Northwest Catholic
W-L: ( 8-11) PR = 78.4038Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 408 H RHAM ( 6-10, 77.0) 12-10 419 H St Paul Catholic ( 0-16, 65.1) 12- 5 422 A Farmington (13- 6, 83.3) 4-16 425 H Simsbury (17- 2, 91.0) 3-17 429 A Conard (18- 2, 92.3) 6-20 430 H Lauralton Hall (14- 7, 82.7) 10-23 502 A Glastonbury ( 9- 9, 81.4) 3-14 505 H Canton ( 6-10, 79.6) 11-10 507 A Tolland (14- 4, 81.2) 3-16 509 A Wolcott ( 7-11, 71.3) 12- 6 512 A East Catholic (11- 8, 79.0) 8- 6 515 H Berlin ( 9-10, 77.0) 11-17 519 A Hall (11- 5, 82.9) 5-13 523 H Avon HS ( 1-14, 78.1) 12- 8 527 A Conard (18- 2, 92.3) 3-19 527 H Suffield HS (19- 2, 85.4) 0- 1 528 H Brien McMahon ( 8- 9, 81.1) 10- 9 603 A Stonington (12- 5, 79.9) 11-10 606 A Sacred Heart Academy (10-10, 80.3) 9-18
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
408 H RHAM 12-10 2 2 -0.13
419 H St Paul Catholic 12- 5 7 14 0.00
422 A Farmington 4-16 -12 -6 0.00
425 H Simsbury 3-17 -14 -12 0.00
429 A Conard 6-20 -14 -15 0.00
430 H Lauralton Hall 10-23 -13 -4 -1.46
502 A Glastonbury 3-14 -11 -4 -1.26
505 H Canton 11-10 1 0 1.42
507 A Tolland 3-16 -13 -4 -1.48
509 A Wolcott 12- 6 6 6 0.00
512 A East Catholic 8- 6 2 -1 + 3.29
515 H Berlin 11-17 -6 2 --- -7.14
519 A Hall 5-13 -8 -5 0.00
523 H Avon HS 12- 8 4 1 + 2.97
527 A Conard 3-19 -16 -15 0.00
528 H Brien McMahon 10- 9 1 -2 + 2.96
603 A Stonington 11-10 1 -2 + 3.21
606 A Sacred Heart Academy 9-18 -9 -3 - -2.40
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 515 H Berlin 11-17 -6 2 --- -7.14 606 A Sacred Heart Academy 9-18 -9 -3 - -2.40 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 512 A East Catholic 8- 6 2 -1 + 3.29 523 H Avon HS 12- 8 4 1 + 2.97 528 H Brien McMahon 10- 9 1 -2 + 2.96 603 A Stonington 11-10 1 -2 + 3.21 |
Northwest Catholic Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amity Regional | Amity Regional | Amity Regional 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Avon HS | Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | ||
| Bacon/East Hampton | Northwest Catholic | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Northwest Catholic | |
| Berlin | Berlin | Berlin | ||
| Bethel | Bethel | Bethel | ||
| Branford | Branford | Branford 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Brien McMahon | Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | ||
| Bristol Central | Northwest Catholic | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Northwest Catholic | |
| Bristol Eastern | Northwest Catholic | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Northwest Catholic | |
| Brookfield | Brookfield | Brookfield | ||
| Canton | Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | ||
| Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS 4- 2 vs 0- 6 | ||
| Conard | Conard | Conard | ||
| Cromwell | Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | ||
| Danbury | Northwest Catholic | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Northwest Catholic | |
| Daniel Hand | Daniel Hand | Daniel Hand 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Darien | Darien | Darien | ||
| East Catholic | Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | ||
| East Lyme | East Lyme | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | East Lyme | |
| Ellington | Ellington | insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 4- 1) | Ellington | |
| Enfield | Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | ||
| EO Smith | Northwest Catholic | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Northwest Catholic | |
| Fairfield Ludlowe | Fairfield Ludlowe | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Fairfield Ludlowe | |
| Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Fairfield Warde | |
| Farmington | Farmington | Farmington | ||
| Fitch | Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Foran | Foran | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Foran | |
| Glastonbury | Glastonbury | Glastonbury | ||
| Granby Memorial | Granby Memorial | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) | Granby Memorial | |
| Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS | ||
| Griswold-Norwich Tech | Northwest Catholic | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Northwest Catholic | |
| Guilford | Guilford | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) | Guilford | |
| Haddam-Killingworth | Northwest Catholic | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Northwest Catholic | |
| Hall | Hall | Hall | ||
| Hamden | Northwest Catholic | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Northwest Catholic | |
| Housatonic Regional | Northwest Catholic | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Northwest Catholic | |
| Immaculate Heart | Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | ||
| Joel Barlow | Joel Barlow | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Joel Barlow | |
| Jonathan Law | Northwest Catholic | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Northwest Catholic | |
| Killingly | Northwest Catholic | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Northwest Catholic | |
| Lakeview United | Northwest Catholic | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Northwest Catholic | |
| Lauralton Hall | Lauralton Hall | Lauralton Hall | ||
| Ledyard | Ledyard | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Ledyard | |
| Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | Lewis Mills | |
| Lyman Hall | Lyman Hall | Lyman Hall | ||
| Masuk | Masuk | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Masuk | |
| Mercy | Northwest Catholic | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Northwest Catholic | |
| Middletown-Coginchaug | Northwest Catholic | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Northwest Catholic | |
