---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:50 PDT

safe3step girls Owatonna 1
  
Owatonna              
W-L: (11- 4) PR = 80.8081

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 412 H Southwest Christian ( 8- 7, 85.1) 6- 9 414 A Rochester Century (11- 3, 81.2) 6-10 421 H Rochester JM/Lourdes ( 1-10, 73.3) 17- 2 429 H Northfield ( 1-14, 74.0) 11- 1 429 H Northfield ( 1-14, 74.0) 15- 1 430 A Rochester Mayo ( 6- 8, 77.6) 9- 7 506 H Mankato Co-Op ( 6- 9, 77.7) 11- 3 508 H Rochester Century (11- 3, 81.2) 8- 9 510 A Lakeville North ( 5-11, 79.5) 8- 6 512 A Rochester JM/Lourdes ( 1-10, 73.3) 11- 6 515 A Northfield ( 1-14, 74.0) 12- 5 522 A Mankato Co-Op ( 6- 9, 77.7) 10- 4 523 H Rochester Mayo ( 6- 8, 77.6) 21- 5 527 H Northfield ( 1-14, 74.0) 21- 1 528 A Southwest Christian ( 8- 7, 85.1) 8-19

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 H Southwest Christian     6- 9      -3    -4           0.66
   414 A Rochester Century       6-10      -4    -1    -     -2.99
   421 H Rochester JM/Lourdes   17- 2      15     8           0.00
   429 H Northfield             11- 1      10     7           0.00
   429 H Northfield             15- 1      14     7           0.00
   430 A Rochester Mayo          9- 7       2     3          -0.62
   506 H Mankato Co-Op          11- 3       8     4           1.26
   508 H Rochester Century       8- 9      -1     0          -1.18
   510 A Lakeville North         8- 6       2     1           1.30
   512 A Rochester JM/Lourdes   11- 6       5     7           0.00
   515 A Northfield             12- 5       7     6           0.00
   522 A Mankato Co-Op          10- 4       6     3    +      2.45
   523 H Rochester Mayo         21- 5      16     4           1.20
   527 H Northfield             21- 1      20     7           0.00
   528 A Southwest Christian     8-19     -11    -5          -0.16

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 A Rochester Century       6-10      -4    -1    -     -2.99

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   522 A Mankato Co-Op          10- 4       6     3    +      2.45

