---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:47 PDT

safe3step girls Northwood 1
  
Northwood             
W-L: ( 4- 9) PR = 70.1898

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 322 H Kennedy ( 2-12, 65.4) 15- 7 325 A Springbrook ( 7- 8, 72.1) 5- 7 328 H Walter Johnson ( 9- 4, 84.4) 2-13 401 H Wheaton ( 6- 7, 71.5) 4- 6 402 H Paint Branch ( 3-10, 68.9) 8- 7 405 H Einstein ( 8- 5, 71.7) 4- 5 408 H Northwest ( 8- 5, 76.9) 3-13 410 A Watkins Mill ( 1-12, 65.2) 10- 5 423 A Blake ( 3-10, 72.6) 7-12 425 A Seneca Valley ( 4- 9, 68.4) 5- 4 428 A Bethesda-Chevy Chase ( 9- 5, 83.5) 2-13 502 H Blair ( 8- 7, 76.9) 5-11 509 A Blair ( 8- 7, 76.9) 5- 9

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 H Kennedy                15- 7       8     5           0.00
   325 A Springbrook             5- 7      -2    -2           0.31
   328 H Walter Johnson          2-13     -11   -14           0.00
   401 H Wheaton                 4- 6      -2    -1          -1.18
   402 H Paint Branch            8- 7       1     2          -0.78
   405 H Einstein                4- 5      -1    -1           0.09
   408 H Northwest               3-13     -10    -6           0.00
   410 A Watkins Mill           10- 5       5     4           0.50
   423 A Blake                   7-12      -5    -3    -     -2.11
   425 A Seneca Valley           5- 4       1     1          -0.33
   428 A Bethesda-Chevy Chase    2-13     -11   -14           0.00
   502 H Blair                   5-11      -6    -6           0.00
   509 A Blair                   5- 9      -4    -7           1.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 A Blake                   7-12      -5    -3    -     -2.11

