---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:50 PDT

safe3step girls St Johns/Ovid-Elsie 1
  
St Johns/Ovid-Elsie   
W-L: ( 8-10) PR = 80.6300

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 321 H Byron Center (12- 6, 89.6) 11-20 327 A Jenison ( 2-16, 77.2) 12-11 410 H Haslett (12- 7, 90.6) 8-19 411 H Avondale ( 1-12, 72.2) 14- 1 415 H Okemos ( 5- 9, 85.3) 10-14 416 A Walled Lake Northern ( 0- 8, 74.0) 19- 8 417 A Tecumseh ( 5-11, 79.6) 7- 6 421 A Kalamazoo Central ( 1- 9, 76.2) 10- 3 422 H DeWitt ( 7-15, 84.8) 9-12 424 H Holt (15- 6, 89.5) 7-17 429 H East Lansing ( 4-12, 83.8) 7-10 501 A Grand Ledge (14- 4, 89.8) 4-15 505 A Lansing Catholic-Waver (10- 8, 85.6) 6-12 508 H Jenison ( 2-16, 77.2) 21-12 509 H Holly-Brandon Co-Op ( 3-12, 75.8) 16- 5 512 A Byron Center (12- 6, 89.6) 7-15 514 H Kalamazoo Central ( 1- 9, 76.2) 17- 3 521 H Okemos ( 5- 9, 85.3) 8-13

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H Byron Center           11-20      -9    -8           0.00
   327 A Jenison                12-11       1     3          -1.83
   410 H Haslett                 8-19     -11    -9           0.00
   411 H Avondale               14- 1      13     9           0.00
   415 H Okemos                 10-14      -4    -4           0.01
   416 A Walled Lake Northern   19- 8      11     6           0.00
   417 A Tecumseh                7- 6       1     0           0.61
   421 A Kalamazoo Central      10- 3       7     4           1.23
   422 H DeWitt                  9-12      -3    -4           0.53
   424 H Holt                    7-17     -10    -8           0.00
   429 H East Lansing            7-10      -3    -3          -0.47
   501 A Grand Ledge             4-15     -11   -10           0.00
   505 A Lansing Catholic-Waver  6-12      -6    -6           0.00
   508 H Jenison                21-12       9     4           0.93
   509 H Holly-Brandon Co-Op    16- 5      11     5           0.00
   512 A Byron Center            7-15      -8   -10           0.00
   514 H Kalamazoo Central      17- 3      14     5           0.00
   521 H Okemos                  8-13      -5    -4          -0.99

