Page
W-L: ( 5- 9) PR = 80.4174Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 306 H Bishop McGuinness (20- 4, 86.2) 6- 7 307 H Greensboro Day School ( 3-11, 80.0) 13- 5 320 H RJ Reynolds (13-10, 81.3) 5- 8 327 A Forsyth CDS (12- 6, 85.4) 7-15 402 H West Forsyth (21- 6, 84.7) 5-17 403 H Southwest Guilford ( 8-13, 76.4) 11- 5 408 A Ragsdale ( 1- 9, 70.5) 18- 6 410 H Northwest Guilford (16- 5, 88.2) 6-16 424 H Northern Guilford ( 1-11, 75.4) 10- 5 428 A Grimsley (11- 7, 80.7) 6- 9 501 A Southeast Guilford (15- 5, 80.8) 7- 9 506 H Southwest Guilford ( 8-13, 76.4) 9- 5 507 A Northwest Guilford (16- 5, 88.2) 6-20 513 A RJ Reynolds (13-10, 81.3) 8-11
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
306 H Bishop McGuinness 6- 7 -1 -5 ++ 4.00
307 H Greensboro Day School 13- 5 8 1 ++ 4.29
320 H RJ Reynolds 5- 8 -3 -1 - -2.41
327 A Forsyth CDS 7-15 -8 -5 0.00
402 H West Forsyth 5-17 -12 -4 -0.99
403 H Southwest Guilford 11- 5 6 4 0.73
408 A Ragsdale 18- 6 12 10 0.00
410 H Northwest Guilford 6-16 -10 -8 0.00
424 H Northern Guilford 10- 5 5 5 0.00
428 A Grimsley 6- 9 -3 -1 - -2.43
501 A Southeast Guilford 7- 9 -2 -1 -1.29
506 H Southwest Guilford 9- 5 4 4 -0.27
507 A Northwest Guilford 6-20 -14 -8 0.00
513 A RJ Reynolds 8-11 -3 -1 -1.80
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 320 H RJ Reynolds 5- 8 -3 -1 - -2.41 428 A Grimsley 6- 9 -3 -1 - -2.43 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 306 H Bishop McGuinness 6- 7 -1 -5 ++ 4.00 307 H Greensboro Day School 13- 5 8 1 ++ 4.29 |
Page Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apex | Apex | Apex | ||
| Apex Friendship | Apex Friendship | Apex Friendship | ||
| Ardrey Kell | Ardrey Kell | Ardrey Kell | ||
| Arendell Parrott Academy | Arendell Parrott Academy | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Arendell Parrott Academy | |
| Asheville HS | Asheville HS | Asheville HS 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Asheville School | Asheville School | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Asheville School | |
| Ashley | Ashley | Ashley | ||
| Athens Drive | Athens Drive | Athens Drive | ||
| Atkins | Page | insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 3) | Page | |
| Ballantyne Ridge | Ballantyne Ridge | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ballantyne Ridge | |
| Bishop McGuinness | Bishop McGuinness | Bishop McGuinness | ||
| Broughton | Broughton | Broughton | ||
| Butler | Page | Page | ||
| Cannon School | Cannon School | Cannon School | ||
| Cape Fear Academy | Cape Fear Academy | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Cape Fear Academy | |
| Cape Fear HS | Page | Page | ||
| Cardinal Gibbons | Cardinal Gibbons | Cardinal Gibbons | ||
| Carrboro | Page | Page | ||
| Cary Academy | Page | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Page | |
| Cary HS | Page | Page | ||
| Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Charlotte Catholic | Charlotte Catholic | Charlotte Catholic | ||
| Charlotte CDS | Charlotte CDS | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Charlotte CDS | |
| Charlotte Christian | Charlotte Christian | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Charlotte Christian | |
| Charlotte Latin School | Charlotte Latin School | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Charlotte Latin School | |
| Christ the King | Christ the King | Christ the King | ||
| Clayton | Page | Page | ||
| Cleveland | Page | Page | ||
| Community School Davidso | Community School Davidso | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Community School Davidso | |
| Corinth Holders | Page | Page | ||
| Croatan | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| Cuthbertson | Cuthbertson | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Cuthbertson | |
| Davidson Day School | Davidson Day School | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Davidson Day School | |
| Davie | Page | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) | Page | |
| DH Conley | Page | Page | ||
| Durham Academy | Durham Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Durham Academy | |
| East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | East Chapel Hill | |
| East Forsyth | Page | tied - ( 0- 5) ( 0- 5) | Page | |
| Enloe | Page | Page | ||
| Fayetteville Academy | Fayetteville Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Fayetteville Academy | |
| Fike | Fike | Fike | ||
| First Flight | Page | Page | ||
| Forsyth CDS | Forsyth CDS | Forsyth CDS | ||
| Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | ||
| Garner | Page | Page | ||
| Glenn | Page | Page 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Green Hope | Green Hope | Green Hope | ||
| Green Level | Page | Page | ||
| Greensboro Day School | Page | Page | ||
| Grimsley | Grimsley | Grimsley | ||
| Havelock | Page | Page | ||
| Heritage | Heritage | Heritage | ||
| Hickory | Page | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Page | |
| High Point Central | Page | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Page | |
| Hoggard | Hoggard | Hoggard | ||
| Holly Springs | Holly Springs | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Holly Springs | |
