---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:50 PDT

safe3step girls Orono 1
  
Orono                 
W-L: (15- 4) PR = 95.2709

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 410 A Hutchinson ( 4-10, 81.8) 16- 3 414 H Wayzata (12- 3, 93.7) 11-12 418 A Rosemount (12- 3, 95.9) 12-14 422 A St Louis Park ( 6- 9, 83.9) 18- 6 424 H Chanhassen ( 5- 8, 87.9) 12- 5 429 A Bloomington Jefferson (12- 3, 91.9) 17- 8 505 H Minnetonka (11- 5, 93.3) 14- 9 506 A Waconia ( 2-12, 77.9) 18- 1 509 H Gentry/Mounds Park Aca ( 7- 3, 89.6) 18- 9 513 H Chaska ( 7- 8, 88.5) 21- 9 516 A Maple Grove (15- 4, 93.2) 15-10 520 A Benilde-St Margarets (10- 6, 91.1) 15- 8 522 H New Prague ( 7- 8, 84.0) 14- 3 529 H Holy Family Catholic ( 4-11, 82.7) 15- 6 531 H Chaska ( 7- 8, 88.5) 17- 9 603 H Minnetonka (11- 5, 93.3) 15-11 610 N Lakeville South (14- 5, 94.5) 12-13 612 N Chisago Lakes (14- 4, 90.0) 15-11 614 N Maple Grove (15- 4, 93.2) 7- 9

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 A Hutchinson             16- 3      13    13           0.00
   414 H Wayzata                11-12      -1     2    -     -3.13
   418 A Rosemount              12-14      -2    -1          -0.82
   422 A St Louis Park          18- 6      12    11           0.00
   424 H Chanhassen             12- 5       7     8           0.00
   429 A Bloomington Jefferson  17- 8       9     3    +      2.21
   505 H Minnetonka             14- 9       5     3    +      2.47
   506 A Waconia                18- 1      17    17           0.00
   509 H Gentry/Mounds Park Aca 18- 9       9     6           0.00
   513 H Chaska                 21- 9      12     7           0.00
   516 A Maple Grove            15-10       5     1    +      3.54
   520 A Benilde-St Margarets   15- 8       7     4           1.42
   522 H New Prague             14- 3      11    12           0.00
   529 H Holy Family Catholic   15- 6       9    13           0.00
   531 H Chaska                 17- 9       8     7           0.00
   603 H Minnetonka             15-11       4     3           1.47
   610 N Lakeville South        12-13      -1     1          -1.80
   612 N Chisago Lakes          15-11       4     5          -1.00
   614 N Maple Grove             7- 9      -2     2    --    -4.05

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   614 N Maple Grove             7- 9      -2     2    --    -4.05
   414 H Wayzata                11-12      -1     2    -     -3.13

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 A Bloomington Jefferson  17- 8       9     3    +      2.21
   505 H Minnetonka             14- 9       5     3    +      2.47
   516 A Maple Grove            15-10       5     1    +      3.54

