---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:50 PDT

safe3step girls Northwest 1
  
Northwest             
W-L: (10- 4) PR = 91.8894

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 327 H Lindbergh ( 8- 6, 89.8) 18- 8 401 H Parkway South ( 7- 9, 88.4) 11- 6 408 A Francis Howell Central ( 4- 9, 88.9) 13-11 410 A Villa Duchesne ( 7- 8, 89.5) 11- 4 411 H Francis Howell North ( 5-10, 86.3) 10- 1 415 A Ursuline Academy ( 7- 9, 91.0) 9- 8 417 H Parkway West ( 4-12, 92.8) 12-11 418 H Francis Howell ( 7- 8, 91.7) 10- 9 424 A Kirkwood ( 6- 8, 88.7) 10-11 429 A Westminster Christian ( 9- 6, 93.3) 11-21 430 H Nerinx Hall ( 7- 7, 90.8) 21-12 506 A Webster Groves (12- 4, 90.2) 5- 7 515 H Villa Duchesne ( 7- 8, 89.5) 16-15 517 A Eureka (13- 2, 98.6) 2-15

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 H Lindbergh              18- 8      10     3           1.80
   401 H Parkway South          11- 6       5     5           0.47
   408 A Francis Howell Central 13-11       2     2           0.06
   410 A Villa Duchesne         11- 4       7     1    +      3.71
   411 H Francis Howell North   10- 1       9     7           0.00
   415 A Ursuline Academy        9- 8       1     0           1.23
   417 H Parkway West           12-11       1     0           0.80
   418 H Francis Howell         10- 9       1     1          -0.26
   424 A Kirkwood               10-11      -1     2    -     -3.07
   429 A Westminster Christian  11-21     -10    -2    -     -2.54
   430 H Nerinx Hall            21-12       9     2    +      2.82
   506 A Webster Groves          5- 7      -2     1    -     -2.58
   515 H Villa Duchesne         16-15       1     3    -     -2.45
   517 A Eureka                  2-15     -13    -8           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 A Kirkwood               10-11      -1     2    -     -3.07
   429 A Westminster Christian  11-21     -10    -2    -     -2.54
   506 A Webster Groves          5- 7      -2     1    -     -2.58
   515 H Villa Duchesne         16-15       1     3    -     -2.45

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 A Villa Duchesne         11- 4       7     1    +      3.71
   430 H Nerinx Hall            21-12       9     2    +      2.82

Northwest Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Belleville West Northwest insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Northwest
Clayton Northwest Northwest   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Cor Jesu Academy Cor Jesu Academy tied - ( 4- 1) ( 4- 1) Cor Jesu Academy
Eureka Eureka Eureka  
Fox Northwest Northwest   3- 2 vs 1- 4
Francis Howell Northwest Northwest  
Francis Howell Central Northwest Northwest  
Francis Howell North Northwest Northwest  
Hazelwood West Northwest tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northwest
Incarnate Word Academy Northwest Northwest   5- 1 vs 0- 6
John Burroughs John Burroughs insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) John Burroughs
Kirkwood Kirkwood Kirkwood  
Ladue Horton Watkins Ladue Horton Watkins insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) Ladue Horton Watkins
Lafayette Lafayette Lafayette   9- 2 vs 7- 4
Lindbergh Northwest Northwest  
Marquette Marquette tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Marquette
MICDS-St Louis CDS MICDS-St Louis CDS MICDS-St Louis CDS   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Nerinx Hall Northwest Northwest  
Notre Dame Northwest Northwest   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Oakville Northwest Northwest   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Parkway Central Northwest tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Northwest
Parkway North Northwest Northwest   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Parkway South Northwest Northwest  
Parkway West Northwest Northwest  
Pattonville Northwest Northwest   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Rockwood Summit Northwest tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Northwest
St Dominic St Dominic tied - ( 6- 1) ( 6- 1) St Dominic
St Josephs Academy St Josephs Academy tied - ( 4- 1) ( 4- 1) St Josephs Academy
Ursuline Academy Northwest Northwest  
Villa Duchesne Northwest Northwest  
Visitation Academy Visitation Academy tied - ( 4- 1) ( 4- 1) Visitation Academy
Webster Groves Webster Groves Webster Groves  
Wentzville Wentzville tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Wentzville
Westminster Christian Westminster Christian Westminster Christian  
Whitfield School Northwest insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Northwest

PowerWise = 21


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 13.72

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Lindbergh       ( 8- 6, 89.8)    18- 8      -10.12      11.92      -1.08         0.98            10.62
   0 H Parkway South   ( 7- 9, 88.4)    11- 6      -11.46      10.59      -1.08         0.98             9.32
   0 A Francis Howell  ( 4- 9, 88.9)    13-11      -11.03      11.01       1.08         0.98            11.86
   0 A Villa Duchesne  ( 7- 8, 89.5)    11- 4      -10.38      11.66       1.08         0.98            12.49
   0 H Francis Howell  ( 5-10, 86.3)    10- 1      -13.63       8.42      -1.08         0.98             7.19
   0 A Ursuline Acade  ( 7- 9, 91.0)     9- 8       -8.86      13.18       1.08         0.98            13.98
   0 H Parkway West    ( 4-12, 92.8)    12-11       -7.13      14.92      -1.08         0.98            13.56
   0 H Francis Howell  ( 7- 8, 91.7)    10- 9       -8.19      13.85      -1.08         0.98            12.52
   0 A Kirkwood        ( 6- 8, 88.7)    10-11      -11.17      10.88       1.08         0.98            -9.88
   0 A Westminster Ch  ( 9- 6, 93.3)    11-21       -6.63      15.42       1.08         0.98            -5.44
   0 H Nerinx Hall     ( 7- 7, 90.8)    21-12       -9.11      12.94      -1.08         0.98            11.62
   0 A Webster Groves  (12- 4, 90.2)     5- 7       -9.67      12.37       1.08         0.98            -8.42
   0 H Villa Duchesne  ( 7- 8, 89.5)    16-15      -10.38      11.66      -1.08         0.98            10.37
   0 A Eureka          (13- 2, 98.6)     2-15       -1.28      20.77       1.08         0.98            -0.19
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        89.60

winning pts = 113.5287 losing points = -23.9282

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------