Novato
W-L: ( 3- 6) PR = 77.9126Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 304 H Terra Linda ( 6-10, 79.9) 10-10 320 A Terra Linda ( 6-10, 79.9) 8-12 325 A Marin Catholic (19- 5, 95.5) 2-18 327 H San Marin (12- 7, 91.8) 6-17 401 H Branson School (10- 6, 90.1) 5-17 403 H Tamalpais (14- 6, 93.1) 7-17 415 A San Rafael ( 1-12, 70.3) 21- 8 416 H Petaluma ( 5-11, 75.0) 18-14 422 H Redwood (19- 4, 96.7) 6-20 424 A Archie Williams ( 2-11, 75.8) 18-17
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
304 H Terra Linda 10-10 0 -2 1.61
320 A Terra Linda 8-12 -4 -2 -1.57
325 A Marin Catholic 2-18 -16 -18 0.00
327 H San Marin 6-17 -11 -13 0.00
401 H Branson School 5-17 -12 -12 0.00
403 H Tamalpais 7-17 -10 -15 0.00
415 A San Rafael 21- 8 13 7 0.00
416 H Petaluma 18-14 4 3 0.68
422 H Redwood 6-20 -14 -18 0.00
424 A Archie Williams 18-17 1 2 -0.75
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
Novato Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Acalanes | Acalanes | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Acalanes | |
| Alhambra | Novato | Novato | ||
| Amador Valley | Amador Valley | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 1) | Amador Valley | |
| Archie Williams | Novato | Novato | ||
| Athenian | Novato | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Novato | |
| Bay School | Novato | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Novato | |
| Bentley | Novato | Novato | ||
| Berkeley | Berkeley | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 1) | Berkeley | |
| Bishop ODowd | Bishop ODowd | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bishop ODowd | |
| Branson School | Branson School | Branson School | ||
| California San Ramon | California San Ramon | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) | California San Ramon | |
| Campolindo | Campolindo | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Campolindo | |
| Cardinal Newman | Cardinal Newman | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Cardinal Newman | |
| Carondelet | Carondelet | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Carondelet | |
| Casa Grande | Casa Grande | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 1) | Casa Grande | |
| Clayton Valley Charter | Novato | Novato | ||
| College Park | College Park | College Park | ||
| Convent-Sacred Heart | Novato | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Novato | |
| Dougherty Valley | Dougherty Valley | Dougherty Valley | ||
| Dublin | Dublin | Dublin | ||
| El Cerrito | Novato | Novato | ||
| Foothill Pleasanton | Foothill Pleasanton | Foothill Pleasanton | ||
| George Washington SF | George Washington SF | George Washington SF | ||
| Granada | Novato | Novato | ||
| Head-Royce School | Novato | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Novato | |
| International | Novato | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Novato | |
| Justin-Siena | Justin-Siena | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 1) | Justin-Siena | |
| Las Lomas | Las Lomas | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Las Lomas | |
| Lick-Wilmerding | Lick-Wilmerding | Lick-Wilmerding | ||
| Livermore | Livermore | Livermore | ||
| Lowell | Lowell | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 1) | Lowell | |
| Marin Academy | Marin Academy | Marin Academy 3- 2 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Marin Catholic | Marin Catholic | Marin Catholic | ||