Orono Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Andover Orono insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 3) Orono
Anoka Orono insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Orono
Apple Valley Orono insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Orono
Becker Orono Orono   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Benilde-St Margarets Orono Orono  
Big Lake Orono Orono   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Blaine Orono insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Orono
Blake School Orono Orono   4- 1 vs 2- 3
Bloomington Jefferson Orono Orono  
Bloomington Kennedy/Burn Orono   Orono
Brainerd Orono   Orono
Breck School Orono Orono   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Buffalo Orono tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Orono
Centennial Orono Orono   2- 1 vs 0- 2
Champlin Park Orono insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 2) Orono
Chanhassen Orono Orono  
Chaska Orono Orono  
Chisago Lakes Orono Orono  
Columbia Heights Orono insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Orono
Cretin-Derham Hall Orono insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Orono
Delano/Rockford Orono insuffient: ( 4- 0)( 3- 1) Orono
Duluth Co-Op Orono   Orono
Duluth Marshall Orono insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Orono
East Ridge Orono tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Orono
Eastview/Eagan Orono insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Orono
Eden Prairie Orono Orono   4- 1 vs 0- 5
Edina Edina insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 2) Edina
Elk River/Zimmerman Orono Orono   2- 1 vs 0- 2
Farmington Orono insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) Orono
Forest Lake Orono insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Orono
Gentry/Mounds Park Acade Orono Orono  
Grand Rapids-Greenway Orono insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Orono
Hastings Orono   Orono
Hermantown-Proctor Orono tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Orono
Hill-Murray Orono insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Orono
Holy Angels Academy Orono insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Orono
Holy Family Catholic Orono Orono  
Hopkins Orono Orono   3- 2 vs 1- 3
Hutchinson Orono Orono  
Irondale Orono   Orono
Lakeville North Orono tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Orono
Lakeville South Lakeville South Lakeville South  
Mahtomedi Orono tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Orono
Mankato Co-Op Orono insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Orono
Maple Grove Orono insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) Orono
Minneapolis Co-Op Orono   Orono
Minnetonka Orono Orono  
Monticello Orono insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Orono
Moorhead Orono insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Orono
Mound Westonka Orono Orono   6- 0 vs 3- 3
Mounds View Orono   Orono
New Prague Orono Orono  
Northfield Orono tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Orono
Osseo-Park Center Orono Orono   2- 1 vs 0- 2
Owatonna Orono   Orono
Park of Cottage Grove Orono insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Orono
Prior Lake Prior Lake Prior Lake   7- 0 vs 5- 3
Robbinsdale Armstrong/Co Orono Orono   2- 2 vs 0- 3
Rochester Century Orono insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Orono
Rochester JM/Lourdes Orono   Orono
Rochester Mayo Orono insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Orono
Rocori Orono insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Orono
Rogers Orono Orono   2- 1 vs 0- 2
Rosemount Rosemount Rosemount  
Roseville Orono   Orono
Sartell-Sauk Rapids Orono   Orono
Shakopee Orono insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) Orono
Simley Orono tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Orono
Southwest Christian Orono insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Orono
Spring Lake Park/Coon Ra Orono insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Orono
St Cloud Area Orono   Orono
St Croix Prep Orono tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Orono
St Louis Park Orono Orono  
St Michael-Albertville Orono insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Orono
St Paul Academy Orono insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Orono
St Paul/Two Rivers Orono insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Orono
Stillwater Stillwater insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) Stillwater
Tartan/North St Paul Orono   Orono
Totino-Grace Orono insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) Orono
Visitation Orono   Orono
Waconia Orono Orono  
Wayzata Wayzata Wayzata  
White Bear Lake Orono   Orono
Woodbury Orono insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Orono

PowerWise = 78


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.68

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Hutchinson      ( 4-10, 81.8)    16- 3      -18.08      14.98       0.59         0.77            12.04
   0 H Wayzata         (12- 3, 93.7)    11-12       -6.17      26.89      -0.59         0.77            -5.22
   0 A Rosemount       (12- 3, 95.9)    12-14       -4.04      29.02       0.59         0.77            -2.67
   0 A St Louis Park   ( 6- 9, 83.9)    18- 6      -15.95      17.11       0.59         0.77            13.68
   0 H Chanhassen      ( 5- 8, 87.9)    12- 5      -11.99      21.07      -0.59         0.77            15.82
   0 A Bloomington Je  (12- 3, 91.9)    17- 8       -8.02      25.04       0.59         0.77            19.81
   0 H Minnetonka      (11- 5, 93.3)    14- 9       -6.56      26.50      -0.59         0.77            20.02
   0 A Waconia         ( 2-12, 77.9)    18- 1      -21.96      11.10       0.59         0.77             9.03
   0 H Gentry/Mounds   ( 7- 3, 89.6)    18- 9      -10.28      22.78      -0.59         0.77            17.15
   0 H Chaska          ( 7- 8, 88.5)    21- 9      -11.45      21.61      -0.59         0.77            16.24
   0 A Maple Grove     (15- 4, 93.2)    15-10       -6.68      26.38       0.59         0.77            20.84
   0 A Benilde-St Mar  (10- 6, 91.1)    15- 8       -8.80      24.26       0.59         0.77            19.20
   0 H New Prague      ( 7- 8, 84.0)    14- 3      -15.95      17.11      -0.59         0.77            12.77
   0 H Holy Family Ca  ( 4-11, 82.7)    15- 6      -17.18      15.88      -0.59         0.77            11.82
   0 H Chaska          ( 7- 8, 88.5)    17- 9      -11.45      21.61      -0.59         0.77            16.24
   0 H Minnetonka      (11- 5, 93.3)    15-11       -6.56      26.50      -0.59         0.77            20.02
   0 N Lakeville Sout  (14- 5, 94.5)    12-13       -5.42      27.64      -0.00         0.77            -4.19
   0 N Chisago Lakes   (14- 4, 90.0)    15-11       -9.90      23.16      -0.00         0.77            17.90
   0 N Maple Grove     (15- 4, 93.2)     7- 9       -6.68      26.38      -0.00         0.77            -5.16
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       225.33

winning pts = 242.5771 losing points = -17.2469

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------