---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:47 PDT

safe3step girls Northwest 1
  
Northwest             
W-L: ( 8- 5) PR = 76.8544

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 321 H Einstein ( 8- 5, 71.7) 13- 1 324 A Seneca Valley ( 4- 9, 68.4) 12- 0 326 H Clarksburg ( 4-10, 71.4) 10- 3 328 A Damascus (12- 3, 85.1) 5-18 402 H Gaithersburg ( 0-13, 65.2) 17- 2 404 A Richard Montgomery ( 9- 6, 75.7) 13- 5 408 A Northwood ( 4- 9, 70.2) 13- 3 409 H Watkins Mill ( 1-12, 65.2) 15- 5 422 A Rockville ( 3-10, 71.5) 16-11 424 H Bethesda-Chevy Chase ( 9- 5, 83.5) 5-10 426 H Poolesville ( 8- 6, 76.2) 12-13 430 A Magruder (10- 4, 77.0) 6- 8 509 H Gov Thomas Johnson ( 6- 7, 79.1) 9-13

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H Einstein               13- 1      12     6           0.00
   324 A Seneca Valley          12- 0      12     8           0.00
   326 H Clarksburg             10- 3       7     6           0.00
   328 A Damascus                5-18     -13    -9           0.00
   402 H Gaithersburg           17- 2      15    12           0.00
   404 A Richard Montgomery     13- 5       8     1    ++     4.28
   408 A Northwood              13- 3      10     6           0.00
   409 H Watkins Mill           15- 5      10    12           0.00
   422 A Rockville              16-11       5     5           0.09
   424 H Bethesda-Chevy Chase    5-10      -5    -6           0.00
   426 H Poolesville            12-13      -1     1    -     -2.13
   430 A Magruder                6- 8      -2    -1          -1.39
   509 H Gov Thomas Johnson      9-13      -4    -2    -     -2.19

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 H Poolesville            12-13      -1     1    -     -2.13
   509 H Gov Thomas Johnson      9-13      -4    -2    -     -2.19

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A Richard Montgomery     13- 5       8     1    ++     4.28