| Miramonte | Miramonte | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | Miramonte | |
| Monte Vista Danville | Monte Vista Danville | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Monte Vista Danville | |
| Moreau Catholic | Novato | Novato | ||
| Napa | Novato | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Novato | |
| Newark Memorial | Novato | Novato | ||
| Northgate | Northgate | Northgate | ||
| Oakland | Novato | Novato | ||
| Oakland Tech | Novato | Novato | ||
| Petaluma | Novato | Novato | ||
| Piedmont | Piedmont | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Piedmont | |
| Rancho Cotate | Rancho Cotate | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 2) | Rancho Cotate | |
| Redwood | Redwood | Redwood | ||
| San Domenico | San Domenico | San Domenico | ||
| San Marin | San Marin | San Marin | ||
| San Rafael | Novato | Novato | ||
| San Ramon Valley | San Ramon Valley | San Ramon Valley 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Skyline | Novato | Novato | ||
| Sonoma Academy | Novato | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Novato | |
| Sonoma Valley | Novato | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Novato | |
| St Vincent de Paul | Novato | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Novato | |
| Tamalpais | Tamalpais | Tamalpais | ||
| Terra Linda | Terra Linda | Terra Linda | ||
| University HS SF | University HS SF | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | University HS SF | |
| Urban School | Urban School | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 2) | Urban School | |
| Vintage | Novato | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Novato | |
| Washington Fremont | Novato | Novato | ||
| Windsor | Novato | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Novato | |
| Ygnacio Valley | Novato | Novato | ||
| Academy of Our Lady of P | Novato | Novato | ||
| Bishops School | Bishops School | Bishops School | ||
| Bonita Vista | Novato | Novato | ||
| Canyon Crest | Canyon Crest | Canyon Crest | ||
| Canyon Hills | Canyon Hills | Canyon Hills | ||
| Carlsbad | Carlsbad | Carlsbad | ||
| Castle Park | Castle Park | Castle Park | ||
| Cathedral Catholic | Cathedral Catholic | Cathedral Catholic | ||
| Clairemont | Novato | Novato | ||
| Classical Academy | Novato | Novato | ||
| Coronado | Coronado | Coronado | ||
| Del Lago Academy | Novato | Novato | ||
| Del Norte | Del Norte | Del Norte | ||
| Eastlake | Eastlake | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Eastlake | |
| El Camino | Novato | Novato | ||
| El Capitan | El Capitan | El Capitan | ||
| Fallbrook | Fallbrook | Fallbrook | ||
| Francis Parker School | Francis Parker School | Francis Parker School | ||
| Granite Hills | Granite Hills | Granite Hills | ||
| Grossmont | Novato | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Novato | |
| Helix Charter | Novato | Novato | ||
| Hilltop | Novato | Novato | ||
| La Costa Canyon | La Costa Canyon | La Costa Canyon | ||
| La Jolla CDS | La Jolla CDS | La Jolla CDS | ||
| La Jolla HS | La Jolla HS | La Jolla HS | ||
| Lincoln San Diego | Novato | Novato | ||
| Mar Vista | Novato | Novato | ||
| Mater Dei Chula Vista | Novato | Novato | ||
| Mira Mesa | Mira Mesa | Mira Mesa | ||
| Mission Bay | Novato | Novato | ||
| Mission Hills | Mission Hills | Mission Hills | ||
| Mission Vista | Novato | Novato | ||