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

St Johns/Ovid-Elsie Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Ann Arbor Father Gabriel Ann Arbor Father Gabriel tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Ann Arbor Father Gabriel
Ann Arbor Huron St Johns/Ovid-Elsie tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) St Johns/Ovid-Elsie
Ann Arbor Pioneer Ann Arbor Pioneer tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Ann Arbor Pioneer
Ann Arbor Skyline Ann Arbor Skyline tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Ann Arbor Skyline
Avondale St Johns/Ovid-Elsie St Johns/Ovid-Elsie  
Battle Creek Harper Cree Battle Creek Harper Cree   Battle Creek Harper Cree
Bedford St Johns/Ovid-Elsie insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) St Johns/Ovid-Elsie
Birmingham Unified Birmingham Unified   Birmingham Unified
Bloomfield Hills Bloomfield Hills   Bloomfield Hills
Brighton Brighton insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Brighton
Brighton B Brighton B   Brighton B
Byron Center Byron Center Byron Center  
Caledonia Caledonia insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Caledonia
Canton Canton   Canton
Cass Tech St Johns/Ovid-Elsie   St Johns/Ovid-Elsie
Catholic Central Catholic Central Catholic Central   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Chippewa Valley St Johns/Ovid-Elsie   St Johns/Ovid-Elsie
Clarkston Clarkston tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Clarkston
Comstock Park Comstock Park   Comstock Park
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood   Cranbrook Kingswood
Davison St Johns/Ovid-Elsie tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) St Johns/Ovid-Elsie
Detroit Country Day Detroit Country Day Detroit Country Day   2- 0 vs 0- 2
DeWitt DeWitt DeWitt  
Dexter Dexter tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Dexter
Divine Child Divine Child   Divine Child
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) East Grand Rapids
East Lansing East Lansing East Lansing  
Farmington Farmington   Farmington
Fenton-Linden Co-Op Fenton-Linden Co-Op insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Fenton-Linden Co-Op
Flint Powers Catholic Flint Powers Catholic tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Flint Powers Catholic
Flushing St Johns/Ovid-Elsie tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) St Johns/Ovid-Elsie
Forest Hills Central Forest Hills Central   Forest Hills Central
Forest Hills Northern/Ea Forest Hills Northern/Ea tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Forest Hills Northern/Ea
Grand Blanc Grand Blanc   Grand Blanc
Grand Haven Grand Haven insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Grand Haven
Grand Ledge Grand Ledge Grand Ledge  
Grand Rapids Christian Grand Rapids Christian insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Grand Rapids Christian
Grandville Grandville tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Grandville
Grosse Pointe North Grosse Pointe North   Grosse Pointe North
Grosse Pointe South Grosse Pointe South   Grosse Pointe South
Hartland Hartland tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Hartland
Haslett Haslett Haslett  
Henry Ford II St Johns/Ovid-Elsie insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) St Johns/Ovid-Elsie
Holland West Ottawa St Johns/Ovid-Elsie tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) St Johns/Ovid-Elsie
Holly-Brandon Co-Op St Johns/Ovid-Elsie St Johns/Ovid-Elsie  
Holt Holt Holt  
Howell Howell tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) Howell
Hudsonville Hudsonville Hudsonville   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Jenison St Johns/Ovid-Elsie St Johns/Ovid-Elsie  
Kalamazoo Central St Johns/Ovid-Elsie St Johns/Ovid-Elsie  
Lake Fenton St Johns/Ovid-Elsie insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) St Johns/Ovid-Elsie
Lake Orion Lake Orion Lake Orion   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Lakeview St Johns/Ovid-Elsie   St Johns/Ovid-Elsie
Lansing Catholic-Waverly Lansing Catholic-Waverly Lansing Catholic-Waverly  
Lapeer St Johns/Ovid-Elsie   St Johns/Ovid-Elsie
Livonia United Livonia United   Livonia United
Lowell Lowell insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Lowell
Marian Marian tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Marian
Mattawan Mattawan Mattawan   2- 0 vs 0- 3
Mercy Mercy Mercy   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Midland St Johns/Ovid-Elsie tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) St Johns/Ovid-Elsie
Mona Shores Mona Shores Mona Shores   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Northview Northview Northview   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Northville Northville   Northville
Notre Dame Prep Notre Dame Prep tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Notre Dame Prep
Novi Novi tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Novi
Okemos Okemos Okemos  
Oxford Oxford tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Oxford
Plymouth Plymouth   Plymouth
Portage Northern Portage Northern Portage Northern   4- 2 vs 0- 6
Reeths-Puffer Reeths-Puffer   Reeths-Puffer
Rochester Adams Rochester Adams tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Rochester Adams
Rochester HS Rochester HS tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Rochester HS
Rochester Stoney Creek Rochester Stoney Creek   Rochester Stoney Creek
Rockford Rockford   Rockford
Royal Oak St Johns/Ovid-Elsie tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) St Johns/Ovid-Elsie
Sacred Heart Academy Sacred Heart Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Sacred Heart Academy
Saginaw Heritage Saginaw Heritage Saginaw Heritage   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Salem Salem tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Salem
Saline Saline insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) Saline
South Lyon United South Lyon United insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) South Lyon United
Spring Lake Spring Lake insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Spring Lake
St Catherine of Siena St Johns/Ovid-Elsie tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) St Johns/Ovid-Elsie
Swartz Creek Swartz Creek tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 2) Swartz Creek
Tecumseh St Johns/Ovid-Elsie St Johns/Ovid-Elsie  
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central Traverse City Central   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Troy Troy insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Troy
Troy Athens Troy Athens   Troy Athens
University Liggett University Liggett   University Liggett
Utica Eisenhower Utica Eisenhower   Utica Eisenhower
Walled Lake Northern St Johns/Ovid-Elsie St Johns/Ovid-Elsie  
Warren Regina Warren Regina   Warren Regina
Waterford United St Johns/Ovid-Elsie insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) St Johns/Ovid-Elsie
West Bloomfield West Bloomfield tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) West Bloomfield
White Lake Lakeland White Lake Lakeland White Lake Lakeland   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Zeeland East Zeeland East tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Zeeland East

PowerWise = 21


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.08

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Byron Center    (12- 6, 89.6)    11-20      -10.34      18.85      -0.62         0.89            -9.79
   0 A Jenison         ( 2-16, 77.2)    12-11      -22.72       6.47       0.62         0.89             6.33
   0 H Haslett         (12- 7, 90.6)     8-19       -9.33      19.87      -0.62         0.89            -8.89
   0 H Avondale        ( 1-12, 72.2)    14- 1      -27.68       1.51      -0.62         0.89             0.80
   0 H Okemos          ( 5- 9, 85.3)    10-14      -14.64      14.55      -0.62         0.89           -13.64
   0 A Walled Lake No  ( 0- 8, 74.0)    19- 8      -25.88       3.31       0.62         0.89             3.51
   0 A Tecumseh        ( 5-11, 79.6)     7- 6      -20.28       8.91       0.62         0.89             8.51
   0 A Kalamazoo Cent  ( 1- 9, 76.2)    10- 3      -23.66       5.53       0.62         0.89             5.49
   0 H DeWitt          ( 7-15, 84.8)     9-12      -15.12      14.07      -0.62         0.89           -14.06
   0 H Holt            (15- 6, 89.5)     7-17      -10.43      18.76      -0.62         0.89            -9.87
   0 H East Lansing    ( 4-12, 83.8)     7-10      -16.12      13.08      -0.62         0.89           -14.95
   0 A Grand Ledge     (14- 4, 89.8)     4-15      -10.13      19.06       0.62         0.89            -8.50
   0 A Lansing Cathol  (10- 8, 85.6)     6-12      -14.33      14.86       0.62         0.89           -12.25
   0 H Jenison         ( 2-16, 77.2)    21-12      -22.72       6.47      -0.62         0.89             5.23
   0 H Holly-Brandon   ( 3-12, 75.8)    16- 5      -24.06       5.13      -0.62         0.89             4.03
   0 A Byron Center    (12- 6, 89.6)     7-15      -10.34      18.85       0.62         0.89            -8.68
   0 H Kalamazoo Cent  ( 1- 9, 76.2)    17- 3      -23.66       5.53      -0.62         0.89             4.39
   0 H Okemos          ( 5- 9, 85.3)     8-13      -14.64      14.55      -0.62         0.89           -13.64
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -75.97

winning pts = 38.2993 losing points = -114.2694

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------