Northwest Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Annapolis Area Christian Annapolis Area Christian   Annapolis Area Christian
Anne Arundel County Northwest   Northwest
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding   Archbishop Spalding
Beth TFiloh Northwest   Northwest
Bishop McNamara Northwest   Northwest
Brookewood SG Brookewood SG   Brookewood SG
Bryn Mawr SG Bryn Mawr SG   Bryn Mawr SG
Bullis School Bullis School   Bullis School
Calverton School Northwest   Northwest
Catholic High Baltimore Catholic High Baltimore   Catholic High Baltimore
Chapelgate Christian Northwest   Northwest
Concordia Prep Concordia Prep   Concordia Prep
Cristo Rey Jesuit Cristo Rey Jesuit   Cristo Rey Jesuit
DC International DC International   DC International
EL Haynes Charter Northwest   Northwest
Elizabeth Seton Elizabeth Seton   Elizabeth Seton
FCA FCA   FCA
Field School Northwest   Northwest
Friends School Northwest   Northwest
Garrison Forest Garrison Forest   Garrison Forest
Georgetown Day School Georgetown Day School   Georgetown Day School
Georgetown Visitation Georgetown Visitation   Georgetown Visitation
Gerstell Academy Gerstell Academy   Gerstell Academy
Glenelg Country School Glenelg Country School   Glenelg Country School
Good Counsel Good Counsel   Good Counsel
Gunston Day School Gunston Day School   Gunston Day School
Holton-Arms School Holton-Arms School   Holton-Arms School
Holy Child Holy Child   Holy Child
Holy Cross Holy Cross   Holy Cross
Indian Creek Indian Creek   Indian Creek
Jackson-Reed Northwest   Northwest
Jemicy Northwest   Northwest
John Carroll John Carroll   John Carroll
Key School Northwest   Northwest
KIPP College Prep KIPP College Prep   KIPP College Prep
Maret School Maret School   Maret School
Maryvale Prep Maryvale Prep   Maryvale Prep
McDonogh School McDonogh School   McDonogh School
Mercy Mercy   Mercy
Mount de Sales Mount de Sales   Mount de Sales
National Cathedral National Cathedral   National Cathedral
Notre Dame Prep Notre Dame Prep   Notre Dame Prep
Oldfields School Oldfields School   Oldfields School
Park School Park School   Park School
Rockbridge Academy Northwest   Northwest
Roland Park Country Roland Park Country   Roland Park Country
Salisbury School Salisbury School   Salisbury School
Sandy Spring Friends Northwest   Northwest
School Without Walls Northwest   Northwest
Severn School Severn School   Severn School
Sidwell Friends Sidwell Friends   Sidwell Friends
St Andrews Episcopal St Andrews Episcopal   St Andrews Episcopal
St James School St James School   St James School
St Johns Catholic Prep St Johns Catholic Prep   St Johns Catholic Prep
St Johns College St Johns College   St Johns College
St Marys St Marys   St Marys
St Marys Ryken St Marys Ryken   St Marys Ryken
St Pauls SG St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
St Timothys St Timothys   St Timothys
St Vincent Pallotti Northwest   Northwest
Stone Ridge School Stone Ridge School   Stone Ridge School
Sts Peter & Paul Sts Peter & Paul   Sts Peter & Paul
Tome School Northwest   Northwest
Washington Latin Northwest   Northwest
Worcester Prep Northwest   Northwest
Aberdeen Northwest   Northwest
Academy for College & Ca Northwest   Northwest
Annapolis Annapolis   Annapolis
Arundel Arundel   Arundel
Atholton Northwest   Northwest
Baltimore Polytechnic Baltimore Polytechnic   Baltimore Polytechnic
Bel Air Bel Air   Bel Air
Bethesda-Chevy Chase Bethesda-Chevy Chase Bethesda-Chevy Chase  
Bladensburg Northwest   Northwest
Blair Blair insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) Blair
Blake Northwest tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) Northwest
Bohemia Manor Northwest   Northwest
Boonsboro Boonsboro insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Boonsboro
Bowie Northwest   Northwest
Broadneck Broadneck tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Broadneck
Brunswick Northwest tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northwest
Calvert Calvert   Calvert
Cambridge SD Northwest   Northwest
Carver A&T Northwest   Northwest
Catoctin Catoctin insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Catoctin
Catonsville Catonsville   Catonsville
Centennial Centennial   Centennial
Central PG Central PG   Central PG
Century Century   Century
CH Flowers Northwest   Northwest
Chesapeake AA Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Chesapeake BC Northwest   Northwest
Chopticon Chopticon   Chopticon
City College City College   City College
Clarksburg Northwest Northwest  
CM Wright CM Wright   CM Wright
CMIT North Northwest   Northwest
Crofton Crofton   Crofton
Damascus Damascus Damascus  
Dr Henry Wise Northwest   Northwest
Dulaney Dulaney   Dulaney
Dundalk Northwest   Northwest
DuVal Northwest   Northwest
Eastern Technical Eastern Technical   Eastern Technical
Easton Easton   Easton
Edgewood Northwest   Northwest
Einstein Northwest Northwest  
Eleanor Roosevelt Northwest   Northwest
Elkton Northwest   Northwest
Fairmont Heights Northwest   Northwest
Fallston Fallston   Fallston
Francis Scott Key Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Franklin Franklin   Franklin
Frederick Frederick tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Frederick
Frederick Douglass PG Northwest   Northwest
Gaithersburg Northwest Northwest  
Glen Burnie Northwest   Northwest
Glenelg HS Glenelg HS insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Glenelg HS
Gov Thomas Johnson Gov Thomas Johnson Gov Thomas Johnson  
Great Mills Northwest   Northwest
Guilford Park Northwest   Northwest
Gwynn Park Northwest   Northwest
Hammond Northwest   Northwest
Harford Tech Harford Tech   Harford Tech
Havre De Grace Havre De Grace   Havre De Grace
Hereford Hereford   Hereford
Howard Howard   Howard
Huntingtown Huntingtown   Huntingtown
JM Bennett JM Bennett   JM Bennett
Kennedy Northwest Northwest   6- 2 vs 1- 7
Kent County Kent County   Kent County
Kent Island Kent Island   Kent Island
Kenwood Northwest   Northwest
La Plata La Plata   La Plata
Lackey Northwest   Northwest
Lansdowne Northwest   Northwest
Laurel Northwest   Northwest
Leonardtown Leonardtown   Leonardtown
Liberty Liberty   Liberty
Linganore Linganore insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Linganore
Loch Raven Northwest   Northwest
Long Reach Long Reach   Long Reach
Magruder Magruder Magruder  
Manchester Valley Manchester Valley   Manchester Valley
Marriotts Ridge Marriotts Ridge   Marriotts Ridge
Meade Northwest   Northwest
Middletown Middletown   Middletown
Milford Mill Milford Mill   Milford Mill
MJ McDonough Northwest   Northwest
Mount Hebron Mount Hebron   Mount Hebron
New Town Northwest   Northwest
North Caroline North Caroline   North Caroline
North County North County   North County
North Dorchester Northwest   Northwest
North East Cecil Northwest   Northwest
North Hagerstown Northwest tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northwest
North Harford North Harford   North Harford
North Point Northwest   Northwest
Northeast Northeast   Northeast
Northern Calvert Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Northwestern PG Northwest   Northwest
Northwood Northwest Northwest  
Oakdale Oakdale insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Oakdale
Oakland Mills Northwest   Northwest
Old Mill Northwest   Northwest
Overlea Northwest   Northwest
Owings Mills Northwest   Northwest
Oxon Hill Northwest   Northwest
Paint Branch Northwest Northwest   7- 1 vs 3- 5
Parkdale Northwest   Northwest
Parkside Northwest   Northwest
Parkville Northwest   Northwest
Patapsco Northwest   Northwest
Patterson Mill Patterson Mill   Patterson Mill
Patuxent Northwest   Northwest
Perry Hall Perry Hall   Perry Hall
Perryville Northwest   Northwest
Pikesville Northwest   Northwest
Poolesville Poolesville Poolesville  
Queen Annes County Queen Annes County   Queen Annes County
Quince Orchard Quince Orchard Quince Orchard   6- 0 vs 2- 4
Randallstown Randallstown   Randallstown
Randallstown Randallstown   Randallstown
Reservoir Reservoir tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Reservoir
Richard Montgomery Northwest Northwest  
Rising Sun Rising Sun   Rising Sun
River Hill River Hill   River Hill
Rockville Northwest Northwest  
Seneca Valley Northwest Northwest  
Severn Run Northwest   Northwest
Severna Park Severna Park   Severna Park
Sherwood Sherwood Sherwood   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Smithsburg Northwest tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northwest
South Carroll South Carroll   South Carroll
South Hagerstown South Hagerstown   South Hagerstown
South River South River   South River
Southern Southern   Southern
Sparrows Point Sparrows Point   Sparrows Point
Springbrook Northwest Northwest   3- 2 vs 1- 4
St Charles Northwest   Northwest
Stephen Decatur Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Suitland Northwest   Northwest
Thomas Stone Thomas Stone   Thomas Stone
Towson Towson   Towson
Tuscarora Tuscarora insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Tuscarora
Urbana Urbana insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Urbana
Walkersville Northwest tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northwest
Walter Johnson Walter Johnson insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 5- 1) Walter Johnson
Watkins Mill Northwest Northwest  
Western Baltimore Northwest   Northwest
Western STES Northwest   Northwest
Westlake Northwest   Northwest
Westminster Westminster   Westminster
Wheaton Northwest Northwest   6- 1 vs 4- 3
Whitman Whitman Whitman   4- 1 vs 2- 3
Wicomico Northwest   Northwest
Wilde Lake Northwest tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northwest
Winston Churchill Winston Churchill insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 4- 1) Winston Churchill
Winters Mill Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Woodlawn Northwest   Northwest
Wootton Wootton insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 4- 2) Wootton

