---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:41 PDT

safe3step girls Petaluma 1
  
Petaluma              
W-L: ( 5-11) PR = 75.0043

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 226 H Marin Catholic (19- 5, 95.5) 1-15 228 H Marin Academy (16- 4, 93.5) 1-18 301 A Windsor ( 1-12, 71.8) 13- 2 307 A Casa Grande (13- 4, 79.6) 12-20 313 H Sonoma Valley ( 8- 7, 76.5) 7-15 315 A St Vincent de Paul ( 4- 8, 74.8) 11-13 327 A Vintage ( 4- 5, 74.6) 7-10 331 H Justin-Siena (13- 6, 83.5) 7-19 401 A Cardinal Newman ( 8- 8, 79.3) 7-17 416 A Novato ( 3- 6, 77.9) 14-18 417 A Napa ( 2-11, 70.8) 14- 1 422 A Casa Grande (13- 4, 79.6) 10-13 424 H Sonoma Academy ( 2-11, 72.1) 17- 9 426 A Sonoma Valley ( 8- 7, 76.5) 10-17 429 H Windsor ( 1-12, 71.8) 10- 3 430 H St Vincent de Paul ( 4- 8, 74.8) 13- 6

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   226 H Marin Catholic          1-15     -14   -20           0.00
   228 H Marin Academy           1-18     -17   -18           0.00
   301 A Windsor                13- 2      11     3    +      2.21
   307 A Casa Grande            12-20      -8    -5          -0.03
   313 H Sonoma Valley           7-15      -8    -1    -     -3.96
   315 A St Vincent de Paul     11-13      -2     0          -1.80
   327 A Vintage                 7-10      -3     0    -     -2.95
   331 H Justin-Siena            7-19     -12    -8           0.00
   401 A Cardinal Newman         7-17     -10    -5          -0.31
   416 A Novato                 14-18      -4    -3          -0.68
   417 A Napa                   14- 1      13     4           1.22
   422 A Casa Grande            10-13      -3    -5           1.97
   424 H Sonoma Academy         17- 9       8     3           1.65
   426 A Sonoma Valley          10-17      -7    -2    -     -3.13
   429 H Windsor                10- 3       7     4           1.39
   430 H St Vincent de Paul     13- 6       7     1    ++     4.38

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 H Sonoma Valley           7-15      -8    -1    -     -3.96
   327 A Vintage                 7-10      -3     0    -     -2.95
   426 A Sonoma Valley          10-17      -7    -2    -     -3.13

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   430 H St Vincent de Paul     13- 6       7     1    ++     4.38
   301 A Windsor                13- 2      11     3    +      2.21

