Novi
W-L: ( 9-10) PR = 87.2625Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 319 H Holt (15- 6, 89.5) 13-14 407 A Plymouth ( 5-12, 82.3) 9- 5 409 A South Lyon United (21- 0, 97.2) 4-12 411 H Salem ( 5-15, 81.5) 12- 4 414 A Hartland (20- 6, 93.8) 1-13 416 A Howell ( 9-11, 84.2) 13-10 422 H Troy Athens (14- 7, 86.7) 11-13 423 H Livonia United ( 5-11, 83.0) 12- 5 428 A Birmingham Unified (11- 9, 91.8) 3-19 430 H Canton ( 3-13, 81.6) 16- 4 501 H Grosse Pointe South (13- 5, 89.0) 10-13 505 A Brighton (14- 6, 94.9) 5-18 507 H Northville (10-10, 86.9) 18-12 509 A White Lake Lakeland (11- 7, 92.0) 5-17 512 H Salem ( 5-15, 81.5) 15- 5 514 A Bloomfield Hills (13-11, 91.2) 7-19 519 H Walled Lake Northern ( 0- 8, 74.0) 18- 1 522 A Ann Arbor Pioneer ( 6- 9, 82.3) 15- 7 527 A Brighton (14- 6, 94.9) 4-16
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
319 H Holt 13-14 -1 -2 0.59
407 A Plymouth 9- 5 4 4 -0.38
409 A South Lyon United 4-12 -8 -11 0.00
411 H Salem 12- 4 8 6 0.00
414 A Hartland 1-13 -12 -7 0.00
416 A Howell 13-10 3 2 0.58
422 H Troy Athens 11-13 -2 1 - -3.23
423 H Livonia United 12- 5 7 5 0.09
428 A Birmingham Unified 3-19 -16 -5 0.00
430 H Canton 16- 4 12 6 0.00
501 H Grosse Pointe South 10-13 -3 -1 -1.86
505 A Brighton 5-18 -13 -8 0.00
507 H Northville 18-12 6 1 + 3.99
509 A White Lake Lakeland 5-17 -12 -5 0.00
512 H Salem 15- 5 10 6 0.00
514 A Bloomfield Hills 7-19 -12 -5 -0.39
519 H Walled Lake Northern 18- 1 17 14 0.00
522 A Ann Arbor Pioneer 15- 7 8 4 0.61
527 A Brighton 4-16 -12 -8 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 422 H Troy Athens 11-13 -2 1 - -3.23 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 507 H Northville 18-12 6 1 + 3.99 |
Novi Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ann Arbor Father Gabriel | Novi | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Novi | |
| Ann Arbor Huron | Novi | Novi 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Ann Arbor Pioneer | Novi | Novi | ||
| Ann Arbor Skyline | Novi | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Novi | |
| Avondale | Novi | Novi | ||
| Battle Creek Harper Cree | Novi | Novi | ||
| Bedford | Novi | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Novi | |
| Birmingham Unified | Birmingham Unified | Birmingham Unified | ||
| Bloomfield Hills | Bloomfield Hills | Bloomfield Hills | ||
| Brighton | Brighton | Brighton | ||
| Brighton B | Novi | insuffient: ( 4- 0)( 3- 1) | Novi | |
| Byron Center | Byron Center | Byron Center | ||
| Caledonia | Caledonia | Caledonia | ||
| Canton | Novi | Novi | ||
| Cass Tech | Novi | Novi 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Catholic Central | Catholic Central | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Catholic Central | |
| Chippewa Valley | Novi | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Novi | |
| Clarkston | Novi | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Novi | |
| Comstock Park | Novi | Novi | ||
| Cranbrook Kingswood | Cranbrook Kingswood | Cranbrook Kingswood 2- 4 vs 0- 6 | ||
| Davison | Novi | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Novi | |
| Detroit Country Day | Detroit Country Day | Detroit Country Day 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| DeWitt | Novi | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Novi | |
| Dexter | Novi | Novi 6- 0 vs 4- 2 | ||
| Divine Child | Novi | insuffient: ( 5- 1)( 4- 1) | Novi | |
| East Grand Rapids | East Grand Rapids | East Grand Rapids 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| East Lansing | Novi | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Novi | |
| Farmington | Novi | Novi 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Fenton-Linden Co-Op | Novi | tied - ( 1- 4) ( 1- 4) | Novi | |
| Flint Powers Catholic | Novi | Novi | ||
| Flushing | Novi | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Novi | |
| Forest Hills Central | Forest Hills Central | Forest Hills Central | ||
| Forest Hills Northern/Ea | Forest Hills Northern/Ea | Forest Hills Northern/Ea | ||
| Grand Blanc | Novi | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Novi | |
| Grand Haven | Novi | Novi | ||
| Grand Ledge | Grand Ledge | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Grand Ledge | |
| Grand Rapids Christian | Novi | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Novi | |
| Grandville | Novi | Novi | ||
| Grosse Pointe North | Novi | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) | Novi | |
| Grosse Pointe South | Grosse Pointe South | Grosse Pointe South | ||
| Hartland | Hartland | Hartland | ||
| Haslett | Haslett | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Haslett | |
| Henry Ford II | Novi | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Novi | |
| Holland West Ottawa | Novi | Novi | ||
| Holly-Brandon Co-Op | Novi | Novi | ||