| Monte Vista Spring Valle | Novato | Novato | ||
| Morse | Novato | Novato | ||
| Mt Carmel | Mt Carmel | Mt Carmel | ||
| Olympian | Olympian | Olympian | ||
| Otay Ranch | Novato | Novato | ||
| Pacific Ridge | Pacific Ridge | Pacific Ridge | ||
| Patrick Henry | Patrick Henry | Patrick Henry | ||
| Point Loma | Point Loma | Point Loma | ||
| Poway | Poway | Poway | ||
| Preuss School | Novato | Novato | ||
| Ramona | Novato | Novato | ||
| Rancho Bernardo | Rancho Bernardo | Rancho Bernardo | ||
| Rancho Buena Vista | Rancho Buena Vista | Rancho Buena Vista | ||
| Sage Creek | Sage Creek | Sage Creek | ||
| San Diego | Novato | Novato | ||
| San Dieguito | San Dieguito | San Dieguito | ||
| San Marcos SD | San Marcos SD | San Marcos SD | ||
| San Ysidro | San Ysidro | San Ysidro | ||
| Santana | Novato | Novato | ||
| Scripps Ranch | Scripps Ranch | Scripps Ranch | ||
| Southwest | Novato | Novato | ||
| Torrey Pines | Torrey Pines | Torrey Pines | ||
| Tri City Christian | Tri City Christian | Tri City Christian | ||
| University City | University City | University City | ||
| Valhalla | Valhalla | Valhalla | ||
| Valley Center | Novato | Novato | ||
| Vista | Novato | Novato | ||
| West Hills | Novato | Novato | ||
| Westview | Westview | Westview | ||
| Aptos | Novato | Novato | ||
| Aragon | Novato | Novato | ||
| Archbishop Mitty | Archbishop Mitty | Archbishop Mitty | ||
| Burlingame | Burlingame | Burlingame | ||
| Carlmont | Carlmont | Carlmont | ||
| Carmel | Carmel | Carmel | ||
| Castilleja | Castilleja | Castilleja | ||
| Gilroy | Novato | Novato | ||
| Gunn | Gunn | Gunn | ||
| Harbor | Novato | Novato | ||
| Harker School | Harker School | Harker School | ||
| Hillsdale | Hillsdale | Hillsdale | ||
| Leland | Leland | Leland | ||
| Lincoln San Jose | Novato | Novato | ||
| Live Oak | Live Oak | Live Oak | ||
| Los Altos | Los Altos | Los Altos | ||
| Los Gatos | Los Gatos | Los Gatos | ||
| Menlo School | Menlo School | tied - ( 0- 4) ( 0- 4) | Menlo School | |
| Menlo-Atherton | Menlo-Atherton | Menlo-Atherton | ||
| Mercy Burlingame | Novato | Novato | ||
| Monte Vista Christian | Novato | Novato | ||
| Monterey | Novato | Novato | ||
| Mountain View | Mountain View | Mountain View | ||
| Notre Dame Belmont | Notre Dame Belmont | Notre Dame Belmont | ||
| Notre Dame Salinas | Novato | Novato | ||
| Notre Dame San Jose | Notre Dame San Jose | Notre Dame San Jose | ||
| Palo Alto | Palo Alto | Palo Alto | ||
| Pioneer | Novato | Novato | ||
| Presentation | Novato | Novato | ||
| Priory | Priory | Priory | ||
| Sacred Heart Cathedral | Sacred Heart Cathedral | Sacred Heart Cathedral | ||
| Sacred Heart Prep | Sacred Heart Prep | Sacred Heart Prep 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Salinas | Novato | Novato | ||
| Santa Catalina School | Novato | Novato | ||
| Santa Cruz | Novato | Novato | ||
| Saratoga | Saratoga | Saratoga | ||
| Scotts Valley | Scotts Valley | Scotts Valley | ||
| Sequoia | Sequoia | Sequoia | ||
| Sobrato | Novato | Novato | ||
| Soquel | Novato | Novato | ||
| St Francis Mtn View | St Francis Mtn View | St Francis Mtn View | ||
| St Ignatius Prep | St Ignatius Prep | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | St Ignatius Prep | |
| Stevenson School | Stevenson School | Stevenson School | ||
| Wilcox | Novato | Novato | ||
| Willow Glen | Novato | Novato | ||
| Woodside | Woodside | Woodside | ||
| York School | Novato | Novato | ||