Petaluma Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Acalanes Acalanes   Acalanes
Alhambra Petaluma   Petaluma
Amador Valley Amador Valley insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 0) Amador Valley
Archie Williams Archie Williams tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 2) Archie Williams
Athenian Petaluma tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 0) Petaluma
Bay School Bay School tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Bay School
Bentley Petaluma insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Petaluma
Berkeley Berkeley tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Berkeley
Bishop ODowd Bishop ODowd tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Bishop ODowd
Branson School Branson School Branson School   4- 1 vs 1- 4
California San Ramon California San Ramon tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) California San Ramon
Campolindo Campolindo insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Campolindo
Cardinal Newman Cardinal Newman Cardinal Newman  
Carondelet Carondelet   Carondelet
Casa Grande Casa Grande Casa Grande  
Clayton Valley Charter Clayton Valley Charter   Clayton Valley Charter
College Park College Park insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) College Park
Convent-Sacred Heart Petaluma   Petaluma
Dougherty Valley Dougherty Valley   Dougherty Valley
Dublin Dublin   Dublin
El Cerrito Petaluma   Petaluma
Foothill Pleasanton Foothill Pleasanton   Foothill Pleasanton
George Washington SF George Washington SF   George Washington SF
Granada Petaluma   Petaluma
Head-Royce School Head-Royce School tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Head-Royce School
International Petaluma   Petaluma
Justin-Siena Justin-Siena Justin-Siena  
Las Lomas Las Lomas insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Las Lomas
Lick-Wilmerding Lick-Wilmerding insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Lick-Wilmerding
Livermore Livermore   Livermore
Lowell Lowell   Lowell
Marin Academy Marin Academy Marin Academy  
Marin Catholic Marin Catholic Marin Catholic  
Miramonte Miramonte tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Miramonte
Monte Vista Danville Monte Vista Danville   Monte Vista Danville
Moreau Catholic Petaluma   Petaluma
Napa Petaluma Petaluma  
Newark Memorial Newark Memorial   Newark Memorial
Northgate Northgate   Northgate
Novato Novato Novato  
Oakland Petaluma   Petaluma
Oakland Tech Petaluma   Petaluma
Piedmont Piedmont insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Piedmont
Rancho Cotate Rancho Cotate insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 4- 0) Rancho Cotate
Redwood Redwood Redwood   3- 0 vs 0- 3
San Domenico San Domenico   San Domenico
San Marin San Marin insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) San Marin
San Rafael Petaluma tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Petaluma
San Ramon Valley San Ramon Valley insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) San Ramon Valley
Skyline Petaluma   Petaluma
Sonoma Academy Petaluma Petaluma  
Sonoma Valley Sonoma Valley Sonoma Valley  
St Vincent de Paul Petaluma tied - ( 3- 5) ( 3- 4) Petaluma
Tamalpais Tamalpais Tamalpais   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Terra Linda Terra Linda tied - ( 0- 4) ( 0- 3) Terra Linda
University HS SF University HS SF insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) University HS SF
Urban School Urban School tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Urban School
Vintage Vintage Vintage  
Washington Fremont Petaluma   Petaluma
Windsor Petaluma Petaluma  
Ygnacio Valley Petaluma   Petaluma
Academy of Our Lady of P Academy of Our Lady of P   Academy of Our Lady of P
Bishops School Bishops School   Bishops School
Bonita Vista Bonita Vista   Bonita Vista
Canyon Crest Canyon Crest   Canyon Crest
Canyon Hills Canyon Hills   Canyon Hills
Carlsbad Carlsbad   Carlsbad
Castle Park Castle Park   Castle Park
Cathedral Catholic Cathedral Catholic   Cathedral Catholic
Clairemont Petaluma   Petaluma
Classical Academy Classical Academy   Classical Academy
Coronado Coronado   Coronado
Del Lago Academy Petaluma   Petaluma
Del Norte Del Norte   Del Norte
Eastlake Eastlake tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Eastlake
El Camino El Camino   El Camino
El Capitan El Capitan   El Capitan
