---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:00 PDT

safe3step girls Penncrest 1
  
Penncrest             
W-L: ( 7- 3) PR = 95.0425

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 319 A Episcopal Academy ( 4- 0, 99.9) 3-13 410 A Hill School ( 2- 3, 86.7) 20- 2 412 A Downingtown East ( 4- 4, 89.2) 10- 5 415 A Bishop Shanahan (11- 1, 94.1) 10- 5 416 H Germantown Academy ( 1- 5, 87.7) 16- 4 422 H Episcopal Academy ( 4- 0, 99.9) 1-14 503 A Marple Newtown ( 5- 4, 91.2) 13- 9 510 H Archbishop Carroll ( 9- 3, 93.0) 7- 8 513 A Germantown Academy ( 1- 5, 87.7) 15- 3 516 A Shipley School ( 6- 2, 84.2) 20- 1

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 A Episcopal Academy       3-13     -10    -5          -0.04
   410 A Hill School            20- 2      18     8           0.00
   412 A Downingtown East       10- 5       5     6           0.00
   415 A Bishop Shanahan        10- 5       5     1    ++     4.14
   416 H Germantown Academy     16- 4      12     7           0.00
   422 H Episcopal Academy       1-14     -13    -5          -0.25
   503 A Marple Newtown         13- 9       4     4           0.25
   510 H Archbishop Carroll      7- 8      -1     2    -     -3.12
   513 A Germantown Academy     15- 3      12     7           0.00
   516 A Shipley School         20- 1      19    11           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   510 H Archbishop Carroll      7- 8      -1     2    -     -3.12

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 A Bishop Shanahan        10- 5       5     1    ++     4.14