| Bella Vista | Bella Vista | Bella Vista | ||
| Christian Brothers | Christian Brothers | Christian Brothers | ||
| Davis | Davis | Davis | ||
| Del Oro | Del Oro | Del Oro | ||
| Folsom | Folsom | Folsom | ||
| Granite Bay | Granite Bay | Granite Bay | ||
| Oak Ridge | Oak Ridge | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Oak Ridge | |
| Oakmont | Novato | Novato | ||
| Rio Americano | Novato | Novato | ||
| Rocklin | Rocklin | Rocklin | ||
| Roseville | Novato | Novato | ||
| St Francis Sacramento | St Francis Sacramento | St Francis Sacramento | ||
| Vista del Lago | Vista del Lago | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Vista del Lago | |
| West Park | Novato | Novato | ||
| Whitney | Whitney | Whitney | ||
| Woodcreek | Woodcreek | Woodcreek | ||
| Alexander Hamilton | Novato | Novato | ||
| Birmingham Charter | Novato | Novato | ||
| El Camino Real | Novato | Novato | ||
| GALA | Novato | Novato | ||
| Palisades Charter | Novato | Novato | ||
| University HS LA | Novato | Novato | ||
| Agoura | Agoura | Agoura | ||
| Aliso Niguel | Aliso Niguel | Aliso Niguel | ||
| Beckman | Beckman | Beckman | ||
| Beverly Hills | Novato | Novato | ||
| Calabasas | Novato | Novato | ||
| California Whittier | Novato | Novato | ||
| Canyon | Canyon | Canyon | ||
| Capistrano Valley | Novato | Novato | ||
| Cate School | Cate School | Cate School | ||
| Centennial | Novato | Novato | ||
| Chadwick School | Chadwick School | Chadwick School | ||
| Chaminade Prep | Chaminade Prep | Chaminade Prep | ||
| Chaparral | Chaparral | Chaparral | ||
| Compton | Novato | Novato | ||
| Corona | Novato | Novato | ||
| Corona Del Mar | Corona Del Mar | Corona Del Mar | ||
| Crescenta Valley | Crescenta Valley | Crescenta Valley | ||
| Culver City | Culver City | Culver City | ||
| Dana Hills | Novato | Novato | ||
| Dos Pueblos | Dos Pueblos | Dos Pueblos | ||
| Downey | Downey | Downey | ||
| Edison | Edison | Edison | ||
| El Dorado | El Dorado | El Dorado | ||
| El Modena | Novato | Novato | ||
| El Rancho | El Rancho | El Rancho | ||
| El Segundo | El Segundo | El Segundo | ||
| El Toro | El Toro | El Toro | ||
| Eleanor Roosevelt | Eleanor Roosevelt | Eleanor Roosevelt | ||
| Esperanza | Esperanza | Esperanza | ||
| Foothill Santa Ana | Foothill Santa Ana | Foothill Santa Ana | ||
| Glendale | Glendale | Glendale | ||
| Great Oak | Great Oak | Great Oak | ||
| Hart | Novato | Novato | ||
| Hemet | Novato | Novato | ||
| Heritage | Novato | Novato | ||
| Heritage Christian | Novato | Novato | ||
| Huntington Beach | Huntington Beach | Huntington Beach | ||
| Irvine | Novato | Novato | ||
| JSerra Catholic | JSerra Catholic | JSerra Catholic | ||
| King | King | King | ||
| La Canada | La Canada | La Canada | ||
| Laguna Beach | Laguna Beach | Laguna Beach | ||
| Laguna Hills | Laguna Hills | Laguna Hills | ||
| Lakewood | Novato | Novato | ||
| Liberty | Novato | Novato | ||
| Long Beach Poly | Novato | Novato | ||
| Los Alamitos | Los Alamitos | Los Alamitos | ||
| Lynwood | Novato | Novato | ||
| Marlborough | Marlborough | Marlborough | ||
| Mater Dei Santa Ana | Mater Dei Santa Ana | Mater Dei Santa Ana | ||
| Millikan | Novato | Novato | ||
| Mira Costa | Mira Costa | Mira Costa | ||
| Mission Viejo | Novato | Novato | ||
| Murrieta Mesa | Murrieta Mesa | Murrieta Mesa | ||
| Murrieta Valley | Murrieta Valley | Murrieta Valley | ||
| Newbury Park | Newbury Park | Newbury Park | ||