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Northwood Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Annapolis Area Christian Annapolis Area Christian   Annapolis Area Christian
Anne Arundel County Anne Arundel County   Anne Arundel County
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding   Archbishop Spalding
Beth TFiloh Beth TFiloh   Beth TFiloh
Bishop McNamara Bishop McNamara   Bishop McNamara
Brookewood SG Brookewood SG   Brookewood SG
Bryn Mawr SG Bryn Mawr SG   Bryn Mawr SG
Bullis School Bullis School   Bullis School
Calverton School Calverton School   Calverton School
Catholic High Baltimore Catholic High Baltimore   Catholic High Baltimore
Chapelgate Christian Chapelgate Christian   Chapelgate Christian
Concordia Prep Concordia Prep   Concordia Prep
Cristo Rey Jesuit Cristo Rey Jesuit   Cristo Rey Jesuit
DC International DC International   DC International
EL Haynes Charter Northwood   Northwood
Elizabeth Seton Elizabeth Seton   Elizabeth Seton
FCA FCA   FCA
Field School Field School   Field School
Friends School Friends School   Friends School
Garrison Forest Garrison Forest   Garrison Forest
Georgetown Day School Georgetown Day School   Georgetown Day School
Georgetown Visitation Georgetown Visitation   Georgetown Visitation
Gerstell Academy Gerstell Academy   Gerstell Academy
Glenelg Country School Glenelg Country School   Glenelg Country School
Good Counsel Good Counsel   Good Counsel
Gunston Day School Gunston Day School   Gunston Day School
Holton-Arms School Holton-Arms School   Holton-Arms School
Holy Child Holy Child   Holy Child
Holy Cross Holy Cross   Holy Cross
Indian Creek Indian Creek   Indian Creek
Jackson-Reed Jackson-Reed   Jackson-Reed
Jemicy Northwood   Northwood
John Carroll John Carroll   John Carroll
Key School Key School   Key School
KIPP College Prep KIPP College Prep   KIPP College Prep
Maret School Maret School   Maret School
Maryvale Prep Maryvale Prep   Maryvale Prep
McDonogh School McDonogh School   McDonogh School
Mercy Mercy   Mercy
Mount de Sales Mount de Sales   Mount de Sales
National Cathedral National Cathedral   National Cathedral
Notre Dame Prep Notre Dame Prep   Notre Dame Prep
Oldfields School Oldfields School   Oldfields School
Park School Park School   Park School
Rockbridge Academy Rockbridge Academy   Rockbridge Academy
Roland Park Country Roland Park Country   Roland Park Country
Salisbury School Salisbury School   Salisbury School
Sandy Spring Friends Northwood   Northwood
School Without Walls School Without Walls   School Without Walls
Severn School Severn School   Severn School
Sidwell Friends Sidwell Friends   Sidwell Friends
St Andrews Episcopal St Andrews Episcopal   St Andrews Episcopal
St James School St James School   St James School
St Johns Catholic Prep St Johns Catholic Prep   St Johns Catholic Prep
St Johns College St Johns College   St Johns College
St Marys St Marys   St Marys
St Marys Ryken St Marys Ryken   St Marys Ryken
St Pauls SG St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
St Timothys St Timothys   St Timothys
St Vincent Pallotti Northwood   Northwood
Stone Ridge School Stone Ridge School   Stone Ridge School
Sts Peter & Paul Sts Peter & Paul   Sts Peter & Paul
Tome School Tome School   Tome School
Washington Latin Washington Latin   Washington Latin
Worcester Prep Worcester Prep   Worcester Prep
Aberdeen Aberdeen   Aberdeen
Academy for College & Ca Academy for College & Ca   Academy for College & Ca
Annapolis Annapolis   Annapolis
Arundel Arundel   Arundel
Atholton Atholton   Atholton
Baltimore Polytechnic Baltimore Polytechnic   Baltimore Polytechnic
Bel Air Bel Air   Bel Air
Bethesda-Chevy Chase Bethesda-Chevy Chase Bethesda-Chevy Chase  
Bladensburg Northwood   Northwood
Blair Blair Blair  
Blake Blake Blake  
Bohemia Manor Bohemia Manor   Bohemia Manor
Boonsboro Boonsboro   Boonsboro
Bowie Bowie   Bowie
Broadneck Broadneck   Broadneck
Brunswick Brunswick   Brunswick
Calvert Calvert   Calvert
Cambridge SD Cambridge SD   Cambridge SD
Carver A&T Carver A&T   Carver A&T
Catoctin Catoctin   Catoctin
Catonsville Catonsville   Catonsville
Centennial Centennial   Centennial
Central PG Central PG   Central PG
Century Century   Century
CH Flowers CH Flowers   CH Flowers
Chesapeake AA Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Chesapeake BC Northwood   Northwood
Chopticon Chopticon   Chopticon
City College City College   City College
Clarksburg Clarksburg tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Clarksburg
CM Wright CM Wright   CM Wright
CMIT North CMIT North   CMIT North
Crofton Crofton   Crofton
Damascus Damascus Damascus   5- 0 vs 0- 5
Dr Henry Wise Northwood   Northwood
Dulaney Dulaney   Dulaney
Dundalk Northwood   Northwood
DuVal DuVal   DuVal
Eastern Technical Eastern Technical   Eastern Technical
Easton Easton   Easton
Edgewood Northwood   Northwood
Einstein Einstein Einstein  
Eleanor Roosevelt Eleanor Roosevelt   Eleanor Roosevelt
Elkton Elkton   Elkton
Fairmont Heights Northwood   Northwood
Fallston Fallston   Fallston
Francis Scott Key Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Franklin Franklin   Franklin
Frederick Frederick   Frederick
Frederick Douglass PG Northwood   Northwood
Gaithersburg Northwood Northwood   3- 4 vs 0- 7
Glen Burnie Glen Burnie   Glen Burnie
Glenelg HS Glenelg HS   Glenelg HS
Gov Thomas Johnson Gov Thomas Johnson insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Gov Thomas Johnson
Great Mills Great Mills   Great Mills
Guilford Park Guilford Park insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Guilford Park
Gwynn Park Northwood   Northwood
Hammond Hammond   Hammond
Harford Tech Harford Tech   Harford Tech
Havre De Grace Havre De Grace   Havre De Grace
Hereford Hereford   Hereford
Howard Howard   Howard
Huntingtown Huntingtown   Huntingtown
JM Bennett JM Bennett   JM Bennett
Kennedy Northwood Northwood  
Kent County Kent County   Kent County
Kent Island Kent Island   Kent Island
Kenwood Northwood   Northwood
La Plata La Plata   La Plata
Lackey Lackey   Lackey
Lansdowne Northwood   Northwood
Laurel Laurel tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Laurel
Leonardtown Leonardtown   Leonardtown
Liberty Liberty   Liberty
Linganore Linganore   Linganore
Loch Raven Loch Raven   Loch Raven
Long Reach Long Reach   Long Reach
Magruder Magruder Magruder   5- 1 vs 2- 4
Manchester Valley Manchester Valley   Manchester Valley
Marriotts Ridge Marriotts Ridge   Marriotts Ridge
Meade Northwood   Northwood
Middletown Middletown   Middletown
Milford Mill Milford Mill   Milford Mill
MJ McDonough MJ McDonough   MJ McDonough
Mount Hebron Mount Hebron   Mount Hebron
New Town Northwood   Northwood
North Caroline North Caroline   North Caroline
North County North County   North County
North Dorchester Northwood   Northwood
North East Cecil North East Cecil   North East Cecil
North Hagerstown Northwood   Northwood
North Harford North Harford   North Harford
North Point North Point   North Point
Northeast Northeast   Northeast
Northern Calvert Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Northwest Northwest Northwest  
Northwestern PG Northwood   Northwood
Oakdale Oakdale   Oakdale
Oakland Mills Northwood   Northwood
Old Mill Old Mill   Old Mill
Overlea Northwood   Northwood
Owings Mills Northwood   Northwood
Oxon Hill Oxon Hill   Oxon Hill
Paint Branch Northwood Northwood  
Parkdale Northwood   Northwood
Parkside Parkside   Parkside
Parkville Parkville   Parkville
Patapsco Northwood   Northwood
Patterson Mill Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Patuxent Patuxent   Patuxent
Perry Hall Perry Hall   Perry Hall
Perryville Perryville   Perryville
Pikesville Pikesville   Pikesville
Poolesville Poolesville Poolesville   5- 0 vs 3- 2
Queen Annes County Queen Annes County   Queen Annes County
Quince Orchard Quince Orchard Quince Orchard   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Randallstown Randallstown   Randallstown
Randallstown Randallstown   Randallstown
Reservoir Reservoir   Reservoir
Richard Montgomery Richard Montgomery Richard Montgomery   4- 2 vs 2- 4
Rising Sun Rising Sun   Rising Sun
River Hill River Hill   River Hill
Rockville Rockville tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) Rockville
Seneca Valley Northwood Northwood  
Severn Run Severn Run   Severn Run
Severna Park Severna Park   Severna Park
Sherwood Sherwood Sherwood   5- 0 vs 1- 4
Smithsburg Northwood   Northwood
South Carroll South Carroll   South Carroll
South Hagerstown South Hagerstown   South Hagerstown
South River South River   South River
Southern Southern   Southern
Sparrows Point Sparrows Point   Sparrows Point
Springbrook Springbrook Springbrook  
St Charles Northwood   Northwood
Stephen Decatur Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Suitland Northwood   Northwood
Thomas Stone Thomas Stone   Thomas Stone
Towson Towson   Towson
Tuscarora Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Urbana Urbana insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Urbana
Walkersville Walkersville   Walkersville
Walter Johnson Walter Johnson Walter Johnson  
Watkins Mill Northwood Northwood  
Western Baltimore Northwood   Northwood
Western STES Western STES   Western STES
Westlake Northwood   Northwood
Westminster Westminster   Westminster
Wheaton Wheaton Wheaton  
Whitman Whitman Whitman   6- 1 vs 1- 6
Wicomico Northwood   Northwood
Wilde Lake Wilde Lake   Wilde Lake
Winston Churchill Winston Churchill Winston Churchill   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Winters Mill Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Woodlawn Northwood   Northwood
Wootton Wootton Wootton   4- 1 vs 2- 3

