---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:42 PDT

safe3step girls Norwalk 1
  
Norwalk               
W-L: ( 3-13) PR = 77.2740

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 405 H Shelton ( 6-10, 76.3) 10- 9 408 A Westhill ( 6- 9, 78.4) 8-15 410 A Stamford ( 7- 9, 81.9) 11-16 412 H Fairfield Warde (13- 6, 85.0) 14-20 414 H Pomperaug ( 5-12, 80.5) 8-12 417 H St Joseph ( 9- 9, 82.3) 6-14 419 A Trumbull (10- 7, 81.1) 9-10 422 H Danbury ( 4-12, 75.7) 10-11 429 A Ridgefield (11- 5, 93.9) 2-16 501 A Fairfield Ludlowe (11- 8, 87.4) 5-20 503 A New Fairfield (21- 1, 91.1) 2-18 506 A Danbury ( 4-12, 75.7) 13- 7 508 H Stamford ( 7- 9, 81.9) 5-14 510 H Brien McMahon ( 8- 9, 81.1) 7- 9 514 H Wilton (13- 3, 95.8) 2-20 515 A West Haven ( 2-14, 72.9) 19-11

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Shelton                10- 9       1     2          -0.65
   408 A Westhill                8-15      -7    -2    -     -3.18
   410 A Stamford               11-16      -5    -5           0.00
   412 H Fairfield Warde        14-20      -6    -7           0.00
   414 H Pomperaug               8-12      -4    -3          -1.48
   417 H St Joseph               6-14      -8    -4          -0.70
   419 A Trumbull                9-10      -1    -5    +      3.60
   422 H Danbury                10-11      -1     2    -     -3.35
   429 A Ridgefield              2-16     -14   -17           0.00
   501 A Fairfield Ludlowe       5-20     -15   -11           0.00
   503 A New Fairfield           2-18     -16   -15           0.00
   506 A Danbury                13- 7       6     1    ++     4.10
   508 H Stamford                5-14      -9    -4          -1.11
   510 H Brien McMahon           7- 9      -2    -3           1.09
   514 H Wilton                  2-20     -18   -18           0.00
   515 A West Haven             19-11       8     4           1.33

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 A Westhill                8-15      -7    -2    -     -3.18
   422 H Danbury                10-11      -1     2    -     -3.35

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   506 A Danbury                13- 7       6     1    ++     4.10
   419 A Trumbull                9-10      -1    -5    +      3.60