| Newport Harbor | Newport Harbor | Newport Harbor | ||
| Norco | Novato | Novato | ||
| Nordhoff | Novato | Novato | ||
| Northwood | Northwood | Northwood | ||
| Notre Dame Sherman Oaks | Notre Dame Sherman Oaks | Notre Dame Sherman Oaks | ||
| Oak Park | Oak Park | Oak Park | ||
| Oaks Christian | Oaks Christian | Oaks Christian | ||
| Orange Lutheran | Orange Lutheran | Orange Lutheran | ||
| Paloma Valley | Paloma Valley | Paloma Valley | ||
| Palos Verdes | Palos Verdes | Palos Verdes | ||
| Peninsula | Peninsula | Peninsula | ||
| Portola | Portola | Portola | ||
| Redondo Union | Redondo Union | Redondo Union | ||
| Riverside Poly | Novato | Novato | ||
| Rosary Academy | Novato | Novato | ||
| Royal | Royal | Royal | ||
| Sage Hill | Sage Hill | Sage Hill | ||
| San Clemente | San Clemente | San Clemente | ||
| San Juan Hills | San Juan Hills | San Juan Hills | ||
| San Marcos SB | San Marcos SB | San Marcos SB | ||
| Santa Barbara | Novato | Novato | ||
| Santa Margarita | Santa Margarita | Santa Margarita | ||
| Santa Monica | Santa Monica | Santa Monica | ||
| Santiago | Santiago | Santiago | ||
| Saugus | Saugus | Saugus | ||
| Segerstrom | Novato | Novato | ||
| Simi Valley | Simi Valley | Simi Valley | ||
| St Margarets | St Margarets | St Margarets | ||
| Temecula Valley | Temecula Valley | Temecula Valley | ||
| Tesoro | Tesoro | Tesoro | ||
| Thacher School | Thacher School | Thacher School | ||
| Trabuco Hills | Trabuco Hills | Trabuco Hills | ||
| Tustin | Novato | Novato | ||
| University Irvine | University Irvine | University Irvine | ||
| Valencia Placentia | Novato | Novato | ||
| Valencia Santa Clarita | Valencia Santa Clarita | Valencia Santa Clarita | ||
| Village Christian | Village Christian | Village Christian | ||
| Vista Murrieta | Vista Murrieta | Vista Murrieta | ||
| West Ranch | West Ranch | West Ranch | ||
| Westridge School | Westridge School | Westridge School | ||
| Woodbridge | Woodbridge | Woodbridge | ||
| Woodrow Wilson | Woodrow Wilson | Woodrow Wilson | ||
| Yorba Linda | Yorba Linda | Yorba Linda | ||
| Bullard | Bullard | Bullard | ||
| Edison Fresno | Edison Fresno | Edison Fresno | ||
| Fresno | Novato | Novato | ||
| Garces Memorial | Garces Memorial | Garces Memorial | ||
| Hoover Fresno | Hoover Fresno | Hoover Fresno | ||
| McLane | McLane | McLane | ||
| Roosevelt | Roosevelt | Roosevelt | ||
| San Joaquin Memorial | San Joaquin Memorial | San Joaquin Memorial | ||
| Sanger | Sanger | Sanger | ||
| Sunnyside | Novato | Novato |
PowerWise = 110
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 16.05
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Terra Linda ( 6-10, 79.9) 10-10 -19.97 16.67 -0.41 1.61 ********
0 A Terra Linda ( 6-10, 79.9) 8-12 -19.97 16.67 0.41 1.61 -31.40
0 A Marin Catholic (19- 5, 95.5) 2-18 -4.40 32.24 0.41 1.61 -6.40
0 H San Marin (12- 7, 91.8) 6-17 -8.09 28.56 -0.41 1.61 -13.64
0 H Branson School (10- 6, 90.1) 5-17 -9.81 26.83 -0.41 1.61 -16.41
0 H Tamalpais (14- 6, 93.1) 7-17 -6.79 29.85 -0.41 1.61 -11.56
0 A San Rafael ( 1-12, 70.3) 21- 8 -29.56 7.08 0.41 1.61 12.02
0 H Petaluma ( 5-11, 75.0) 18-14 -24.90 11.75 -0.41 1.61 18.20
0 H Redwood (19- 4, 96.7) 6-20 -3.17 33.48 -0.41 1.61 -5.74
0 A Archie William ( 2-11, 75.8) 18-17 -24.15 12.49 0.41 1.61 20.72
------
********
|
winning pts = 50.9385 losing points = -85.1508
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------