| Montville | Northwest Catholic | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Northwest Catholic | |
| Morgan School | Northwest Catholic | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Northwest Catholic | |
| New Canaan | New Canaan | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | New Canaan | |
| New Fairfield | New Fairfield | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 0) | New Fairfield | |
| New London/St Bernards | Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | ||
| New Milford | Northwest Catholic | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Northwest Catholic | |
| Newington | Northwest Catholic | tied - ( 2- 5) ( 2- 5) | Northwest Catholic | |
| Newtown | Newtown | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Newtown | |
| North Branford | Northwest Catholic | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Northwest Catholic | |
| North Haven | Northwest Catholic | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Northwest Catholic | |
| Norwalk | Northwest Catholic | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Northwest Catholic | |
| Norwich Free Academy | Norwich Free Academy | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Norwich Free Academy | |
| Notre Dame Fairfield | Northwest Catholic | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Northwest Catholic | |
| Old Lyme | Northwest Catholic | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Northwest Catholic | |
| Old Saybrook | Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | ||
| Pomperaug | Pomperaug | Pomperaug | ||
| RHAM | Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | ||
| Ridgefield | Ridgefield | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Ridgefield | |
| Rockville | Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Rocky Hill | Northwest Catholic | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 4) | Northwest Catholic | |
| Sacred Heart Academy | Sacred Heart Academy | Sacred Heart Academy | ||
| Sheehan | Northwest Catholic | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Northwest Catholic | |
| Shelton | Northwest Catholic | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Northwest Catholic | |
| Simsbury | Simsbury | Simsbury | ||
| Somers | Somers | insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 4- 2) | Somers | |
| South Windsor | Northwest Catholic | insuffient: ( 3- 7)( 2- 8) | Northwest Catholic | |
| Southington | Southington | Southington 3- 5 vs 1- 7 | ||
| St Joseph | St Joseph | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) | St Joseph | |
| St Paul Catholic | Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | ||
| Stamford | Stamford | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Stamford | |
| Staples | Staples | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Staples | |
| Stonington | Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | ||
| Stratford-Bunnell | Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | ||
| Suffield HS | Suffield HS | Suffield HS | ||
| Tolland | Tolland | Tolland | ||
| Trumbull | Trumbull | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Trumbull | |
| Valley Regional | Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | ||
| Waterford | Waterford | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Waterford | |
| Watertown | Northwest Catholic | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) | Northwest Catholic | |
| West Haven | Northwest Catholic | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Northwest Catholic | |
| Westhill | Northwest Catholic | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Northwest Catholic | |
| Weston | Weston | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Weston | |
| Wethersfield | Northwest Catholic | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Northwest Catholic | |
| Wheeler | Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Wilton | Wilton | Wilton | ||
| Windsor | Northwest Catholic | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Northwest Catholic | |
| Wolcott | Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | ||
| Woodstock Academy | Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic 2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
PowerWise = 51
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.51
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H RHAM ( 6-10, 77.0) 12-10 -22.90 11.91 -0.73 0.92 10.30
0 H St Paul Cathol ( 0-16, 65.1) 12- 5 -34.81 1.00 -0.73 0.92 0.25
0 A Farmington (13- 6, 83.3) 4-16 -16.60 18.20 0.73 0.92 -14.63
0 H Simsbury (17- 2, 91.0) 3-17 -8.92 25.89 -0.73 0.92 -8.89
0 A Conard (18- 2, 92.3) 6-20 -7.57 27.24 0.73 0.92 -6.30
0 H Lauralton Hall (14- 7, 82.7) 10-23 -17.23 17.58 -0.73 0.92 -16.54
0 A Glastonbury ( 9- 9, 81.4) 3-14 -18.48 16.33 0.73 0.92 -16.36
0 H Canton ( 6-10, 79.6) 11-10 -20.35 14.46 -0.73 0.92 12.66
0 A Tolland (14- 4, 81.2) 3-16 -18.71 16.10 0.73 0.92 -16.56
0 A Wolcott ( 7-11, 71.3) 12- 6 -28.64 6.17 0.73 0.92 6.35
0 A East Catholic (11- 8, 79.0) 8- 6 -20.93 13.88 0.73 0.92 13.46
0 H Berlin ( 9-10, 77.0) 11-17 -22.91 11.90 -0.73 0.92 -21.78
0 A Hall (11- 5, 82.9) 5-13 -16.99 17.82 0.73 0.92 -14.99
0 H Avon HS ( 1-14, 78.1) 12- 8 -21.80 13.00 -0.73 0.92 11.31
0 A Conard (18- 2, 92.3) 3-19 -7.57 27.24 0.73 0.92 -6.30
0 H Suffield HS (19- 2, 85.4) 0- 1 -14.54 20.27 -0.73 0.92 -14.07
0 H Brien McMahon ( 8- 9, 81.1) 10- 9 -18.81 16.00 -0.73 0.92 14.07
0 A Stonington (12- 5, 79.9) 11-10 -20.01 14.80 0.73 0.92 14.30
0 A Sacred Heart A (10-10, 80.3) 9-18 -19.62 15.19 0.73 0.92 -17.41
------
-71.12
|
winning pts = 82.7063 losing points = -153.8220
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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