St Timothys
St Vincent Pallotti Perryville   Perryville
Stone Ridge School Stone Ridge School   Stone Ridge School
Sts Peter & Paul Sts Peter & Paul   Sts Peter & Paul
Tome School Perryville tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Perryville
Washington Latin Perryville   Perryville
Worcester Prep Perryville   Perryville
Aberdeen Perryville insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 2- 4) Perryville
Academy for College & Ca Perryville   Perryville
Annapolis Annapolis   Annapolis
Arundel Arundel   Arundel
Atholton Atholton   Atholton
Baltimore Polytechnic Baltimore Polytechnic   Baltimore Polytechnic
Bel Air Bel Air Bel Air   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Bethesda-Chevy Chase Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Bladensburg Perryville   Perryville
Blair Blair   Blair
Blake Perryville   Perryville
Bohemia Manor Perryville Perryville  
Boonsboro Boonsboro   Boonsboro
Bowie Perryville   Perryville
Broadneck Broadneck   Broadneck
Brunswick Perryville   Perryville
Calvert Calvert   Calvert
Cambridge SD Perryville   Perryville
Carver A&T Carver A&T tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Carver A&T
Catoctin Catoctin   Catoctin
Catonsville Catonsville   Catonsville
Centennial Centennial   Centennial
Central PG Central PG   Central PG
Century Century   Century
CH Flowers Perryville   Perryville
Chesapeake AA Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Chesapeake BC Perryville   Perryville
Chopticon Chopticon   Chopticon
City College City College   City College
Clarksburg Perryville   Perryville
CM Wright CM Wright CM Wright   4- 0 vs 0- 4
CMIT North Perryville tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Perryville
Crofton Crofton   Crofton
Damascus Damascus   Damascus
Dr Henry Wise Perryville   Perryville
Dulaney Dulaney   Dulaney
Dundalk Perryville   Perryville
DuVal Perryville   Perryville
Eastern Technical Eastern Technical   Eastern Technical
Easton Easton   Easton
Edgewood Perryville Perryville   3- 2 vs 0- 5
Einstein Perryville   Perryville
Eleanor Roosevelt Perryville   Perryville
Elkton Perryville Perryville  
Fairmont Heights Perryville   Perryville
Fallston Fallston Fallston   5- 0 vs 1- 4
Francis Scott Key Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Franklin Franklin   Franklin
Frederick Frederick   Frederick
Frederick Douglass PG Perryville   Perryville
Gaithersburg Perryville   Perryville
Glen Burnie Glen Burnie   Glen Burnie
Glenelg HS Glenelg HS   Glenelg HS
Gov Thomas Johnson Gov Thomas Johnson   Gov Thomas Johnson
Great Mills Perryville   Perryville
Guilford Park Perryville   Perryville
Gwynn Park Perryville   Perryville
Hammond Perryville   Perryville
Harford Tech Harford Tech Harford Tech   5- 1 vs 2- 4
Havre De Grace Havre De Grace Havre De Grace  
Hereford Hereford   Hereford
Howard Howard   Howard
Huntingtown Huntingtown   Huntingtown
JM Bennett JM Bennett   JM Bennett
Kennedy Perryville   Perryville
Kent County Kent County tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Kent County
Kent Island Kent Island   Kent Island
Kenwood Perryville   Perryville
La Plata La Plata   La Plata
Lackey Perryville   Perryville
Lansdowne Perryville   Perryville
Laurel Perryville   Perryville
Leonardtown Leonardtown   Leonardtown
Liberty Liberty   Liberty
Linganore Linganore   Linganore
Loch Raven Perryville   Perryville
Long Reach Long Reach   Long Reach
Magruder Magruder   Magruder
Manchester Valley Manchester Valley   Manchester Valley
Marriotts Ridge Marriotts Ridge   Marriotts Ridge
Meade Perryville   Perryville
Middletown Middletown insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Middletown
Milford Mill Milford Mill   Milford Mill
MJ McDonough Perryville   Perryville
Mount Hebron Mount Hebron   Mount Hebron
New Town Perryville   Perryville
North Caroline North Caroline   North Caroline
North County North County   North County
North Dorchester Perryville   Perryville
North East Cecil Perryville Perryville  
North Hagerstown Perryville   Perryville
North Harford North Harford North Harford  
North Point North Point   North Point
Northeast Northeast   Northeast
Northern Calvert Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Northwest Northwest   Northwest
Northwestern PG Perryville   Perryville
Northwood Perryville   Perryville
Oakdale Oakdale   Oakdale
Oakland Mills Perryville   Perryville
Old Mill Old Mill   Old Mill
Overlea Perryville   Perryville
Owings Mills Perryville   Perryville
Oxon Hill Perryville   Perryville
Paint Branch Perryville   Perryville
Parkdale Perryville   Perryville
Parkside Parkside   Parkside
Parkville Perryville   Perryville
Patapsco Perryville   Perryville
Patterson Mill Patterson Mill Patterson Mill  
Patuxent Perryville   Perryville
Perry Hall Perry Hall   Perry Hall
Pikesville Perryville   Perryville
Poolesville Poolesville   Poolesville
Queen Annes County Queen Annes County   Queen Annes County
Quince Orchard Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Randallstown Randallstown   Randallstown
Randallstown Randallstown   Randallstown
Reservoir Reservoir   Reservoir
Richard Montgomery Richard Montgomery   Richard Montgomery
Rising Sun Rising Sun Rising Sun  
River Hill River Hill   River Hill
Rockville Perryville   Perryville
Seneca Valley Perryville   Perryville
Severn Run Perryville   Perryville
Severna Park Severna Park   Severna Park
Sherwood Sherwood   Sherwood
Smithsburg Perryville   Perryville
South Carroll South Carroll   South Carroll
South Hagerstown South Hagerstown   South Hagerstown
South River South River   South River
Southern Southern   Southern
Sparrows Point Sparrows Point tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Sparrows Point
Springbrook Perryville   Perryville
St Charles Perryville   Perryville
Stephen Decatur Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Suitland Perryville   Perryville
Thomas Stone Thomas Stone   Thomas Stone
Towson Towson   Towson
Tuscarora Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Urbana Urbana   Urbana
Walkersville Walkersville   Walkersville
Walter Johnson Walter Johnson   Walter Johnson
Watkins Mill Perryville   Perryville
Western Baltimore Perryville   Perryville
Western STES Perryville   Perryville
Westlake Perryville   Perryville
Westminster Westminster   Westminster
Wheaton Perryville   Perryville
Whitman Whitman   Whitman
Wicomico Perryville   Perryville
Wilde Lake Perryville   Perryville
Winston Churchill Winston Churchill   Winston Churchill
Winters Mill Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Woodlawn Perryville   Perryville
Wootton Wootton   Wootton