Fallbrook Fallbrook   Fallbrook
Francis Parker School Francis Parker School   Francis Parker School
Granite Hills Granite Hills   Granite Hills
Grossmont Petaluma tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Petaluma
Helix Charter Helix Charter   Helix Charter
Hilltop Petaluma   Petaluma
La Costa Canyon La Costa Canyon   La Costa Canyon
La Jolla CDS La Jolla CDS   La Jolla CDS
La Jolla HS La Jolla HS   La Jolla HS
Lincoln San Diego Petaluma   Petaluma
Mar Vista Petaluma   Petaluma
Mater Dei Chula Vista Mater Dei Chula Vista   Mater Dei Chula Vista
Mira Mesa Mira Mesa   Mira Mesa
Mission Bay Mission Bay   Mission Bay
Mission Hills Mission Hills   Mission Hills
Mission Vista Petaluma   Petaluma
Monte Vista Spring Valle Petaluma   Petaluma
Morse Petaluma   Petaluma
Mt Carmel Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Olympian Olympian   Olympian
Otay Ranch Petaluma   Petaluma
Pacific Ridge Pacific Ridge   Pacific Ridge
Patrick Henry Patrick Henry   Patrick Henry
Point Loma Point Loma   Point Loma
Poway Poway   Poway
Preuss School Petaluma   Petaluma
Ramona Petaluma   Petaluma
Rancho Bernardo Rancho Bernardo   Rancho Bernardo
Rancho Buena Vista Rancho Buena Vista   Rancho Buena Vista
Sage Creek Sage Creek   Sage Creek
San Diego Petaluma   Petaluma
San Dieguito San Dieguito   San Dieguito
San Marcos SD San Marcos SD   San Marcos SD
San Ysidro San Ysidro   San Ysidro
Santana Petaluma   Petaluma
Scripps Ranch Scripps Ranch   Scripps Ranch
Southwest Petaluma   Petaluma
Torrey Pines Torrey Pines   Torrey Pines
Tri City Christian Tri City Christian   Tri City Christian
University City University City   University City
Valhalla Valhalla   Valhalla
Valley Center Valley Center   Valley Center
Vista Petaluma   Petaluma
West Hills West Hills   West Hills
Westview Westview   Westview
Aptos Aptos   Aptos
Aragon Aragon   Aragon
Archbishop Mitty Archbishop Mitty   Archbishop Mitty
Burlingame Burlingame   Burlingame
Carlmont Carlmont   Carlmont
Carmel Carmel   Carmel
Castilleja Castilleja   Castilleja
Gilroy Gilroy   Gilroy
Gunn Gunn   Gunn
Harbor Petaluma   Petaluma
Harker School Harker School   Harker School
Hillsdale Hillsdale   Hillsdale
Leland Leland   Leland
Lincoln San Jose Petaluma   Petaluma
Live Oak Live Oak   Live Oak
Los Altos Los Altos   Los Altos
Los Gatos Los Gatos   Los Gatos
Menlo School Menlo School tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Menlo School
Menlo-Atherton Menlo-Atherton   Menlo-Atherton
Mercy Burlingame Mercy Burlingame   Mercy Burlingame
Monte Vista Christian Monte Vista Christian   Monte Vista Christian
Monterey Monterey   Monterey
Mountain View Mountain View   Mountain View
Notre Dame Belmont Notre Dame Belmont   Notre Dame Belmont
Notre Dame Salinas Petaluma   Petaluma
Notre Dame San Jose Notre Dame San Jose   Notre Dame San Jose
Palo Alto Palo Alto   Palo Alto
Pioneer Petaluma   Petaluma
Presentation Presentation   Presentation
Priory Priory   Priory
Sacred Heart Cathedral Sacred Heart Cathedral   Sacred Heart Cathedral
Sacred Heart Prep Sacred Heart Prep insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Sacred Heart Prep
Salinas Salinas   Salinas
Santa Catalina School Petaluma   Petaluma
Santa Cruz Petaluma   Petaluma
Saratoga Saratoga   Saratoga
Scotts Valley Scotts Valley   Scotts Valley
Sequoia Sequoia   Sequoia
Sobrato Petaluma   Petaluma
Soquel Petaluma   Petaluma
St Francis Mtn View St Francis Mtn View   St Francis Mtn View
St Ignatius Prep St Ignatius Prep   St Ignatius Prep
Stevenson School Stevenson School   Stevenson School
Wilcox Petaluma   Petaluma
Willow Glen Willow Glen   Willow Glen
Woodside Woodside   Woodside
York School Petaluma   Petaluma
Bella Vista Bella Vista   Bella Vista
Christian Brothers Christian Brothers   Christian Brothers
Davis Davis   Davis
Del Oro Del Oro   Del Oro
Folsom Folsom insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Folsom
Granite Bay Granite Bay   Granite Bay
Oak Ridge Oak Ridge insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Oak Ridge
Oakmont Oakmont   Oakmont
Rio Americano Rio Americano   Rio Americano
Rocklin Rocklin   Rocklin
Roseville Roseville   Roseville
St Francis Sacramento St Francis Sacramento   St Francis Sacramento
Vista del Lago Vista del Lago insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Vista del Lago
West Park West Park   West Park
Whitney Whitney   Whitney