Norwalk Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Amity Regional Amity Regional tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Amity Regional
Avon HS Avon HS   Avon HS
Bacon/East Hampton Norwalk   Norwalk
Berlin Norwalk tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Norwalk
Bethel Bethel insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Bethel
Branford Branford insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Branford
Brien McMahon Brien McMahon Brien McMahon  
Bristol Central Norwalk   Norwalk
Bristol Eastern Bristol Eastern   Bristol Eastern
Brookfield Brookfield Brookfield   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Canton Canton   Canton
Cheshire HS Cheshire HS insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Cheshire HS
Conard Conard insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Conard
Cromwell Norwalk   Norwalk
Danbury Norwalk tied - ( 0- 7) ( 0- 7) Norwalk
Daniel Hand Daniel Hand insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 1) Daniel Hand
Darien Darien Darien   6- 0 vs 0- 6
East Catholic East Catholic tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) East Catholic
East Lyme East Lyme insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) East Lyme
Ellington Ellington   Ellington
Enfield Norwalk   Norwalk
EO Smith Norwalk   Norwalk
Fairfield Ludlowe Fairfield Ludlowe Fairfield Ludlowe  
Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde  
Farmington Farmington   Farmington
Fitch Norwalk tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Norwalk
Foran Foran tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 0) Foran
Glastonbury Glastonbury   Glastonbury
Granby Memorial Granby Memorial   Granby Memorial
Greenwich HS Greenwich HS Greenwich HS   4- 2 vs 0- 6
Griswold-Norwich Tech Norwalk   Norwalk
Guilford Guilford insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) Guilford
Haddam-Killingworth Norwalk   Norwalk
Hall Hall   Hall
Hamden Hamden insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 2) Hamden
Housatonic Regional Norwalk   Norwalk
Immaculate Heart Norwalk insuffient: ( 1- 5)( 0- 5) Norwalk
Joel Barlow Joel Barlow Joel Barlow   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Jonathan Law Norwalk Norwalk   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Killingly Norwalk   Norwalk
Lakeview United Norwalk   Norwalk
Lauralton Hall Lauralton Hall Lauralton Hall   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Ledyard Ledyard   Ledyard
Lewis Mills Lewis Mills   Lewis Mills
Lyman Hall Lyman Hall tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Lyman Hall
Masuk Masuk Masuk   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Mercy Mercy tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Mercy
Middletown-Coginchaug Norwalk   Norwalk
Montville Norwalk   Norwalk
Morgan School Norwalk   Norwalk
New Canaan New Canaan New Canaan   4- 1 vs 1- 5
New Fairfield New Fairfield New Fairfield  
New London/St Bernards Norwalk   Norwalk
New Milford Norwalk insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 0- 4) Norwalk
Newington Newington   Newington
Newtown Newtown Newtown   2- 2 vs 0- 4
North Branford Norwalk   Norwalk
North Haven Norwalk insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Norwalk
Northwest Catholic Northwest Catholic insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Northwest Catholic
Norwich Free Academy Norwich Free Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Norwich Free Academy
Notre Dame Fairfield Norwalk tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Norwalk
Old Lyme Old Lyme   Old Lyme
Old Saybrook Norwalk   Norwalk
Pomperaug Pomperaug Pomperaug  
RHAM Norwalk   Norwalk
Ridgefield Ridgefield Ridgefield  
Rockville Norwalk   Norwalk
Rocky Hill Norwalk   Norwalk
Sacred Heart Academy Sacred Heart Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Sacred Heart Academy
Sheehan Sheehan tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Sheehan
Shelton Norwalk Norwalk  
Simsbury Simsbury insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Simsbury
Somers Somers   Somers
South Windsor South Windsor   South Windsor
Southington Southington insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Southington
St Joseph St Joseph St Joseph  
St Paul Catholic Norwalk   Norwalk
Stamford Stamford Stamford  
Staples Staples Staples   5- 2 vs 1- 7
Stonington Stonington   Stonington
Stratford-Bunnell Norwalk Norwalk   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Suffield HS Suffield HS tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Suffield HS
Tolland Tolland tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Tolland
Trumbull Trumbull Trumbull  
Valley Regional Norwalk   Norwalk
Waterford Waterford   Waterford
Watertown Norwalk insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Norwalk
West Haven Norwalk Norwalk  
Westhill Westhill Westhill  
Weston Weston Weston   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Wethersfield Norwalk   Norwalk
Wheeler Wheeler   Wheeler
Wilton Wilton Wilton  
Windsor Norwalk   Norwalk
Wolcott Norwalk tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Norwalk
Woodstock Academy Norwalk   Norwalk

PowerWise = 37


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.51

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Shelton         ( 6-10, 76.3)    10- 9      -23.55      11.26      -0.73         1.09            11.52
   0 A Westhill        ( 6- 9, 78.4)     8-15      -21.53      13.28       0.73         1.09           -22.76
   0 A Stamford        ( 7- 9, 81.9)    11-16      -18.01      16.80       0.73         1.09           -18.91
   0 H Fairfield Ward  (13- 6, 85.0)    14-20      -14.87      19.94      -0.73         1.09           -17.06
   0 H Pomperaug       ( 5-12, 80.5)     8-12      -19.38      15.43      -0.73         1.09           -22.00
   0 H St Joseph       ( 9- 9, 82.3)     6-14      -17.60      17.21      -0.73         1.09           -20.04
   0 A Trumbull        (10- 7, 81.1)     9-10      -18.75      16.06       0.73         1.09           -19.72
   0 H Danbury         ( 4-12, 75.7)    10-11      -24.25      10.56      -0.73         1.09           -27.32
   0 A Ridgefield      (11- 5, 93.9)     2-16       -5.98      28.83       0.73         1.09            -5.75
   0 A Fairfield Ludl  (11- 8, 87.4)     5-20      -12.47      22.34       0.73         1.09           -12.85
   0 A New Fairfield   (21- 1, 91.1)     2-18       -8.80      26.01       0.73         1.09            -8.83
   0 A Danbury         ( 4-12, 75.7)    13- 7      -24.25      10.56       0.73         1.09            12.35
   0 H Stamford        ( 7- 9, 81.9)     5-14      -18.01      16.80      -0.73         1.09           -20.50
   0 H Brien McMahon   ( 8- 9, 81.1)     7- 9      -18.81      16.00      -0.73         1.09           -21.38
   0 H Wilton          (13- 3, 95.8)     2-20       -4.11      30.70      -0.73         1.09            -5.29
   0 A West Haven      ( 2-14, 72.9)    19-11      -27.02       7.79       0.73         1.09             9.32
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -189.23

winning pts = 33.1892 losing points = -222.4193

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------