PowerWise = 36


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.96

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Kennedy         ( 2-12, 65.4)    15- 7      -34.50       3.42      -0.45         0.92             2.73
   0 A Springbrook     ( 7- 8, 72.1)     5- 7      -27.84      10.08       0.45         0.92           -25.21
   0 H Walter Johnson  ( 9- 4, 84.4)     2-13      -15.52      22.40      -0.45         0.92           -14.70
   0 H Wheaton         ( 6- 7, 71.5)     4- 6      -28.44       9.47      -0.45         0.92           -26.59
   0 H Paint Branch    ( 3-10, 68.9)     8- 7      -31.04       6.88      -0.45         0.92             5.92
   0 H Einstein        ( 8- 5, 71.7)     4- 5      -28.17       9.75      -0.45         0.92           -26.34
   0 H Northwest       ( 8- 5, 76.9)     3-13      -23.05      14.87      -0.45         0.92           -21.62
   0 A Watkins Mill    ( 1-12, 65.2)    10- 5      -34.66       3.26       0.45         0.92             3.42
   0 A Blake           ( 3-10, 72.6)     7-12      -27.27      10.65       0.45         0.92           -24.69
   0 A Seneca Valley   ( 4- 9, 68.4)     5- 4      -31.49       6.43       0.45         0.92             6.33
   0 A Bethesda-Chevy  ( 9- 5, 83.5)     2-13      -16.44      21.48       0.45         0.92           -14.72
   0 H Blair           ( 8- 7, 76.9)     5-11      -23.02      14.90      -0.45         0.92           -21.60
   0 A Blair           ( 8- 7, 76.9)     5- 9      -23.02      14.90       0.45         0.92           -20.77
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -177.84

winning pts = 18.4007 losing points = -196.2421

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------