safe3step girls Penn Manor 1

  
Penn Manor            
W-L: ( 9- 2)  PR =    91.5441
 Schedule/Results All Games 

 Date  Opponent               Conf/State      (W-L, PR)      Score  
 325 A Haverford HS                         ( 6- 5, 88.2)    14- 9   
 327 H Upper Darby                          ( 0- 9, 72.5)    16- 0   
 403 H Radnor                               (12- 1, 92.7)     8- 9   
 405 A Kennett                              ( 4- 6, 86.6)    14-12   
 408 A Conestoga                            (10- 3, 93.6)     3- 8   
 410 A Mars Area                            ( 8- 4, 92.0)     8- 6   
 412 A Marple Newtown                       ( 5- 4, 91.2)     8- 7   
 415 H Central Bucks South                  ( 1- 8, 79.4)    12- 1   
 422 H Harriton                             ( 3- 8, 77.4)    15- 2   
 501 A Ridley                               ( 8- 5, 91.2)    12-11   
 506 H Lower Merion                         ( 2- 8, 79.4)    19- 0

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A Haverford HS           14- 9       5     3           1.79
   327 H Upper Darby            16- 0      16    19           0.00
   403 H Radnor                  8- 9      -1    -1           0.01
   405 A Kennett                14-12       2     5    -     -2.82
   408 A Conestoga               3- 8      -5    -2    -     -2.89
   410 A Mars Area               8- 6       2    -1    +      2.60
   412 A Marple Newtown          8- 7       1     0           0.75
   415 H Central Bucks South    12- 1      11    12           0.00
   422 H Harriton               15- 2      13    14           0.00
   501 A Ridley                 12-11       1     0           0.79
   506 H Lower Merion           19- 0      19    12           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Kennett                14-12       2     5    -     -2.82
   408 A Conestoga               3- 8      -5    -2    -     -2.89

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 A Mars Area               8- 6       2    -1    +      2.60

Penn Manor Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each 
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they 
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the 
record of the loser for all common opponents