Woodcreek Woodcreek   Woodcreek
Alexander Hamilton Petaluma   Petaluma
Birmingham Charter Petaluma   Petaluma
El Camino Real El Camino Real   El Camino Real
GALA Petaluma   Petaluma
Palisades Charter Palisades Charter   Palisades Charter
University HS LA Petaluma   Petaluma
Agoura Agoura   Agoura
Aliso Niguel Aliso Niguel   Aliso Niguel
Beckman Beckman   Beckman
Beverly Hills Petaluma   Petaluma
Calabasas Petaluma   Petaluma
California Whittier Petaluma   Petaluma
Canyon Canyon   Canyon
Capistrano Valley Capistrano Valley   Capistrano Valley
Cate School Cate School   Cate School
Centennial Petaluma   Petaluma
Chadwick School Chadwick School   Chadwick School
Chaminade Prep Chaminade Prep   Chaminade Prep
Chaparral Chaparral   Chaparral
Compton Petaluma   Petaluma
Corona Petaluma   Petaluma
Corona Del Mar Corona Del Mar   Corona Del Mar
Crescenta Valley Crescenta Valley   Crescenta Valley
Culver City Culver City   Culver City
Dana Hills Petaluma   Petaluma
Dos Pueblos Dos Pueblos   Dos Pueblos
Downey Downey   Downey
Edison Edison   Edison
El Dorado El Dorado   El Dorado
El Modena Petaluma   Petaluma
El Rancho El Rancho   El Rancho
El Segundo El Segundo   El Segundo
El Toro El Toro   El Toro
Eleanor Roosevelt Eleanor Roosevelt   Eleanor Roosevelt
Esperanza Esperanza   Esperanza
Foothill Santa Ana Foothill Santa Ana   Foothill Santa Ana
Glendale Glendale   Glendale
Great Oak Great Oak   Great Oak
Hart Hart   Hart
Hemet Petaluma   Petaluma
Heritage Heritage   Heritage
Heritage Christian Petaluma   Petaluma
Huntington Beach Huntington Beach   Huntington Beach
Irvine Irvine   Irvine
JSerra Catholic JSerra Catholic   JSerra Catholic
King King   King
La Canada La Canada   La Canada
Laguna Beach Laguna Beach   Laguna Beach
Laguna Hills Laguna Hills   Laguna Hills
Lakewood Petaluma   Petaluma
Liberty Liberty   Liberty
Long Beach Poly Petaluma   Petaluma
Los Alamitos Los Alamitos   Los Alamitos
Lynwood Petaluma   Petaluma
Marlborough Marlborough   Marlborough
Mater Dei Santa Ana Mater Dei Santa Ana   Mater Dei Santa Ana
Millikan Millikan   Millikan
Mira Costa Mira Costa   Mira Costa
Mission Viejo Mission Viejo   Mission Viejo
Murrieta Mesa Murrieta Mesa   Murrieta Mesa
Murrieta Valley Murrieta Valley   Murrieta Valley
Newbury Park Newbury Park   Newbury Park
Newport Harbor Newport Harbor   Newport Harbor
Norco Norco   Norco
Nordhoff Petaluma   Petaluma
Northwood Northwood   Northwood
Notre Dame Sherman Oaks Notre Dame Sherman Oaks   Notre Dame Sherman Oaks
Oak Park Oak Park   Oak Park
Oaks Christian Oaks Christian   Oaks Christian
Orange Lutheran Orange Lutheran   Orange Lutheran
Paloma Valley Paloma Valley   Paloma Valley
Palos Verdes Palos Verdes   Palos Verdes
Peninsula Peninsula   Peninsula
Portola Portola   Portola
Redondo Union Redondo Union   Redondo Union
Riverside Poly Petaluma   Petaluma
Rosary Academy Rosary Academy   Rosary Academy
Royal Royal   Royal
Sage Hill Sage Hill   Sage Hill
San Clemente San Clemente   San Clemente
San Juan Hills San Juan Hills   San Juan Hills
San Marcos SB San Marcos SB   San Marcos SB
Santa Barbara Santa Barbara   Santa Barbara
Santa Margarita Santa Margarita   Santa Margarita
Santa Monica Santa Monica   Santa Monica
Santiago Santiago   Santiago
Saugus Saugus   Saugus
Segerstrom Petaluma   Petaluma
Simi Valley Simi Valley   Simi Valley
St Margarets St Margarets   St Margarets
Temecula Valley Temecula Valley   Temecula Valley
Tesoro Tesoro   Tesoro
Thacher School Thacher School   Thacher School
Trabuco Hills Trabuco Hills   Trabuco Hills
Tustin Petaluma   Petaluma
University Irvine University Irvine   University Irvine
Valencia Placentia Petaluma   Petaluma
Valencia Santa Clarita Valencia Santa Clarita   Valencia Santa Clarita
Village Christian Village Christian   Village Christian
Vista Murrieta Vista Murrieta   Vista Murrieta
West Ranch West Ranch   West Ranch
Westridge School Westridge School   Westridge School
Woodbridge Woodbridge   Woodbridge
Woodrow Wilson Woodrow Wilson   Woodrow Wilson
Yorba Linda Yorba Linda   Yorba Linda
Bullard Bullard   Bullard
Edison Fresno Edison Fresno   Edison Fresno
Fresno Petaluma   Petaluma
Garces Memorial Garces Memorial   Garces Memorial
Hoover Fresno Hoover Fresno   Hoover Fresno
McLane McLane   McLane
Roosevelt Roosevelt   Roosevelt
San Joaquin Memorial San Joaquin Memorial   San Joaquin Memorial
Sanger Sanger   Sanger
Sunnyside Sunnyside   Sunnyside

