---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:59 PDT

safe3step girls Oregon City 1
  
Oregon City           
W-L: ( 6-10) PR = 81.9989

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 318 A Lincoln (10- 5, 89.2) 14-25 401 H Westview (10- 4, 89.7) 5-17 403 H Roseburg ( 9- 5, 76.2) 16- 1 408 H Grant (16- 2, 98.1) 2-20 410 H Newberg ( 0-11, 72.9) 1- 0 414 A Cleveland ( 5-10, 82.5) 15-10 418 H West Linn ( 8- 4, 92.8) 3-18 421 H North Clackamas ( 2- 9, 77.9) 16- 9 424 H Lakeridge (10- 6, 91.2) 3-18 425 A Bend ( 7- 7, 79.5) 9- 8 429 A St Marys Academy ( 5-10, 86.5) 6-20 502 A Lake Oswego (13- 1, 96.5) 0-17 505 A Tualatin (11- 5, 84.1) 8-16 507 A Sherwood ( 5- 8, 77.8) 10- 7 509 H Wilsonville (10- 6, 90.0) 3-16 514 A Central Catholic (10- 7, 85.6) 5- 9

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 A Lincoln                14-25     -11    -7           0.00
   401 H Westview                5-17     -12    -8           0.00
   403 H Roseburg               16- 1      15     6           0.00
   408 H Grant                   2-20     -18   -16           0.00
   414 A Cleveland              15-10       5    -1    ++     5.54
   418 H West Linn               3-18     -15   -11           0.00
   421 H North Clackamas        16- 9       7     4           0.90
   424 H Lakeridge               3-18     -15    -9           0.00
   425 A Bend                    9- 8       1     2          -1.45
   429 A St Marys Academy        6-20     -14    -5          -0.45
   502 A Lake Oswego             0-17     -17   -14           0.00
   505 A Tualatin                8-16      -8    -2    -     -2.85
   507 A Sherwood               10- 7       3     4          -1.19
   509 H Wilsonville             3-16     -13    -8           0.00
   514 A Central Catholic        5- 9      -4    -4          -0.42

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   505 A Tualatin                8-16      -8    -2    -     -2.85

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 A Cleveland              15-10       5    -1    ++     5.54

Oregon City Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Beaverton Beaverton Beaverton   4- 5 vs 2- 7
Bend Oregon City Oregon City  
Central Catholic Central Catholic Central Catholic  
Cleveland Oregon City Oregon City  
Corvallis Oregon City insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Oregon City
Eugene United Oregon City insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Oregon City
Forest Grove Oregon City Oregon City   4- 1 vs 1- 4
Grant Grant Grant  
Hillsboro Oregon City insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Oregon City
Hood River Hood River Hood River   6- 3 vs 2- 7
Ida B Wells Oregon City insuffient: ( 2- 6)( 1- 7) Oregon City
Jesuit Portland Jesuit Portland Jesuit Portland   5- 1 vs 0- 6
Lake Oswego Lake Oswego Lake Oswego  
Lakeridge Lakeridge Lakeridge  
Liberty Oregon City Oregon City   4- 1 vs 1- 4
Lincoln Lincoln Lincoln  
Marist Marist tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Marist
Mountainside Oregon City insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 3- 3) Oregon City
Newberg Oregon City Oregon City  
North Clackamas Oregon City Oregon City  
Oregon Episcopal Oregon Episcopal Oregon Episcopal   6- 4 vs 1- 9
Roseburg Oregon City Oregon City  
Sheldon Oregon City insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Oregon City
Sherwood Oregon City Oregon City  
Sisters/Redmond Oregon City Oregon City   2- 0 vs 0- 2
South Salem Oregon City insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Oregon City
Southridge Oregon City insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Oregon City
St Marys Academy St Marys Academy St Marys Academy  
Summit Oregon City tied - ( 1- 5) ( 1- 5) Oregon City
Sunset Oregon City tied - ( 1- 4) ( 1- 4) Oregon City
Tigard Oregon City tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Oregon City
Tualatin Tualatin Tualatin  
West Albany Oregon City tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Oregon City
West Linn West Linn West Linn  
Westview Westview Westview  
Wilsonville Wilsonville Wilsonville  

PowerWise = 21


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.00

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Lincoln         (10- 5, 89.2)    14-25      -10.67      20.92       0.01         0.88            -9.33
   0 H Westview        (10- 4, 89.7)     5-17      -10.19      21.40      -0.01         0.88            -8.92
   0 H Roseburg        ( 9- 5, 76.2)    16- 1      -23.74       7.84      -0.01         0.88             6.86
   0 H Grant           (16- 2, 98.1)     2-20       -1.80      29.79      -0.01         0.88            -1.58
   0 H Newberg         ( 0-11, 72.9)     1- 0      -27.03       4.56      -0.01         0.88             3.98
   0 A Cleveland       ( 5-10, 82.5)    15-10      -17.37      14.21       0.01         0.88            12.45
   0 H West Linn       ( 8- 4, 92.8)     3-18       -7.11      24.47      -0.01         0.88            -6.23
   0 H North Clackama  ( 2- 9, 77.9)    16- 9      -21.99       9.59      -0.01         0.88             8.38
   0 H Lakeridge       (10- 6, 91.2)     3-18       -8.66      22.92      -0.01         0.88            -7.59
   0 A Bend            ( 7- 7, 79.5)     9- 8      -20.36      11.23       0.01         0.88             9.83
   0 A St Marys Acade  ( 5-10, 86.5)     6-20      -13.36      18.22       0.01         0.88           -11.68
   0 A Lake Oswego     (13- 1, 96.5)     0-17       -3.43      28.15       0.01         0.88            -2.99
   0 A Tualatin        (11- 5, 84.1)     8-16      -15.76      15.83       0.01         0.88           -13.78
   0 A Sherwood        ( 5- 8, 77.8)    10- 7      -22.10       9.48       0.01         0.88             8.30
   0 H Wilsonville     (10- 6, 90.0)     3-16       -9.89      21.69      -0.01         0.88            -8.66
   0 A Central Cathol  (10- 7, 85.6)     5- 9      -14.33      17.25       0.01         0.88           -12.53
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -33.51

winning pts = 49.7984 losing points = -83.3034

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------