Penncrest Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Abington Penncrest insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Penncrest
Academy New Church Penncrest insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Penncrest
AIM Academy Penncrest   Penncrest
Allentown Central Ca Penncrest   Penncrest
Archbishop Carroll Archbishop Carroll Archbishop Carroll  
Archbishop Ryan Penncrest tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Penncrest
Archbishop Wood Penncrest   Penncrest
Avon Grove Penncrest   Penncrest
Avon Grove Charter Penncrest   Penncrest
Bayard Rustin Penncrest   Penncrest
Bethlehem Catholic Penncrest   Penncrest
Bishop Shanahan Penncrest Penncrest  
BL Charter Penncrest   Penncrest
Bonner-Prendergast Penncrest   Penncrest
Boyertown Penncrest   Penncrest
Cardinal OHara Penncrest tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Penncrest
Central Bucks East Penncrest   Penncrest
Central Bucks South Penncrest   Penncrest
Central Bucks West Penncrest   Penncrest
Central Philadelphia Penncrest tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Penncrest
Cheltenham Penncrest   Penncrest
Church Farm School Penncrest   Penncrest
Coatesville Penncrest Penncrest   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Conestoga Penncrest tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Penncrest
Conwell Egan Penncrest tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Penncrest
Council Rock North Penncrest   Penncrest
Council Rock South Penncrest   Penncrest
Delaware Valley Frie Penncrest   Penncrest
Devon Prep Penncrest   Penncrest
Downingtown East Penncrest Penncrest  
Downingtown West Penncrest tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) Penncrest
Easton Area Penncrest   Penncrest
Emmaus Penncrest   Penncrest
Episcopal Academy Episcopal Academy Episcopal Academy  
Father Judge Penncrest   Penncrest
Frankford Penncrest   Penncrest
Freedom Bethlehem Penncrest   Penncrest
Garnet Valley Penncrest   Penncrest
George School Penncrest insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Penncrest
George Washington Penncrest   Penncrest
Germantown Academy Penncrest Penncrest  
Great Valley Penncrest   Penncrest
Harriton Penncrest   Penncrest
Hatboro-Horsham Penncrest   Penncrest
Haverford HS Penncrest   Penncrest
Haverford School Penncrest   Penncrest
Hill School Penncrest Penncrest  
Holy Ghost Prep Penncrest   Penncrest
Interboro Penncrest   Penncrest
Jack Barrack Academy Penncrest   Penncrest
Kennett Penncrest Penncrest   2- 0 vs 0- 2
La Salle College Penncrest   Penncrest
Lansdale Catholic Penncrest   Penncrest
Liberty Bethlehem Penncrest   Penncrest
Lower Merion Penncrest   Penncrest
Malvern Prep Penncrest   Penncrest
Marple Newtown Penncrest Penncrest  
Masterman Penncrest   Penncrest
Mastery Charter Nort Penncrest   Penncrest
Methacton Penncrest   Penncrest
Moravian Academy Penncrest   Penncrest
Nazareth Area Penncrest tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Penncrest
Neshaminy Penncrest   Penncrest
New Hope-Solebury Penncrest   Penncrest
North Penn Penncrest   Penncrest
Northampton Area Penncrest   Penncrest
Northeast Penncrest   Penncrest
Northwestern Lehigh Penncrest   Penncrest
Olney Charter Penncrest   Penncrest
Owen J Roberts Penncrest   Penncrest
Oxford Area Penncrest   Penncrest
Parkland Penncrest   Penncrest
Penn Charter Penncrest   Penncrest
Pennridge Penncrest   Penncrest
Pennsbury Penncrest   Penncrest
Perkiomen School Penncrest Penncrest   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Perkiomen Valley Penncrest   Penncrest
Phoenixville Penncrest   Penncrest
Pleasant Valley Penncrest   Penncrest
Plymouth-Whitemarsh Penncrest   Penncrest
Pope John Paul II Penncrest   Penncrest
Pottsgrove Penncrest   Penncrest
Quakertown Penncrest   Penncrest
Radnor Penncrest tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Penncrest
Ridley Penncrest   Penncrest
Roman Catholic Penncrest   Penncrest
Saucon Valley Penncrest   Penncrest
Shipley School Penncrest Penncrest  
Solanco Penncrest   Penncrest
Souderton Penncrest   Penncrest
South Philadelphia Penncrest   Penncrest
Southern Lehigh Penncrest   Penncrest
Spring-Ford Penncrest   Penncrest
Springfield Twp Penncrest   Penncrest
Springfield-Delco Penncrest   Penncrest
Springside Chestnut Penncrest   Penncrest
St Josephs Prep Penncrest   Penncrest
Strath Haven Penncrest   Penncrest
Sun Valley Penncrest Penncrest   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Truman Penncrest   Penncrest
Unionville Penncrest   Penncrest
Upper Darby Penncrest   Penncrest
Upper Dublin Penncrest   Penncrest
Upper Merion Penncrest   Penncrest
Upper Moreland Penncrest   Penncrest
West Chester East Penncrest Penncrest   2- 0 vs 0- 2
West Chester Henders Penncrest   Penncrest
West Philadelphia Penncrest   Penncrest
Westtown Penncrest insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Penncrest
William Tennent Penncrest   Penncrest
Wissahickon Penncrest   Penncrest
Baldwin Penncrest   Penncrest
Bethel Park Penncrest   Penncrest
Butler Area Penncrest   Penncrest
Canon-McMillan Penncrest   Penncrest
Cathedral Prep Penncrest   Penncrest
Central Catholic Penncrest   Penncrest
Chartiers Valley Penncrest   Penncrest
Conneaut Penncrest   Penncrest
Erie-McDowell Penncrest   Penncrest
Fairview Penncrest   Penncrest
Fox Chapel Penncrest   Penncrest
Franklin Regional Penncrest   Penncrest
Freeport Area Penncrest   Penncrest
Gateway Penncrest   Penncrest
Greensburg Central C Penncrest   Penncrest
Hampton Penncrest   Penncrest
Hempfield Greensburg Penncrest   Penncrest
Hickory Penncrest   Penncrest
Indiana Area Penncrest   Penncrest
Knoch Penncrest   Penncrest
Latrobe Penncrest   Penncrest
Mars Area Penncrest insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Penncrest
Meadville-Crawford C Penncrest   Penncrest
Moon Area Penncrest   Penncrest
Mount Lebanon Penncrest insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Penncrest
North Allegheny Penncrest   Penncrest
North Catholic Penncrest   Penncrest
North Hills Penncrest   Penncrest
Norwin Penncrest   Penncrest
Penn-Trafford Penncrest   Penncrest
Peters Township Penncrest   Penncrest
Pine Richland Penncrest insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Penncrest
Plum Penncrest   Penncrest
Quaker Valley Penncrest   Penncrest
Seneca Valley Penncrest   Penncrest
Seton LaSalle Penncrest   Penncrest
Sewickley Academy Penncrest   Penncrest
Shady Side Academy Penncrest   Penncrest
Shaler Area Penncrest   Penncrest
South Fayette Penncrest   Penncrest
Taylor Allderdice Penncrest   Penncrest
Trinity Area Penncrest   Penncrest
Upper St Clair Penncrest insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Penncrest
West Allegheny Penncrest   Penncrest
Winchester Thurston Penncrest   Penncrest
Abington Heights Penncrest   Penncrest
Bellefonte Penncrest   Penncrest
Berks Catholic Penncrest   Penncrest
Bishop McDevitt Penncrest   Penncrest
Carlisle Penncrest   Penncrest
Cedar Cliff Penncrest   Penncrest
Cedar Crest Penncrest   Penncrest
Central Dauphin Penncrest   Penncrest
Central Dauphin East Penncrest   Penncrest
Central York Penncrest   Penncrest
Chambersburg Penncrest   Penncrest
Cocalico Penncrest insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Penncrest
Conestoga Valley Penncrest   Penncrest
Conrad Weiser Penncrest   Penncrest
Crestwood Penncrest   Penncrest
Cumberland Valley Penncrest   Penncrest
Dallas Penncrest   Penncrest
Dallastown Penncrest   Penncrest
Daniel Boone Penncrest   Penncrest
Danville Area Penncrest   Penncrest
Delaware Valley Penncrest   Penncrest
Delone Catholic Penncrest   Penncrest
Dover Area Penncrest   Penncrest
Eastern York Penncrest   Penncrest
Elizabethtown Penncrest   Penncrest
Ephrata Penncrest insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Penncrest
Exeter Township Penncrest   Penncrest
Garden Spot Penncrest   Penncrest
Gettysburg Penncrest   Penncrest
Governor Mifflin Penncrest   Penncrest
Hempfield Penncrest   Penncrest
Hershey Penncrest   Penncrest
Kennard-Dale Penncrest   Penncrest
Lake-Lehman Penncrest   Penncrest
Lakeland Penncrest   Penncrest
Lampeter-Strasburg Penncrest   Penncrest
Lancaster CDS Penncrest   Penncrest
Lewisburg Penncrest   Penncrest
Lower Dauphin Penncrest   Penncrest
Manheim Township Penncrest   Penncrest
Mechanicsburg Penncrest   Penncrest
Mifflin County Penncrest   Penncrest
Mifflinburg Penncrest   Penncrest
Muhlenberg Penncrest   Penncrest
New Oxford Penncrest   Penncrest
North Pocono Penncrest   Penncrest
Northern York Penncrest   Penncrest
Palmyra Penncrest   Penncrest
Penn Manor Penncrest tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Penncrest
Red Land Penncrest   Penncrest
Red Lion Penncrest   Penncrest
Schuylkill Valley Penncrest   Penncrest
Scranton Prep Penncrest   Penncrest
Selinsgrove Penncrest   Penncrest
South-Western Penncrest   Penncrest
Spring Grove Penncrest   Penncrest
State College Penncrest   Penncrest
Susquehannock Penncrest   Penncrest
Trinity HS Penncrest   Penncrest
Tunkhannock Penncrest   Penncrest
Twin Valley Penncrest tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Penncrest
Warwick Penncrest   Penncrest
West York Penncrest   Penncrest
Wilkes-Barre Area Penncrest   Penncrest
Wilson West Lawn Penncrest   Penncrest
Wyoming Area Penncrest   Penncrest
Wyoming Seminary Penncrest   Penncrest
Wyomissing Penncrest   Penncrest
York Catholic Penncrest   Penncrest
York Suburban Penncrest   Penncrest