PowerWise = 92


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.96

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Einstein        ( 8- 5, 71.7)    13- 1      -28.17       9.75      -0.45         0.92             8.56
   0 A Seneca Valley   ( 4- 9, 68.4)    12- 0      -31.49       6.43       0.45         0.92             6.33
   0 H Clarksburg      ( 4-10, 71.4)    10- 3      -28.51       9.41      -0.45         0.92             8.25
   0 A Damascus        (12- 3, 85.1)     5-18      -14.81      23.11       0.45         0.92           -13.21
   0 H Gaithersburg    ( 0-13, 65.2)    17- 2      -34.72       3.20      -0.45         0.92             2.53
   0 A Richard Montgo  ( 9- 6, 75.7)    13- 5      -24.21      13.71       0.45         0.92            13.03
   0 A Northwood       ( 4- 9, 70.2)    13- 3      -29.71       8.21       0.45         0.92             7.97
   0 H Watkins Mill    ( 1-12, 65.2)    15- 5      -34.66       3.26      -0.45         0.92             2.59
   0 A Rockville       ( 3-10, 71.5)    16-11      -28.41       9.51       0.45         0.92             9.17
   0 H Bethesda-Chevy  ( 9- 5, 83.5)     5-10      -16.44      21.48      -0.45         0.92           -15.54
   0 H Poolesville     ( 8- 6, 76.2)    12-13      -23.73      14.19      -0.45         0.92           -22.25
   0 A Magruder        (10- 4, 77.0)     6- 8      -22.88      15.04       0.45         0.92           -20.65
   0 H Gov Thomas Joh  ( 6- 7, 79.1)     9-13      -20.79      17.13      -0.45         0.92           -19.55
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -32.77

winning pts = 58.4277 losing points = -91.2004

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------