PowerWise = 81


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.96

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Rising Sun      ( 8- 8, 77.9)     7- 9      -21.97      15.95      -0.45         1.09           -24.39
   0 H Bohemia Manor   ( 2- 8, 71.3)    16- 8      -28.61       9.31      -0.45         1.09             9.63
   0 A North East Cec  ( 2- 9, 72.3)    13-10      -27.60      10.32       0.45         1.09            11.71
   0 A Elkton          ( 3- 8, 72.1)    15- 5      -27.81      10.11       0.45         1.09            11.49
   0 H Havre De Grace  (10- 4, 83.1)     7-17      -16.82      21.10      -0.45         1.09           -18.78
   0 H North Harford   ( 9- 5, 84.3)     5-17      -15.57      22.35      -0.45         1.09           -17.42
   0 A Patterson Mill  ( 4- 9, 79.4)    11-16      -20.45      17.47       0.45         1.09           -21.76
   0 H Elkton          ( 3- 8, 72.1)    13-12      -27.81      10.11      -0.45         1.09            10.51
   0 A Havre De Grace  (10- 4, 83.1)     4-17      -16.82      21.10       0.45         1.09           -17.81
   0 H Elkton          ( 3- 8, 72.1)    12- 3      -27.81      10.11      -0.45         1.09            10.51
   0 A Rising Sun      ( 8- 8, 77.9)     7-11      -21.97      15.95       0.45         1.09           -23.41
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -69.70

winning pts = 53.8562 losing points = -123.5595

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------