Page
W-L: ( 9- 7) PR = 91.6285Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 225 A University School Nash (11- 7, 88.0) 12-16 304 A Ensworth (12- 4, 95.7) 7- 6 325 H Green Hill ( 2- 8, 77.4) 16- 0 327 A Franklin ( 9- 2, 97.8) 2-17 404 H Brentwood (15- 3, 98.5) 4-21 407 A Cookeville (12- 6, 92.9) 7-13 408 H Hunters Lane ( 0- 6, 73.1) 14- 0 410 A Harpeth Hall (12- 3, 98.0) 9-19 415 A Centennial (10- 3, 89.3) 18- 8 417 H Hillsboro ( 1- 7, 77.6) 17- 1 424 H Father Ryan (13- 4, 94.0) 7-10 426 A Houston ( 9- 7, 90.7) 11-12 426 A Collierville ( 9- 8, 90.4) 12-11 503 H Ooltewah ( 3-12, 81.8) 16- 2 509 H Centennial (10- 3, 89.3) 12- 4 517 N Seymour ( 9- 3, 92.0) 13-12
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
225 A University School Nash 12-16 -4 3 --- -7.05
304 A Ensworth 7- 6 1 -5 ++ 5.67
325 H Green Hill 16- 0 16 15 0.00
327 A Franklin 2-17 -15 -7 0.00
404 H Brentwood 4-21 -17 -6 0.00
407 A Cookeville 7-13 -6 -2 - -3.14
408 H Hunters Lane 14- 0 14 19 0.00
410 A Harpeth Hall 9-19 -10 -7 0.00
415 A Centennial 18- 8 10 2 + 3.24
417 H Hillsboro 17- 1 16 15 0.00
424 H Father Ryan 7-10 -3 -2 -1.19
426 A Houston 11-12 -1 0 -1.33
426 A Collierville 12-11 1 1 0.29
503 H Ooltewah 16- 2 14 10 0.00
509 H Centennial 12- 4 8 3 + 2.12
517 N Seymour 13-12 1 0 1.41
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 225 A University School Nash 12-16 -4 3 --- -7.05 407 A Cookeville 7-13 -6 -2 - -3.14 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 304 A Ensworth 7- 6 1 -5 ++ 5.67 415 A Centennial 18- 8 10 2 + 3.24 509 H Centennial 12- 4 8 3 + 2.12 |
Page Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arlington | Page | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Page | |
| Bartlett | Page | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Page | |
| Baylor School | Page | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | Page | |
| Bearden | Page | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Page | |
| Bradley Central | Page | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Page | |
| Brentwood | Brentwood | Brentwood | ||
| Briarcrest Christian | Briarcrest Christian | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 2) | Briarcrest Christian | |
| Centennial | Page | Page | ||
| Christ Presbyterian Acad | Page | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Page | |
| Christian Academy Knoxvi | Page | tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 2) | Page | |
| Collierville | Page | Page | ||
| Cookeville | Cookeville | Cookeville | ||
| Dobyns Bennett | Page | Page | ||
| Ensworth | Page | Page | ||
| Evangelical Christian | Page | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Page | |
| Farragut | Page | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Page | |
| Father Ryan | Father Ryan | Father Ryan | ||
| Franklin | Franklin | Franklin | ||
| Franklin Road Academy | Page | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) | Page | |
| Gatlinburg Pittman | Page | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Page | |
| Girls Preparatory School | Page | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) | Page | |
| Green Hill | Page | Page | ||
| Harpeth Hall | Harpeth Hall | Harpeth Hall | ||
| Heritage | Page | Page | ||
| Hillsboro | Page | Page | ||
| Houston | Houston | Houston | ||
| Hunters Lane | Page | Page | ||
| Hutchison School | Hutchison School | tied - ( 3- 4) ( 3- 4) | Hutchison School | |
| Independence | Page | tied - ( 4- 5) ( 4- 5) | Page | |
| Knoxville Catholic | Page | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Page | |
| Lausanne Collegiate | Page | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Page | |
| Maryville | Page | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Page | |
| Ooltewah | Page | Page | ||
| Pigeon Forge | Page | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Page | |
| Pope John Paul II | Page | Page 2- 4 vs 0- 6 | ||
| Ravenwood | Ravenwood | Ravenwood 5- 0 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Science Hill | Page | Page | ||
| Sevier County | Page | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Page | |
| Seymour | Page | Page | ||
| Signal Mountain | Page | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Page | |
| Soddy Daisy | Page | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Page | |
| St Agnes Academy | Page | Page 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| St Benedict | Page | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Page | |
| St Cecilia Academy | Page | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Page | |
| St Georges | Page | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Page | |
| St Marys Episcopal | St Marys Episcopal | tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 2) | St Marys Episcopal | |
| Summit | Page | tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 2) | Page | |
| University School Nashvi | University School Nashvi | University School Nashvi | ||
| Upperman | Page | Page 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Walker Valley | Page | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Page | |
| Webb School Bell Buckle | Page | Page | ||
| Webb School Knoxville | Page | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Page | |
| West | Page | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Page | |
| White Station | Page | Page 2- 3 vs 0- 5 | ||
| William Blount | Page | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Page | |
| Wilson Central | Page | Page |
PowerWise = 45
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.88
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A University Sch (11- 7, 88.0) 12-16 -11.88 14.94 0.56 0.80 -9.11
0 A Ensworth (12- 4, 95.7) 7- 6 -4.16 22.66 0.56 0.80 18.69
0 H Green Hill ( 2- 8, 77.4) 16- 0 -22.51 4.31 -0.56 0.80 3.01
0 A Franklin ( 9- 2, 97.8) 2-17 -2.14 24.68 0.56 0.80 -1.27
0 H Brentwood (15- 3, 98.5) 4-21 -1.42 25.40 -0.56 0.80 -1.59
0 A Cookeville (12- 6, 92.9) 7-13 -6.97 19.85 0.56 0.80 -5.16
0 H Hunters Lane ( 0- 6, 73.1) 14- 0 -26.80 1.00 -0.56 0.80 0.35
0 A Harpeth Hall (12- 3, 98.0) 9-19 -1.91 24.91 0.56 0.80 -1.08
0 A Centennial (10- 3, 89.3) 18- 8 -10.59 16.23 0.56 0.80 13.52
0 H Hillsboro ( 1- 7, 77.6) 17- 1 -22.32 4.50 -0.56 0.80 3.17
0 H Father Ryan (13- 4, 94.0) 7-10 -5.90 20.92 -0.56 0.80 -5.20
0 A Houston ( 9- 7, 90.7) 11-12 -9.16 17.66 0.56 0.80 -6.92
0 A Collierville ( 9- 8, 90.4) 12-11 -9.55 17.27 0.56 0.80 14.35
0 H Ooltewah ( 3-12, 81.8) 16- 2 -18.11 8.71 -0.56 0.80 6.56
0 H Centennial (10- 3, 89.3) 12- 4 -10.59 16.23 -0.56 0.80 12.61
0 N Seymour ( 9- 3, 92.0) 13-12 -7.86 18.96 -0.00 0.80 15.26
------
57.19
|
winning pts = 87.5274 losing points = -30.3353
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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