Owatonna Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Andover Andover   Andover
Anoka Anoka   Anoka
Apple Valley Owatonna insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Owatonna
Becker Owatonna   Owatonna
Benilde-St Margarets Benilde-St Margarets   Benilde-St Margarets
Big Lake Owatonna   Owatonna
Blaine Blaine   Blaine
Blake School Blake School   Blake School
Bloomington Jefferson Bloomington Jefferson   Bloomington Jefferson
Bloomington Kennedy/Burn Owatonna   Owatonna
Brainerd Owatonna   Owatonna
Breck School Breck School   Breck School
Buffalo Buffalo tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Buffalo
Centennial Centennial   Centennial
Champlin Park Champlin Park   Champlin Park
Chanhassen Chanhassen   Chanhassen
Chaska Chaska   Chaska
Chisago Lakes Chisago Lakes   Chisago Lakes
Columbia Heights Owatonna   Owatonna
Cretin-Derham Hall Cretin-Derham Hall   Cretin-Derham Hall
Delano/Rockford Delano/Rockford insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Delano/Rockford
Duluth Co-Op Duluth Co-Op   Duluth Co-Op
Duluth Marshall Duluth Marshall   Duluth Marshall
East Ridge East Ridge   East Ridge
Eastview/Eagan Eastview/Eagan insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Eastview/Eagan
Eden Prairie Eden Prairie   Eden Prairie
Edina Edina   Edina
Elk River/Zimmerman Elk River/Zimmerman   Elk River/Zimmerman
Farmington Farmington Farmington   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Forest Lake Forest Lake   Forest Lake
Gentry/Mounds Park Acade Gentry/Mounds Park Acade   Gentry/Mounds Park Acade
Grand Rapids-Greenway Grand Rapids-Greenway   Grand Rapids-Greenway
Hastings Owatonna insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Owatonna
Hermantown-Proctor Hermantown-Proctor   Hermantown-Proctor
Hill-Murray Hill-Murray   Hill-Murray
Holy Angels Academy Holy Angels Academy   Holy Angels Academy
Holy Family Catholic Holy Family Catholic tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Holy Family Catholic
Hopkins Hopkins insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Hopkins
Hutchinson Hutchinson insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Hutchinson
Irondale Owatonna tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Owatonna
Lakeville North Owatonna Owatonna  
Lakeville South Lakeville South tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) Lakeville South
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi   Mahtomedi
Mankato Co-Op Owatonna Owatonna  
Maple Grove Maple Grove   Maple Grove
Minneapolis Co-Op Owatonna   Owatonna
Minnetonka Minnetonka   Minnetonka
Monticello Monticello   Monticello
Moorhead Moorhead tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Moorhead
Mound Westonka Mound Westonka insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Mound Westonka
Mounds View Mounds View   Mounds View
New Prague New Prague insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) New Prague
Northfield Owatonna Owatonna  
Orono Orono   Orono
Osseo-Park Center Osseo-Park Center   Osseo-Park Center
Park of Cottage Grove Park of Cottage Grove tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Park of Cottage Grove
Prior Lake Prior Lake tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Prior Lake
Robbinsdale Armstrong/Co Robbinsdale Armstrong/Co   Robbinsdale Armstrong/Co
Rochester Century Rochester Century Rochester Century  
Rochester JM/Lourdes Owatonna Owatonna  
Rochester Mayo Owatonna Owatonna  
Rocori Owatonna   Owatonna
Rogers Rogers   Rogers
Rosemount Rosemount tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Rosemount
Roseville Roseville   Roseville
Sartell-Sauk Rapids Owatonna   Owatonna
Shakopee Shakopee insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Shakopee
Simley Simley   Simley
Southwest Christian Southwest Christian Southwest Christian  
Spring Lake Park/Coon Ra Spring Lake Park/Coon Ra   Spring Lake Park/Coon Ra
St Cloud Area Owatonna   Owatonna
St Croix Prep St Croix Prep   St Croix Prep
St Louis Park St Louis Park   St Louis Park
St Michael-Albertville St Michael-Albertville   St Michael-Albertville
St Paul Academy Owatonna   Owatonna
St Paul/Two Rivers Owatonna   Owatonna
Stillwater Stillwater   Stillwater
Tartan/North St Paul Owatonna   Owatonna
Totino-Grace Totino-Grace   Totino-Grace
Visitation Owatonna   Owatonna
Waconia Owatonna   Owatonna
Wayzata Wayzata   Wayzata
White Bear Lake White Bear Lake   White Bear Lake
Woodbury Woodbury   Woodbury

PowerWise = 22


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.68

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Southwest Chri  ( 8- 7, 85.1)     6- 9      -14.84      18.22      -0.59         0.98           -15.11
   0 A Rochester Cent  (11- 3, 81.2)     6-10      -18.68      14.38       0.59         0.98           -17.70
   0 H Rochester JM/L  ( 1-10, 73.3)    17- 2      -26.64       6.42      -0.59         0.98             5.70
   0 H Northfield      ( 1-14, 74.0)    11- 1      -25.88       7.18      -0.59         0.98             6.44
   0 H Northfield      ( 1-14, 74.0)    15- 1      -25.88       7.18      -0.59         0.98             6.44
   0 A Rochester Mayo  ( 6- 8, 77.6)     9- 7      -22.30      10.76       0.59         0.98            11.11
   0 H Mankato Co-Op   ( 6- 9, 77.7)    11- 3      -22.24      10.82      -0.59         0.98            10.01
   0 H Rochester Cent  (11- 3, 81.2)     8- 9      -18.68      14.38      -0.59         0.98           -18.86
   0 A Lakeville Nort  ( 5-11, 79.5)     8- 6      -20.39      12.67       0.59         0.98            12.98
   0 A Rochester JM/L  ( 1-10, 73.3)    11- 6      -26.64       6.42       0.59         0.98             6.86
   0 A Northfield      ( 1-14, 74.0)    12- 5      -25.88       7.18       0.59         0.98             7.60
   0 A Mankato Co-Op   ( 6- 9, 77.7)    10- 4      -22.24      10.82       0.59         0.98            11.17
   0 H Rochester Mayo  ( 6- 8, 77.6)    21- 5      -22.30      10.76      -0.59         0.98             9.95
   0 H Northfield      ( 1-14, 74.0)    21- 1      -25.88       7.18      -0.59         0.98             6.44
   0 A Southwest Chri  ( 8- 7, 85.1)     8-19      -14.84      18.22       0.59         0.98           -13.95
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        29.12

winning pts = 94.7413 losing points = -65.6165

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------