| Holt | Holt | Holt | ||
| Howell | Novi | Novi | ||
| Hudsonville | Hudsonville | Hudsonville | ||
| Jenison | Novi | Novi | ||
| Kalamazoo Central | Novi | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Novi | |
| Lake Fenton | Novi | Novi | ||
| Lake Orion | Lake Orion | Lake Orion 4- 3 vs 0- 7 | ||
| Lakeview | Novi | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Novi | |
| Lansing Catholic-Waverly | Novi | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Novi | |
| Lapeer | Novi | Novi | ||
| Livonia United | Novi | Novi | ||
| Lowell | Lowell | Lowell | ||
| Marian | Marian | Marian 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Mattawan | Mattawan | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Mattawan | |
| Mercy | Mercy | Mercy 4- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Midland | Novi | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Novi | |
| Mona Shores | Mona Shores | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Mona Shores | |
| Northview | Northview | Northview | ||
| Northville | Novi | Novi | ||
| Notre Dame Prep | Novi | Novi | ||
| Okemos | Novi | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Novi | |
| Oxford | Novi | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | Novi | |
| Plymouth | Novi | Novi | ||
| Portage Northern | Portage Northern | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Portage Northern | |
| Reeths-Puffer | Novi | Novi | ||
| Rochester Adams | Rochester Adams | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Rochester Adams | |
| Rochester HS | Novi | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Novi | |
| Rochester Stoney Creek | Novi | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | Novi | |
| Rockford | Rockford | Rockford 4- 1 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Royal Oak | Novi | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 4) | Novi | |
| Sacred Heart Academy | Novi | Novi | ||
| Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Saginaw Heritage | |
| Salem | Novi | Novi | ||
| Saline | Saline | tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 1) | Saline | |
| South Lyon United | South Lyon United | South Lyon United | ||
| Spring Lake | Spring Lake | Spring Lake | ||
| St Catherine of Siena | Novi | Novi | ||
| St Johns/Ovid-Elsie | Novi | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Novi | |
| Swartz Creek | Novi | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Novi | |
| Tecumseh | Novi | Novi 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Traverse City Central | Traverse City Central | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Traverse City Central | |
| Troy | Novi | insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 1- 5) | Novi | |
| Troy Athens | Troy Athens | Troy Athens | ||
| University Liggett | Novi | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Novi | |
| Utica Eisenhower | Novi | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | Novi | |
| Walled Lake Northern | Novi | Novi | ||
| Warren Regina | Novi | Novi | ||
| Waterford United | Novi | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Novi | |
| West Bloomfield | Novi | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Novi | |
| White Lake Lakeland | White Lake Lakeland | White Lake Lakeland | ||
| Zeeland East | Novi | Novi |
PowerWise = 62
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 16.08
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Holt (15- 6, 89.5) 13-14 -10.43 18.76 -0.62 0.85 -9.35
0 A Plymouth ( 5-12, 82.3) 9- 5 -17.64 11.55 0.62 0.85 10.31
0 A South Lyon Uni (21- 0, 97.2) 4-12 -2.74 26.45 0.62 0.85 -1.79
0 H Salem ( 5-15, 81.5) 12- 4 -18.41 10.78 -0.62 0.85 8.60
0 A Hartland (20- 6, 93.8) 1-13 -6.14 23.06 0.62 0.85 -4.67
0 A Howell ( 9-11, 84.2) 13-10 -15.68 13.51 0.62 0.85 11.96
0 H Troy Athens (14- 7, 86.7) 11-13 -13.24 15.95 -0.62 0.85 -11.73
0 H Livonia United ( 5-11, 83.0) 12- 5 -16.92 12.27 -0.62 0.85 9.86
0 A Birmingham Uni (11- 9, 91.8) 3-19 -8.05 21.14 0.62 0.85 -6.29
0 H Canton ( 3-13, 81.6) 16- 4 -18.34 10.86 -0.62 0.85 8.66
0 H Grosse Pointe (13- 5, 89.0) 10-13 -10.88 18.31 -0.62 0.85 -9.73
0 A Brighton (14- 6, 94.9) 5-18 -4.97 24.22 0.62 0.85 -3.68
0 H Northville (10-10, 86.9) 18-12 -13.02 16.17 -0.62 0.85 13.16
0 A White Lake Lak (11- 7, 92.0) 5-17 -7.89 21.30 0.62 0.85 -6.15
0 H Salem ( 5-15, 81.5) 15- 5 -18.41 10.78 -0.62 0.85 8.60
0 A Bloomfield Hil (13-11, 91.2) 7-19 -8.65 20.54 0.62 0.85 -6.80
0 H Walled Lake No ( 0- 8, 74.0) 18- 1 -25.88 3.31 -0.62 0.85 2.28
0 A Ann Arbor Pion ( 6- 9, 82.3) 15- 7 -17.65 11.54 0.62 0.85 10.30
0 A Brighton (14- 6, 94.9) 4-16 -4.97 24.22 0.62 0.85 -3.68
------
19.84
|
winning pts = 83.7294 losing points = -63.8943
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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