Old Saybrook
W-L: (11- 7) PR = 76.3416Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 408 A North Branford ( 8-10, 76.6) 9- 6 410 A Haddam-Killingworth ( 9- 9, 76.6) 10- 8 412 H Old Lyme (13- 6, 78.2) 5- 7 415 H Ledyard ( 9- 8, 78.7) 6-16 419 A Montville (11- 7, 77.1) 3-14 422 A Cromwell ( 1-14, 71.2) 16- 7 424 H Valley Regional ( 6-10, 73.7) 15- 5 426 A Fitch ( 0-15, 67.7) 16- 6 429 H Haddam-Killingworth ( 9- 9, 76.6) 6-12 430 H Morgan School ( 8- 9, 74.8) 12-11 503 H Waterford (12- 7, 81.5) 5-15 508 H Cromwell ( 1-14, 71.2) 17- 5 512 H North Branford ( 8-10, 76.6) 14-13 515 A Valley Regional ( 6-10, 73.7) 9- 4 520 A Morgan School ( 8- 9, 74.8) 9- 6 521 A Old Lyme (13- 6, 78.2) 5-12 527 H Haddam-Killingworth ( 9- 9, 76.6) 12- 9 603 A Somers (13- 7, 81.3) 5-21
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
408 A North Branford 9- 6 3 -1 + 3.96
410 A Haddam-Killingworth 10- 8 2 -1 + 2.98
412 H Old Lyme 5- 7 -2 -1 -0.87
415 H Ledyard 6-16 -10 -2 - -3.41
419 A Montville 3-14 -11 -2 - -3.48
422 A Cromwell 16- 7 9 4 0.56
424 H Valley Regional 15- 5 10 3 1.66
426 A Fitch 16- 6 10 8 0.00
429 H Haddam-Killingworth 6-12 -6 0 -- -5.47
430 H Morgan School 12-11 1 2 -1.27
503 H Waterford 5-15 -10 -4 -0.61
508 H Cromwell 17- 5 12 6 0.00
512 H North Branford 14-13 1 0 0.51
515 A Valley Regional 9- 4 5 2 + 3.12
520 A Morgan School 9- 6 3 1 + 2.18
521 A Old Lyme 5-12 -7 -3 - -2.42
527 H Haddam-Killingworth 12- 9 3 0 + 2.53
603 A Somers 5-21 -16 -6 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 429 H Haddam-Killingworth 6-12 -6 0 -- -5.47 415 H Ledyard 6-16 -10 -2 - -3.41 419 A Montville 3-14 -11 -2 - -3.48 521 A Old Lyme 5-12 -7 -3 - -2.42 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 408 A North Branford 9- 6 3 -1 + 3.96 410 A Haddam-Killingworth 10- 8 2 -1 + 2.98 515 A Valley Regional 9- 4 5 2 + 3.12 520 A Morgan School 9- 6 3 1 + 2.18 527 H Haddam-Killingworth 12- 9 3 0 + 2.53 |
Old Saybrook Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amity Regional | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| Avon HS | Avon HS | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Avon HS | |
| Bacon/East Hampton | Old Saybrook | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 2) | Old Saybrook | |
| Berlin | Berlin | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Berlin | |
| Bethel | Bethel | Bethel | ||
| Branford | Branford | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Branford | |
| Brien McMahon | Brien McMahon | Brien McMahon | ||
| Bristol Central | Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | ||
| Bristol Eastern | Bristol Eastern | Bristol Eastern | ||
| Brookfield | Brookfield | Brookfield | ||
| Canton | Canton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Canton | |
| Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS | ||
| Conard | Conard | Conard | ||
| Cromwell | Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | ||
| Danbury | Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | ||
| Daniel Hand | Daniel Hand | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Daniel Hand | |
| Darien | Darien | Darien | ||
| East Catholic | East Catholic | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | East Catholic | |
| East Lyme | East Lyme | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | East Lyme | |
| Ellington | Ellington | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Ellington | |
| Enfield | Old Saybrook | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Old Saybrook | |
| EO Smith | EO Smith | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | EO Smith | |
| Fairfield Ludlowe | Fairfield Ludlowe | Fairfield Ludlowe | ||
| Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | ||
| Farmington | Farmington | Farmington | ||
| Fitch | Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | ||
| Foran | Foran | Foran | ||
| Glastonbury | Glastonbury | Glastonbury | ||
| Granby Memorial | Granby Memorial | Granby Memorial 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS | ||
| Griswold-Norwich Tech | Old Saybrook | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) | Old Saybrook | |
| Guilford | Guilford | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Guilford | |
| Haddam-Killingworth | Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | ||
| Hall | Hall | Hall | ||
| Hamden | Hamden | Hamden | ||
| Housatonic Regional | Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | ||
| Immaculate Heart | Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | ||
| Joel Barlow | Joel Barlow | Joel Barlow | ||
| Jonathan Law | Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | ||
| Killingly | Old Saybrook | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Old Saybrook | |
| Lakeview United | Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | ||
| Lauralton Hall | Lauralton Hall | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Lauralton Hall | |
| Ledyard | Ledyard | Ledyard | ||
| Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Lewis Mills | |
| Lyman Hall | Lyman Hall | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Lyman Hall | |
| Masuk | Masuk | Masuk | ||
| Mercy | Mercy | Mercy | ||
| Middletown-Coginchaug | Old Saybrook | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Old Saybrook | |
| Montville | Montville | Montville | ||
| Morgan School | Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | ||
| New Canaan | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| New Fairfield | New Fairfield | New Fairfield | ||
| New London/St Bernards | Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| New Milford | Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | ||
| Newington | Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook 2- 1 vs 0- 1 | ||
| Newtown | Newtown | Newtown | ||
| North Branford | Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | ||
| North Haven | Old Saybrook | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Old Saybrook | |
| Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | ||
| Norwalk | Norwalk | Norwalk | ||
| Norwich Free Academy | Norwich Free Academy | insuffient: ( 3- 4)( 4- 1) | Norwich Free Academy | |
| Notre Dame Fairfield | Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | ||
| Old Lyme | Old Lyme | Old Lyme | ||
| Pomperaug | Pomperaug | Pomperaug | ||
| RHAM | RHAM | RHAM | ||
| Ridgefield | Ridgefield | Ridgefield | ||
| Rockville | Rockville | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Rockville | |
| Rocky Hill | Rocky Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Rocky Hill | |
| Sacred Heart Academy | Sacred Heart Academy | insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 1) | Sacred Heart Academy | |
| Sheehan | Sheehan | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Sheehan | |
| Shelton | Shelton | Shelton | ||
| Simsbury | Simsbury | Simsbury | ||
| Somers | Somers | Somers | ||
| South Windsor | South Windsor | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | South Windsor | |
| Southington | Southington | Southington | ||
| St Joseph | St Joseph | St Joseph | ||
| St Paul Catholic | Old Saybrook | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Old Saybrook | |
| Stamford | Stamford | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Stamford | |
| Staples | Staples | Staples | ||
| Stonington | Stonington | Stonington 4- 1 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Stratford-Bunnell | Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | ||
| Suffield HS | Suffield HS | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 0) | Suffield HS | |
| Tolland | Tolland | Tolland | ||
| Trumbull | Trumbull | Trumbull | ||
| Valley Regional | Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | ||
| Waterford | Waterford | Waterford | ||
| Watertown | Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | ||
| West Haven | Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | ||
| Westhill | Westhill | Westhill | ||
| Weston | Weston | Weston | ||
| Wethersfield | Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | ||
| Wheeler | Wheeler | Wheeler 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Wilton | Wilton | Wilton | ||
| Windsor | Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | ||
| Wolcott | Old Saybrook | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Old Saybrook | |
| Woodstock Academy | Old Saybrook | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Old Saybrook |
PowerWise = 30
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.51
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A North Branford ( 8-10, 76.6) 9- 6 -23.32 11.49 0.73 0.97 11.88
0 A Haddam-Killing ( 9- 9, 76.6) 10- 8 -23.30 11.51 0.73 0.97 11.90
0 H Old Lyme (13- 6, 78.2) 5- 7 -21.70 13.11 -0.73 0.97 -21.81
0 H Ledyard ( 9- 8, 78.7) 6-16 -21.24 13.56 -0.73 0.97 -21.37
0 A Montville (11- 7, 77.1) 3-14 -22.77 12.04 0.73 0.97 -21.43
0 A Cromwell ( 1-14, 71.2) 16- 7 -28.72 6.09 0.73 0.97 6.63
0 H Valley Regiona ( 6-10, 73.7) 15- 5 -26.17 8.64 -0.73 0.97 7.70
0 A Fitch ( 0-15, 67.7) 16- 6 -32.17 2.64 0.73 0.97 3.27
0 H Haddam-Killing ( 9- 9, 76.6) 6-12 -23.30 11.51 -0.73 0.97 -23.37
0 H Morgan School ( 8- 9, 74.8) 12-11 -25.11 9.70 -0.73 0.97 8.73
0 H Waterford (12- 7, 81.5) 5-15 -18.44 16.37 -0.73 0.97 -18.64
0 H Cromwell ( 1-14, 71.2) 17- 5 -28.72 6.09 -0.73 0.97 5.21
0 H North Branford ( 8-10, 76.6) 14-13 -23.32 11.49 -0.73 0.97 10.47
0 A Valley Regiona ( 6-10, 73.7) 9- 4 -26.17 8.64 0.73 0.97 9.11
0 A Morgan School ( 8- 9, 74.8) 9- 6 -25.11 9.70 0.73 0.97 10.14
0 A Old Lyme (13- 6, 78.2) 5-12 -21.70 13.11 0.73 0.97 -20.40
0 H Haddam-Killing ( 9- 9, 76.6) 12- 9 -23.30 11.51 -0.73 0.97 10.49
0 A Somers (13- 7, 81.3) 5-21 -18.63 16.18 0.73 0.97 -17.41
------
-48.91
|
winning pts = 95.5161 losing points = -144.4276
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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