PowerWise = 67


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.05

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Marin Catholic  (19- 5, 95.5)     1-15       -4.40      32.24      -0.41         1.00            -4.83
   0 H Marin Academy   (16- 4, 93.5)     1-18       -6.37      30.27      -0.41         1.00            -6.81
   0 A Windsor         ( 1-12, 71.8)    13- 2      -28.10       8.54       0.41         1.00             8.98
   0 A Casa Grande     (13- 4, 79.6)    12-20      -20.34      16.31       0.41         1.00           -19.99
   0 H Sonoma Valley   ( 8- 7, 76.5)     7-15      -23.44      13.20      -0.41         1.00           -23.93
   0 A St Vincent de   ( 4- 8, 74.8)    11-13      -25.11      11.54       0.41         1.00           -24.78
   0 A Vintage         ( 4- 5, 74.6)     7-10      -25.25      11.39       0.41         1.00           -24.92
   0 H Justin-Siena    (13- 6, 83.5)     7-19      -16.43      20.22      -0.41         1.00           -16.89
   0 A Cardinal Newma  ( 8- 8, 79.3)     7-17      -20.61      16.03       0.41         1.00           -20.27
   0 A Novato          ( 3- 6, 77.9)    14-18      -21.99      14.66       0.41         1.00           -21.65
   0 A Napa            ( 2-11, 70.8)    14- 1      -29.09       7.56       0.41         1.00             7.99
   0 A Casa Grande     (13- 4, 79.6)    10-13      -20.34      16.31       0.41         1.00           -19.99
   0 H Sonoma Academy  ( 2-11, 72.1)    17- 9      -27.83       8.81      -0.41         1.00             8.43
   0 A Sonoma Valley   ( 8- 7, 76.5)    10-17      -23.44      13.20       0.41         1.00           -23.11
   0 H Windsor         ( 1-12, 71.8)    10- 3      -28.10       8.54      -0.41         1.00             8.16
   0 H St Vincent de   ( 4- 8, 74.8)    13- 6      -25.11      11.54      -0.41         1.00            11.16
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -162.44

winning pts = 44.7256 losing points = -207.1674

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------