| Hopewell | Hopewell | Hopewell | ||
| Hough | Hough | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Hough | |
| Hunt | Page | Page | ||
| Independence | Page | Page | ||
| Jack Britt | Page | Page | ||
| Jacksonville | Page | Page | ||
| JH Rose | JH Rose | JH Rose | ||
| Jordan | Page | Page | ||
| Lake Norman Charter | Lake Norman Charter | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Lake Norman Charter | |
| Lake Norman HS | Lake Norman HS | Lake Norman HS 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Laney | Laney | Laney | ||
| Leesville Road | Leesville Road | Leesville Road | ||
| Lincoln Charter | Page | Page | ||
| Marvin Ridge | Marvin Ridge | Marvin Ridge 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Middle Creek | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Millbrook | Millbrook | Millbrook | ||
| Mooresville | Page | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Page | |
| Mount Tabor | Page | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Page | |
| Myers Park | Myers Park | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Myers Park | |
| New Bern | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| New Hanover | New Hanover | New Hanover | ||
| North Brunswick | Page | Page | ||
| North Davidson | Page | tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) | Page | |
| North Lincoln | Page | Page | ||
| Northern Guilford | Page | Page | ||
| Northside | Page | Page | ||
| Northwest Guilford | Northwest Guilford | Northwest Guilford | ||
| Northwood | Page | Page | ||
| Panther Creek | Page | Page | ||
| Parkwood | Page | Page | ||
| Patton | Page | Page | ||
| Pine Forest | Page | Page | ||
| Pine Lake Prep | Page | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Page | |
| Pinecrest | Pinecrest | Pinecrest | ||
| Porter Ridge | Page | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Page | |
| Providence | Page | Page | ||
| Providence Day | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Rabun Gap-Nocoochee | Page | Page | ||
| Ragsdale | Page | Page | ||
| Ravenscroft School | Ravenscroft School | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ravenscroft School | |
| Riverside Durham | Page | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Page | |
| RJ Reynolds | RJ Reynolds | RJ Reynolds | ||
| Rolesville | Page | Page | ||
| Ronald Reagan | Ronald Reagan | insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 3- 3) | Ronald Reagan | |
| Sanderson | Page | Page | ||
| Seaforth | Seaforth | Seaforth | ||
| South Brunswick | South Brunswick | South Brunswick | ||
| South Iredell | Page | Page | ||
| South Mecklenburg | South Mecklenburg | South Mecklenburg | ||
| Southeast Guilford | Southeast Guilford | Southeast Guilford | ||
| Southlake Christian | Page | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Page | |
| Southwest Guilford | Page | Page | ||
| St Davids School | St Davids School | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | St Davids School | |
| St Marys | St Marys | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | St Marys | |
| St Stephens | Page | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Page | |
| Sun Valley | Page | Page | ||
| Swansboro | Swansboro | Swansboro | ||
| TC Roberson | Page | Page | ||
| Terry Sanford | Page | Page | ||
| Topsail | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Union Pines | Union Pines | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) | Union Pines | |
| Wake Forest | Wake Forest | Wake Forest | ||
| Wakefield | Wakefield | Wakefield | ||
| Watauga | Page | Page | ||
| Weddington | Weddington | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) | Weddington | |
| West Brunswick | Page | Page | ||
| West Forsyth | West Forsyth | West Forsyth | ||
| West Stokes | Page | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Page | |
| White Oak | Page | Page | ||
| Willow Spring | Willow Spring | Willow Spring |
PowerWise = 58
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 16.87
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Bishop McGuinn (20- 4, 86.2) 6- 7 -13.71 26.09 -0.31 1.20 -16.89
0 H Greensboro Day ( 3-11, 80.0) 13- 5 -19.89 19.92 -0.31 1.20 23.62
0 H RJ Reynolds (13-10, 81.3) 5- 8 -18.59 21.21 -0.31 1.20 -22.76
0 A Forsyth CDS (12- 6, 85.4) 7-15 -14.54 25.27 0.31 1.20 -17.15
0 H West Forsyth (21- 6, 84.7) 5-17 -15.17 24.64 -0.31 1.20 -18.64
0 H Southwest Guil ( 8-13, 76.4) 11- 5 -23.45 16.35 -0.31 1.20 19.33
0 A Ragsdale ( 1- 9, 70.5) 18- 6 -29.38 10.42 0.31 1.20 12.92
0 H Northwest Guil (16- 5, 88.2) 6-16 -11.67 28.14 -0.31 1.20 -14.42
0 H Northern Guilf ( 1-11, 75.4) 10- 5 -24.50 15.31 -0.31 1.20 18.07
0 A Grimsley (11- 7, 80.7) 6- 9 -19.22 20.58 0.31 1.20 -22.79
0 A Southeast Guil (15- 5, 80.8) 7- 9 -19.08 20.72 0.31 1.20 -22.62
0 H Southwest Guil ( 8-13, 76.4) 9- 5 -23.45 16.35 -0.31 1.20 19.33
0 A Northwest Guil (16- 5, 88.2) 6-20 -11.67 28.14 0.31 1.20 -13.69
0 A RJ Reynolds (13-10, 81.3) 8-11 -18.59 21.21 0.31 1.20 -22.03
------
-77.69
|
winning pts = 93.2848 losing points = -170.9778
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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