PowerWise = 224


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 3.42

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Episcopal Acad  ( 4- 0, 99.9)     3-13       -0.00      29.92       0.11         0.34            -0.04
   0 A Hill School     ( 2- 3, 86.7)    20- 2      -13.21      16.72       0.11         0.34             5.75
   0 A Downingtown Ea  ( 4- 4, 89.2)    10- 5      -10.70      19.22       0.11         0.34             6.61
   0 A Bishop Shanaha  (11- 1, 94.1)    10- 5       -5.83      24.09       0.11         0.34             8.27
   0 H Germantown Aca  ( 1- 5, 87.7)    16- 4      -12.24      17.68      -0.11         0.34             6.01
   0 H Episcopal Acad  ( 4- 0, 99.9)     1-14       -0.00      29.92      -0.11         0.34            -0.04
   0 A Marple Newtown  ( 5- 4, 91.2)    13- 9       -8.72      21.21       0.11         0.34             7.29
   0 H Archbishop Car  ( 9- 3, 93.0)     7- 8       -6.87      23.05      -0.11         0.34            -2.38
   0 A Germantown Aca  ( 1- 5, 87.7)    15- 3      -12.24      17.68       0.11         0.34             6.08
   0 A Shipley School  ( 6- 2, 84.2)    20- 1      -15.66      14.27       0.11         0.34             4.91
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        42.46

winning pts = 44.9189 losing points = -2.4577

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------