Opponent	Who Gets the Point?	Head-2-Head Point	Common Opponent Point	Power Rating Point
Abington	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Academy New Church	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
AIM Academy	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Allentown Central Ca	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Archbishop Carroll	Archbishop Carroll		insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1)	Archbishop Carroll
Archbishop Ryan	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Archbishop Wood	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Avon Grove	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Avon Grove Charter	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Bayard Rustin	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Bethlehem Catholic	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Bishop Shanahan	Bishop Shanahan		insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 4- 0)	Bishop Shanahan
BL Charter	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Bonner-Prendergast	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Boyertown	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Cardinal OHara	Penn Manor		insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2)	Penn Manor
Central Bucks East	Penn Manor		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Penn Manor
Central Bucks South	Penn Manor	Penn Manor
Central Bucks West	Penn Manor		Penn Manor 3- 0 vs 1- 2
Central Philadelphia	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Cheltenham	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Church Farm School	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Coatesville	Penn Manor		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Penn Manor
Conestoga	Conestoga	Conestoga
Conwell Egan	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Council Rock North	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Council Rock South	Penn Manor		tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1)	Penn Manor
Delaware Valley Frie	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Devon Prep	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Downingtown East	Penn Manor		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Penn Manor
Downingtown West	Downingtown West		tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0)	Downingtown West
Easton Area	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Emmaus	Penn Manor		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Penn Manor
Episcopal Academy	Episcopal Academy			Episcopal Academy
Father Judge	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Frankford	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Freedom Bethlehem	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Garnet Valley	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
George School	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
George Washington	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Germantown Academy	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Great Valley	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Harriton	Penn Manor	Penn Manor
Hatboro-Horsham	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Haverford HS	Penn Manor	Penn Manor
Haverford School	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Hill School	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Holy Ghost Prep	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Interboro	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Jack Barrack Academy	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Kennett	Penn Manor	Penn Manor
La Salle College	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Lansdale Catholic	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Liberty Bethlehem	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Lower Merion	Penn Manor	Penn Manor
Malvern Prep	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Marple Newtown	Penn Manor	Penn Manor
Masterman	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Mastery Charter Nort	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Methacton	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Moravian Academy	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Nazareth Area	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Neshaminy	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
New Hope-Solebury	Penn Manor		Penn Manor 2- 0 vs 0- 2
North Penn	Penn Manor		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Penn Manor
Northampton Area	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Northeast	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Northwestern Lehigh	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Olney Charter	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Owen J Roberts	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Oxford Area	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Parkland	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Penn Charter	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Penncrest	Penncrest		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Penncrest
Pennridge	Penn Manor		tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1)	Penn Manor
Pennsbury	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Perkiomen School	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Perkiomen Valley	Penn Manor		Penn Manor 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Phoenixville	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Pleasant Valley	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Plymouth-Whitemarsh	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Pope John Paul II	Penn Manor		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Penn Manor
Pottsgrove	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Quakertown	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Radnor	Radnor	Radnor
Ridley	Penn Manor	Penn Manor
Roman Catholic	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Saucon Valley	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Shipley School	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Solanco	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Souderton	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
South Philadelphia	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Southern Lehigh	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Spring-Ford	Penn Manor		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Penn Manor
Springfield Twp	Penn Manor		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Penn Manor
Springfield-Delco	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Springside Chestnut	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
St Josephs Prep	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Strath Haven	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Sun Valley	Penn Manor		insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1)	Penn Manor
Truman	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Unionville	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Upper Darby	Penn Manor	Penn Manor
Upper Dublin	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Upper Merion	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Upper Moreland	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
West Chester East	Penn Manor		Penn Manor 6- 0 vs 3- 3
West Chester Henders	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
West Philadelphia	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Westtown	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
William Tennent	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Wissahickon	Penn Manor		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Penn Manor
Baldwin	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Bethel Park	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Butler Area	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Canon-McMillan	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Cathedral Prep	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Central Catholic	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Chartiers Valley	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Conneaut	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Erie-McDowell	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Fairview	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Fox Chapel	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Franklin Regional	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Freeport Area	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Gateway	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Greensburg Central C	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Hampton	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Hempfield Greensburg	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Hickory	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Indiana Area	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Knoch	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Latrobe	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Mars Area	Penn Manor	Penn Manor
Meadville-Crawford C	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Moon Area	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Mount Lebanon	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
North Allegheny	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
North Catholic	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
North Hills	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Norwin	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Penn-Trafford	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Peters Township	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Pine Richland	Penn Manor		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Penn Manor
Plum	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Quaker Valley	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Seneca Valley	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Seton LaSalle	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Sewickley Academy	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Shady Side Academy	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Shaler Area	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
South Fayette	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Taylor Allderdice	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Trinity Area	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Upper St Clair	Penn Manor		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Penn Manor
West Allegheny	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Winchester Thurston	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Abington Heights	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Bellefonte	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Berks Catholic	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Bishop McDevitt	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Carlisle	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Cedar Cliff	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Cedar Crest	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Central Dauphin	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Central Dauphin East	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Central York	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Chambersburg	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Cocalico	Penn Manor		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Penn Manor
Conestoga Valley	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Conrad Weiser	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Crestwood	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Cumberland Valley	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Dallas	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Dallastown	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Daniel Boone	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Danville Area	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Delaware Valley	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Delone Catholic	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Dover Area	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Eastern York	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Elizabethtown	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Ephrata	Penn Manor		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Penn Manor
Exeter Township	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Garden Spot	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Gettysburg	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Governor Mifflin	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Hempfield	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Hershey	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Kennard-Dale	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Lake-Lehman	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Lakeland	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Lampeter-Strasburg	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Lancaster CDS	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Lewisburg	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Lower Dauphin	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Manheim Township	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Mechanicsburg	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Mifflin County	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Mifflinburg	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Muhlenberg	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
New Oxford	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
North Pocono	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Northern York	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Palmyra	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Red Land	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Red Lion	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Schuylkill Valley	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Scranton Prep	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Selinsgrove	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
South-Western	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Spring Grove	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
State College	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Susquehannock	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Trinity HS	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Tunkhannock	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Twin Valley	Penn Manor		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Penn Manor
Warwick	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
West York	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Wilkes-Barre Area	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Wilson West Lawn	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Wyoming Area	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Wyoming Seminary	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Wyomissing	Wyomissing			Wyomissing
York Catholic	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
York Suburban	Penn Manor			Penn Manor

PowerWise = 218

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 3.42

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Haverford HS    ( 6- 5, 88.2)    14- 9      -11.67      18.25       0.11         0.31             5.71
   0 H Upper Darby     ( 0- 9, 72.5)    16- 0      -27.40       2.52      -0.11         0.31             0.75
   0 H Radnor          (12- 1, 92.7)     8- 9       -7.24      22.68      -0.11         0.31            -2.28
   0 A Kennett         ( 4- 6, 86.6)    14-12      -13.29      16.63       0.11         0.31             5.20
   0 A Conestoga       (10- 3, 93.6)     3- 8       -6.35      23.57       0.11         0.31            -1.94
   0 A Mars Area       ( 8- 4, 92.0)     8- 6       -7.86      22.06       0.11         0.31             6.89
   0 A Marple Newtown  ( 5- 4, 91.2)     8- 7       -8.72      21.21       0.11         0.31             6.62
   0 H Central Bucks   ( 1- 8, 79.4)    12- 1      -20.48       9.44      -0.11         0.31             2.90
   0 H Harriton        ( 3- 8, 77.4)    15- 2      -22.51       7.41      -0.11         0.31             2.27
   0 A Ridley          ( 8- 5, 91.2)    12-11       -8.68      21.25       0.11         0.31             6.64
   0 H Lower Merion    ( 2- 8, 79.4)    19- 0      -20.48       9.44      -0.11         0.31             2.90
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        35.66

winning pts = 39.8779 losing points = -4.2224

SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------