All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
Nickname = Coach =GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 70.0299988 home-field advantage = -0.85 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 318 H Loudoun County ( 4- 9, 68.6) 14- 4 319 H Colgan (11- 5, 66.2) 11- 6 323 A South County ( 4-10, 70.5) 7-14 325 H Freedom South Riding (13- 3, 73.0) 9-14 327 A Forest Park (13- 4, 67.4) 11-18 407 A Colonial Forge (13- 6, 72.0) 13-10 409 H Mountain View (18- 0, 67.2) 3-20 413 H Independence ( 6- 7, 68.6) 16-12 416 H Briar Woods ( 2-13, 64.1) 8- 6 417 H Marshall ( 1-13, 62.3) 21- 4 420 A Battlefield (16- 2, 83.0) 3-19 427 A Osbourn Park ( 7- 4, 52.7) 21- 2 430 H Gainesville ( 5- 6, 70.4) 8-10 504 H Osbourn ( 6- 7, 58.5) 19- 2 511 A Gainesville ( 5- 6, 70.4) 13- 8 514 A Battlefield (16- 2, 83.0) 1-19 522 A Forest Park (13- 4, 67.4) 19-16 526 A Mountain View (18- 0, 67.2) 10-13
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 318 H Loudoun County 14- 4 10 2 n/a 319 H Colgan 11- 6 5 4 0.27 323 A South County 7-14 -7 -1 -- -5.72 325 H Freedom South Riding 9-14 -5 -2 - -2.89 327 A Forest Park 11-18 -7 1 --- -8.77 407 A Colonial Forge 13-10 3 -2 ++ 5.82 409 H Mountain View 3-20 -17 3 --- -10.63 413 H Independence 16-12 4 2 n/a 416 H Briar Woods 8- 6 2 6 n/a 417 H Marshall 21- 4 17 8 0.00 420 A Battlefield 3-19 -16 -13 0.00 427 A Osbourn Park 21- 2 19 16 0.00 430 H Gainesville 8-10 -2 0 - -2.51 504 H Osbourn 19- 2 17 12 0.00 511 A Gainesville 13- 8 5 -1 +++ 6.19 514 A Battlefield 1-19 -18 -13 0.00 522 A Forest Park 19-16 3 1 1.23 526 A Mountain View 10-13 -3 1 -- -4.93UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 327 A Forest Park 11-18 -7 1 --- -8.77 409 H Mountain View 3-20 -17 3 --- -10.63 323 A South County 7-14 -7 -1 -- -5.72 416 H Briar Woods 8- 6 2 6 -- 526 A Mountain View 10-13 -3 1 -- -4.93 325 H Freedom South Riding 9-14 -5 -2 - -2.89 430 H Gainesville 8-10 -2 0 - -2.51OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 511 A Gainesville 13- 8 5 -1 +++ 6.19 318 H Loudoun County 14- 4 10 2 ++ 407 A Colonial Forge 13-10 3 -2 ++ 5.82
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 70.03 Power Rank................. 26 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 39.55 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 28 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5021 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 28 RPI Rating............... .5703 RPI Rank................... 13 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 43 Selection sum ........... 68 Selection Rank ............ 20 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -110. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 39 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -35. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 27 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 11.5 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 10.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -17.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -17.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -9.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -6.0